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Cvr Partners Lp Common Units R (UAN)
NYSE:UAN
US Market

CVR Partners (UAN) AI Stock Analysis

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UACVR Partners
(NYSE:UAN)
68Neutral
CVR Partners shows a stable financial foundation with a strong balance sheet and positive cash flow, despite profitability challenges. The company's valuation is attractive due to a fair P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Technical indicators show neutral momentum, while the earnings call indicates strong demand and strategic flexibility in operations. However, risks such as declining UAN sales and geopolitical factors temper the overall outlook.

CVR Partners (UAN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

CVR Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCVR Partners LP is a holding company, which engages in the nitrogen fertilizer business. Its products include ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate fertilizers. The company was founded on June 1, 2007 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, TX.
How the Company Makes MoneyCVR Partners makes money primarily through the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer products, including ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) solutions. The company's revenue is generated by supplying these essential agricultural inputs to farmers, agricultural retailers, and distributors. The pricing of their products is influenced by factors such as natural gas prices, which are a key input cost, as well as market demand for agricultural products. Significant partnerships with agricultural distributors and retailers also play a role in the distribution and sales of their products, contributing to their earnings. Additionally, the company's revenue is impacted by seasonal planting cycles and the broader agricultural economy.

CVR Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CVR Partners presents a mixed financial picture. The company faces revenue and profitability challenges, but operational efficiency is maintained. The balance sheet is strong, with no debt and significant cash reserves, providing stability. Cash flow remains positive, although it has decreased, pointing to effective cash management. Overall, while there are areas of concern, particularly in revenue and profit margins, the company remains financially stable.
Income Statement
62
Positive
CVR Partners' income statement shows a decline in total revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is negative, indicating cost pressures. The net profit margin has decreased significantly compared to the previous year, highlighting reduced profitability. The company has shown negative revenue growth compared to 2023, but maintains a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, suggesting operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong position with zero debt and a healthy cash balance, enhancing financial stability. The equity ratio is robust, indicating a solid capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity compared to previous years suggests potential challenges in equity retention or asset growth.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement is strong, with positive free cash flow in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), although it has decreased compared to the prior year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The company effectively manages its capital expenditures to ensure positive free cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
525.32M681.48M835.58M532.58M349.95M
Gross Profit
118.86M232.46M352.37M162.04M24.84M
EBIT
90.35M201.41M239.15M66.66M-69.25M
EBITDA
178.90M281.10M403.16M212.67M41.35M
Net Income Common Stockholders
60.90M172.43M286.80M78.16M-98.18M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
90.86M45.28M86.34M112.52M30.56M
Total Assets
1.02B975.33M1.10B1.13B1.03B
Total Debt
572.89M550.48M549.73M610.64M639.49M
Net Debt
482.04M505.20M463.39M498.13M608.93M
Total Liabilities
725.65M672.45M688.59M784.86M718.64M
Stockholders Equity
404.42M302.88M286.80M342.20M314.24M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
113.47M219.33M256.80M168.13M1.14M
Operating Cash Flow
150.54M243.53M301.46M188.72M19.74M
Investing Cash Flow
-31.89M-2.72M-44.62M-20.34M-18.55M
Financing Cash Flow
-73.07M-281.86M-283.02M-86.43M-7.63M

CVR Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price75.18
Price Trends
50DMA
76.93
Negative
100DMA
73.59
Positive
200DMA
72.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.82
Positive
RSI
45.23
Neutral
STOCH
22.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UAN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 75.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.66, below the 50-day MA of 76.93, and above the 200-day MA of 72.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for UAN.

CVR Partners Risk Analysis

CVR Partners disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CVR Partners reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CVR Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CFCF
73
Outperform
$12.76B11.1724.43%2.56%-10.48%-13.78%
UAUAN
68
Neutral
$763.44M12.5420.44%9.26%-22.91%-64.68%
MOMOS
63
Neutral
$7.33B42.321.52%3.60%-18.79%-84.24%
IPIPI
56
Neutral
$319.17M-36.73%-8.74%-492.08%
LXLXU
54
Neutral
$482.11M-2.68%-12.01%-174.13%
47
Neutral
$2.64B-4.00-31.55%3.33%2.93%-29.90%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UAN
CVR Partners
75.18
18.54
32.73%
CF
Cf Industries Holdings
76.31
-3.26
-4.10%
IPI
Intrepid Potash
25.81
4.41
20.61%
LXU
Lsb Industries
6.89
-0.42
-5.75%
MOS
Mosaic Co
24.13
-6.61
-21.50%
NTR
Nutrien
49.87
-0.33
-0.66%

CVR Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 18, 2025 | % Change Since: -2.55% | Next Earnings Date: May 5, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted a strong financial performance and strategic initiatives to enhance operational flexibility and efficiency. Despite challenges such as a decline in UAN sales volume and geopolitical risks, the overall market conditions are favorable with strong demand for nitrogen fertilizers and improving safety metrics.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
For the fourth quarter of 2024, the company reported net sales of $140 million, net income of $18 million, and EBITDA of $50 million. For the full year 2024, EBITDA was $179 million and distributions were $6.76 per common unit.
Record Ammonia Production
East Dubuque set new records in 2024 with an ammonia utilization rate of 102% and production volumes of approximately 399,000 tons.
Improved Safety Metrics
The company reported a 40% reduction in total recordable incident rate in 2024 compared to 2023.
Strong Demand and Favorable Market Conditions
Despite challenging weather conditions, there was strong demand for nitrogen fertilizer, with prices increasing compared to the third quarter. The market conditions look favorable for the spring planting season with higher grain prices.
Strategic Projects and Flexibility
Plans to implement a dual fuel project at the Coffeyville facility, allowing the flexibility to switch between natural gas and pet coke based on economic conditions, are underway.
Lowlights
Decline in UAN Sales Volume
UAN sales volumes were down approximately 3% compared to the fourth quarter of 2023, partially due to challenging weather conditions.
Decline in Crop Yield Estimates
USDA estimated record high corn yields of 179 bushels per acre, down from previous estimates of 183 bushels. Soybean yields were estimated to be 51 bushels per acre, down from 53 bushels previously.
Geopolitical and Market Risks
The company faces geopolitical risks in the nitrogen fertilizer industry, with potential imposition of tariffs on foreign fertilizer and energy imports, and concerns about natural gas supply in Europe.
High Natural Gas Prices in Europe
Natural gas prices in Europe remained high at around $15 per MMBtu, contributing to elevated ammonia production costs and potential supply-demand tightness.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter of 2024, the company reported net sales of $140 million, net income of $18 million, and EBITDA of $50 million. The Board declared a distribution of $1.75 per common unit, to be paid on March 10, 2025. For the full year, EBITDA was $179 million, with distributions totaling $6.76 per common unit. The ammonia utilization rate was 96%, with production volumes reaching 210,000 gross tons and 80,000 net tons available for sale. UAN production totaled 310,000 tons, sold at an average price of $229 per ton, while ammonia sales were approximately 97,000 tons at $475 per ton. The company expects 2025 maintenance capital spending between $35 and $45 million, with growth capital spending from $20 to $25 million. Total liquidity at the end of the quarter was $130 million, consisting of $91 million in cash and $39 million available under the ABL facility. Looking ahead, the company anticipates an ammonia utilization rate between 95% and 100% for Q1 2025, with direct operating expenses estimated at $55 to $65 million.

CVR Partners Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CVR Partners Announces Q4 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

CVR Partners reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 financial results, declaring a cash distribution of $1.75 per common unit for Q4 2024. The company achieved a combined ammonia utilization rate of 96% for the year and showed a net income of $18 million for Q4 2024, compared to $10 million in Q4 2023. Despite challenging weather conditions, nitrogen fertilizer demand remained strong, with higher prices in Q4 2024 compared to the previous quarter. The company plans to focus on high utilization of its plants and cash flow generation, amidst tight supply and demand conditions expected to continue into 2025.

Executive/Board Changes
CVR Energy Announces New Executive Employment Agreement
Neutral
Dec 12, 2024

CVR Energy has announced a new employment agreement for Mr. Lamp, effective January 1, 2025, which will replace his existing agreement set to expire on December 31, 2024. The new agreement features a salary increase and entitles Mr. Lamp to various bonuses and benefits, including a base salary of $1,200,000 and participation in long-term incentive plans. The terms also include severance payments under specific conditions, ensuring financial security post-termination. The agreement’s implications for CVR Energy involve retaining executive leadership under updated financial terms, which may impact its financial planning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.