Vivendi (VIVHY)
OTHER OTC:VIVHY

Vivendi (VIVHY) AI Stock Analysis

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Vivendi

(OTC:VIVHY)

52Neutral
Vivendi's overall score reflects its challenging financial performance, highlighted by declining revenues and high leverage. However, the company's strong cash flow generation and attractive valuation provide some optimism for recovery. The technical analysis indicates downward pressure, and while the earnings call contained some positive developments, significant risks remain. The strategic focus on cost reduction and asset sales could help improve the financial outlook.

Vivendi (VIVHY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Vivendi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVivendi (VIVHY) is a global media and content group based in France. The company operates through multiple segments including music, television, film, publishing, telecommunications, and video games. Its core businesses include Universal Music Group, one of the world's leading music companies, Canal+ Group, a major player in the production and distribution of films and TV series, and Havas Group, a global advertising and communications agency. Vivendi is committed to creating and distributing original and engaging content across the globe.
How the Company Makes MoneyVivendi generates revenue through a diverse portfolio of business segments. Universal Music Group, its largest segment, makes money primarily through music sales, streaming services, and licensing agreements. Canal+ Group earns revenue from subscriptions to its pay-TV services, as well as from advertising and content production. Havas Group contributes to Vivendi's earnings through its advertising and media services, including creative, media, and healthcare communications. Additionally, Vivendi benefits from its stake in Telecom Italia and other investments, which provide income through dividends and capital gains. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions further enhance Vivendi's revenue streams by expanding its reach and capabilities in the global media landscape.

Vivendi Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vivendi faces a challenging financial landscape with declining revenues and profitability issues. The balance sheet indicates high leverage, but the company maintains a reasonable equity base. Cash flow generation is a bright spot, suggesting operational resilience. Overall, while there are significant risks, there are indications of underlying operational strength and potential for recovery.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Vivendi has experienced significant volatility in revenue and profitability. The company's revenue has declined from $16.09 billion in 2020 to $2.97 billion in 2024, with a negative net income in the recent period indicating financial distress. The gross profit margin is relatively low, and the EBIT margin is nonexistent for 2024. However, there was a positive revenue trend from 2022 to 2023, suggesting some recovery efforts.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Vivendi's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, signifying potential leverage risks. The equity ratio is moderate, indicating that a substantial portion of assets is financed by equity. Despite the high net debt, stockholders' equity remains significant, suggesting some level of financial stability amidst the challenges. The return on equity has been negative recently, reflecting ongoing profitability issues.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow position seems relatively strong despite the challenges, with a positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2024. The company's ability to generate cash flow relative to net income has improved, which is a positive sign. However, the free cash flow growth rate is volatile, and the reliance on cash reserves to cover financial obligations is evident.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.65B297.00M10.51B9.60B9.57B16.09B
Gross Profit
4.58B86.00M4.82B4.24B4.21B7.28B
EBIT
184.00M0.00847.00M761.00M404.00M1.47B
EBITDA
1.26B101.00M1.43B961.00M1.56B1.06B
Net Income Common Stockholders
24.61B-6.00B405.00M-1.01B24.69B1.44B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.87B107.00M2.19B2.55B4.46B1.11B
Total Assets
34.40B7.93B38.25B31.28B33.37B38.12B
Total Debt
4.22B2.69B9.11B4.13B4.98B7.34B
Net Debt
423.00M2.65B6.95B2.23B1.65B6.36B
Total Liabilities
16.87B3.34B21.01B13.68B14.17B21.69B
Stockholders Equity
17.31B4.59B17.11B17.37B18.98B15.76B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.52B1.84B546.00M363.00M1.18B788.00M
Operating Cash Flow
2.13B1.84B951.00M748.00M1.64B1.23B
Investing Cash Flow
-6.30B-2.13B808.00M-695.00M-3.75B-1.65B
Financing Cash Flow
4.21B-1.83B-1.47B-1.44B4.43B-675.00M

Vivendi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.89
Price Trends
50DMA
3.22
Negative
100DMA
3.41
Negative
200DMA
4.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
38.68
Neutral
STOCH
32.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIVHY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.98, below the 50-day MA of 3.22, and below the 200-day MA of 4.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VIVHY.

Vivendi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FOFOX
81
Outperform
$23.82B10.8120.09%1.00%4.29%177.70%
77
Outperform
$138.46B8.8419.24%3.36%1.78%11.62%
DIDIS
76
Outperform
$177.29B31.845.54%0.96%3.97%89.53%
74
Outperform
$399.46B47.0338.43%15.28%65.72%
59
Neutral
$27.83B1.88-18.16%4.00%2.13%-44.45%
52
Neutral
$2.95B7.012.26%5.87%62.97%
49
Neutral
$7.64B-37.33%4.71%-2.84%-249.80%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIVHY
Vivendi
2.89
-1.63
-36.06%
CMCSA
Comcast
36.72
-4.10
-10.04%
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings
21.96
-13.56
-38.18%
DIS
Walt Disney
97.68
-24.04
-19.75%
NFLX
Netflix
928.38
314.17
51.15%
FOX
Fox
51.77
23.70
84.43%

Vivendi Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -3.34% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted successful spin-off operations and positive stock performance. However, the company faced challenges with declining revenues, particularly for Gameloft, and a significant net loss due to the spin-off. While there were notable achievements in certain segments, the overall financial performance showed some negative trends.
Highlights
Vivendi Stock Performance
Vivendi's stock rose by 15% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the SBF120 index.
Successful Spin-off
The spin-off and respective listings of Group Canal+, Havas, and Louis Hachette Group were completed on a tight schedule, with an approval of 97.5% at the Extraordinary General Meeting.
Positive EBITDA Growth for Gameloft
Despite a 5.7% decrease in revenue, Gameloft increased its EBITDA from €5 million to €8 million, showcasing effective cost management.
Robust Performance of Havas and Louis Hachette Group
Havas closed a historic year, and Louis Hachette Group achieved very strong results, combining Lagardère and Prisma Media.
Dividend Proposal
A dividend of €0.04 per share is proposed, representing a yield of 1.5%, subject to shareholder approval.
Lowlights
Overall Revenue and EBITDA Decline
Revenue was reported at €297 million, with an EBITDA of minus 1%. The net earnings group shares were negatively impacted by €6 billion due to the split.
Gameloft Revenue Decline
Gameloft's revenue decreased by 5.7%, from €311 million in 2023 to €293 million in 2024.
Net Loss Impacted by Spin-off
The net income group share showed a loss of €6.4 billion due to the fair value adjustment of the distributed assets.
Corporate Cost and Operational Challenges
The corporate cost was €126 million, and there is a plan to reduce operational expenses further, though specific targets for 2025 were not disclosed.
Telecom Italia Stake
Vivendi plans to sell its stake in Telecom Italia, but awaits a favorable position to exit.
Company Guidance
During Vivendi's 2024 fiscal year earnings call, key metrics and guidance were highlighted. The company reported a portfolio valued at €7.1 billion, with a net asset value of €4.8 billion, equating to €4.69 per share. Revenue was noted at €297 million, with EBITDA at minus 1%. Adjusted net income stood at €111 million, while net earnings group shares were negatively impacted by €6 billion due to the split of assets. The group experienced a 15% rise in stock value since the start of the year, outperforming the SBF120 index. Gameloft, an operational asset, saw a revenue drop of 5.7% but improved EBITDA from €5 million to €8 million. The company also highlighted a 30% loan-to-value ratio, with a net debt of €2.72 billion. The management spoke about reducing corporate costs and a strategic plan to sell its stake in Telecom Italia, while emphasizing continued investment in Gameloft for organic growth and potential acquisitions. An ordinary dividend of €0.04 per share, representing a yield of 1.5%, was proposed for approval at the April 28 shareholders' meeting.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.