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Largo Resources (TSE:LGO)
TSX:LGO

Largo Resources (LGO) AI Stock Analysis

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Largo Resources

(TSX:LGO)

50Neutral
Largo Resources is facing substantial financial challenges with negative profitability and declining revenues. While technical indicators point to a bearish trend, recent strategic initiatives and corporate events offer some optimism. The company's ability to navigate market challenges and capitalize on operational efficiencies will be critical for future performance.
Positive Factors
Cost Reductions
Recent cost reductions have already lowered cash operating costs excluding royalties to $3.67 per pound compared with $5.44 per pound previously.
Joint Venture
The formation of a joint venture with Stryten Energy could become a major force in the U.S. domestic vanadium production and supply chain.
Technical Report
The updated economic scenario from the technical report shows a substantial increase in mineral reserves and resources, with proven and probable reserves now totaling 101.0Mt, a 67% increase.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
Largo's notable decrease in revenue was driven by a sharp decline in the company's production and further exacerbated by weakness in the market price of vanadium.
Production Challenges
A decrease in the effective ore grade mined and a decline in Largo's recovery rate impacted production results negatively.
Revenue Decline
The 32% YoY revenue decrease can be attributed to a significant decline in Largo's revenue per pound (lbs) of V to $6.46/lb (-25% YoY) since vanadium pricing remains quite weak.

Largo Resources (LGO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Largo Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLargo Resources Ltd. (LGO) is a Canadian-based natural resource company primarily engaged in the production and supply of vanadium. The company operates one of the highest-grade vanadium mines in the world, the Maracás Menchen Mine located in Brazil. Largo Resources focuses on the mining, production, and commercialization of vanadium products, which are essential in various industrial applications including steel manufacturing, aerospace, and energy storage solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyLargo Resources generates revenue primarily through the mining and sale of vanadium products. The company extracts vanadium ore from its Maracás Menchen Mine, processes it into different vanadium compounds, and sells these products to a global customer base. The key revenue streams include the sale of vanadium pentoxide, which is used in the production of ferrovanadium for steel strengthening, and vanadium trioxide, used in the aerospace industry. Additionally, Largo is expanding its presence in the renewable energy sector by developing vanadium redox flow batteries for energy storage, which represents a growing segment of its business. The company's earnings are also influenced by strategic partnerships with industrial manufacturers and fluctuations in global vanadium prices.

Largo Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Largo Resources faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability. The balance sheet provides some stability, but cash flow issues and negative profit margins highlight operational inefficiencies and potential liquidity risks. Strategic changes may be necessary to improve financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue from the previous year, with a significant negative net income leading to unfavorable net profit margins. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period exhibits negative gross profit and EBIT margins, highlighting operational challenges. The EBITDA margin has also deteriorated, indicating reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates some reliance on debt but not overly leveraged. However, the return on equity is negative due to losses, which is concerning. The equity ratio remains relatively healthy, providing some stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow growth and a weakened operating cash flow to net income ratio. These factors suggest potential liquidity challenges. However, the company maintains a positive operating cash flow, which provides some operational liquidity, albeit insufficient to cover capital expenditures.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
144.82M198.68M229.25M198.28M119.99M107.18M
Gross Profit
-14.02M23.93M59.53M65.27M31.60M12.38M
EBIT
-46.02M-16.28M16.97M36.97M18.80M
EBITDA
-29.52M3.82M37.71M69.45M35.58M19.69M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-48.86M-30.34M-2.23M22.57M6.76M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.26M42.71M54.47M83.79M79.14M127.14M
Total Assets
54.69M381.62M355.75M313.91M297.81M356.83M
Total Debt
0.0076.53M42.05M17.55M24.79M0.00
Net Debt
-1.26M33.81M-12.42M-66.24M-54.36M-127.14M
Total Liabilities
13.76M125.82M81.20M48.21M50.64M85.40M
Stockholders Equity
40.93M248.65M265.39M265.70M247.16M271.43M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-31.41M-32.51M-42.18M12.38M-77.61M68.05M
Operating Cash Flow
9.26M21.20M3.46M39.78M-59.51M106.63M
Investing Cash Flow
-39.74M-62.88M-60.15M-27.40M-18.11M
Financing Cash Flow
22.22M29.13M26.43M-6.90M30.23M

Largo Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.98
Price Trends
50DMA
2.54
Negative
100DMA
2.60
Negative
200DMA
2.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
38.84
Neutral
STOCH
13.85
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.42, below the 50-day MA of 2.54, and below the 200-day MA of 2.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:LGO.

Largo Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSOR
71
Outperform
C$5.36B240.721.33%0.97%6.02%
TSFM
58
Neutral
$14.14B0.02%-24.38%99.06%
TSGMA
55
Neutral
C$13.62M-58.91%-83.85%-24.32%
TSLGO
50
Neutral
$126.94M-24.10%-36.34%-66.53%
47
Neutral
$2.43B-2.83-21.77%3.74%4.16%-28.83%
TSAVL
42
Neutral
$15.37M-5.23%-1118.18%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:LGO
Largo Resources
1.98
-0.15
-7.04%
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
28.79
6.55
29.45%
TSE:AVL
Avalon Advanced Materials
0.03
-0.06
-68.75%
TSE:FM
First Quantum Minerals
16.95
1.01
6.34%
TSE:GMA
Geomega Resources
0.10
-0.02
-16.67%

Largo Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 28, 2025 | % Change Since: -19.18% | Next Earnings Date: May 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed view with significant achievements in production and cost management but faced challenges due to lower vanadium prices and market demand. While operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives show promise for future growth, current financial performance is still under pressure from external market factors.
Highlights
Record Vanadium Production
Largo delivered its highest quarterly vanadium production in 7 quarters, producing 3,072 tonnes, up 42% from Q3 last year.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Operating costs decreased by 31% from $44 million in Q3 2023 to $29.5 million in Q3 2024, and cash operating costs, excluding royalties, were reduced by 43%.
Ilmenite Production Increase
Ilmenite production reached 16,383 tonnes, an increase of 90% over the previous quarter.
Increase in Mineral Reserves and Resources
A 67% increase in mineral reserves and a 64% increase in mineral resources were reported, expanding mine life to 2054.
Successful Ilmenite Sales
Ilmenite sales totaled 19,572 tonnes, a 60% increase over Q2 2024.
Lowlights
Revenue Impacted by Lower Vanadium Prices
Revenues were $29.9 million, impacted by lower vanadium prices and reduced sales volumes, with the average benchmark price per pound of V205 in Europe down to $5.71 compared to $8.03 in Q3 2023.
Net Loss Reported
A net loss of $10.1 million was reported in Q3 2024, compared to a net loss of $11.9 million in Q3 2023.
Decreased Vanadium Sales Volume
Vanadium sales volume decreased by 18% due to softer spot demand, particularly in Asia and Europe.
Challenges in Vanadium Market
Continued headwinds in the vanadium market, especially within the steel sector, and oversupply in the Chinese market have pressured prices.
Potential Impact on Q4 Production
Q4 production is expected to be impacted by annual kiln maintenance, resulting in lower production levels and higher operating costs.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Largo, the company provided detailed guidance on several operational and financial metrics. They reported their highest quarterly vanadium production in seven quarters, reaching 3,072 tonnes, a 42% increase compared to Q3 2023. Operating costs were reduced by 31%, dropping from $44 million in the previous year to $29.5 million this quarter, with cash operating costs excluding royalties at $3.12 per pound sold, a 43% decrease. Their net loss improved to $10.1 million, including $3.3 million in nonrecurring items, compared to a $11.9 million loss the previous year. Additionally, Largo announced a vanadium supply agreement expected to unlock $23.5 million in liquidity. The company also highlighted a 67% increase in mineral reserves and a 64% increase in mineral resources, projecting a mine life extending to 2054. Despite ongoing challenges in vanadium prices, the strategic initiatives and production efficiencies position Largo to capitalize on future opportunities.

Largo Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Largo Resources Reports 2024 Financial Results and Announces Turnaround Plan Amid Market Challenges
Negative
Mar 28, 2025

Largo Resources reported a challenging financial year in 2024, with revenues declining by 37% compared to 2023 due to lower vanadium prices and market pressures. Despite these challenges, the company successfully implemented cost reduction measures, resulting in a significant decrease in operating costs and an improvement in adjusted cash operating costs per pound sold. The company also announced an operational turnaround plan to further optimize costs and enhance productivity at its Maracás Menchen Mine. The vanadium market faced downward pressure due to reduced demand and oversupply, impacting Largo’s financial performance. However, the company remains committed to improving its operational efficiency and market positioning.

Business Operations and Strategy
Largo Resources Announces Strategic Production Initiative
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

Largo Resources, a company in the vanadium industry, has announced a strategic initiative aimed at enhancing its production capabilities. This move is expected to bolster its market position by improving operational efficiency and potentially increasing its market share. The initiative reflects Largo’s commitment to innovation and efficiency in response to evolving market demands.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Largo Inc. Reports 2024 Results and 2025 Outlook Amid Market Shifts
Neutral
Feb 10, 2025

Largo Inc. reported a slight decrease in vanadium pentoxide production and sales for 2024 compared to the previous year, largely due to scheduled maintenance and market conditions. Despite these challenges, the company remains within its production and sales guidance, with significant increases in mineral reserves and resources extending the mine’s life. The vanadium market saw decreased prices and softened demand in Europe and China, while the aerospace sector remains strong and the U.S. steel market stable. Looking ahead, 2025 is expected to see continued demand in the U.S. steel and aerospace sectors, with China’s energy storage driving future vanadium consumption.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Largo and Stryten Energy Form Storion Energy to Boost U.S. Energy Storage
Positive
Feb 4, 2025

Largo Inc. has finalized a joint venture with Stryten Energy to form Storion Energy, aimed at strengthening U.S. energy resilience and addressing long-duration energy storage needs. This partnership creates a fully integrated vanadium electrolyte supply chain in North America, enhancing grid stability and energy security. Storion will leverage Largo’s vanadium supply, LPV’s innovative electrolyte leasing model, and Stryten’s manufacturing capabilities to provide cost-competitive solutions, positioning Largo as a leading supplier in the vanadium flow battery market.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.