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Morguard NA REIT UN (TSE:MRG.UN)
:MRG.UN
Canadian Market

Morguard NA REIT UN (MRG.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Morguard NA REIT UN

(TSX:MRG.UN)

72Outperform
Morguard NA REIT UN demonstrates strong financial performance, particularly in cash flow and revenue growth, though with some concerns about declining ROE and fluctuating EBIT margins. The valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio and a decent dividend yield. Technical analysis suggests mixed momentum, while the earnings call highlights a cautious outlook due to decreased U.S. occupancy and rising interest expenses. Overall, the stock scores 72, reflecting a stable yet cautious investment opportunity.

Morguard NA REIT UN (MRG.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Morguard NA REIT UN Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMorguard North American Residential Real Estate Investment Trust (MRG.UN) is a Canadian-based REIT that focuses on owning and managing multi-suite residential properties across North America. The company is involved in the acquisition, development, and management of high-quality residential communities, primarily in urban markets. Morguard NA REIT aims to provide unitholders with stable and growing cash distributions through its diversified portfolio of residential real estate assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyMorguard NA REIT UN primarily generates revenue through rental income from its portfolio of residential properties. The company leases apartment units to tenants, and the rental payments collected form the core revenue stream. Additionally, the REIT may engage in property development activities to enhance its portfolio and increase rental income. Morguard NA REIT also benefits from property appreciation, which can contribute to its earnings through strategic property sales or refinancing. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as occupancy rates, rental rates, economic conditions, and its ability to effectively manage and maintain its properties.

Morguard NA REIT UN Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Morguard NA REIT UN presents a stable financial position with strong revenue growth and cash generation. Profitability is robust, although EBIT margins show fluctuation. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage, typical for REITs, but ROE is declining. Cash flow demonstrates efficient cash conversion, offsetting some balance sheet concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows consistent revenue growth from 2019 to 2024, achieving a revenue growth rate of 3.8% in 2024. Gross profit margin stands at 46.27%, and net profit margin at 29.6% in 2024, indicating strong profitability. However, the EBIT margin is notably fluctuating, with a substantial improvement to 52.72% in 2024 from negative levels in 2022. This suggests recovery in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.89, indicating moderate leverage, which is typical for REITs. Return on equity (ROE) is 5.09%, showing a decline from previous years, suggesting weakening profitability on equity. The equity ratio is 43.78%, indicating a solid equity base, though slightly lower compared to peers.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth, with consistent increases in operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.96 suggests efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio also stands at 0.96, indicating a tight correlation between net income and cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
344.19M331.62M278.49M245.57M248.68M
Gross Profit
159.24M180.24M131.86M115.10M120.30M
EBIT
181.42M180.24M-38.60M129.50M135.53M
EBITDA
179.27M254.03M149.68M68.22M139.29M
Net Income Common Stockholders
101.86M176.34M219.28M242.09M175.22M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
51.26M17.82M14.64M26.56M27.30M
Total Assets
4.57B4.10B3.93B3.47B3.08B
Total Debt
1.79B1.56B1.48B1.38B1.31B
Net Debt
1.74B1.55B1.47B1.36B1.28B
Total Liabilities
2.46B2.14B2.08B1.91B1.74B
Stockholders Equity
2.00B1.85B1.75B1.48B1.27B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
97.50M88.97M75.17M63.70M50.13M
Operating Cash Flow
97.50M88.97M75.17M63.70M50.13M
Investing Cash Flow
-59.40M-209.01M-11.06M-31.30M-28.06M
Financing Cash Flow
-6.74M120.84M-78.88M-33.05M-11.57M

Morguard NA REIT UN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.89
Price Trends
50DMA
16.91
Negative
100DMA
17.45
Negative
200DMA
17.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
49.91
Neutral
STOCH
53.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MRG.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.78, below the 50-day MA of 16.91, and below the 200-day MA of 17.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:MRG.UN.

Morguard NA REIT UN Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$4.29B19.114.50%7.29%9.46%-42.77%
72
Outperform
C$897.76M9.025.29%4.40%3.79%-40.78%
71
Outperform
$5.52B11.776.34%6.29%11.62%1120.60%
71
Outperform
C$6.55B23.913.20%3.65%4.45%
61
Neutral
$4.74B19.16-3.00%7.93%6.45%-20.78%
60
Neutral
$2.32B-5.79%11.39%4.98%19.54%
59
Neutral
C$2.61B-2.29%5.98%-6.92%-310.05%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MRG.UN
Morguard NA REIT UN
16.80
1.48
9.66%
TSE:REI.UN
RioCan Real Estate Investment
18.56
1.77
10.57%
TSE:AP.UN
Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
16.66
1.20
7.78%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
25.18
3.91
18.38%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
9.95
1.79
21.94%
TSE:CAR.UN
Canadian Apartment
40.92
-5.28
-11.43%

Morguard NA REIT UN Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 11, 2025 | % Change Since: -0.30% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong asset growth and rent increases in Canada offset by significant net loss and decreased occupancy in the U.S. Interest expense rise and operational challenges contributed to a cautious outlook.
Highlights
Increase in Total Assets
Total assets increased to $4.4 billion in Q3 2024, up from $4.1 billion at the end of 2023, due to a fair value increase on real estate properties and foreign exchange rate fluctuations.
Strong Canadian Rent Growth
Average monthly rent in Canada increased by 6% compared to 2023, with a 24.1% AMR growth on suite turnover.
Increase in Annual Cash Distribution
Annual cash distribution increased by $0.02 per unit, a 2.7% increase, to $0.76 per unit.
Lowlights
Significant Net Loss
Net loss of $18.8 million for Q3 2024 compared to net income of $39.2 million in 2023, primarily due to noncash items such as a $99.7 million increase in fair value loss on Class B LP units.
Decrease in U.S. Occupancy
U.S. occupancy decreased to 91.7% from 93.7% in 2023, driven by turnover during the summer leasing season.
Interest Expense Increase
Interest expense increased by $5.5 million compared to Q3 2023, primarily due to higher principal and interest rates.
Decrease in Net Operating Income
IFRS net operating income decreased by $0.4 million or 0.7% compared to 2023, with NOI in the U.S. decreasing by 4%.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for MRG.UN.TO, several key financial metrics and guidance were provided. The REIT's total assets increased to $4.4 billion, up from $4.1 billion at the end of 2023, due to factors including a fair value increase in real estate properties. They reported $103.3 million in cash and a $1.7 billion long-term debt. Mortgage payables have a weighted average term of 5.1 years and an interest rate of 3.87%. The debt-to-gross book value ratio slightly increased to 38.9%. The REIT repurchased about 1.1 million units under the NCIB at an average price of $16.94, with an IFRS net asset value per unit at $41.30. The annual cash distribution was increased by 2.7% to $0.76 per unit. Despite a net loss of $18.8 million, mostly due to non-cash items, the REIT saw a net operating income of $52 million, a slight decrease from the previous year. In Canada, the average monthly rent rose by 6% to $1,754, while in the U.S., it increased by 2% to USD 1,911. Canadian occupancy was at 97.8%, and U.S. occupancy at 91.7%. The REIT also completed $31.8 million in capital expenditures. Looking ahead, the REIT plans to continue with its share buyback strategy and is exploring acquisition opportunities, particularly where cap rates are favorable.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.