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TEGNA Inc. (TGNA)
:TGNA

TEGNA (TGNA) AI Stock Analysis

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TEGNA

(NYSE:TGNA)

74Outperform
TEGNA's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance with effective cash flow management and an attractive valuation. The earnings call highlights significant revenue growth and cost-cutting achievements, although challenges in advertising revenue remain. Technical analysis indicates stable stock momentum, contributing to a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
New CEO Mike Steib is effectively going through expenses with a fine-toothed comb, potentially leading to more cost savings and possibly even revenue growth longer-term.
Investment and Growth
The company's investment in growing OTT ad capabilities can be beneficial as that media gains share of spend by candidates.
Regulatory Environment
There is optimism for regulatory relief, including conversations with lawmakers to modernize rules, which could benefit TEGNA.
Negative Factors
Market Trends
Fourth quarter AMS trends were impacted by political displacement and were down 11% YOY.
National Advertising Market
The new CEO faces challenges in convincing stakeholders of TEGNA's potential beyond acquisitions, amidst stuttering growth at Premion and a challenging national advertising market.
Subscription Growth
Subscription growth may struggle to post positive gains for the second consecutive year, following a likely 5% decline.

TEGNA (TGNA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

TEGNA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTEGNA Inc. operates as a media company in the United States. The company operates television stations that deliver television programming and digital content. It offers news content to consumers across various platforms, including online, mobile, and social platforms; owns and operates multicast networks under the names True Crime Network, Quest, and Twist that offer on-demand episodes of shows; and operates VAULT Studios, which provides true crime and investigative content in the form of podcasts and original television programs. The company also provides solutions for advertisers through TEGNA Marketing Solutions (TMS). TMS delivers results for advertisers across television and digital platforms, as well as over-the-top (OTT) platforms, including Premion OTT advertising network. As of February 28, 2022, it operated 64 television stations in 51 markets. The company was formerly known as Gannett Co., Inc. and changed its name to TEGNA Inc. in June 2015. TEGNA Inc. was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Tysons, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyTEGNA Inc. generates revenue primarily through advertising sales and retransmission consent fees. Advertising sales are driven by its television stations, which attract local and national advertisers looking to reach audiences through broadcast and digital platforms. These advertisements can be displayed during commercial breaks in programming or integrated into digital content. Retransmission consent fees are payments received from cable and satellite operators who retransmit TEGNA's television stations to their subscribers. Additionally, TEGNA may earn revenue from producing and distributing original content, syndication deals, and digital advertising on its websites and mobile applications. Strategic partnerships with other media companies and content producers can also contribute to its earnings by expanding its content offerings and audience reach.

TEGNA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TEGNA demonstrates strong financial performance with stable profitability and robust cash flow generation. Despite high leverage posing a risk, effective equity utilization and cash flow management mitigate these concerns. Continued focus on revenue growth and debt management could enhance future financial health.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TEGNA demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent Gross Profit Margin and an improving Net Profit Margin due to efficient cost management. Revenue growth was volatile, but recent years show a recovery trend. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is relatively high, reflecting significant leverage, which can pose financial risks. However, TEGNA maintains a solid Return on Equity, showcasing effective use of shareholder investments. The Equity Ratio has improved over time, indicating better asset management.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
TEGNA has demonstrated robust Free Cash Flow growth, improving its liquidity position. The strong Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio highlights efficient cash generation relative to net earnings, signaling financial stability and capability to cover debts.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.10B2.91B3.28B2.99B2.94B
Gross Profit
1.35B1.19B1.59B1.39B1.43B
EBIT
784.78M733.54M990.63M802.22M870.98M
EBITDA
1.06B892.69M1.13B940.57M1.00B
Net Income Common Stockholders
599.82M476.72M629.91M477.00M481.83M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
693.21M361.04M551.68M56.99M40.97M
Total Assets
7.33B7.00B7.33B6.92B6.85B
Total Debt
3.14B3.16B3.15B3.32B3.65B
Net Debt
2.45B2.80B2.60B3.26B3.61B
Total Liabilities
4.30B4.28B4.24B4.38B4.78B
Stockholders Equity
3.00B2.70B3.07B2.52B2.06B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
632.53M532.55M760.82M438.54M759.64M
Operating Cash Flow
684.97M587.25M812.15M501.61M805.14M
Investing Cash Flow
31.77M-27.99M-51.23M-69.26M-59.52M
Financing Cash Flow
-384.56M-749.90M-266.23M-416.33M-734.05M

TEGNA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.73
Price Trends
50DMA
17.89
Negative
100DMA
18.05
Negative
200DMA
16.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
55.65
Neutral
STOCH
36.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TGNA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.00, below the 50-day MA of 17.89, and below the 200-day MA of 16.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TGNA.

TEGNA Risk Analysis

TEGNA disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TEGNA reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TEGNA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SSSSP
80
Outperform
$208.35M2.3811.68%9.46%
79
Outperform
$4.68B7.1731.65%4.52%9.61%128.67%
74
Outperform
$2.56B4.5421.01%3.12%6.56%57.12%
GTGTN
71
Outperform
$403.85M1.0813.50%8.79%11.06%
58
Neutral
$24.96B3.11-10.53%4.28%2.32%-43.03%
56
Neutral
$915.95M2.9471.43%7.26%13.21%
GCGCI
44
Neutral
$418.53M-11.19%-5.79%-10.12%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TGNA
TEGNA
15.73
2.03
14.82%
SSP
E. W. Scripps Company Class A
2.35
-1.13
-32.47%
GTN
Gray Television
3.47
-1.95
-35.98%
NXST
Nexstar Media Group
150.67
-8.19
-5.16%
SBGI
Sinclair Broadcast
13.29
1.63
13.98%
GCI
Gannett
2.72
0.23
9.24%

TEGNA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -4.72% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with strong revenue growth, particularly from political advertising and digital revenue, and significant progress in cost-cutting initiatives. However, there are challenges in AMS revenue, increased programming expenses, and ongoing advertising sector difficulties, particularly in automotive.
Highlights
Record Revenue Growth
TEGNA's total company revenue for the fourth quarter increased 20% year over year to $871 million, and for the full year, revenue grew 7% to $3.1 billion.
Political Advertising Success
TEGNA generated $373 million in political advertising revenue for full year 2024, nearly matching 2020 results despite fewer competitive races.
Digital Revenue Growth
TEGNA reported digital revenue growth year over year, driven by its owned and operated suite of digital products offsetting a slight decline in premium revenue.
Cost-Cutting Initiatives
TEGNA achieved approximately $50 million in annualized savings by the end of 2024, contributing to a target of $90 to $100 million in core non-programming annualized savings by the end of 2025.
Strong Financial Position
TEGNA reported cash and cash equivalents totaling $693 million at year-end, with a net leverage of 2.7 times, below the three times annual guidance.
Lowlights
Advertising and Marketing Services Revenue Decline
AMS revenue faced pressure in the fourth quarter, finishing 11% below last year due to political displacement and continued softness from national accounts.
Programming Expenses Increase
Fourth quarter expenses finished 2% higher than last year, driven by programming expenses, which include local sports rights.
Core Advertising Challenges
Automotive advertising continues to be challenged, mostly in tier one and tier two, despite some sequential improvement.
Company Guidance
During the Q4 2024 earnings call, TEGNA Inc. provided guidance for both the full year and the first quarter of 2025. They reported a 20% year-over-year increase in Q4 revenue to $871 million, driven by political advertising. For the full year, they achieved $3.1 billion in revenue and $931 million in adjusted EBITDA. TEGNA reaffirmed their 2024-2025 guidance, projecting adjusted EBITDA between $1 billion and $1.1 billion. For Q1 2025, they expect a 4% to 7% revenue decline due to reduced political advertising but anticipate non-GAAP operating expenses to remain flat or increase slightly. The company aims to achieve $90 to $100 million in annualized savings by the end of 2025. TEGNA plans to renew approximately 45% of their traditional MVPD subscribers in 2025, with a focus on leveraging digital revenue growth and operational efficiencies.

TEGNA Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Karen Grimes to Retire from TEGNA’s Board
Neutral
Feb 12, 2025

On February 9, 2025, Karen Grimes announced her decision to retire from TEGNA Inc.’s Board of Directors and not to seek re-election at the 2025 annual meeting of shareholders. Her departure is not due to any disagreements with the company, and TEGNA expressed gratitude for her service and contributions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.