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Volkswagen (VWAPY)
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Volkswagen (VWAPY) AI Stock Analysis

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VW

Volkswagen

(OTC:VWAPY)

73Outperform
Volkswagen's overall stock score reflects solid financial foundations but is tempered by challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The attractive valuation and strong dividend yield are key strengths, while mixed technical indicators highlight potential short-term volatility. Strategic expansions and BEV growth are positives, but market share and restructuring challenges require attention.

Volkswagen (VWAPY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Volkswagen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVolkswagen AG, known as VWAPY in the stock market, is a leading global automotive manufacturer headquartered in Wolfsburg, Germany. The company operates across various sectors including the design, production, and sale of passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and motorcycles. Volkswagen's core products and services encompass a wide range of vehicles under multiple brand names such as Volkswagen Passenger Cars, Audi, SEAT, ŠKODA, Bentley, Bugatti, Lamborghini, Porsche, Ducati, Scania, and MAN. Additionally, Volkswagen offers financial services including dealer and customer financing, leasing, banking, insurance, and fleet management.
How the Company Makes MoneyVolkswagen AG generates revenue through the sale of its diverse range of vehicles, which is the primary source of income for the company. Each brand under the Volkswagen Group caters to different market segments, from mass-market vehicles to luxury and sports cars. In addition to vehicle sales, Volkswagen earns significant revenue from its financial services division, which provides a variety of financial solutions such as leasing, financing, and insurance services for both individual customers and dealerships. The company also benefits from its commercial vehicle segment, which includes trucks and buses under the Scania and MAN brands. Volkswagen's strategic partnerships and investments in technology and innovation, such as electric vehicle development and autonomous driving technologies, also play a crucial role in its revenue growth and competitive positioning in the global automotive market.

Volkswagen Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Volkswagen's financial statements indicate a company with solid foundations but facing profitability challenges and cash flow pressures. Revenue growth is slow, and while cost management remains efficient, maintaining net profitability is a concern. The balance sheet is strong with a reasonable debt level and solid asset base, supporting financial stability. Cash flow management needs attention due to negative free cash flow, potentially affecting future operational flexibility.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Volkswagen has demonstrated a solid financial performance with a stable gross profit margin of 18.31% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 3.50%, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability. The revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is modest at 0.74%, suggesting slow growth. The EBIT margin stands at 5.87%, which, while positive, shows a decline from the previous year. EBITDA margin is robust at 15.89%, highlighting strong earnings before major deductions.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Volkswagen's balance sheet reveals a healthy equity ratio of 28.80%, showcasing financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.08, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is at 6.23%, indicating moderate effectiveness in using equity capital to generate profits. The company's substantial total assets provide a strong foundation for future growth.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights challenges in cash generation, with a negative free cash flow of -$10.30 billion in 2024, which is a decrease from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.51, indicating that operating activities are generating sufficient cash relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to high capital expenditures, which could impact future liquidity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
324.65B322.28B279.23B250.20B222.88B
Gross Profit
59.47B61.02B52.23B47.24B38.95B
EBIT
19.06B22.58B22.12B19.27B9.68B
EBITDA
51.60B49.94B49.68B49.43B40.55B
Net Income Common Stockholders
11.35B16.60B15.46B15.38B8.87B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
73.45B50.91B70.79B66.88B58.61B
Total Assets
632.90B600.34B564.77B528.61B497.11B
Total Debt
196.52B193.97B178.44B183.37B174.31B
Net Debt
156.22B150.52B149.26B143.65B140.40B
Total Liabilities
436.17B410.43B386.44B382.45B368.33B
Stockholders Equity
182.29B175.69B165.38B144.45B127.05B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-10.29B-6.44B5.83B20.14B7.16B
Operating Cash Flow
17.15B19.36B28.50B38.63B24.90B
Investing Cash Flow
-31.57B-19.82B-41.82B-26.13B-22.69B
Financing Cash Flow
11.14B16.01B4.22B-7.75B7.64B

Volkswagen Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.61
Price Trends
50DMA
10.64
Negative
100DMA
9.97
Positive
200DMA
10.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
56.73
Neutral
STOCH
100.12
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VWAPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.09, below the 50-day MA of 10.64, and above the 200-day MA of 10.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.12 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VWAPY.

Volkswagen Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TMTM
75
Outperform
$219.94B6.8214.59%2.72%-0.59%7.56%
HMHMC
74
Outperform
$47.13B6.928.11%4.06%4.37%6.93%
73
Outperform
$53.28B4.586.58%6.16%0.75%-33.14%
FF
73
Outperform
$37.10B6.3813.42%7.77%5.00%35.92%
GMGM
71
Outperform
$43.41B6.859.44%1.06%9.08%-15.25%
69
Neutral
$765.43B116.759.16%1.03%-53.71%
60
Neutral
$6.55B11.403.24%4.25%2.38%-21.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VWAPY
Volkswagen
10.79
-1.38
-11.34%
F
Ford Motor
9.78
-2.26
-18.77%
GM
General Motors
45.84
1.21
2.71%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
29.68
-3.39
-10.25%
TSLA
Tesla
250.74
88.61
54.65%
TM
Toyota Motor
181.43
-51.45
-22.09%

Volkswagen Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 11, 2025 | % Change Since: -11.14% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Volkswagen showed resilience in 2024 with solid financial performance and strategic expansions, particularly in North America and BEV growth. However, challenges persist due to restructuring costs, market share decline in China, and high upfront investments.
Highlights
Solid Financial Results
Volkswagen achieved €325 billion in group revenue and €19.5 billion in operating profits in 2024, despite restructuring costs and challenging global conditions.
Product Expansion
Launched more than 30 new models across the group, including successful products from Volkswagen, Skoda, CUPRA, Audi, and Porsche.
Strategic Partnerships and Initiatives
Collaboration with Xpeng and Rivian for software and electronic architecture development; successful software launch with Cariad.
Strong Performance in North America
Volkswagen's activities in North America recorded a 6% growth, with the Volkswagen brand growing by 18%.
Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV) Growth
Increased deliveries of BEVs by almost 20% in the last quarter of 2024 compared to the previous year.
Lowlights
Decline in China Market Share
Deliveries in China fell by 10%, with market share dropping by 2 percentage points.
Challenges with Restructuring Costs
Operating profit was burdened by considerable restructuring expenses totaling about €3 billion.
High Investment and Upfront Costs
CapEx and R&D expenditures increased by around 5% to €37.9 billion, maintaining a high level due to battery and software division investments.
Weaker Profitability in Certain Segments
Brand Group Progressive and Brand Group Sport Luxury experienced declines in operating profits and margins.
BEV Share and Cost Challenges
Despite growth, BEV share remained margin dilutive, with expectations for further pressure in 2025.
Company Guidance
In Volkswagen AG's 2024 Investor and Analyst Conference Call, the company reported robust financial outcomes despite significant restructuring expenses. The group achieved nearly €325 billion in revenue and €19.5 billion in operating profits, with 9 million vehicles delivered, keeping their global market share stable. The call highlighted a significant increase in battery electric vehicle deliveries, particularly in Western Europe, with a 16% order increase year-over-year, contributing to a strong order backlog of 850,000 units. The company also reported a 6% growth in North America, and a promising outlook for 2025 with an anticipated battery electric vehicle share of 10% to 14% globally. Despite a challenging environment, Volkswagen maintained a strong financial position with a proposed dividend of €6.36 per preference share, reflecting a payout of 30% of net profit. The company emphasized its strategic focus on cost management, product offerings, and regional market strength, particularly in China and North America, to drive future growth.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.