Comcast (CMCSA)
NASDAQ:CMCSA

Comcast (CMCSA) AI Stock Analysis

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Comcast

(NASDAQ:CMCSA)

77Outperform
Comcast's strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives are significant strengths, supported by attractive valuation metrics. However, technical analysis indicates limited momentum, and competitive challenges in broadband growth present risks. Overall, Comcast is well-positioned with a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Future Growth
Parks and the Studio should accelerate admirably through the year off movie releases like Jurassic Park: Rebirth and Wicked: For Good.
Operational Performance
The company reported record revenue and EBITDA in its history, showing some positive operational performance.
Valuation
The current trading multiple of 5.7x EV/EBITDA is low, suggesting there’s potential upside for patient investors.
Negative Factors
Competition
Intense competition is expected to result in a significant increase in broadband subscriber losses, which raises concerns about Comcast's ability to maintain its market share.
Market Sentiment
Deteriorating confidence in Comcast's long-term growth prospects is reflected in its current trading multiples compared to competitors.
Revenue Decline
Forecasts for revenue declines at both Connectivity and Platforms and Content and Experiences have been made, with projected decreases of 0.8% and 0.5%, respectively.

Comcast (CMCSA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Comcast Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComcast Corporation operates as a media and technology company worldwide. It operates through Cable Communications, Media, Studios, Theme Parks, and Sky segments. The Cable Communications segment offers broadband, video, voice, wireless, and other services to residential and business customers under the Xfinity brand; and advertising services. The Media segment operates NBCUniversal's television and streaming platforms, including national, regional, and international cable networks, the NBC and Telemundo broadcast, and Peacock networks. The Studios segment operates NBCUniversal's film and television studio production and distribution operations. The Theme Parks segment operates Universal theme parks in Orlando, Florida; Hollywood, California; Osaka, Japan; and Beijing, China. The Sky segment offers direct-to-consumer services, such as video, broadband, voice and wireless phone services, and content business operates entertainment networks, the Sky News broadcast network, and Sky Sports networks. The company also owns the Philadelphia Flyers, as well as the Wells Fargo Center arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; and provides streaming service, such as Peacock. Comcast Corporation was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyComcast makes money through a diverse range of revenue streams. The Cable Communications segment generates revenue by providing broadband, video, voice, and wireless services to residential and business customers, with broadband being a significant growth driver. The Media segment, which includes NBCUniversal, earns revenue from advertising, distribution of content, and subscription fees for cable networks and streaming services. The Studios segment contributes through the production and distribution of films and television content. The Theme Parks segment generates income from admissions, food, and merchandise sales at its theme park locations. Additionally, the Sky segment in Europe provides revenue through direct-to-consumer services, content, and advertising sales. Strategic partnerships, such as content sharing agreements and technology collaborations, further bolster Comcast's revenue generation capabilities.

Comcast Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comcast shows consistent revenue growth and solid profitability, with strong cash flow generation and a stable balance sheet. However, a slight slowdown in revenue growth and a declining asset base warrant attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Comcast shows a strong financial performance with a consistent revenue growth from 2020 to 2024, evident from the TTM revenue increase to $123.731 billion. The gross profit margin is robust, and the net profit margin reflects solid profitability, especially with the TTM net income reaching $16.193 billion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, indicating efficient operations and cost management. However, the pace of revenue growth has slowed slightly in recent years which could be an area to monitor.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with a healthy equity base of $86.038 billion as of TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, showing prudent leverage management, and the equity ratio reflects a solid capitalization structure. However, the decline in total assets over recent years suggests potential divestitures or asset write-downs, which should be assessed further.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Comcast demonstrates strong cash flow generation with a healthy free cash flow, growing to $13.45 billion in TTM. The operating cash flow remains robust, supporting net income effectively. The cash flow management appears efficient with a favorable free cash flow to net income ratio, ensuring liquidity and operational flexibility. Nonetheless, the capital expenditure remains significant, which may impact future cash reserves if not managed carefully.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
123.73B121.57B121.43B116.39B103.56B
Gross Profit
86.70B84.81B83.21B77.94B70.44B
EBIT
23.30B23.31B22.08B20.82B17.49B
EBITDA
29.34B38.90B36.45B34.62B30.59B
Net Income Common Stockholders
16.19B15.39B5.37B14.16B10.53B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.32B6.21B4.75B8.71B11.74B
Total Assets
266.21B264.81B257.27B275.90B273.87B
Total Debt
99.09B97.09B99.98B100.02B108.93B
Net Debt
91.77B90.88B95.23B91.31B97.19B
Total Liabilities
179.94B181.34B175.24B177.90B180.85B
Stockholders Equity
85.56B82.70B80.94B96.09B90.32B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
15.49B12.96B12.65B17.09B13.10B
Operating Cash Flow
27.67B28.50B26.41B29.15B24.74B
Investing Cash Flow
-15.67B-7.16B-14.14B-13.45B-12.05B
Financing Cash Flow
-10.88B-19.85B-16.18B-18.62B-6.51B

Comcast Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price33.38
Price Trends
50DMA
35.50
Negative
100DMA
37.42
Negative
200DMA
38.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Negative
RSI
53.61
Neutral
STOCH
50.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMCSA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 33.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.86, below the 50-day MA of 35.50, and below the 200-day MA of 38.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CMCSA.

Comcast Risk Analysis

Comcast disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comcast reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comcast Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$126.21B8.0619.24%3.71%1.78%11.62%
TT
76
Outperform
$191.23B17.8610.54%4.17%-0.08%-24.48%
DIDIS
76
Outperform
$151.00B27.125.54%1.14%3.97%89.53%
74
Outperform
$58.37B9.6138.11%0.88%16.44%
VZVZ
73
Outperform
$181.14B10.3818.27%6.24%0.61%50.39%
58
Neutral
$25.21B3.07-13.86%4.29%2.47%-43.03%
WBWBD
58
Neutral
$19.81B-28.54%-4.91%-259.71%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMCSA
Comcast
33.38
-6.01
-15.26%
T
AT&T
26.64
10.34
63.44%
CHTR
Charter Communications
338.29
65.24
23.89%
VZ
Verizon
43.03
3.94
10.08%
DIS
Walt Disney
83.53
-32.77
-28.18%
WBD
Warner Bros
8.07
-0.45
-5.28%

Comcast Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 30, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.83% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Comcast reported a strong financial performance with record revenue and earnings, driven by growth in wireless, business services, and streaming. However, the company faces challenges in broadband subscriber growth due to intense competition. The overall sentiment reflects a balanced outlook with significant achievements but also notable challenges that need to be addressed.
Highlights
Record Revenue and EBITDA
Comcast achieved record revenue of $124 billion and record adjusted EBITDA of $38 billion in 2024.
Strong EPS Growth
Adjusted EPS grew by 9% and Comcast generated substantial free cash flow of $12.5 billion.
Wireless and Business Services Growth
Wireless revenue grew at a mid-teens rate with 1.2 million new lines added, reaching 7.8 million total. Business Services revenue grew at mid-single digit rates, reaching nearly $10 billion.
Streaming and Studio Success
Peacock's EBITDA losses improved by $1 billion. The Studio business ranked second in global box office for the third consecutive year.
Theme Parks and New Developments
Strong performance across global parks and preparation for the opening of Epic Universe in May.
Lowlights
Broadband Subscriber Decline
Net broadband subscriber additions were negative 139,000 in the fourth quarter, worse than expected.
Intense Broadband Competition
Facing intense competition from fiber and fixed wireless, posing challenges for subscriber growth.
Impact of Competitive Environment
The competitive environment remains challenging, affecting pricing and market share, particularly in broadband.
Company Guidance
During Comcast's Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company shared impressive financial results and strategic guidance for 2025. They reported record revenue of $124 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $38 billion for 2024, with adjusted EPS growing by 9% and free cash flow reaching $12.5 billion. Despite a competitive environment, broadband revenue grew by 3%, and convergence revenue increased by nearly 5%. For 2025, Comcast plans to focus on expanding its wireless offerings and enhancing its broadband network capabilities, which include boosting Xfinity Mobile speeds and implementing AI in their network. The company also announced the creation of SpinCo, which will spin off cable TV networks and digital assets, allowing NBCUniversal to focus on streaming and broadcast. Comcast continues to invest in its growth drivers, with an emphasis on maintaining a healthy balance sheet and returning capital to shareholders, as demonstrated by their $13.5 billion capital return in 2024.

Comcast Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Comcast Announces David Novak as SpinCo Chairman
Positive
Mar 19, 2025

Comcast announced on March 19, 2025, that David Novak will become the non-executive Chairman of the Board of Directors for SpinCo, a planned spin-off of Comcast’s cable channels and digital assets, expected to be completed by the end of 2025. SpinCo will be a leading independent media company with brands such as USA Network, CNBC, and MSNBC, aiming to reach over 65 million U.S. households with a diverse content offering. Novak’s appointment is seen as a strategic move to leverage his extensive experience in brand development and capital markets, positioning SpinCo for growth and value creation.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.