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Mizuho Financial Group (MFG)
NYSE:MFG

Mizuho Financial (MFG) AI Stock Analysis

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Mizuho Financial

(NYSE:MFG)

66Neutral
Mizuho Financial's overall score reflects strong revenue growth and profitability, with positive stock price momentum. Caution is advised due to high leverage and negative cash flows. The stock is reasonably valued with an attractive dividend yield, but technical indicators suggest potential short-term volatility.

Mizuho Financial (MFG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Mizuho Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMizuho Financial Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in banking, trust, securities, and other businesses related to financial services in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Retail & Business Banking Company, Corporate & Institutional Company, Global Corporate Company, Global Markets Company, and Asset Management Company. The company provides deposit products; syndicated, housing, and card loans; business matching services; and advisory services related to overseas expansions, and mergers and acquisitions-related services. It also offers consulting services, including asset management and asset succession; payroll services; and sells lottery tickets issued by prefectures and ordinance-designated cities. In addition, it offers financial solutions, such as bonds, mergers and acquisitions advisory, risk hedging products, etc. for corporate customers to meet their needs in fund-raising, investment management, and financial strategies; solutions based on their capital management, business strategy, and financial strategy; real estate agency services; advisory services and solutions, such as advice on proposals on various investment products to financial institutions; and financial services that include funding support and public bonds underwriting. Further, the company offers sales and trading services to meet needs for customers; investment products for individual customers; and consulting services for institutional investors. Additionally, the company provides products and services related to trust, securitization and structured finance, pension, and stock transfers; securities services; and research, private banking, and information technology-related services. Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMizuho Financial Group generates revenue through a diversified range of financial services. Its primary revenue streams include interest income from loans and advances, fees and commissions from investment banking and asset management services, and trading income from securities and foreign exchange transactions. The company also earns income through its trust banking operations, which involve managing and administering assets on behalf of clients. Mizuho's earnings are significantly influenced by interest rate fluctuations, economic conditions in Japan and globally, and its strategic partnerships and collaborations with other financial institutions. Additionally, the group leverages its international presence to tap into overseas markets, contributing to its revenue growth.

Mizuho Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mizuho Financial shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability. However, increasing leverage and negative cash flow are concerns. These issues need to be addressed for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Mizuho Financial has shown a significant increase in total revenue from 2023 to 2024, indicating robust growth. The net profit margin has improved, showcasing better profitability. However, the lack of detailed EBIT and EBITDA data limits a comprehensive margin analysis.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating higher leverage, which could be a risk. However, the return on equity has improved significantly, suggesting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio has slightly decreased, reflecting increased liabilities.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Mizuho Financial's operating cash flow has turned negative in 2024, which is a concern. The free cash flow has also declined, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests that earnings are not fully converting to cash.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.67T3.12T2.72T2.71T2.63T2.48T
Gross Profit
6.01T7.98T2.72T2.71T2.63T2.48T
EBIT
1.95T1.49T2.99T906.72B645.81B610.06B
EBITDA
3.56T0.000.000.000.000.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
723.10B678.99B555.53B530.48B471.02B448.57B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
-73.55T71.17T67.15T51.36T74.42T59.15T
Total Assets
10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Total Debt
61.24T20.84T19.60T20.90T21.64T17.16T
Net Debt
-11.73T-52.13T-47.55T-30.46T-26.34T-23.91T
Total Liabilities
10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity
10.23T10.23T9.13T9.08T9.26T8.55T
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
172.38B1.63T8.68T4.78T16.40T1.67T
Operating Cash Flow
172.38B1.88T8.87T4.92T16.61T1.90T
Investing Cash Flow
0.001.98T6.61T-1.86T-9.76T-5.81T
Financing Cash Flow
0.00-230.99B-611.14B-522.06B40.82B-281.85B

Mizuho Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.80
Price Trends
50DMA
5.55
Negative
100DMA
5.27
Negative
200DMA
4.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
39.73
Neutral
STOCH
10.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.46, below the 50-day MA of 5.55, and above the 200-day MA of 4.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MFG.

Mizuho Financial Risk Analysis

Mizuho Financial disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mizuho Financial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mizuho Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
IBIBN
77
Outperform
$106.30B18.1318.52%0.67%24.97%13.74%
76
Outperform
$55.22B8.5620.84%7.44%-7.01%15.18%
PNPNC
73
Outperform
$63.41B11.6611.10%4.24%7.24%7.51%
USUSB
70
Neutral
$57.33B9.7211.00%5.47%5.59%15.52%
MFMFG
66
Neutral
$54.30B10.388.56%2.65%13.63%27.77%
64
Neutral
$13.44B9.419.19%4.92%16.30%-8.66%
TFTFC
55
Neutral
$45.87B10.49-0.11%5.96%-26.77%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MFG
Mizuho Financial
4.80
0.91
23.39%
TFC
Truist Financial
37.99
2.26
6.33%
IBN
Icici Bank
31.25
5.01
19.09%
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
5.51
0.05
0.92%
PNC
PNC Financial
160.23
10.71
7.16%
USB
US Bancorp
39.30
-0.85
-2.12%

Mizuho Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 3, 2025 | % Change Since: -12.41% | Next Earnings Date: May 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive picture with significant achievements in financial growth, strategic collaborations, and sustainability initiatives. However, challenges remain in areas such as asset and wealth management and rising costs, which the company aims to address moving forward.
Highlights
Solid Financial Progress
Achieved steady profit growth with a forecast of net business profit for FY24 of ¥1.17 trillion, up ¥100 billion. Achieved solid growth in areas of focus, including AUM, which is steadily increasing.
Successful Collaborations and Investments
Completed acquisition of Greenhill, resulting in synergies and collaborations. Increased stake in Rakuten Securities to 49% to enhance asset management services.
Recognition and Awards
Ranked 7th in Forbes Japan's new best companies and 83rd in TIME's World Best Companies of 2024. Recognized for revenue increase, sustainability initiatives, and employee surveys.
Sustainability Initiatives
Steadily building up a track record with ¥34 trillion in sustainability finance. Announced a ¥2 trillion financing commitment for hydrogen projects.
Improved Asset Profitability
RORA increased from 3.1% to 3.3%. Cross-shareholdings reduced by ¥300 billion, and a reduction of ¥200 billion in the Employee Retirement Benefit Trust Fund.
Lowlights
Challenges in Asset and Wealth Management
Asset and wealth management is not going as well as expected, only achieving 50% of the target compared to competitors like Nomura and Daiwa.
Rising Costs
Expenses are on the rise due to the need for investments in human resources and infrastructure. Wages are rising, and there is a need for cost control.
Uncertainty in Global Markets
Concerns about geopolitical risks, potential interest rate increases, and inflation impacting the Americas portfolio.
Company Guidance
In the recent investor call, Mizuho Financial Group provided detailed guidance on its performance and strategic direction for the first half of fiscal year 2024. The Group reported a forecast of ¥1.17 trillion in net business profit for FY24, marking an increase of ¥100 billion. A significant focus was placed on sustainable growth, with investments in Greenhill, Rakuten, and Golub Capital. Asset profitability improved with a reduction of ¥1.1 trillion in low-profit deals and an increase of ¥1.6 trillion in high-profit business, boosting RORA from 3.1% to 3.3%. The firm is also dedicated to enhancing its competitive edge and operational stability through a new HR framework and culture reform efforts, which included 416 town hall meetings across 322 sites. Despite challenges in the asset and wealth management sector, Mizuho is optimistic about its strategic collaborations, such as with Rakuten Securities, and its ability to capture growth opportunities, especially in the burgeoning Japanese corporate sector and global markets.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.