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Paramount Resources Ltd (TSE:POU)
TSX:POU

Paramount Resources (POU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSParamount Resources
(TSX:POU)
73Outperform
Paramount Resources shows a strong overall position, driven primarily by strategic corporate actions that have enhanced shareholder value and financial strength. Despite some operational and cash flow challenges, the company's attractive valuation and strong dividend yield provide solid investment potential. Technical indicators are mixed, suggesting caution but not significant risk.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
The company sits on a net cash position, which provides financial stability and flexibility.
Untapped Potential
Paramount is a unique E&P business with non-producing/hard-to-value assets that have generally been ignored by investors, providing potential for future growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Concerns
Profitability is measured by comparing the change in PDP reserve value to the amount of capital employed, showing that for every dollar spent, management added $0.57 in value.

Paramount Resources (POU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Paramount Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionParamount Resources Ltd. is a Canadian energy company engaged primarily in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and natural gas. The company operates within the upstream sector of the energy industry and is focused on leveraging its extensive asset base in Western Canada, particularly in regions such as Alberta and British Columbia, to generate sustainable growth and returns. Paramount Resources emphasizes innovation and efficiency in its operations, aiming to maximize the value of its resource base while maintaining a commitment to environmental stewardship.
How the Company Makes MoneyParamount Resources makes money through the exploration, extraction, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. Its primary revenue streams include the sale of produced hydrocarbons to various markets, including domestic and international buyers. The company utilizes advanced technology and efficient production techniques to optimize resource extraction and reduce operational costs. Additionally, Paramount Resources engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its exploration capabilities and expand its market reach. Fluctuations in commodity prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies are significant factors that influence the company's earnings. The company may also generate income from the sale of assets or through financial instruments related to its energy production activities.

Paramount Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Paramount Resources demonstrates stable financial performance with strong equity and controlled leverage. Despite profitability, operational challenges are evident in revenue and net income volatility, alongside cash flow inefficiencies, indicating areas for improvement.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Paramount Resources shows a mixed income statement performance. The gross profit margin has been robust, supported by relatively stable gross profits over the years. However, the net profit margin has seen fluctuations, reflecting variability in net income. The revenue growth rate is inconsistent, indicating potential volatility in sales. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, although the absence of EBIT in the latest year suggests operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio indicating limited leverage risk. Return on Equity (ROE) remains solid, demonstrating effective use of shareholder capital despite some variability across years. The equity ratio is consistently healthy, emphasizing substantial equity backing relative to assets.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow statements reveal a decline in free cash flow growth, raising concerns about cash generation efficiency. Operating cash flow remains strong compared to net income, indicating good cash conversion from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative in the latest year, signaling potential cash flow issues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.08B1.80B2.52B1.38B626.04M
Gross Profit
991.80M960.90M1.46B841.00M239.51M
EBIT
0.00867.90M989.30M206.20M-95.51M
EBITDA
819.90M1.05B1.20B841.90M338.47M
Net Income Common Stockholders
335.90M470.20M680.60M236.90M-22.69M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.40M48.90M2.50M1.70M4.59M
Total Assets
4.76B4.39B4.34B3.89B3.50B
Total Debt
201.90M29.20M177.40M398.90M835.21M
Net Debt
199.50M-19.70M174.90M397.20M830.62M
Total Liabilities
1.06B889.50M959.20M1.28B1.46B
Stockholders Equity
3.70B3.50B3.38B2.61B2.04B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-41.20M126.90M248.80M202.10M-140.34M
Operating Cash Flow
815.30M938.20M1.05B482.10M80.91M
Investing Cash Flow
-762.40M-376.70M-654.00M-51.70M-250.02M
Financing Cash Flow
-99.40M-514.90M-393.20M-433.30M168.37M

Paramount Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price15.99
Price Trends
50DMA
16.31
Negative
100DMA
15.73
Positive
200DMA
15.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Positive
RSI
45.77
Neutral
STOCH
47.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:POU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 15.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.72, below the 50-day MA of 16.31, and above the 200-day MA of 15.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:POU.

Paramount Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSPOU
73
Outperform
$2.36B6.889.38%11.23%-8.48%-42.97%
TSPXT
72
Outperform
$1.24B15.573.20%12.62%-0.35%-51.88%
TSBIR
71
Outperform
$1.34B24.940.70%8.07%-8.89%-82.18%
TSTOU
70
Outperform
C$23.84B17.998.55%2.07%-17.06%50.34%
TSARX
70
Outperform
$14.75B13.3214.67%2.92%-9.83%-27.76%
TSVET
62
Neutral
$1.64B-1.59%4.67%-13.46%-186.34%
57
Neutral
$8.34B5.35-5.98%7.29%0.20%-69.45%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:POU
Paramount Resources
15.99
2.74
20.68%
TSE:BIR
Birchcliff Energy
4.93
-0.18
-3.48%
TSE:ARX
ARC Resources
25.01
2.85
12.86%
TSE:PXT
Parex Resources
12.62
-6.59
-34.30%
TSE:VET
Vermilion Energy
10.58
-4.04
-27.65%
TSE:TOU
Tourmaline Oil
64.52
7.50
13.15%

Paramount Resources Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Paramount Resources Reports Strong 2024 Financial Results and Strategic Asset Sale
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

Paramount Resources Ltd. announced its 2024 annual financial results, highlighting the sale of its Karr, Wapiti, and Zama properties to Ovintiv Inc. for approximately $3.3 billion. This transaction allowed Paramount to distribute a special cash dividend to shareholders and repurchase shares. The company reported record annual sales volumes and significant cash flow from operations, indicating strong financial performance and strategic repositioning within the industry.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Paramount Resources Announces Major Asset Sale and Special Distribution
Positive
Jan 31, 2025

Paramount Resources Ltd. has successfully closed a significant asset sale to Ovintiv Inc., receiving approximately $3.3 billion in proceeds. Following this transaction, the company declared a special cash distribution of $15.00 per common share, signaling a strong return to shareholders. Additionally, Paramount has secured an amended $500 million credit facility, updated its operational and development plans for 2025, and revised its monthly dividend to $0.05 per share. These strategic decisions are likely to strengthen the company’s financial positioning and enhance shareholder value.

M&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsDividends
Paramount Resources Announces Shareholder Approval for Capital Return
Positive
Jan 29, 2025

Paramount Resources Ltd. announced that its shareholders have approved a special resolution for a reduction in the stated capital of its class A common shares. This move allows the company to proceed with a special cash distribution of $15.00 per share, contingent on the completion of an asset sale to Ovintiv Inc. The distribution will include a $12.00 return of capital and a $3.00 special dividend, designated as an eligible dividend for Canadian tax purposes. The transaction has received approval under the Investment Canada Act, and the company plans to finalize it soon, after which the Board of Directors will declare the special distribution.

Paramount Resources Plans Special Distribution Post-Transaction
Dec 18, 2024

Paramount Resources Ltd. has announced a significant $15.00 per share special distribution for its shareholders, pending shareholder approval, following its asset sale to Ovintiv Inc. Worth approximately $2.2 billion in total, this distribution includes a return of capital and a special dividend. The company has also revealed its plans for a post-transaction dividend policy and 2025 financial guidance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.