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Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (TSE:OR)
TSX:OR

Osisko Gold Royalties (OR) AI Stock Analysis

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Osisko Gold Royalties

(TSX:OR)

71Outperform
Osisko Gold Royalties presents a stable but mixed investment opportunity. The company's strong balance sheet and record revenues are significant strengths, while valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and modest dividend yield present risks. The upward price momentum supports investor confidence, while recent corporate events and positive earnings call sentiment indicate ongoing strategic growth. However, challenges in revenue growth and cash management inconsistencies highlight areas needing improvement.
Positive Factors
Financial Flexibility
Osisko has ample capacity to execute on new transactions, or otherwise be debt-free with available capacity of $414.9M plus an uncommitted accordion of up to $200.0M.
Portfolio Quality
Osisko Gold Royalties has a number of quality, long-life portfolio royalties and streams on assets that are generally seen as low cost and in stable jurisdictions.
Negative Factors
Development Risk
Development risk exposure remains a concern.
Earnings Performance
Osisko reported Q1/25 GEO results that were a bit below expectations.

Osisko Gold Royalties (OR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Osisko Gold Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOsisko Gold Royalties Ltd (OR) is a leading intermediate precious metal royalty and streaming company focused on North American assets. Based in Montreal, Canada, the company is primarily engaged in acquiring and managing a diversified portfolio of royalties, streams, and other interests on gold and other precious metals. Osisko Gold Royalties aims to provide its shareholders with high-quality exposure to precious metal prices and offers a unique investment opportunity within the mining sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyOsisko Gold Royalties generates revenue primarily through its royalty and streaming agreements with mining operators. In a royalty agreement, Osisko receives a percentage of the revenue or a fixed payment based on the production from the mining operations. In a streaming agreement, the company provides upfront capital to mining operators in exchange for the right to purchase a fixed percentage of the produced metal at a predetermined price. This model allows Osisko to benefit from the production and price increases of precious metals without the operational risks associated with direct mining operations. The company's earnings are further enhanced by its strategic investments in mining companies and its ability to optimize its portfolio through acquisitions and sales of royalty and streaming interests.

Osisko Gold Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Osisko Gold Royalties shows a mixed financial picture with modest revenue growth and strong gross profit margins. However, consistent net losses and fluctuating EBIT margins present operational challenges. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but profitability remains a concern. Recent cash flow improvements provide optimism, although historical performance has been inconsistent.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown a modest revenue growth over the years with a slight increase in the latest TTM. Gross profit margin has remained relatively strong, but net profit margin continues to be negative due to significant net income losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins have been inconsistent, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Osisko Gold Royalties has maintained a strong equity base with a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability. However, the return on equity is negatively impacted by consistent net losses. The equity ratio remains robust, reflecting a solid financial position despite some liabilities.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow situation shows improvement in the TTM with positive free cash flow, but historical free cash flow has been negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests strong cash generation relative to reported net losses, indicating potential for future financial recovery.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
248.02M247.32M217.81M224.88M213.63M392.60M
Gross Profit
192.33M173.06M150.38M138.87M104.33M82.71M
EBIT
56.37M98.06M122.97M92.30M64.60M35.14M
EBITDA
33.65M33.55M189.74M178.06M107.83M-180.57M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-54.91M-48.34M85.28M-56.67M16.88M-234.19M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
161.41M75.92M90.55M115.70M306.02M128.93M
Total Assets
2.22B2.01B2.00B2.37B2.40B1.95B
Total Debt
316.95M199.88M155.57M428.80M411.80M349.04M
Net Debt
155.55M132.16M65.02M313.10M109.27M240.82M
Total Liabilities
490.93M356.94M259.09M590.56M556.07M453.81M
Stockholders Equity
1.73B1.65B1.74B1.63B1.73B1.49B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
134.66M-104.08M-14.26M-170.14M-29.91M7.46M
Operating Cash Flow
200.62M187.03M109.95M106.09M107.98M91.60M
Investing Cash Flow
57.94M-219.84M-381.86M-272.04M-223.10M7.56M
Financing Cash Flow
-270.18M14.31M219.24M-19.60M316.86M-161.91M

Osisko Gold Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.53
Price Trends
50DMA
28.02
Positive
100DMA
27.47
Positive
200DMA
26.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.80
Negative
RSI
66.90
Neutral
STOCH
85.15
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.19, above the 50-day MA of 28.02, and above the 200-day MA of 26.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OR.

Osisko Gold Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSK
80
Outperform
$22.60B17.3714.66%0.89%23.38%131.87%
TSWPM
79
Outperform
$47.80B65.917.43%0.80%28.41%-0.59%
TSFNV
74
Outperform
C$40.83B53.939.38%0.97%-7.22%
TSEQX
72
Outperform
$4.02B10.129.23%41.78%619.60%
TSOR
71
Outperform
$5.36B240.721.33%0.92%6.02%
TSSSL
68
Neutral
C$2.99B155.021.00%0.80%-0.35%-65.11%
47
Neutral
$2.44B-2.84-22.09%3.51%4.02%-28.91%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
31.10
9.12
41.48%
TSE:SSL
Sandstorm Gold
11.00
3.68
50.38%
TSE:K
Kinross Gold
19.93
11.26
129.93%
TSE:EQX
Equinox Gold
9.10
0.88
10.71%
TSE:WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals
114.05
43.41
61.45%
TSE:FNV
Franco-Nevada
230.96
70.18
43.65%

Osisko Gold Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 19, 2025 | % Change Since: 10.26% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive financial year with record revenues and a strong cash position. However, challenges remain with certain operations and growth projections, particularly with Mantos Blancos and the absence of the Eagle mine in future outlooks.
Highlights
Record Annual Revenue
Osisko achieved record annual revenues of $191.2 million at a peer-leading cash margin of 96.5%.
Strong Precious Metals Performance
Osisko earned 80,740 gold equivalent ounces in 2024, slightly above the midpoint of the company's revised guidance.
Solid Financial Position
Osisko ended 2024 with $59 million in cash and net debt of just under $35 million after paying down $85 million against its revolving credit facility.
Dividend Consistency
Osisko declared and paid its 41st consecutive quarterly dividend of $0.065 per share.
New Asset Contributions
The addition of the Namdini mine in Ghana, with first gold poured in November 2024, marks a new production asset for Osisko.
Lowlights
Mantos Blancos Performance Challenges
Capstone's Mantos Blancos experienced a year-over-year decrease in performance due to milling rates below Phase 1 expansion design levels.
Lower 2025 Growth Expectations
The slope of GEO delivery growth in 2025 is expected to be less steep than previously anticipated due to mine sequencing and ramp-up challenges.
Eagle Mine Absence in Outlook
The updated five-year outlook to 2029 is lower than previous expectations due to the absence of the Eagle mine, which had been expected to contribute 10,000 GEOs.
Company Guidance
In the Osisko Gold Royalties Q4 and Year 2024 Results Conference Call, key financial metrics highlighted included the earning of 20,005 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) in Q4, culminating in an aggregate of 80,740 GEOs for the full year. This result was slightly above the midpoint of the revised guidance range of 77,000 to 83,000 GEOs. The company achieved record annual revenues of $191.2 million, with a cash margin of 96.5%. Osisko ended 2024 with $59 million in cash and net debt of just under $35 million, after reducing its revolving credit facility by nearly $85 million. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.065 per share, with a similar dividend approved for April 2025. Looking forward, Osisko expects GEO delivery growth in 2025, although at a less steep trajectory than previously anticipated, with a guidance range of 80,000 to 88,000 GEOs for the year, maintaining a cash margin of approximately 97%. The company's five-year outlook projects continued growth, driven by existing and new production assets, despite the absence of expected contributions from the Eagle mine.

Osisko Gold Royalties Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Osisko Gold Royalties Files 2024 Year-End Disclosure Documents
Neutral
Mar 28, 2025

Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd has filed its 2024 year-end disclosure documents, including the Annual Information Form, Consolidated Annual Financial Statements, and Management’s Discussion and Analysis with Canadian securities regulatory authorities. Additionally, the company has submitted its Annual Report on Form 40-F to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This filing is a routine part of Osisko’s regulatory compliance, ensuring transparency and providing stakeholders with essential financial and operational information.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Osisko Gold Royalties Declares Q1 2025 Dividend and Highlights Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd announced a first quarter 2025 dividend of C$0.065 per common share, payable on April 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of March 31, 2025. The company also highlighted its dividend reinvestment plan available to Canadian and U.S. shareholders, offering an opportunity to reinvest dividends into additional shares, potentially influencing shareholder value and engagement.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Osisko Gold Royalties Achieves Record 2024 Financial Results and Expands Global Portfolio
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

Osisko Gold Royalties announced record financial results for 2024, with revenues of $191.2 million and operating cash flows of $159.9 million, demonstrating significant financial growth and stability. Notable activities include major investments in new projects, expanded streams, and royalties, alongside strategic board appointments, underscoring its robust industry positioning and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.