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Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)
:RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) AI Stock Analysis

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Rayonier Advanced Materials

(NYSE:RYAM)

55Neutral
Rayonier Advanced Materials' stock score reflects a mixed outlook. The company's financial performance shows stability in balance sheet and strong cash flow generation, but profitability remains a concern. Technical indicators signal a bearish trend, while valuation metrics highlight challenges with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. The earnings call provides optimism with significant EBITDA growth and strategic initiatives, but revenue decline and tariff impacts remain risks. Overall, the stock's moderate score considers both its operational strengths and ongoing challenges.

Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Rayonier Advanced Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) is a global leader in the production of high-purity cellulose specialties, a natural polymer commonly used in a wide range of industrial and consumer products. The company operates in sectors such as pulp production, forest resources, and paper products. RYAM's core products include cellulose specialties, lumber, and paperboard, serving various industries including textiles, pharmaceuticals, and construction.
How the Company Makes MoneyRayonier Advanced Materials generates revenue primarily through the sale of its high-purity cellulose specialties and related products. The company's key revenue streams include contracts with industrial manufacturers in the textiles, pharmaceuticals, food, and construction industries, who use its cellulose products for applications such as high-strength paper, absorbent materials, and food additives. RYAM's integrated forestry and manufacturing operations also contribute to its earnings by allowing it to control costs and ensure a stable supply of raw materials. Additionally, strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with key customers enhance its revenue stability and growth potential.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rayonier Advanced Materials demonstrates a mixed financial performance. The company has improved its operational efficiencies and cash flow generation, though profitability remains a challenge. The balance sheet is stable with a balanced debt-to-equity ratio, but profitability metrics such as ROE are negative. While revenue growth is stagnant, the company shows potential in its cash flow improvements, suggesting a focus on operational efficiencies. The overall financial health of the company is moderate, with positive cash flow trends but needing further improvements in profitability.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Rayonier Advanced Materials has shown a modest improvement in profitability. The gross profit margin for the TTM is 10.16%, which is an improvement from previous periods. The net profit margin is negative at -2.38%, indicating continued challenges in achieving profitability. However, the company has managed to reduce its net loss compared to the previous year. The revenue has slightly decreased by 0.82% compared to last year, and the EBIT margin is a positive 2.62%, reflecting some operational efficiencies. Overall, the income statement shows mixed performance with areas of improvement in operational efficiency but ongoing challenges in profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.02, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio stands at 33.52%, which demonstrates a reasonable proportion of equity financing. However, the return on equity is negative at -5.43%, indicating that the company is not currently generating profit from shareholder investments. Despite these challenges, the company has managed to maintain a stable asset base.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a positive trend with a free cash flow growth rate of 702.61%, indicating substantial improvement in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -3.83, signifying strong cash flow generation relative to net income, despite the net loss. Free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.78, further underscoring the company's ability to generate cash even with profitability challenges. Overall, the cash flow position is strong and suggests that the company has improved its ability to generate cash from operations.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.63B1.64B1.72B1.41B1.74B
Gross Profit
165.58M88.15M123.00M75.00M138.00M
EBIT
39.48M-65.26M26.00M-11.00M27.00M
EBITDA
39.00M81.32M172.33M121.82M92.99M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-39.00M-101.83M-25.00M-48.00M1.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
125.22M75.77M152.00M253.00M94.00M
Total Assets
2.13B2.18B2.35B2.44B2.53B
Total Debt
23.38M796.62M853.00M929.00M1.08B
Net Debt
-101.84M720.85M701.00M676.00M990.00M
Total Liabilities
1.41B1.44B1.52B1.63B1.83B
Stockholders Equity
713.88M746.45M829.00M814.00M695.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
95.67M8.60M-69.00M137.00M47.00M
Operating Cash Flow
203.61M136.27M69.00M232.00M124.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-108.00M-127.28M-94.00M86.00M-78.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-42.48M-86.95M-73.00M-156.00M-19.00M

Rayonier Advanced Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.68
Price Trends
50DMA
6.41
Negative
100DMA
7.29
Negative
200DMA
7.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Negative
RSI
40.09
Neutral
STOCH
66.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYAM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.37, below the 50-day MA of 6.41, and below the 200-day MA of 7.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RYAM.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Risk Analysis

Rayonier Advanced Materials disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rayonier Advanced Materials reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rayonier Advanced Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CLCLW
58
Neutral
$405.70M33.74-5.11%-10.55%-203.13%
55
Neutral
$317.74M-5.75%-0.79%62.16%
52
Neutral
$258.41M4.60-5.41%8.44%-13.97%84.07%
52
Neutral
$243.77M-0.63%186.18%-125.58%
47
Neutral
$362.44M-15.99%5.54%2.48%65.00%
47
Neutral
$2.43B-3.11-22.65%3.59%4.02%-28.96%
45
Neutral
$262.80M-9.65%-25.69%18.54%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
4.68
0.15
3.31%
CLW
Clearwater Paper
24.53
-15.59
-38.86%
GPRE
Green Plains
3.78
-18.15
-82.76%
MERC
Mercer International
5.19
-3.85
-42.59%
MATV
Mativ Holdings
4.85
-11.95
-71.13%
GROY
Gold Royalty
1.52
-0.50
-24.75%

Rayonier Advanced Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 5, 2025 | % Change Since: -37.52% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant financial and strategic achievements, including improved profitability, debt reduction, and progress in biomaterials. However, challenges such as revenue decline, paperboard and pulp segment difficulties, and potential tariff impacts were also noted.
Highlights
Significant EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA reached $222 million, marking an $83 million or 60% year-over-year increase, driven by strong cellulose specialty pricing and volumes.
Improved Free Cash Flow
2024 adjusted free cash flow stood at $128 million, an improvement of $75 million or 142% from 2023.
Debt Reduction Achievements
Net secured debt decreased by $73 million, and the net secured leverage ratio improved to 2.7 times covenant EBITDA.
Strategic Capital Investments
Invested $33 million in high-return projects, including plant efficiency enhancements and ERP upgrades.
Biomaterial Strategy Progress
Advancing biomaterial projects with potential to generate $55 million in EBITDA once full production is achieved.
Lowlights
Revenue Decline
Revenue for 2024 came in at $1.63 billion, a slight $13 million decline compared to 2023.
Paperboard and High Yield Pulp Challenges
Paperboard EBITDA declined by $4 million due to lower sales prices and higher labor costs. High yield pulp EBITDA also declined by $4 million.
Tariff Impact on Paperboard
25% US tariffs on paperboard sales could have an annualized EBITDA impact of $35 million in 2025.
Acetate Demand Weakness
Acetate demand continues to face challenges due to supply chain destocking, with mid-single-digit percentage demand decline expected.
Company Guidance
During the Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, significant financial metrics were highlighted, reflecting a year of notable achievements. The company reported a revenue of $1.63 billion, a $13 million decrease from 2023, but operating income surged to $39 million, an increase of $104 million. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 60% to $222 million, with margins expanding to 13.6%. Adjusted free cash flow improved by 142% to $128 million, and net secured debt decreased by $73 million, enhancing the net secured leverage ratio to 2.7 times covenant EBITDA. The high purity cellulose segment was pivotal, contributing a $93 million increase in EBITDA. Looking ahead to 2025, the company projects EBITDA between $215 million and $235 million, factoring in the impact of 25% tariffs on US paperboard sales. Efforts to mitigate these impacts include strategic capital investments and a focus on cellulose specialties and biomaterials.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rayonier Advanced Materials Secures Green Capital for Growth
Positive
Nov 18, 2024

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) has secured €67 million in green capital to bolster its biomaterials strategy. This financing includes €37 million in secured term loans from French banks and a €30 million preferred equity investment from SWEN Capital Partners, granting them a 20% stake in RYAM’s new subsidiary, BioNova. The funds will support projects like a bioethanol plant, aiming to generate over $40 million in EBITDA by 2027, showcasing RYAM’s commitment to growth and sustainability.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rayonier A.M. Optimizes Debt with New Financing Moves
Positive
Nov 8, 2024

Rayonier A.M. Products Inc., a subsidiary of Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc., has extended its revolving credit facility maturity to 2029, reducing the commitment from $200 million to $175 million. Additionally, the company secured $700 million in term loans to refinance existing debt, including the redemption of its 2026 senior secured notes. This financial maneuver aims to optimize their debt structure and strengthen their financial position.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rayonier Advanced Materials Completes Key Debt Buyback
Positive
Nov 7, 2024

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. has successfully completed its cash tender offer to buy back its subsidiary’s 7.625% Senior Secured Notes due 2026, totaling $135.5 million, which represents nearly 30% of the outstanding notes. This strategic move by the global cellulose leader underscores its commitment to strengthening its financial position while continuing its operations across the U.S., Canada, and France.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.