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SoFi (SOFI)
NASDAQ:SOFI
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SoFi (SOFI) AI Stock Analysis

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SOFI

SoFi

(NASDAQ:SOFI)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(3.50% Upside)
SoFi's overall stock score of 75 reflects strong technical momentum and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors. Financial performance shows improvement but is weighed down by cash flow challenges. The high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which is a risk if growth expectations are not met. The CEO's confidence in the stock is a positive signal but not a major influence on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates effective business expansion and product adoption, enhancing SoFi's market position and financial health.
Member and Product Growth
Significant member and product growth reflects successful customer acquisition strategies, fostering long-term revenue potential and brand loyalty.
Lending Performance
Robust lending growth underscores SoFi's strength in its core business, supporting sustained revenue and profitability improvements.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flows highlight potential liquidity issues, which could constrain SoFi's ability to invest in growth and manage debt effectively.
Tech Platform Challenges
Challenges in the Tech Platform segment may hinder growth and innovation, affecting SoFi's ability to compete in the fintech space.
Interest Rate Impact
Rising interest rates could impact loan demand and profitability, posing a risk to SoFi's lending business and overall financial performance.

SoFi (SOFI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SoFi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSoFi Technologies, Inc. provides digital financial services. It operates through three segments: Lending, Technology Platform, and Financial Services. The company's lending and financial services and products allows its members to borrow, save, spend, invest, and protect their money. It offers student loans; personal loans for debt consolidation and home improvement projects; and home loans. The company also provides cash management, investment, and technology services. In addition, it operates Galileo, a technology platform that offers services to financial and non-financial institutions; and Apex, a technology enabled platform that provides investment custody and clearing brokerage services, as well as Technisys, a cloud-based digital multi-product core banking platform. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySoFi generates revenue through various channels primarily focused on lending and financial services. Its main revenue streams include interest income from loans, fees from financial products, and investment income. For instance, SoFi earns interest from personal loans, student loans, and mortgages, which comprise a significant portion of its income. Additionally, the company charges fees for its investment platform, which allows users to invest in stocks and ETFs, and earns revenue from its credit card services. SoFi has also formed strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers to enhance its product offerings, leading to further monetization opportunities through cross-selling and customer acquisition. Furthermore, SoFi's membership model provides additional avenues for growth, as members gain access to various financial services and products, fostering customer loyalty and recurring revenue.

SoFi Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Galileo Accounts
Galileo Accounts
Measures the number of accounts using Galileo's platform, reflecting the reach and adoption of SoFi's technology solutions in the financial sector.
Chart InsightsGalileo Accounts experienced a notable decline in Q1 2025, dropping by approximately 6% year-over-year to 158 million. This decrease contrasts with SoFi's overall strong financial performance, including record revenue and significant growth in other segments. The decline in tech platform accounts suggests potential challenges in maintaining user engagement or competition pressures, despite the company's broader success. Investors should monitor how SoFi addresses these challenges to sustain growth in its technology platform.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

SoFi Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in revenue, member acquisition, and product offerings, demonstrating strong operational performance across SoFi's segments. However, there were some challenges, particularly in the Tech Platform segment and the impact of interest rates on home loans. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and innovation outweighed the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Adjusted net revenue reached a record of $858 million, up 44% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was a record of $249 million, up 81% year-over-year. Net income for the quarter was $97 million at a margin of 11%.
Significant Member and Product Growth
Added a record 850,000 new members, increasing total members by 34% year-over-year to 11.7 million. Also added a record 1.3 million new products, representing 34% year-over-year growth to over 17 million products.
Strong Lending and Loan Platform Performance
Lending segment adjusted net revenue grew 32% year-over-year to $447 million. Total loan originations reached a record of $8.8 billion, up 64% year-over-year.
Tech Platform and Innovations
Net revenue for Tech Platform was $110 million, up 15% year-over-year. New innovations include self-serve international money transfers and a return to crypto investing.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Tech Platform Segment
While the Tech Platform segment showed revenue growth, there was a lack of specific guidance on Tech Platform accounts, and migration projects such as the Chime migration have not been completed.
Interest Rate Impact on Home Loans
The elevated rate environment posed challenges, although home loan originations still increased by more than 90% year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During the SoFi Technologies Q2 2025 earnings call, Anthony Noto, CEO, highlighted the company's significant achievements in the quarter, including a 44% year-over-year increase in adjusted net revenue, reaching $858 million. The company reported a 5.6x increase in earnings, with adjusted EBITDA at a record $249 million, representing a 29% margin. SoFi added 850,000 new members, growing total members by 34% year-over-year to 11.7 million, and introduced 1.3 million new products, totaling over 17 million products, reflecting a 34% growth. The Financial Services and Technology Platform segments contributed $472 million in revenue, up 74% year-over-year. In the Lending segment, adjusted net revenue grew 32% year-over-year to $447 million, driven by $6.3 billion in originations. Total originations reached a record $8.8 billion for the quarter. SoFi's tangible book value rose to $5.3 billion, an increase of over $1 billion year-over-year. The company also announced investments in crypto, blockchain, and AI, and plans to launch new products later in the year.

SoFi Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SoFi has shown significant improvements in revenue growth and profitability, with positive trends in net profit margins and return on equity. The balance sheet is relatively strong with moderate leverage, but past high leverage levels pose a potential risk. Cash flow management remains a challenge, with negative operating cash flows despite improvements in free cash flow growth. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory but needs to address cash flow stability to ensure sustainable growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
SoFi has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 6.91% and improving profitability metrics. The gross profit margin remains robust at 72.73%, and the net profit margin has turned positive at 13.50% in the TTM period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, indicating better operational efficiency. However, the company has experienced volatility in its margins over the years, which poses a risk to consistent profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity has improved to 8.58% in the TTM period, reflecting better utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the company has had high leverage in the past, which could be a potential risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow metrics indicate challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. Despite a significant improvement in free cash flow growth rate at 49.99%, the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, highlighting cash flow management issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net income with free cash flow, but overall cash flow stability remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.16B3.70B2.90B1.76B1.09B751.14M
Gross Profit3.03B2.58B2.05B1.52B977.30M565.53M
EBITDA533.12M436.84M-99.74M-167.36M-379.61M-258.69M
Net Income561.60M498.67M-300.74M-320.41M-483.94M-224.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.11B36.25B30.07B19.01B9.18B8.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.50B4.34B3.59B1.46B689.62M872.58M
Total Debt4.03B3.20B5.36B5.63B4.19B5.06B
Total Liabilities34.25B29.73B24.52B13.48B4.48B5.51B
Stockholders Equity6.86B6.53B5.55B5.53B4.70B3.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.03B-1.28B-7.35B-7.36B-1.40B-503.88M
Operating Cash Flow-2.82B-1.12B-7.23B-7.26B-1.35B-479.34M
Investing Cash Flow-4.53B-4.82B-1.89B-106.33M110.19M258.95M
Financing Cash Flow7.33B5.03B10.89B8.44B684.99M853.75M

SoFi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.02
Price Trends
50DMA
25.30
Positive
100DMA
21.12
Positive
200DMA
17.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Positive
RSI
58.11
Neutral
STOCH
64.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOFI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.46, above the 50-day MA of 25.30, and above the 200-day MA of 17.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SOFI.

SoFi Risk Analysis

SoFi disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SoFi reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SoFi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$26.38B8.6220.23%1.55%-3.16%14.60%
75
Outperform
$31.25B56.768.80%22.60%
68
Neutral
$6.52B9.9220.47%7.61%9.41%13.98%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
58
Neutral
$5.64B13.6518.99%1.96%-4.34%-38.01%
52
Neutral
$12.25B25.854.18%3.07%-5.33%-32.99%
45
Neutral
$4.99B-0.96%60.62%96.91%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SOFI
SoFi
28.02
19.39
224.68%
SLM
SLM
26.57
4.28
19.20%
ALLY
Ally Financial
39.08
5.12
15.08%
SYF
Synchrony Financial
70.97
20.31
40.09%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
54.66
12.41
29.37%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
51.76
8.58
19.87%

SoFi Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
SoFi CEO Enters Prepaid Variable Forward Contract
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, SoFi‘s CEO, Anthony Noto, entered into a prepaid variable forward contract involving 1,500,000 shares of the company’s common stock. This contract allows Mr. Noto to receive an upfront cash payment of $24,107,850 while retaining voting and dividend rights. The contract is set to mature in 2028, at which point Mr. Noto can settle in shares or cash, depending on the stock price. This move provides liquidity and maintains Mr. Noto’s equity position in the company, reflecting his continued confidence in SoFi’s stock, as he has not sold any shares since 2018 and has been actively purchasing more.

Private Placements and Financing
SoFi Completes Major Stock Offering with Goldman Sachs
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 29, 2025, SoFi Technologies, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Mizuho Securities for the issuance and sale of 82,733,817 shares of common stock at $20.85 per share. The offering was completed on July 31, 2025, and the company plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, including working capital and other business opportunities.

Private Placements and Financing
SoFi Technologies Announces $1.5 Billion Stock Offering
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 29, 2025, SoFi Technologies announced a public offering of $1.5 billion in common stock, with Goldman Sachs acting as the underwriter. The company plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, including working capital and business opportunities, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and market position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025