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Smartcentres Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:SRU.UN)
:SRU.UN

SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust (SRU.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust

(TSX:SRU.UN)

76Outperform
SmartCentres REIT demonstrates solid cash flow, a stable financial position, and positive market momentum. The technical indicators and valuation metrics are favorable, and the recent earnings call reflects strong operational performance. Despite some concerns about profitability and interest expenses, the company's strengths in rental growth and occupancy support a positive outlook.

SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust (SRU.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust is a Canadian open-ended mutual fund trust. The company principally generates revenue from property leasing operations. Smart REIT comprises two groups of properties: retail and mixed-use. The retail group operates through the "SmartCentres" brand, and tenants include supermarkets, fitness centres, restaurants, and clothing and accessory stores. The mixed-use group operates through the "SmartUrban" brand and consists of office and residential developments in urban areas.
How the Company Makes MoneySmartCentres REIT makes money primarily through leasing space in its retail and mixed-use properties to tenants. Key revenue streams include rental income from long-term leases with major retailers, which provide a stable and predictable cash flow. Additionally, the company generates income from property management fees and development activities, such as constructing new commercial and residential projects. Strategic partnerships with large retail chains and real estate development firms also significantly contribute to its earnings by facilitating the creation of high-demand commercial spaces and residential units.

SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SmartCentres REIT shows strong cash flow and a stable financial position, but faces challenges with profitability and revenue growth. The company's manageable leverage and solid cash flow allow it to manage debt and invest in growth, although decreasing ROE impacts overall returns.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company has shown a consistent revenue base with fluctuations in profitability. The gross profit margin improved to 59.6% in 2024, up from 56.1% in 2023. Net profit margins have been volatile, with a decrease to 25.8% in 2024 from 44.5% in 2023. Revenue growth has been negative recently, declining by 1.2% from 2023 to 2024, indicating some challenges in maintaining growth.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.96 in 2024, slightly higher than 0.95 in 2023, suggesting a moderate level of leverage. The equity ratio remained stable at around 43.9% in 2024. Return on equity dropped to 4.5% in 2024 from 7.8% in 2023, indicating reduced profitability for shareholders.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow generation remains strong, with operating cash flow covering net income comfortably, evident from an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.58 in 2024. Free cash flow growth rate was 13.6% in 2024, showing robust cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.58, indicating efficient cash utilization.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
918.36M929.40M804.60M780.76M781.25M
Gross Profit
547.51M608.38M521.16M501.24M474.66M
EBIT
0.00577.57M488.42M674.38M505.97M
EBITDA
478.63M681.02M498.73M686.84M520.44M
Net Income Common Stockholders
236.75M413.70M811.11M475.28M-143.46M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
37.69M34.74M35.26M62.23M794.59M
Total Assets
11.94B11.91B11.70B11.29B10.72B
Total Debt
5.05B5.00B4.98B4.85B5.21B
Net Debt
5.01B4.96B4.95B4.79B4.42B
Total Liabilities
5.60B5.55B5.54B5.45B5.56B
Stockholders Equity
5.24B5.27B5.13B4.88B4.32B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
373.66M328.95M369.17M371.27M428.94M
Operating Cash Flow
374.21M330.85M370.76M371.62M295.98M
Investing Cash Flow
-155.53M1.52M-121.39M-413.17M-157.38M
Financing Cash Flow
-215.73M-332.89M-276.35M-690.81M600.62M

SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price25.18
Price Trends
50DMA
24.75
Positive
100DMA
24.73
Positive
200DMA
23.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Positive
RSI
50.65
Neutral
STOCH
26.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SRU.UN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 25.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.49, above the 50-day MA of 24.75, and above the 200-day MA of 23.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:SRU.UN.

SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$4.29B18.954.50%7.35%9.46%-42.77%
72
Outperform
C$3.59B17.255.20%5.11%6.55%
61
Neutral
$4.76B18.86-2.89%8.05%6.45%-20.33%
59
Neutral
C$2.61B-2.29%6.03%-6.92%-310.05%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
25.31
4.04
18.99%
RIOCF
RioCan Real Estate Investment
12.76
0.32
2.57%
TSE:FCR.UN
First Capital Realty
16.67
1.92
13.02%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
9.89
1.73
21.20%
ARESF
Artis Real Estate Investment
5.26
1.13
27.36%
PPRQF
Choice Properties Real Estate Investment
9.79
0.34
3.60%

SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 12, 2025 | % Change Since: 3.03% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a robust performance in rental growth, occupancy levels, and strategic leasing deals with major retailers like Walmart and Costco. Mixed-use development projects are progressing well, contributing to long-term growth prospects. However, there are concerns about the decrease in FFO per unit and higher interest expenses. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives.
Highlights
Strong Rental Growth
Rental growth was up 8.8% on lease extensions, excluding anchors, and 6.6% overall, contributing to a five-year high occupancy rate of 98.7%.
High Occupancy and Cash Collections
Occupancy reached a five-year high of 98.7%, with cash collections above 99%.
Successful Leasing and Development Deals
Executed 192,000 square feet of deals for vacant space and 253,000 square feet of deals for new retail construction. New leases with Walmart and Costco at key locations.
Mixed-use Development Progress
Achieved 1.8 million square feet of new permissions in Q4, bringing the year to a total of 9.8 million square feet. Significant ongoing projects like the 36-story ArtWalk project.
Improved Financial Performance
Net operating income increased by $12.3 million or 9% from the same quarter last year. FFO with adjustments was $0.56 per unit, a 9.8% increase from 2023.
Stable Financial Metrics
Adjusted debt to adjusted EBITDA decreased to 9.6 times from 9.8 times last quarter. Debt to aggregate assets ratio was steady at 43.7%.
Lowlights
Decrease in FFO per Unit
FFO per fully diluted unit was $0.53 in the quarter, down from $0.59 in the comparable quarter last year, primarily due to a fair value adjustment on a total return swap.
Higher Interest Expenses
An increase in net interest expense partially offset the increase in NOI and FFO with adjustments.
Company Guidance
In the SmartCentres REIT Q4 2024 conference call, several key metrics were highlighted reflecting the company's strong performance. Rental growth was reported at 8.8% on lease extensions, excluding anchors, and 6.6% overall, with cash collections exceeding 99%. The same property net operating income (NOI) increased by 3.8%, and occupancy reached a five-year high of 98.7%. SmartCentres executed 192,000 square feet of deals for vacant space in the quarter and 253,000 square feet for new retail construction over the year. In terms of financial results, net operating income for the quarter increased by $12.3 million or 9% compared to the same period last year, while funds from operations (FFO) per unit, with adjustments, rose by 9.8% to $0.56. Additionally, the company maintained a strong balance sheet with a debt to aggregate assets ratio of 43.7% and a liquidity position of approximately $833 million. These metrics underscore SmartCentres' robust operational and financial performance during the quarter and the full year.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.