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TAG Oil Ltd. J (TSE:TAO)
:TAO

TAG Oil (TAO) AI Stock Analysis

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TAG Oil

(TAO)

39Underperform
TAG Oil's overall stock score is low, primarily due to significant financial challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow issues. While technical indicators offer some neutral signals, the negative valuation metrics further weigh down the score, reflecting a cautious outlook for investors.

TAG Oil (TAO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

TAG Oil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTAG Oil Ltd. (TAO) is an independent international oil and gas exploration, development, and production company. The company focuses on acquiring and developing high-impact oil and gas projects in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. TAG Oil is committed to sustainable practices and aims to deliver long-term shareholder value through strategic exploration and production initiatives.
How the Company Makes MoneyTAG Oil generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources. The company earns money by selling the produced hydrocarbons to various markets and customers within the energy sector. TAG Oil's revenue streams are largely dependent on the production volumes and market prices of crude oil and natural gas. Additionally, TAG Oil may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its resource base, which can contribute to its earnings. Fluctuations in global oil prices and exploration success are significant factors that influence the company's revenue.

TAG Oil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TAG Oil faces financial challenges with negative profitability and declining equity. Despite maintaining a low debt level, the company's inability to generate positive net income and cash flow poses significant risks to its financial stability.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
TAG Oil has been experiencing a challenging period with negative revenue growth and persistent losses. The company reported a net loss in the latest annual period, and its gross profit margin, EBIT margin, and EBITDA margin are all negative, indicating a lack of profitability. This performance reflects instability and significant risks in its financial health.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows some strengths with a strong equity base and low debt levels, resulting in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. However, stockholders' equity has been declining over recent periods, and the return on equity is negative due to continuous losses, highlighting concerns about the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
TAG Oil's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows. Although the company has managed to secure financing to mitigate cash flow challenges, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, indicating struggles in generating cash relative to its net losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
541.00K781.33K0.000.000.0016.45M
Gross Profit
-1.26M-1.00M-164.00K-122.00K-235.00K7.75M
EBIT
-10.07M-8.83M-7.56M-3.98M-3.59M1.57M
EBITDA
-9.83M-9.01M-7.39M-3.85M-3.45M2.93M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-7.60M-8.20M-3.00M-4.46M-14.92M7.93M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.77M16.44M20.66M15.52M17.14M43.98M
Total Assets
79.56M53.91M41.06M18.20M20.50M57.26M
Total Debt
1.20M208.00K459.00K573.00K98.00K126.45K
Net Debt
-1.56M-16.23M-19.00M-12.74M-15.81M-41.41M
Total Liabilities
19.01M7.43M2.04M979.00K505.00K949.00K
Stockholders Equity
60.54M46.48M39.01M17.23M20.00M56.31M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-24.41M-22.88M-11.94M-4.11M-4.10M-432.93K
Operating Cash Flow
-2.52M-3.90M-5.46M-4.08M-3.92M3.76M
Investing Cash Flow
-21.12M-17.28M-4.42M1.33M3.68M35.90M
Financing Cash Flow
11.95M17.00M23.57M-55.00K-24.72M-16.86K

TAG Oil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.10
Price Trends
50DMA
0.11
Negative
100DMA
0.13
Negative
200DMA
0.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
36.03
Neutral
STOCH
<0.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TAO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.10, below the 50-day MA of 0.11, and below the 200-day MA of 0.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of <0.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TAO.

TAG Oil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSATH
77
Outperform
$2.26B5.2028.01%13.46%
TSPOU
73
Outperform
$2.22B6.719.38%28.81%3.08%-30.22%
TSBTE
63
Neutral
C$1.71B7.505.99%4.13%22.71%
57
Neutral
$7.44B4.21-3.75%6.64%-0.07%-64.77%
TSTAO
39
Underperform
C$22.60M-18.57%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TAO
TAG Oil
0.10
-0.45
-81.82%
TSE:BTE
Baytex Energy
2.26
-2.66
-54.05%
TSE:POU
Paramount Resources
15.94
1.43
9.86%
TSE:ATH
Athabasca Oil
4.52
-0.60
-11.72%

TAG Oil Corporate Events

TAG Oil Announces Director Resignation and Severance Package
Jan 7, 2025

TAG Oil Ltd. announced the resignation of Toby Pierce as a director, effective January 6, 2025, to focus on other professional commitments. The company plans to issue him $200,000 in common shares as part of his severance package, pending approval from the TSX Venture Exchange. This change marks a significant shift in leadership but maintains Mr. Pierce’s involvement as a shareholder, highlighting TAG Oil’s adaptive strategy amid industry dynamics.

TAG Oil Advances Egyptian Operations and Development Plans
Dec 19, 2024

TAG Oil is making strides in the development of its BED-1 concession in Egypt, with steady production from its T100 and BED 1-7 wells and plans to drill new wells in 2025. The company is also optimizing logistics and reducing costs to improve profitability, while seeking strategic partners to accelerate the development of its assets.

TAG Oil Restructures Leadership for Egyptian Expansion
Dec 17, 2024

TAG Oil has announced a strategic organizational restructuring, appointing Mr. Abdel Badwi as the new Executive Chairman and CEO, who will lead the company from Cairo, Egypt. This move is part of a broader strategy to cut costs by eliminating Canadian positions and focus on optimizing their Egyptian operations. The company aims to leverage its expertise in unconventional drilling to expand its asset base in Egypt’s Western Desert.

TAG Oil Closes Public Offering Successfully
Dec 13, 2024

TAG Oil has successfully closed a public offering, raising substantial capital by issuing over 40 million units, each comprising a common share and a warrant. The offering was managed by a group of agents who received commissions and broker warrants, highlighting the strong financial interest in TAG Oil’s operations.

TAG Oil’s Strategic Expansion in Egypt
Dec 6, 2024

TAG Oil has successfully closed a public offering, raising over $6.8 million to fund its expansion in Egypt’s Western Desert, including developing the Badr Oil Field and a new strategic concession. This move is part of TAG Oil’s broader strategy to explore joint ventures and partnerships in the Middle East North Africa region.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.