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Prologis (PLD)
NYSE:PLD

Prologis (PLD) AI Stock Analysis

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PL

Prologis

(NYSE:PLD)

78Outperform
Prologis exhibits strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to downward momentum. The valuation is moderately attractive, and the earnings call highlights strategic strengths despite some market uncertainties, resulting in a favorable overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Prologis reported Q1 results with core FFO of $1.42, which was ahead of both the estimated $1.37 and consensus of $1.38.
Leasing Activity
Leasing activity reached a record high with 65.1M SF of new and renewal leases commenced, up 35.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
Strategic Capital Platform
PLD's strategic capital platform saw growth, with AUM increasing 2.9% sequentially and investment capacity increasing 10.1%.
Negative Factors
Development and Demand
Reduced development starts and contributions guidance could indicate lower demand, and some leading indicators remain soft.
Occupancy Rates
Occupancy declined to 95.2%, the lowest level since 3Q14.
Tariff Uncertainty
PLD adjusted its capital deployment guidance, including development starts and dispositions, due to tariff uncertainty.

Prologis (PLD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Prologis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrologis, Inc. is the global leader in logistics real estate with a focus on high-barrier, high-growth markets. As of December 31, 2020, the company owned or had investments in, on a wholly owned basis or through co-investment ventures, properties and development projects expected to total approximately 984 million square feet (91 million square meters) in 19 countries. Prologis leases modern logistics facilities to a diverse base of approximately 5,500 customers principally across two major categories: business-to-business and retail/online fulfillment.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrologis makes money primarily through the leasing of its vast portfolio of logistics facilities to a wide array of clients across various industries. The company's revenue model is primarily based on rental income from these leases, which are typically long-term agreements providing stable and predictable cash flows. In addition to leasing, Prologis generates revenue through development services by building new facilities tailored to specific client needs and then leasing or selling them. The company also earns fees from property management and development services provided to third parties and co-investment ventures. Strategic partnerships with large retailers, logistics companies, and e-commerce businesses further enhance its revenue streams, as these partnerships often lead to long-term leasing agreements and development projects.

Prologis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prologis demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, high profitability, and a solid balance sheet with zero debt. The company effectively manages its capital and generates cash, despite a slight decline in free cash flow.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Prologis has shown strong revenue growth with a compound annual growth rate of around 18% over the past five years. The gross profit margin is consistently at 100% due to the nature of its REIT operations, and the net profit margin in the latest year is approximately 45% indicating high profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown improvement, standing at 54% and 64% respectively for 2024, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
Prologis maintains a strong balance sheet with zero debt in 2024, significantly reducing financial risk. The equity ratio is high at around 57%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets. ROE is approximately 7% in 2024, which, while moderate, reflects consistent returns on equity investment. Overall, the company demonstrates financial stability with minimal leverage.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
The company exhibits a strong cash flow position with a free cash flow growth rate of approximately -9% from 2023 to 2024, primarily due to changes in operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.32, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. With a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.32, Prologis effectively generates cash relative to its earnings.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.20B8.02B5.97B4.76B4.44B
Gross Profit
6.14B6.01B4.46B3.51B3.27B
EBIT
4.42B3.71B2.57B2.01B1.69B
EBITDA
7.53B6.57B4.40B3.60B3.26B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.73B3.06B3.36B2.94B1.48B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.32B530.39M278.48M556.12M598.09M
Total Assets
95.33B93.02B87.90B58.49B56.07B
Total Debt
31.49B29.60B25.41B18.16B17.34B
Net Debt
30.18B29.07B25.14B17.61B16.74B
Total Liabilities
36.71B35.20B30.03B20.74B19.74B
Stockholders Equity
53.95B53.18B53.24B33.43B31.97B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.91B5.37B3.58B2.50B1.69B
Operating Cash Flow
4.91B5.37B4.13B3.00B2.94B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.10B-6.42B-4.50B-1.99B-3.07B
Financing Cash Flow
-999.96M1.32B115.79M-1.01B-372.16M

Prologis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price99.95
Price Trends
50DMA
111.50
Negative
100DMA
111.10
Negative
200DMA
115.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.64
Negative
RSI
43.54
Neutral
STOCH
81.16
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 99.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.42, below the 50-day MA of 111.50, and below the 200-day MA of 115.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.16 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PLD.

Prologis Risk Analysis

Prologis disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prologis reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prologis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PLPLD
78
Outperform
$93.73B24.906.97%3.94%2.11%19.67%
72
Outperform
$6.11B30.965.53%4.62%8.41%-2.96%
EGEGP
71
Outperform
$8.15B33.487.72%3.51%12.35%5.59%
FRFR
70
Outperform
$6.20B22.5510.18%3.27%9.18%-7.05%
69
Neutral
$7.49B25.763.35%5.31%17.74%12.12%
66
Neutral
$5.75B29.135.59%3.44%18.24%6.95%
59
Neutral
$2.72B11.530.09%8679.99%5.56%-16.50%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLD
Prologis
99.95
-1.42
-1.40%
EGP
Eastgroup Properties
158.99
-1.59
-0.99%
STAG
Stag Industrial
32.57
-1.43
-4.21%
TRNO
Terreno Realty
56.80
1.99
3.63%
FR
First Industrial Realty
46.35
1.27
2.82%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
32.21
-9.82
-23.36%

Prologis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Apr 16, 2025 | % Change Since: 1.49% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with strong leasing activity and data center expansion, but also highlighted concerns about occupancy decline and the impact of global tariff uncertainties on market conditions.
Highlights
Strong Leasing Activity
Prologis leased 58 million square feet, a near-record achievement, and started $650 million in new developments, primarily build-to-suits with long-term leases averaging 16 years.
Data Center Expansion
Prologis expanded its power capacity for data centers by 400 megawatts, a 13% increase, and moved 2 gigawatts of power to advanced stages with utilities.
Financial Performance and Ratings
Core FFO exceeded expectations at $1.42 per share. Prologis received an upgrade to an A2 rating from Moody's, becoming one of only two public REITs with an A-flat rating from both agencies.
Lowlights
Occupancy Decline
Occupancy decreased to 95.2%, a drop of 70 basis points from year-end, attributed to higher lease expirations in the first quarter.
Tariff and Market Uncertainty
Recent global tariff uncertainties have created instability, impacting logistics and supply chains, leading to a slowdown in decision-making and a potential recession.
Development and Capital Deployment Guidance Reduction
Prologis reduced development start guidance to $1.5 billion to $2 billion and decreased contribution and disposition guidance due to capital market uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During the Prologis First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating that despite a strong quarter where they leased 58 million square feet and saw net effective rent change of 54% and cash same-store growth of 6.2%, they chose to maintain their earnings guidance due to recent global tariff uncertainties impacting logistics and supply chains. Prologis reported a core FFO of $1.42 per share, with occupancy ending the quarter at 95.2%. While they initially considered raising their expectations for 2025, they decided against it, citing the wide range of economic outcomes, including potential recession risks. The company adjusted its capital deployment guidance due to market uncertainties, reducing its development start guidance to $1.5 billion to $2 billion and its development gain guidance to $100 million to $250 million. However, they retained their FFO guidance, with core FFO, including net promotes, expected to range between $5.65 and $5.81 per share. Prologis emphasized their resilience and strategic positioning to weather any environment, highlighting their diversified rent roll and strong balance sheet. They noted that while leasing activity saw a 20% dip in recent weeks, the demand for flexible inventory positioning continues, particularly among sectors like transport, food and beverage, consumer products, and electronics.

Prologis Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Prologis Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

On April 16, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced its first quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting a strong performance with total revenues of $2.14 billion, an increase from $1.96 billion in the same period of 2024. The company reported net earnings attributable to common stockholders of $592 million and a Core FFO of $1.42 per share, reflecting its robust market position and strategic capital initiatives. Prologis continues to focus on expanding its development portfolio and maintaining high occupancy rates, which are expected to positively impact its future financial performance.

Spark’s Take on PLD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, PLD is a Outperform.

Prologis’s strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary strengths driving the stock score. While the technical analysis suggests caution due to downward momentum, the company’s robust valuation and strategic corporate events provide additional support, resulting in a favorable overall score.

To see Spark’s full report on PLD stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Prologis Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

On April 16, 2025, Prologis, Inc. announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a strong performance with total revenues of $2.14 billion, up from $1.96 billion in the same period in 2024. The company reported net earnings attributable to common stockholders of $592 million, reflecting a slight increase from $584 million in the previous year. Prologis also emphasized its significant development activities, with $963 million in value creation from stabilizations and a robust pipeline of development starts and acquisitions planned for the year. The announcement underscores Prologis’s continued growth and strategic positioning in the logistics real estate market, with implications for stakeholders in terms of increased dividends and solid financial health.

Spark’s Take on PLD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, PLD is a Outperform.

Prologis’s strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary strengths driving the stock score. While the technical analysis suggests caution due to downward momentum, the company’s robust valuation and strategic corporate events provide additional support, resulting in a favorable overall score.

To see Spark’s full report on PLD stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prologis Announces CEO Transition with Dan Letter
Neutral
Feb 19, 2025

Prologis announced a leadership transition with CEO Hamid R. Moghadam set to retire on January 1, 2026, after over four decades of leadership. Dan Letter, the current President, will succeed Moghadam as CEO and has been appointed to the Board of Directors as of February 19, 2025. This transition is part of Prologis’s strategic planning to ensure continued growth and leverage Letter’s extensive experience within the company.

Executive/Board Changes
Prologis Announces CEO Transition Effective 2026
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

Prologis announced a leadership transition with CEO Hamid R. Moghadam set to retire effective January 1, 2026, while continuing as Executive Chairman. Daniel S. Letter, currently the company’s President, will succeed Moghadam as CEO and has been appointed to the Board of Directors, highlighting a carefully planned succession to ensure the company’s ongoing success and growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.