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P10 Holdings (PX)
NYSE:PX

P10 Holdings (PX) AI Stock Analysis

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PX

P10 Holdings

(NYSE:PX)

67Neutral
P10 Holdings demonstrates strong growth potential, reflected in solid financial performance and strategic achievements. However, high leverage, inconsistent profitability, and potential valuation concerns pose risks. Technical indicators suggest caution, with bearish momentum and downward pressure. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic initiatives support a stable outlook, pending margin management.
Positive Factors
Financial Targets
Long-term financial targets are ahead of expectations across fee-paying AUM (FPAUM) and fee-related earnings (FRE) margins.
Leadership Changes
The appointment of Luke Sarsfield as CEO is a significant development for the company.
Valuation
Private markets growth at a compelling valuation has resulted in an initiation at an overweight rating.
Negative Factors
Growth Outlook
Slower than expected growth outlook has led to a downgrade.

P10 Holdings (PX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

P10 Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionP10, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a multi-asset class private market solutions provider in the alternative asset management industry in the United States. The company offers private equity, venture capital, private credit, impact investing, and private credit services, as well as primary fund of funds, secondary investment, and direct and co-investments services. It also provides tax credit transaction and consulting services. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyP10 Holdings generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance-based incentives. The company earns management fees by overseeing and managing assets on behalf of its clients, typically calculated as a percentage of the total assets under management. Additionally, P10 Holdings may receive performance fees, which are contingent on achieving specific investment benchmarks or returns. These fee structures incentivize the firm to enhance investment performance while aligning its interests with those of their investors. Strategic partnerships with institutional investors and other financial entities further bolster their revenue streams by expanding their investment reach and capabilities.

P10 Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
P10 Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth and efficient operational management, despite inconsistent profitability, notably in 2023. The balance sheet shows significant leverage, posing potential risks. Cash flow statements indicate robust cash generation, supporting growth and operations. Overall, the company is positioned for future growth if profitability and leverage are addressed.
Income Statement
78
Positive
P10 Holdings has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trajectory over the years, with a significant increase in total revenue from 2020 to 2024. The gross profit margin has remained healthy, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has been volatile, with a notable negative margin in 2023 due to a net loss, signaling some profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, showing good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting significant leverage which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity has been positive overall, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio has been stable, suggesting a balanced approach to financing assets with equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
P10 Holdings has shown impressive free cash flow growth, with a substantial increase in free cash flow in 2024 compared to previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash-generating ability relative to net income. The company has also managed to maintain a stable free cash flow to net income ratio, demonstrating effective cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
296.45M241.73M198.36M150.53M67.37M
Gross Profit
141.13M87.45M104.06M95.78M42.84M
EBIT
60.62M20.92M43.42M40.35M8.69M
EBITDA
91.83M48.69M72.32M56.59M24.26M
Net Income Common Stockholders
18.70M-7.13M29.21M10.77M23.81M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
67.45M30.47M20.02M40.92M11.77M
Total Assets
869.27M834.07M826.36M676.22M582.43M
Total Debt
340.37M310.12M307.78M228.20M297.74M
Net Debt
272.92M279.65M287.76M187.28M285.96M
Total Liabilities
482.39M408.91M392.48M281.05M522.59M
Stockholders Equity
347.00M385.59M393.14M395.16M59.84M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
96.59M46.22M60.21M48.86M10.64M
Operating Cash Flow
100.97M47.69M61.67M49.02M10.67M
Investing Cash Flow
-5.80M-2.25M-98.59M-47.40M-214.19M
Financing Cash Flow
-59.11M-42.87M22.93M29.08M196.84M

P10 Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.48
Price Trends
50DMA
12.41
Negative
100DMA
12.73
Negative
200DMA
11.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
42.34
Neutral
STOCH
21.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.54, below the 50-day MA of 12.41, and below the 200-day MA of 11.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PX.

P10 Holdings Risk Analysis

P10 Holdings disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. P10 Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

P10 Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
APAPO
73
Outperform
$62.00B15.1628.29%1.70%-20.40%-13.30%
CGCG
68
Neutral
$12.96B12.9418.90%3.90%62.87%
PXPX
67
Neutral
$1.05B61.045.11%1.48%22.63%
BXBX
65
Neutral
$152.38B34.5336.95%3.16%21.25%97.42%
KKKKR
64
Neutral
$82.42B28.3213.23%0.75%42.19%-18.20%
64
Neutral
$37.23B56.9915.93%3.31%6.12%-15.84%
63
Neutral
$12.86B9.199.16%4.78%16.31%-8.97%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PX
P10 Holdings
9.93
1.68
20.36%
APO
Apollo Global Management
112.36
-2.10
-1.83%
KKR
KKR & Co
97.54
-3.52
-3.48%
BX
Blackstone Group
124.65
-1.33
-1.06%
CG
Carlyle Group
36.92
-9.13
-19.83%
ARES
Ares Management
124.73
-6.94
-5.27%

P10 Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 12, 2025 | % Change Since: -29.25% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant achievements in fundraising, revenue growth, and strategic acquisitions, indicating strong momentum and a positive outlook for 2025. However, challenges regarding margin pressures and the non-recurring nature of recent catch-up fees present areas of concern.
Highlights
Record Fundraising and Revenue Growth
P10 exceeded its financial and operating guidance with $3.8 billion in gross fundraising, a 23% increase in revenues, and a 17% rise in adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2024.
Successful Bonaccord Capital Partners Fund II Closing
Bonaccord Capital Partners closed Fund II with a record $1.6 billion, marking the first fund of P10 to attract more than $1 billion in capital.
Strategic Acquisitions and M&A Activity
Announced the acquisition of Qualitas Funds, a leading European private equity fund of funds manager, poised to expand P10's European investor base and product offerings.
Expanding Global LP Base
P10's global LP base grew to over 3,800 relationships, expected to increase to approximately 5,000 with the addition of Qualitas Funds.
Strong Financial Metrics
Fee-related revenue grew by 14%, and full year FRE margins were 48.8%. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the fourth quarter was 50.5%.
Lowlights
Pressure on FRE Margins
The ongoing mix shift within P10's portfolio, with newer and faster-growing strategies having lower core FRE margins, is expected to put downward pressure on margins.
Impact of Catch-Up Fees
Extraordinary catch-up fees, particularly from Bonaccord II, are not expected to be repeated, potentially affecting future fee rate stability.
Modest Downward Margin Pressure from Qualitas Funds
The acquisition of Qualitas Funds is expected to exert modest downward pressure on 2025 FRE margins, already factored into mid-40% guidance.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024, P10 demonstrated robust financial performance, surpassing its projected targets from early 2024. The company achieved $3.8 billion in gross fundraising, significantly exceeding the $2.5 billion guidance, and realized a 23% increase in revenue, as well as a 17% rise in adjusted EBITDA. Additionally, P10's fee-paying Assets Under Management (AUM) grew by 10%, with revenues from fee-related activities increasing by 14%, excluding direct and secondary catch-up fees. The firm reported a full-year fee-related earnings (FRE) margin of 48.8%. For 2025, P10 anticipates further growth, with expectations of at least $4 billion in gross fundraising and plans to have 19 commingled funds in the market. Furthermore, they project step downs and expirations to account for 5% to 7% of fee-paying AUM, with a core fee rate of 103 basis points, excluding catch-up fees.

P10 Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
P10 Holdings Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Jan 7, 2025

P10, Inc. has appointed Andrew Corsi as the new Chief Accounting Officer, effective January 1, 2025. This appointment comes as part of a leadership transition where Amanda Coussens will continue her role as Chief Financial Officer. Andrew Corsi, who has been with the company since April 2021 as Corporate Controller, brings experience from his previous roles at Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Ernst & Young, and holds a CPA license in Texas. This leadership change is expected to maintain stability in the company’s financial operations without any known implications or conflicts of interest.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.