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Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:AP.UN)
TSX:AP.UN

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (AP.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust

(TSX:AP.UN)

58Neutral
Allied Properties REIT's overall stock score is impacted by financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow. Mixed technical signals and high leverage add risk, although strategic plans for occupancy and debt reduction provide some optimism. The attractive dividend yield offers potential value but raises questions about sustainability given ongoing financial pressures.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Big Q4/24 EPS beat; South America the major growth.
Market Confidence
Increasing confidence in leasing market but occupancy gains.
Negative Factors
Debt Refinancing
Refinancing debt at higher rates is likely to offset any potential near-term improvement in occupancy.
Financial Flexibility
The elevated payout ratio reduces the REIT’s financial flexibility.
Occupancy Challenges
A material improvement in occupancy is not likely in the near term.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (AP.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (AP.UN) is a leading Canadian real estate investment trust that focuses on owning, managing, and developing urban office environments and mixed-use properties. The company primarily operates in major cities across Canada, including Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver, catering to a diverse range of tenants by providing high-quality workspaces that blend modern amenities with historic architecture.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllied Properties REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing office and retail spaces in its portfolio of urban properties. The company earns rental income from its tenants, which include various businesses ranging from technology firms to creative industries. Additionally, Allied Properties REIT benefits from property appreciation and strategic property developments, which can enhance the overall value of its portfolio. The trust may also engage in selective property sales to realize capital gains. Key partnerships with property management and development firms, as well as maintaining high occupancy rates and attracting high-quality tenants, are significant factors contributing to its earnings.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allied Properties REIT faces financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash generation, with negative margins and declining cash flows. However, the balance sheet shows reasonable equity levels, albeit with increasing leverage, which could pose risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company's revenue growth rate has been inconsistent, with the most recent year showing a modest increase in total revenue. However, profitability metrics such as net profit margin and EBITDA margin are concerning, as both are negative, indicating operational challenges and inefficiencies. The absence of EBIT further highlights these issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has increased over the years, reflecting higher leverage, which could pose financial risks. Despite this, the equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting the company maintains a decent level of financial stability. However, the return on equity has turned negative, highlighting profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow has decreased significantly, and free cash flow growth is negative, reflecting a decline in cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable due to negative net income, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the company has managed to maintain positive free cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
592.04M563.98M519.47M568.89M560.50M
Gross Profit
328.47M317.03M295.21M329.39M319.01M
EBIT
0.00-457.61M297.68M274.92M310.50M
EBITDA
-227.84M-440.00M299.00M276.08M311.97M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-342.53M-425.71M103.80M443.15M500.73M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
73.92M211.07M20.99M22.55M45.51M
Total Assets
10.60B10.61B11.91B10.38B9.40B
Total Debt
4.42B3.71B4.26B3.61B2.88B
Net Debt
4.34B3.50B4.24B3.59B2.84B
Total Liabilities
5.04B4.47B4.78B3.96B3.22B
Stockholders Equity
5.56B6.14B6.58B6.43B6.18B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
146.88M319.05M320.33M240.78M355.48M
Operating Cash Flow
147.84M320.89M321.19M241.11M356.26M
Investing Cash Flow
-381.46M659.85M-654.35M-695.80M-960.68M
Financing Cash Flow
96.48M-790.66M331.60M431.72M441.02M

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.19
Price Trends
50DMA
16.38
Negative
100DMA
16.67
Negative
200DMA
16.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
42.77
Neutral
STOCH
51.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AP.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.80, below the 50-day MA of 16.38, and below the 200-day MA of 16.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:AP.UN.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSMRC
78
Outperform
$1.21B4.656.46%0.67%-7.92%256.12%
68
Neutral
$4.91B10.496.34%6.67%11.62%1120.60%
67
Neutral
$675.75M-2.86%8.59%-10.56%81.41%
63
Neutral
C$2.50B-2.29%6.30%-6.92%-296.31%
60
Neutral
$3.00B12.400.61%9872.56%7.62%-2.59%
58
Neutral
$2.07B-5.79%12.06%4.98%19.54%
53
Neutral
$303.65M-9.20%6.25%4.16%-57.38%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AP.UN
Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
15.19
0.28
1.88%
TSE:REI.UN
RioCan Real Estate Investment
16.82
0.33
2.03%
TSE:D.UN
Dream Office Real Estate Investment
16.05
-0.46
-2.79%
TSE:MRC
Morguard (OTC)
112.30
1.96
1.78%
TSE:AX.UN
Artis Real Estate Investment
7.06
1.29
22.38%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
9.46
1.11
13.29%

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 4, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.24% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong leasing activity, improved retention rates, and successful asset dispositions, but also noted challenges such as increased vacancy in Vancouver and temporary financial metric pressures due to recent acquisitions. Overall, while there are positive trends, some financial challenges remain.
Highlights
Increased Leasing Activity
Leasing activity increased by 14% compared to the prior year, with new leasing activity up by 41% and the conversion rate for new leasing activity reaching 55% in the second half of 2024.
Improved Retention Rate
Retention rate improved to 69% in 2024, up from 61% in 2023, approaching the historical rate of 75%.
Strong User Engagement Results
Net promoter score increased by 30%, exceeding the industry average by 150%, indicating strong user satisfaction and supporting leasing activity.
Completion of Non-Core Asset Dispositions
Disposed of non-core assets totaling $229 million in 2024, above the target of $200 million, with proceeds allocated to debt repayment.
Increase in Net Operating Income
Achieved a 6.5% increase in net operating income compared to Q4 2023, and a 5.4% increase in average in-place net rent per occupied square foot.
Lowlights
Vacancy in Vancouver
Acquired vacancy in Vancouver, requiring attention by year end to improve occupied and leased areas to at least 90% by 2025.
Short-term Increase in Debt to EBITDA
Acquisitions in 2024 resulted in a temporary increase in debt to EBITDA, with a target to reduce it below 10x by the end of 2025.
Decline in FFO and AFFO
Expecting a contraction of approximately 4% on FFO and AFFO in 2025, driven by lower interest income and higher interest expense.
Company Guidance
During the Allied Properties REIT Fourth Quarter 2024 earnings call, key guidance metrics for 2025 included a target to increase both occupied and leased areas to at least 90% by year-end. The company plans to achieve this by leveraging strong leasing momentum observed in 2024, where leasing activity was up 14% year-over-year, with new leasing activity increasing by 41%. The retention rate improved to 69% in 2024, with expectations to approach the historical rate of 75% in 2025. Development completions are expected to contribute $13 million to annual EBITDA in 2025, with same asset NOI for the total portfolio projected to increase by 4.8%. On the financial front, Allied aims to reduce net debt to EBITDA below 10x by the end of 2025, aided by $300 million in targeted asset dispositions. Despite anticipated challenges, including a 4% contraction in FFO and AFFO due to higher interest expenses, the company remains optimistic about strengthening its balance sheet and achieving its operational goals.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Allied Properties Completes $400 Million Debenture Offering
Neutral
Apr 7, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust has successfully completed a $400 million private placement offering of senior unsecured debentures in Canada. The proceeds from this offering will be used to prepay an existing $400 million unsecured term loan maturing in October 2025. The debentures, rated ‘BBB’ with a negative trend by Morningstar DBRS, were issued in two series and are part of Allied’s strategy to manage its debt obligations effectively.

Spark’s Take on TSE:AP.UN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:AP.UN is a Neutral.

Allied Properties REIT’s overall stock score is impacted by financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow. Mixed technical signals and high leverage add risk, although strategic plans for occupancy and debt reduction provide some optimism. The attractive dividend yield offers potential value but raises questions about sustainability given ongoing financial pressures.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:AP.UN stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
Allied Properties to Discuss Q1 2025 Financial Results in Upcoming Conference Call
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust announced it will hold a conference call and live audio webcast on May 1, 2025, to discuss its first-quarter financial results for the period ending March 31, 2025. The financial results will be released on April 30, 2025, after market close, providing stakeholders an opportunity to gain insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction.

Private Placements and Financing
Allied Properties Announces $400 Million Debenture Offering
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust announced a $400 million private placement offering of senior unsecured debentures in Canada. The proceeds from this offering will be used to prepay an existing $400 million unsecured term loan. The debentures are expected to be rated ‘BBB’ with a negative trend by Morningstar DBRS and will rank equally with other unsecured indebtedness of the company.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Allied Properties REIT Declares March 2025 Distribution
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

Allied Properties REIT has declared a distribution of $0.15 per unit for March 2025, translating to an annualized distribution of $1.80 per unit. This announcement underscores Allied’s commitment to delivering consistent returns to its unitholders and reflects its stable financial performance in the competitive urban real estate market.

Private Placements and Financing
Allied Properties Completes $450 Million Green Bond Offering
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust has successfully completed a $450 million green bond offering, issuing series K senior unsecured debentures with a 4.808% annual interest rate, maturing in 2029. The proceeds from this offering will be used to repay a construction loan for 19 Duncan Street in Toronto and redeem series C debentures, aligning with Allied’s Green Financing Framework to support eligible green projects.

Dividends
Allied Properties REIT Declares February 2025 Distribution
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

Allied Properties REIT announced a distribution of $0.15 per unit for February 2025, equating to $1.80 annually, payable to unitholders in March. This announcement underscores Allied’s commitment to providing value to its stakeholders and reflects its stable financial positioning within the Canadian urban workspace market.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Allied Properties Launches $450 Million Green Bond to Fund Sustainable Projects
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust announced a $450 million green bond offering, with the proceeds intended for refinancing eligible green projects. The funds will initially be used to repay a construction loan for 19 Duncan Street in Toronto and series C senior unsecured debentures, emphasizing Allied’s commitment to sustainability and environmental responsibility.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allied Properties REIT Reports Steady Occupancy and Growth Prospects for 2025
Positive
Feb 4, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust reported steady occupancy and leasing rates for the fourth quarter and year-end of 2024. The company’s urban workspace portfolio, particularly in Toronto, outperformed in terms of occupancy and rent growth, with notable demand for its Allied Heritage format in Montréal, Calgary, and Vancouver. Allied expects increased demand and rent growth throughout 2025, as indicated by the 255 lease tours conducted and a renewal rate nearing normal levels.

Allied Properties REIT Declares January 2025 Distribution
Jan 15, 2025

Allied Properties REIT has declared a distribution of $0.15 per unit for January 2025, equating to $1.80 on an annual basis, payable to unitholders on February 18, 2025. This announcement underscores Allied’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its stakeholders, reinforcing its stable financial position in the real estate investment industry.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.