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Toyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord (TM)
NYSE:TM

Toyota Motor (TM) AI Stock Analysis

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TM

Toyota Motor

(NYSE:TM)

75Outperform
Toyota Motor's strong financial performance and attractive valuation provide a solid foundation for investment. The company's consistent revenue growth, profitability, and stable balance sheet are strengths, while negative free cash flow highlights the need for careful monitoring of capital expenditures. Technical analysis presents mixed signals, with potential overbought conditions suggesting caution in the short term. Overall, Toyota is well-positioned within the auto manufacturing industry, balancing growth potential with financial stability.

Toyota Motor (TM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Toyota Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionToyota Motor Corporation designs, manufactures, assembles, and sells passenger vehicles, minivans and commercial vehicles, and related parts and accessories. It operates in Automotive, Financial Services, and All Other segments. The company offers hybrid cars under the Prius name, fuel cell vehicles under the MIRAI name; and conventional engine vehicles, including subcompact and compact cars under the Corolla and Raize names. It also provides mini-vehicles, passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, and auto parts under the Toyota name; mid-size cars; luxury cars; sports cars under the GR Yaris, Corolla Sport, Corolla Cross, and Supra names; and recreational and sport-utility vehicles under the Highlander name. In addition, the company offers pickup trucks under the Tacoma name; minivans; and trucks and buses. Further, it provides financial services, such as retail financing and leasing, wholesale financing, insurance, and credit cards; and designs, manufactures, and sells prefabricated housing. Additionally, the company operates GAZOO.com, a web portal for automobile information. It operates in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, and the Middle East. The company was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Toyota, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyToyota makes money through a combination of automotive sales, financial services, and other business operations. The primary revenue stream comes from the sale of vehicles, including both new and used cars, with a significant presence in markets across the globe. Toyota also generates income through its financial services division, which offers loans, leases, and insurance products to support vehicle sales. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that expand its reach and capabilities in emerging technologies such as electric vehicles and autonomous driving. Factors like a strong global brand, extensive dealership network, and commitment to innovation contribute significantly to Toyota's earnings.

Toyota Motor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Toyota Motor demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The income statement shows robust gross and net profit margins, while the balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio and solid equity base. However, negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures is a concern, despite strong operational cash flows.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Toyota Motor exhibits strong financial performance with a solid Gross Profit Margin of 20.3% and a notable Net Profit Margin of 10.9% for the TTM period. Revenue growth is evident with a 13.7% increase compared to the previous annual period, showcasing resilience and growth potential in a competitive industry. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.10, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging debt while maintaining shareholder equity. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 14.2%, reflecting efficient management of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 37.9% signifies a solid equity base supporting the company's asset structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating Cash Flow is robust, yet Free Cash Flow is negative, indicating high capital expenditures which may impact liquidity. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.83 suggests effective conversion of profits into cash. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, pointing to challenges in generating free cash flow amidst significant investments.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
46.75T45.10T37.15T31.38T27.21T29.93T
Gross Profit
9.50T9.37T6.31T5.97T4.83T5.41T
EBIT
4.79T5.35T3.67T3.00T2.96T2.44T
EBITDA
7.02T8.39T5.19T4.82T4.61T4.13T
Net Income Common Stockholders
5.10T4.94T2.45T2.85T2.25T2.04T
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
13.88T14.11T9.23T8.62T9.32T5.70T
Total Assets
94.67T90.11T74.30T67.69T62.27T52.68T
Total Debt
39.58T36.56T29.38T26.50T25.66T20.55T
Net Debt
31.29T27.15T21.86T20.38T20.56T16.36T
Total Liabilities
57.82T54.87T45.04T40.53T37.98T31.94T
Stockholders Equity
35.91T34.22T28.34T26.25T23.40T20.06T
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-1.60T-842.02B-750.76B-107.63B-1.04T-4.49B
Operating Cash Flow
4.24T4.21T2.96T3.72T2.73T3.59T
Investing Cash Flow
-4.29T-5.00T-1.60T-577.50B-4.68T-3.15T
Financing Cash Flow
391.01B2.50T-56.18B-2.47T2.74T397.14B

Toyota Motor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price188.21
Price Trends
50DMA
180.78
Positive
100DMA
182.36
Positive
200DMA
181.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
61.20
Neutral
STOCH
94.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 188.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 173.58, above the 50-day MA of 180.78, and above the 200-day MA of 181.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TM.

Toyota Motor Risk Analysis

Toyota Motor disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Toyota Motor reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Toyota Motor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TMTM
75
Outperform
$219.94B6.8214.59%2.58%-0.59%7.56%
LILI
75
Outperform
$23.50B22.3712.29%15.50%-32.48%
GMGM
74
Outperform
$43.41B6.859.44%1.02%9.08%-15.25%
HMHMC
74
Outperform
$48.25B7.008.11%4.01%4.37%6.93%
74
Outperform
$916.55B156.709.16%1.03%-53.71%
FF
73
Outperform
$37.10B6.3813.42%7.47%5.00%35.92%
60
Neutral
$6.85B11.573.09%4.18%2.37%-21.38%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TM
Toyota Motor
188.21
-39.73
-17.43%
F
Ford Motor
10.04
-1.81
-15.27%
GM
General Motors
47.11
1.53
3.36%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
30.21
-2.56
-7.81%
TSLA
Tesla
284.95
90.90
46.84%
LI
Li Auto
23.48
-3.47
-12.88%

Toyota Motor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jul 31, 2025 | % Change Since: 0.35% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were positive developments such as increased dividends, strong performance in electrified vehicle sales, and strategic investments, these were counterbalanced by challenges like decreased vehicle sales, significant currency-related net income losses, and market-specific issues in North America and China.
Highlights
Increased Interim and Forecasted Dividends
The company announced an increase in the interim dividend by JPY10 to JPY40 per share, with a forecasted full-year dividend increased by JPY15 to JPY90 per share.
Strong Electrified Vehicle Performance
The proportion of electrified vehicles increased to 44.4%, mainly due to the strong performance of HEV sales in North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions.
Investment in Human Resources and Growth Areas
The company is increasing investment in human resources and growth areas to JPY830 billion for the full year, with JPY180 billion already spent in the first half.
Resumption of Production in Indiana Plant
The Indiana plant in the United States, which had partially halted operations, has restarted, contributing to a return to an annual global production pace of 10 million units.
Lowlights
Decrease in Consolidated Vehicle Sales
Consolidated vehicle sales were 96% of the same period of the previous fiscal year, impacted by production halts and certification issues.
Significant Decrease in Net Income
Net income decreased significantly from the previous year, primarily due to valuation losses in foreign currency denominated assets caused by exchange rate fluctuations.
Challenges in North America
Operating income in North America decreased due to deterioration in sales volume and sales mix and increasing labor costs.
Issues in Chinese Market
Sales in China were about 90% of the previous year, with the company enduring strong competition and changing consumer preferences.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for Q2 2025, Toyota provided detailed guidance on various financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported an operating income of JPY2.4642 trillion, with a full-year forecast unchanged at JPY4.300 trillion. Despite challenges like production halts and foreign exchange losses, Toyota plans to increase investments in human resources and growth areas to JPY830 billion for the full year. Vehicle sales reached 4.556 million units, representing 96% of the previous year's figure, while electrified vehicles accounted for 44.4% of sales. The company aims to recover production volumes in the second half, targeting 9.400 million units for the full year. Toyota also announced a dividend increase to JPY40 per share for the interim period and JPY90 for the full year. Key efforts include reducing incentives, expanding value chain earnings, and strengthening foundation work to enhance flexibility and production efficiency.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.