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US Bancorp (USB)
NYSE:USB

US Bancorp (USB) AI Stock Analysis

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USUS Bancorp
(NYSE:USB)
70Neutral
US Bancorp demonstrates a solid financial performance with stable income and strong capital management, though offset by technical indicators suggesting bearish sentiment. The company's valuation is attractive, particularly for income investors due to its high dividend yield. The earnings call conveyed optimism in operational efficiency and revenue growth but highlighted potential challenges in expense management and loan growth.
Positive Factors
CEO Transition
The CEO transition is viewed as an opportunity for the leadership team to hit reset and start the process of regaining investor confidence.
Stock Valuation
Stock valuation at 11x 2025 P/E vs. 12x peer median screens attractive for investors looking to add exposure to regional banks.
Negative Factors
Stock Performance
CEO transition announcement comes on the back of significant underperformance in USB shares, -17% over the last 3 years vs. +2% for the bank index.

US Bancorp (USB) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

US Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMinnesota-based U.S. Bancorp is a financial services holding company and offers services including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. It also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services.
How the Company Makes MoneyU.S. Bancorp generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is interest earned from loans and credit products offered to individuals and businesses, including mortgages, personal loans, and commercial loans. Additionally, the company earns fees from payment processing services, such as merchant services and credit card transactions. Wealth management and investment services also contribute significantly, with fees from asset management, brokerage, and advisory services. U.S. Bancorp benefits from strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and businesses, which enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach, further contributing to its revenue.

US Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
US Bancorp demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and efficient operations. The income statement reflects solid revenue growth and profitability margins, while the balance sheet is stable but carries moderate leverage. Cash flow management is adequate but shows potential for improvement. Overall, the company is well-positioned for future growth, with some caution warranted regarding leverage and cash flow optimization.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
US Bancorp's income statement reflects strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 100.38% and a net profit margin of 16.06%. The company shows stable revenue growth, with a significant revenue increase of 21.87% from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 21.43% and 22.33% respectively, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency. Overall, the company's income statement demonstrates healthy growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
US Bancorp maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.33, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 8.57%, reflecting a stable equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity is strong at 9.32%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. While the financial structure is sound, the debt level is slightly elevated, which could pose risks in adverse economic conditions.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a mixed performance with a strong operating cash to net income ratio of 0.29, indicating good cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative, reflecting a decrease in free cash flow compared to the previous year. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.35, suggesting that a significant portion of earnings is converted into free cash flow, but there's room for improvement in cash flow management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
34.14B28.01B24.18B22.72B23.23B22.88B
Gross Profit
34.27B28.01B24.18B22.72B23.23B22.88B
EBIT
7.32B7.85B10.51B10.14B6.03B8.56B
EBITDA
7.62B7.86B7.35B9.78B6.32B9.46B
Net Income Common Stockholders
5.48B5.43B5.83B7.96B4.96B6.91B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
130.58B130.58B126.45B161.87B199.42B145.02B
Total Assets
663.49B663.49B674.80B573.28B553.90B495.43B
Total Debt
62.94B62.94B71.05B43.92B53.06B63.89B
Net Debt
1.74B1.74B17.50B15.02B-9.52B41.48B
Total Liabilities
607.72B607.72B623.57B517.90B500.18B442.94B
Stockholders Equity
55.31B55.31B50.77B54.92B53.09B51.85B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.92B8.45B21.12B10.53B4.27B4.89B
Operating Cash Flow
1.59B8.45B21.12B9.87B3.72B4.89B
Investing Cash Flow
-14.60B18.93B7.50B-57.49B-15.44B-21.56B
Financing Cash Flow
12.14B-19.72B-3.98B13.94B51.90B17.62B

US Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price44.61
Price Trends
50DMA
47.68
Negative
100DMA
48.51
Negative
200DMA
45.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.66
Positive
RSI
34.34
Neutral
STOCH
36.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.79, below the 50-day MA of 47.68, and below the 200-day MA of 45.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for USB.

US Bancorp Risk Analysis

US Bancorp disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. US Bancorp reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

US Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
JPJPM
81
Outperform
$699.73B12.6716.96%1.84%17.07%21.78%
WFWFC
74
Outperform
$241.02B13.6611.01%2.01%7.87%11.69%
CC
73
Outperform
$136.34B12.176.08%2.86%8.20%49.26%
BABAC
72
Outperform
$324.49B13.289.18%2.19%13.06%4.94%
PNPNC
71
Outperform
$71.41B13.1310.82%3.35%7.24%7.51%
USUSB
70
Neutral
$69.59B11.7810.75%4.28%5.59%15.52%
64
Neutral
$14.34B10.619.28%4.07%18.04%-9.54%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
USB
US Bancorp
44.61
3.43
8.33%
BAC
Bank of America
42.67
7.89
22.69%
C
Citigroup
72.35
16.97
30.64%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
250.25
64.96
35.06%
PNC
PNC Financial
180.45
35.42
24.42%
WFC
Wells Fargo
73.30
17.55
31.48%

US Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 16, 2025 | % Change Since: -12.36% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted solid revenue growth, successful capital management, and improved operational efficiency. However, notable expense items, challenges in merchant acquiring, and uncertain loan growth present some concerns.
Highlights
Strong Revenue Growth
Net revenue totaled $7 billion for the quarter and $27.5 billion for the year, driven by growth in net interest income and noninterest income. Achieved 190 basis points of positive operating leverage on an adjusted basis year-over-year.
Capital and Shareholder Returns
CET1 capital ratio increased 10 basis points to 10.6%. Tangible book value per share increased by 10.4% to $24.63. Initiated $100 million in share repurchases.
Positive Fee Income Trends
Fee income represented over 40% of total net revenue, with double-digit year-over-year fee growth in commercial products, trust and investment management, and investment product revenues.
Credit Quality and Capital Management
Improved credit quality with a modest loan loss reserve release. Nonperforming assets to loans ratio was stable at 0.48%, and net charge-off ratio remained flat at 0.60%.
Operating Efficiency
Delivered an 18.3% return on tangible common equity and improved efficiency ratio of 59.9% in the fourth quarter.
Lowlights
Notable Expense Items
Fourth quarter included $109 million of notable expense items, including $60 million related to operational efficiency initiatives and $49 million from lease impairments.
Challenges in Merchant Acquiring
Merchant acquiring yield contracted by 70 basis points year-over-year due to growth in higher volume, lower margin clients.
Uncertain Loan Growth
Modest loan growth expectations for 2025, with no immediate signs of significant pickup in lending demand.
Deposit Cost Pressures
Expected deposit betas to increase to mid- to high 40s in Q1 2025, with continued competitive pressures impacting deposit costs.
Company Guidance
During the U.S. Bancorp Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, executives provided detailed guidance focusing on several key financial metrics. The company reported a diluted earnings per share of $1.01, or $1.07 when adjusted for notable items, with net revenue reaching $7 billion for the quarter and $27.5 billion for the year. U.S. Bancorp highlighted a 190 basis point increase in positive operating leverage year-over-year on an adjusted basis, driven by effective balance sheet management and diversified fee business offerings. The CET1 capital ratio improved by 10 basis points to 10.6%, while the tangible book value per share increased by 10.4% to $24.63. For the first quarter of 2025, the company expects stable net interest income, excluding the impact of fewer days, and stable noninterest expenses around $4.2 billion. Full-year 2025 guidance anticipates total revenue growth of 3% to 5% on an adjusted basis, with positive operating leverage of greater than 200 basis points. The company remains focused on prudent expense management, asset repricing benefits, and modest capital distributions, including an initial $100 million in share repurchases.

US Bancorp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
US Bancorp Announces Leadership Changes for 2025
Neutral
Jan 31, 2025

Shailesh M. Kotwal will retire as Vice Chair, Payment Services at U.S. Bancorp on February 3, 2025, but will continue in an advisory role until June 30, 2025, to support the transition of the Payments business leadership. Scott W. Wine has announced his decision not to seek re-election to the Board of Directors at the Company’s 2025 Annual Meeting for personal reasons, having served for ten years without any disagreements with the company.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
U.S. Bancorp Names Gunjan Kedia as New CEO
Positive
Jan 28, 2025

On January 28, 2025, U.S. Bancorp announced the election of Gunjan Kedia as its new President and CEO, effective April 15, 2025. She succeeds Andrew Cecere, who will continue as Executive Chairman. Kedia has been with U.S. Bancorp since 2016 and brings nearly 30 years of experience in financial services, having previously held executive roles at State Street Financial and BNY. Her leadership is expected to guide the company towards a future of growth while maintaining its core values. Under Cecere’s tenure, the company expanded its technological capabilities and grew its presence, notably through a significant merger with Union Bank. The leadership transition signifies continuity and strategic growth for U.S. Bancorp.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
U.S. Bancorp Reports Strong Q4 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Jan 16, 2025

U.S. Bancorp will hold an investor conference call on January 16, 2025, to discuss the financial results for the quarter ending December 31, 2024. In the fourth quarter of 2024, U.S. Bancorp reported a net income of $1,745 million and a diluted earnings per share of $1.07, adjusted for notable items. The company’s return on tangible common equity was 18.3% and the CET1 capital ratio was 10.6% at year-end. The company highlighted strong year-over-year growth in commercial products and trust and investment management fees, alongside stable credit quality. U.S. Bancorp’s diversified business model has positioned it well for future growth and industry-leading returns.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.