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Volkswagen AG (VWAGY)
OTHER OTC:VWAGY

Volkswagen AG (VWAGY) AI Stock Analysis

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VW

Volkswagen AG

(OTC:VWAGY)

81Outperform
Volkswagen AG's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, supported by positive technical indicators. Challenges in cash flow management and market performance in China are areas of concern, but strategic initiatives and partnerships position the company for future growth. The overall score reflects a well-rounded investment opportunity with potential for value appreciation and income.

Volkswagen AG (VWAGY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Volkswagen AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVolkswagen AG manufactures and sells automobiles primarily in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates in four segments: Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles, Commercial Vehicles, Power Engineering, and Financial Services. The Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles segment develops vehicles, engines, and vehicle software; and light commercial vehicles; and produces and sells passenger cars and related parts. The Commercial Vehicles segment develops, produces, and sells trucks and buses; and offers parts and related services. The Power Engineering segment offers large-bore diesel engines, turbomachinery, and propulsion components. The Financial Services segment provides dealer and customer financing, leasing, banking and insurance, fleet management, and mobility services. The company also offers motorcycles. It provides its products under the Volkswagen Passenger Cars, Audi, ŠKODA, SEAT, Bentley, Porsche, Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Scania, MAN, Lamborghini, Ducati, and Bugatti brands. Volkswagen AG was founded in 1937 and is based in Wolfsburg, Germany. Volkswagen AG operates as a subsidiary of Porsche Automobil Holding SE.
How the Company Makes MoneyVolkswagen AG generates revenue primarily through the sale of vehicles and related products. The Automotive Division, which includes renowned brands like Volkswagen, Audi, and Porsche, accounts for the majority of the company's income through the production and sale of passenger cars and commercial vehicles. This division also earns revenue from the sale of automotive parts and accessories. Additionally, Volkswagen's Financial Services Division contributes to the company's earnings by offering leasing, financing, and insurance services to both customers and dealers. The company also engages in joint ventures and strategic partnerships to enhance its market presence and technological capabilities, including investments in electric vehicle technology and autonomous driving solutions, which are increasingly significant to its revenue streams.

Volkswagen AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Volkswagen AG demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, with a robust balance sheet reflecting a moderate debt level. However, cash flow challenges due to high capital expenditures affect financial flexibility, necessitating improved cash management strategies.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Volkswagen AG has demonstrated consistent revenue growth and maintains strong gross and net profit margins. The gross profit margin stands at 18.31%, and the net profit margin is at 3.50% for the latest year. Despite a decline in EBIT, the company shows a healthy EBITDA margin of 15.90%. Overall, the income statement reflects solid profitability with minor fluctuations in EBIT over recent years.
Balance Sheet
79
Positive
The balance sheet of Volkswagen AG is robust with a steady increase in stockholders' equity and total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.08, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The equity ratio is 28.80%, suggesting a stable financial structure. Return on equity is 6.23%, demonstrating reasonable profitability relative to equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Volkswagen AG's cash flow analysis shows challenges with free cash flow, which is currently negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.51, indicating efficient operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to significant capital expenditures, suggesting a need for improved cash management strategies.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
324.65B322.28B279.23B250.20B222.88B
Gross Profit
59.47B61.02B52.23B47.24B38.95B
EBIT
19.06B22.58B22.12B19.27B9.68B
EBITDA
51.60B49.94B49.68B49.43B40.55B
Net Income Common Stockholders
11.35B16.60B15.46B15.38B8.87B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
73.45B50.91B70.79B66.88B58.61B
Total Assets
632.90B600.34B564.77B528.61B497.11B
Total Debt
196.52B193.97B178.44B183.37B174.31B
Net Debt
156.22B150.52B149.26B143.65B140.40B
Total Liabilities
436.17B410.43B386.44B382.45B368.33B
Stockholders Equity
182.29B175.69B165.38B144.45B127.05B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-10.29B-6.44B5.83B20.14B7.16B
Operating Cash Flow
17.15B19.36B28.50B38.63B24.90B
Investing Cash Flow
-31.57B-19.82B-41.82B-26.13B-22.69B
Financing Cash Flow
11.14B16.01B4.22B-7.75B7.64B

Volkswagen AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.23
Price Trends
50DMA
10.82
Positive
100DMA
10.06
Positive
200DMA
10.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Positive
RSI
46.88
Neutral
STOCH
0.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VWAGY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.69, above the 50-day MA of 10.82, and above the 200-day MA of 10.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VWAGY.

Volkswagen AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$55.73B4.856.58%5.84%0.75%-33.14%
GMGM
73
Outperform
$49.55B7.829.44%0.96%9.08%-15.25%
FF
71
Outperform
$39.63B6.8413.42%7.50%5.00%35.92%
66
Neutral
$799.98B136.5810.52%0.95%-52.81%
59
Neutral
$12.35B11.021.38%3.72%1.28%-20.23%
43
Neutral
$13.12B-60.48%12.09%17.65%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VWAGY
Volkswagen AG
11.23
-3.29
-22.66%
F
Ford Motor
10.25
-1.31
-11.33%
GM
General Motors
51.46
7.90
18.14%
TSLA
Tesla
278.39
100.72
56.69%
STLA
Stellantis
12.28
-14.58
-54.28%
RIVN
Rivian Automotive
12.19
1.67
15.87%

Volkswagen AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 11, 2025 | % Change Since: -8.10% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Volkswagen demonstrated resilience with strong revenue and product launches despite challenging market conditions, particularly in China. Strategic partnerships and a strong order backlog position the company for future growth, although operating margins and profit after tax faced declines. The company is focused on reducing costs and increasing profitability as it navigates the transition to electric vehicles.
Highlights
Record Group Revenue and Operating Profit
Volkswagen achieved approximately €325 billion in group revenue and €19.5 billion in operating profits in 2024, despite challenging global conditions.
Strong Product Launches
Volkswagen launched more than 30 new models across its brands including Volkswagen, Skoda, CUPRA, Audi, and Porsche, receiving positive customer and trade press feedback.
North American Market Growth
Volkswagen's activities in North America recorded a strong growth of 6%, with the Volkswagen brand growing by 18%.
Electric Vehicle Sales
Volkswagen delivered 745,000 battery-electric vehicles worldwide in 2024, and expects to increase the BEV share to 10% to 14% globally in 2025.
Significant Strategic Partnerships
Volkswagen formed key partnerships with Xpeng in China and Rivian globally to enhance its software and electronic architectures.
Healthy Order Backlog
Volkswagen ended 2024 with a strong order backlog in Europe, with incoming orders in Western Europe up by 16% year-on-year.
Lowlights
Weak Chinese Market Performance
Deliveries in China fell by 10%, with market share declining by 2 percentage points, and earnings negatively impacted by high expenses and competitive pressures.
Operating Margin Decline
Operating profit fell by 15% to €19.1 billion, with a corresponding operating margin of 5.9%, down from the previous year.
Challenges in BEV Market
Despite growth in electric vehicle sales, Volkswagen faced pressure in the BEV market with a 3% decline in deliveries compared to the previous year.
Restructuring Costs Impact
Volkswagen faced considerable restructuring expenses totaling about €3 billion, affecting overall financial performance.
Decline in Profit After Tax
Profit after tax decreased by 31% to €12.4 billion, attributed to a significant decline in the financial result and lower equity results from Chinese joint ventures.
Expected Challenges in 2025
Volkswagen expects earnings in China to decline again in 2025, with continued restructuring costs and high upfront investments affecting financial performance.
Company Guidance
In the recent Volkswagen AG Investor and Analyst Conference Call, the company provided a comprehensive financial outlook for 2025, highlighting several key metrics and strategic initiatives. Volkswagen achieved a significant milestone in 2024, reporting group revenue of almost €325 billion and operating profits of €19.5 billion, despite challenging market conditions. The company maintained a robust balance sheet, proposing a dividend of €6.36 per preference share, corresponding to a payout of 30% of net profit. For 2025, Volkswagen anticipates a sales revenue increase of up to 5%, with an operating return on sales between 5.5% and 6.5%, and expects automotive net cash flow to range from €2 billion to €5 billion. The company plans to invest €165 billion from 2025 to 2029, a reduction of €15 billion from the previous planning round, aiming for an investment ratio in the automotive division between 12% and 13%. Volkswagen is also focused on expanding its battery electric vehicle share to 10% to 14% globally in 2025, driven by successful product launches, including the ID.7 Tourer and premium models like the Porsche Macan and Audi Q6 e-tron. The company is committed to continuing its product offensive, with around 30 new models set to launch in 2025, while emphasizing cost management and strategic partnerships with companies like Rivian and Xpeng to enhance competitiveness.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.