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AT&T (T)
NYSE:T

AT&T (T) AI Stock Analysis

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TAT&T
(NYSE:T)
76Outperform
AT&T's stock is supported by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call outlook, despite a high debt level. The strategic focus on 5G and fiber growth is expected to drive future profitability, while the attractive dividend yield provides a buffer against valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
AT&T remains on track to deliver favorable financial results by sticking with the same playbook that worked previously: strategic product revenue growth from a combination of volume and ARPU expansion, cost reductions, and balance sheet improvement.
Subscriber Growth
AT&T continues to benefit from strong wireless and broadband subscriber growth as well as ongoing 5G network growth, creating a compelling investment opportunity.
Negative Factors
Business Wireline Headwinds
Stable Wireless and Consumer wireline fiber broadband subscriber growth underpinned in-line 4Q results, partially offset by expected continued Business wireline headwinds.

AT&T (T) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

AT&T Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAT&T, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of telecommunications media and technology service. It operates through the following segments: Communications, WarnerMedia, Latin America and Xandr. The Communications segment provides services to businesses and consumers located in the U.S., or in U.S. territories, and businesses globally. The WarnerMedia segment develops, produces and distributes feature films, television, gaming and other content over various physical and digital formats. The Latin America segment provides entertainment and wireless services outside of the U.S. The Xandar segment provides advertising services. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Dallas, TX.
How the Company Makes MoneyAT&T makes money primarily through its wireless communications services, which include voice, data, and text services to individual consumers and businesses. This segment generates significant revenue from monthly subscription plans, device sales, and prepaid services. Additionally, AT&T earns revenue from its broadband services, offering high-speed internet to residential and business customers. The company also derives income from its entertainment segment, which includes video services through platforms like DIRECTV. Key revenue streams include service fees, equipment sales, and advertising. Partnerships with device manufacturers and content providers enhance its offerings and contribute to its earnings.

AT&T Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AT&T demonstrates financial stability with strong gross margins and cash flow generation, although profitability metrics have faced pressure. The high leverage poses a risk but is partially mitigated by the company's consistent operating cash flow.
Income Statement
70
Positive
AT&T's gross profit margin is strong, indicating effective cost management, with a gross profit of $95.36 billion on $122.34 billion of revenue for 2024. However, the net profit margin has decreased compared to the prior year, reflecting tighter profit constraints. Revenue growth has been stagnant, with a slight decline from 2023 to 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy but show room for improvement to enhance overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio remains high, indicating AT&T's reliance on debt financing, with a total debt of $140.92 billion against $118.25 billion in equity. Return on equity has decreased, aligning with reduced net income, thus affecting shareholder returns. The equity ratio is stable at approximately 29.94%, suggesting a balanced asset-financing strategy, but further strengthening of equity could reduce financial risk.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, with a slightly increasing trend, reaching $38.77 billion in 2024. The reduction in free cash flow is a concern, though it remains positive at $18.51 billion, ensuring operational flexibility. The ratio of operating cash flow to net income is strong, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
122.34B122.43B120.74B134.04B171.76B
Gross Profit
95.36B72.31B69.89B73.63B91.84B
EBIT
19.05B23.46B-4.59B25.90B6.41B
EBITDA
44.04B45.32B21.07B53.72B33.57B
Net Income Common Stockholders
10.95B14.40B-8.52B20.08B-5.18B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.30B6.72B3.70B19.22B9.74B
Total Assets
394.80B407.06B402.85B551.62B525.76B
Total Debt
140.92B154.90B154.68B195.83B179.45B
Net Debt
137.63B148.18B150.98B176.61B169.71B
Total Liabilities
274.57B287.64B296.40B367.77B346.52B
Stockholders Equity
118.25B103.30B97.50B166.33B161.67B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
18.51B20.46B12.40B25.43B27.45B
Operating Cash Flow
38.77B38.31B32.02B41.96B43.13B
Investing Cash Flow
-18.07B-19.66B-25.80B-32.09B-13.55B
Financing Cash Flow
-24.71B-15.61B-23.74B1.58B-32.01B

AT&T Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.18
Price Trends
50DMA
24.02
Positive
100DMA
23.13
Positive
200DMA
20.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.82
Positive
RSI
57.54
Neutral
STOCH
40.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For T, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.99, above the 50-day MA of 24.02, and above the 200-day MA of 20.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for T.

AT&T Risk Analysis

AT&T disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AT&T reported the most risks in the “Macro & Political” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AT&T Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$134.23B8.5718.92%3.49%1.78%11.62%
TT
76
Outperform
$188.21B17.589.26%4.00%-0.08%-24.48%
76
Outperform
$302.16B27.3818.37%1.12%3.62%38.24%
74
Outperform
$58.37B10.4732.61%0.88%16.44%
VZVZ
73
Outperform
$181.44B10.40-224.44%6.12%0.61%50.39%
59
Neutral
$30.54B0.25-13.23%4.04%2.36%-49.53%
48
Neutral
$4.88B-11.85%-9.95%99.47%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
T
AT&T
26.18
9.94
61.21%
LUMN
Lumen Technologies
5.16
3.45
201.75%
CHTR
Charter Communications
378.42
102.09
36.94%
CMCSA
Comcast
35.56
-5.29
-12.95%
VZ
Verizon
42.84
5.44
14.55%
TMUS
T Mobile US
262.74
97.65
59.15%

AT&T Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 27, 2025 | % Change Since: 15.23% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in mobility and fiber, significant capital investments, and improved financial performance. However, there were challenges in the Business Wireline segment and the ongoing transition from legacy copper networks. Overall, the positive aspects of the call, including subscriber growth and financial strength, outweigh the negatives.
Highlights
Strong Mobility Performance
AT&T achieved 1.7 million postpaid phone net additions with service revenue growth of 3.5%. They expect to lead the industry in postpaid phone churn for the 14th time in the last 16 quarters.
Fiber Subscriber Growth
AT&T added 1 million or more fiber subscribers for seven consecutive years. They were named America's fastest Internet by Ookla and achieved six consecutive quarters of positive broadband net adds.
Record Capital Investment
AT&T invested about $22 billion in capital investment last year, maintaining industry-leading levels of investment.
Financial Performance
Fourth quarter revenues increased by nearly 1%, driven by wireless service and equipment revenues, as well as broadband revenues. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was up 2.2%.
Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
Fourth quarter free cash flow was $4.8 billion, and AT&T reduced net debt by $8.8 billion for the full year.
Lowlights
Business Wireline Decline
Business Wireline revenues declined 10% in the fourth quarter, and EBITDA was down 22% due to secular declines in legacy services.
Challenges with Legacy Copper Network
AT&T is working on transitioning away from legacy copper network operations by the end of 2029, with cost savings expected as they evolve technology stacks.
Company Guidance
During AT&T's Fourth Quarter 2024 earnings call, guidance for the upcoming year was provided with a focus on maintaining strong operational performance and strategic investments. In 2025, AT&T plans to grow its 5G and fiber subscriber base, continuing the momentum from 2024, which saw 1.7 million postpaid phone net additions and 1 million or more AT&T Fiber subscribers added for seven consecutive years. The company aims to achieve a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.5 times by mid-2025, enabling the commencement of up to $10 billion in share repurchases as part of a broader $40 billion shareholder return plan. AT&T also targets $3 billion in cost savings by the end of 2027, facilitated by AI integration and the transition from legacy copper network operations. Capital investment is projected to remain around $22 billion, supporting network modernization and expansion. The guidance reflects a commitment to profitable growth and enhanced shareholder returns while emphasizing the importance of a durable franchise for long-term success.

AT&T Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
AT&T Director Glenn Hutchins Announces Departure
Neutral
Feb 5, 2025

Glenn H. Hutchins announced on January 30, 2025, that he will not seek re-election as a Director at AT&T’s 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, although he will continue in his role until the meeting. This decision may impact AT&T’s board dynamics and strategic direction, influencing stakeholders and the company’s future governance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.