Ralph Lauren Corp (RL)
NYSE:RL

Ralph Lauren (RL) AI Stock Analysis

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RL

Ralph Lauren

(NYSE:RL)

79Outperform
Ralph Lauren's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are key strengths, supporting a robust stock score. Despite some technical weakness, the strategic leadership changes and moderate valuation enhance the company's outlook, making it an attractive option in the apparel sector.
Positive Factors
Brand Strategy
Management remains confident in brand elevation, Street expectations and growth.
Financial Performance
Gross margin opportunities are expected to drive sustained operational margin expansion beyond this year.
Market Opportunity
The recent pullback presents a particularly attractive opportunity to own a high quality, diversified brand with strong global momentum.
Negative Factors
Market Sentiment
Shares pulled back -6% from intra-day highs as sector sentiment has shifted to cautious on macro noise of FX, trade tensions/tariffs and valuation expansion.
Stock Performance
23% pullback since February all-time highs.
Tariffs
Tariffs remain a key concern for the sector, but RL's low China exposure and ability to take price are mitigating factors.

Ralph Lauren (RL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ralph Lauren Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRalph Lauren Corporation designs, markets, and distributes lifestyle products in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers apparel, including a range of men's, women's, and children's clothing; footwear and accessories, which comprise casual shoes, dress shoes, boots, sneakers, sandals, eyewear, watches, fashion and fine jewelry, scarves, hats, gloves, and umbrellas, as well as leather goods, such as handbags, luggage, small leather goods, and belts; home products consisting of bed and bath lines, furniture, fabric and wallcoverings, lighting, tabletop, kitchen linens, floor coverings, and giftware; and fragrances. It sells apparel and accessories under the Ralph Lauren Collection, Ralph Lauren Purple Label, Polo Ralph Lauren, Double RL, Lauren Ralph Lauren, Polo Golf Ralph Lauren, Ralph Lauren Golf, RLX Ralph Lauren, Polo Ralph Lauren Children, and Chaps brands; women's fragrances under the Ralph Lauren Collection, Woman by Ralph Lauren, Romance Collection, and Ralph Collection brand names; and men's fragrances under the Polo Blue, Ralph's Club, Safari, Purple Label, Polo Red, Polo Green, Polo Black, Polo Sport, and Big Pony Men's brand names. The company's restaurant collection includes The Polo Bar in New York City; RL Restaurant in Chicago; Ralph's in Paris; The Bar at Ralph Lauren located in Milan; and Ralph's Coffee concept. It sells its products to department stores, specialty stores, and golf and pro shops, as well as directly to consumers through its retail stores, concession-based shop-within-shops, and its digital commerce sites. The company directly operates 504 retail stores and 684 concession-based shop-within-shops; and operates 175 Ralph Lauren stores, 329 factory stores, and 148 stores and shops through licensing partners. Ralph Lauren Corporation was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyRalph Lauren Corporation generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily driven by the sale of its wide range of apparel and lifestyle products. The company operates through three main channels: wholesale, retail, and licensing. The wholesale channel involves selling to department stores, specialty stores, and other third-party retailers worldwide. The retail channel includes sales from Ralph Lauren's own stores and e-commerce platforms, providing direct access to consumers. Licensing agreements also contribute significantly to the company's earnings by allowing third parties to produce and sell products under the Ralph Lauren brand, which covers categories such as eyewear, fragrances, and home furnishings. Strategic partnerships and collaborations further enhance brand visibility and market reach, contributing to Ralph Lauren's overall profitability.

Ralph Lauren Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ralph Lauren demonstrates strong financial health with impressive profitability and cash flow generation. The company shows consistent revenue growth and efficient operations, although its balance sheet could benefit from a higher equity ratio. Overall, Ralph Lauren is positioned well within the Apparel & Luxury industry, with a sound financial foundation to support future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ralph Lauren exhibits strong profitability with a robust gross profit margin of 68.1% and a net profit margin of 10.1% for TTM. Revenue growth is positive, with a 4.8% increase from the previous year indicating solid demand for its products. The EBIT margin is healthy at 12.7%, and the EBITDA margin stands at 15.7%, reflecting efficient operations and good cost management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05, suggesting moderate leverage. The return on equity is strong at 27.8%, showcasing effective use of equity. However, the equity ratio is relatively low at 35.8%, indicating a higher proportion of liabilities in the capital structure.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Ralph Lauren's cash flow situation is strong, with a notable free cash flow growth rate of 16.9% year-over-year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.75, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 1.50, showing solid free cash flow generation.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.95B6.63B6.44B6.22B4.40B6.16B
Gross Profit
4.73B4.43B4.17B4.15B2.86B3.65B
EBIT
884.90M756.40M704.20M798.40M240.20M442.80M
EBITDA
1.15B1.06B801.70M1.04B232.60M871.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
704.60M646.30M522.70M600.10M-121.10M384.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
936.30M1.78B1.57B2.60B2.78B2.12B
Total Assets
4.88B6.60B6.79B7.72B7.89B7.28B
Total Debt
285.20M2.68B2.86B3.37B3.23B3.03B
Net Debt
-150.70M1.01B1.33B1.51B651.30M1.41B
Total Liabilities
1.70B4.15B4.36B5.19B5.28B4.59B
Stockholders Equity
3.17B2.45B2.43B2.54B2.60B2.69B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.06B904.90M193.50M549.00M273.10M484.30M
Operating Cash Flow
1.23B1.07B411.00M715.90M380.90M754.60M
Investing Cash Flow
-277.00M-256.80M471.50M-717.90M195.00M702.10M
Financing Cash Flow
-745.00M-665.60M-1.21B-665.70M356.80M-438.20M

Ralph Lauren Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price197.62
Price Trends
50DMA
246.32
Negative
100DMA
236.52
Negative
200DMA
207.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.21
Negative
RSI
46.38
Neutral
STOCH
42.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 197.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 221.24, below the 50-day MA of 246.32, and below the 200-day MA of 207.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RL.

Ralph Lauren Risk Analysis

Ralph Lauren disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ralph Lauren reported the most risks in the “Macro & Political” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ralph Lauren Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RLRL
79
Outperform
$12.21B18.0127.57%1.67%5.23%24.63%
PVPVH
72
Outperform
$3.56B6.4211.67%0.22%-6.13%-2.63%
66
Neutral
$5.50B26.5410.49%3.67%2.96%-15.58%
ZGZGN
65
Neutral
$2.64B19.528.89%1.95%2.26%-37.52%
63
Neutral
$3.72B17.6112.01%1.74%-3.35%-6.09%
59
Neutral
$11.22B10.13-1.22%3.96%1.32%-18.57%
VFVFC
52
Neutral
$4.55B-16.13%3.11%-8.42%57.91%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RL
Ralph Lauren
197.62
29.69
17.68%
COLM
Columbia Sportswear
68.84
-6.44
-8.55%
PVH
PVH
67.72
-41.44
-37.96%
VFC
VF
11.56
-1.68
-12.69%
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co
13.89
-6.10
-30.52%
ZGN
Ermenegildo Zegna
6.60
-5.43
-45.14%

Ralph Lauren Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -20.34% | Next Earnings Date: May 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Ralph Lauren Corporation showcased a strong financial performance with double-digit revenue growth, significant brand engagement, and increased profitability. However, challenges remain with geopolitical and macroeconomic risks, and efforts to stabilize the North America wholesale market continue. Overall, the positive achievements outweigh the challenges.
Highlights
Double-Digit Revenue Growth
Ralph Lauren Corporation reported third quarter revenue growth of 11% on a constant currency basis, surpassing expectations across all geographies and channels.
Retail and Digital Growth
The retail business led performance with double-digit comp growth, and digital sales increased mid-teens, driven by strong consumer demand.
Record New Customer Acquisition
The company added a record 1.9 million new consumers to its DTC businesses, a low double-digit increase from last year.
Strong Brand Engagement
Increased brand consideration, purchase intent, and net promoter scores globally, with social media followers surpassing 64 million.
Asia and Europe Sales Surge
Asia sales increased 15%, with China up more than 20%. Europe sales grew 16%, driven by strong retail and wholesale performance.
Operating Margin Expansion
Adjusted operating margin expanded 230 basis points to 18.7%, with operating profit increasing 27%.
Significant AUR Growth
Average Unit Retail (AUR) increased 12% in the third quarter, supported by strong full-price selling and reduced promotions.
Lowlights
Geopolitical and Macro Risks
Continued challenges from inflationary pressures, tariffs, consumer spending headwinds, supply chain disruptions, and foreign currency volatility.
Decline in Global Discount Rates
The global discount rate was reduced by more than 500 basis points, indicating potential pressure on future promotional activities.
Challenges in North America Wholesale
Despite improvements, the North America wholesale market remains volatile, with ongoing door closures and a focus on stabilizing the business.
Company Guidance
During the Ralph Lauren Corporation's Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance, exceeding expectations across all regions and channels. Revenue grew by 11% on a constant currency basis, with retail comps increasing by 12%, driven by significant demand in both direct-to-consumer (DTC) and wholesale channels. The adjusted gross margin expanded by 190 basis points to 68.3%, attributed to a 12% increase in average unit retail (AUR), reduced promotions, and a favorable mix shift towards full-price businesses. Operating margin also improved, expanding 230 basis points to 18.7%, with operating profit up 27%. The company returned $500 million to shareholders year-to-date and generated approximately $980 million in free cash flows. Ralph Lauren raised its full-year outlook, now expecting constant currency revenue growth of 6% to 7%, up from the previous 3% to 4% guidance. The company also anticipates operating margin expansion of 120 to 160 basis points for the fiscal year.

Ralph Lauren Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Ralph Lauren Amends Employment Terms for Key Executive
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

On March 30, 2025, Ralph Lauren Corporation amended its employment agreement with Halide Alagoz, ensuring her annual base salary is at least $1 million and setting her annual stock award target at $2 million starting from the fiscal 2026 grant cycle. This amendment reflects the company’s commitment to retaining key talent and may impact its financial planning and stakeholder expectations.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ralph Lauren Announces Key Leadership Changes for Growth
Positive
Jan 21, 2025

On January 20, 2025, Ralph Lauren Corporation announced the appointment of Robert Ranftl as Chief Operating Officer, effective March 30, 2025, as part of a strategic succession plan. Ranftl, who has been with the company since 2015, has played a critical role in the strategic growth of the North American market and will oversee key functions like IT and logistics. Mercedes Abramo will succeed him as Regional CEO for North America, bringing extensive experience from Cartier S.A. These leadership changes are expected to support Ralph Lauren’s long-term growth strategy and reinforce its market positioning in North America and globally.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.