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KKR & Co (KKR)
NYSE:KKR

KKR & Co (KKR) AI Stock Analysis

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KKR & Co

(NYSE:KKR)

69Neutral
KKR's overall score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. However, challenges in technical indicators, high valuation metrics, and legal risks temper the outlook. The stock is on a positive trajectory but faces potential headwinds that require careful management.
Positive Factors
Financial performance
KKR's adjusted net income per share exceeded estimates, showing strong financial performance.
Fundraising and capital raising
The favorable growth outlook is supported by a fundraising supercycle, with potential upside to capital raising expectations for upcoming years.
Negative Factors
Earnings dilution
The issuance is expected to be 1.7% dilutive on a full-year basis.
Economic conditions
Downside risks involve a worsening economic backdrop, negative sentiment toward financial services stocks, and potential weakness in equity markets.

KKR & Co (KKR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

KKR & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKKR & Co. Inc. is a private equity and real estate investment firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments. It specializes in acquisitions, leveraged buyouts, management buyouts, credit special situations, growth equity, mature, mezzanine, distressed, turnaround, lower middle market and middle market investments. The firm considers investments in all industries with a focus on software, security, semiconductors, consumer electronics, internet of things (iot), internet, information services, information technology infrastructure, financial technology, network and cyber security architecture, engineering and operations, content, technology and hardware, energy and infrastructure, real estate, services industry with a focus on business services, intelligence, industry-leading franchises and companies in natural resource, containers and packaging, agriculture, airports, ports, forestry, electric utilities, textiles, apparel and luxury goods, household durables, digital media, insurance, brokerage houses, non-durable goods distribution, supermarket retailing, grocery stores, food, beverage, and tobacco, hospitals, entertainment venues and production companies, publishing, printing services, capital goods, financial services, specialized finance, pipelines, and renewable energy. In energy and infrastructure, it focuses on the upstream oil and gas and equipment, minerals and royalties and services verticals. In real estate, the firm seeks to invest in private and public real estate securities including property-level equity, debt and special situations transactions and businesses with significant real estate holdings, and oil and natural gas properties. The firm also invests in asset services sector that encompasses a broad array of B2B, B2C and B2G services verticals including asset-based, transport, logistics, leisure/hospitality, resource and utility support, infra-like, mission-critical, and environmental services. Within Americas, the firm prefers to invest in consumer products; chemicals, metals and mining; energy and natural resources; financial services; healthcare; industrials; media and communications; retail; and technology. Within Europe, the firm invests in consumer and retail; energy; financial services; health care; industrials and chemicals; media and digital; and telecom and technologies. Within Asia, it invests in consumer products; energy and resources; financial services; healthcare; industrials; logistics; media and telecom; retail; real estate; and technology. It also seeks to make impact investments focused on identifying and investing behind businesses with positive social or environmental impact. The firm seeks to invest in mid to high-end residential developments, but can invest in other projects throughout Mainland China through outright ownership, joint ventures, and merger. It invests globally with a focus on Australia, emerging and developed Asia, Middle East and Africa, Nordic, Southeast Asia, Asia Pacific, Ireland, Hong Kong, Japan, Taiwan, India, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, France, Germany, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Caribbean, Mexico, South America, North America, Brazil, Latin America, Korea with a focus on South Korea, and United States of America. In the United States and Europe, the firm focuses on buyouts of large, publicly traded companies. It seeks to invest $30 million to $717 million in companies with enterprise values between $500 million to $2389 million. The firm prefers to invest in a range of debt and public equity investing and may co-invest. It seeks a board seat in its portfolio companies and a controlling ownership of a company or a strategic minority positions. The firm may acquire majority and minority equity interests, particularly when making private equity investments in Asia or sponsoring investments as part of a large investor consortium. The firm typically holds its investment for a period of five to seven years and more and exits through initial public offerings, secondary offerings, and sales to strategic buyers. KKR & Co. Inc. was founded in 1976 and is based in New York, New York with additional offices across North America, Europe, Australia, Sweden and Asia.
How the Company Makes MoneyKKR makes money primarily through management fees and performance-based incentives. The firm charges management fees to its investors based on a percentage of the assets under management (AUM). Additionally, KKR earns performance fees, often referred to as carried interest, which is a share of the profits generated by its investments above a certain threshold. The firm's revenue is also bolstered by its capital markets business, which provides financing solutions and investment banking services to its portfolio companies and third-party clients. KKR's earnings are influenced by its ability to successfully manage and grow its investment portfolios, as well as its strategic partnerships and co-investment opportunities with other institutional investors.

KKR & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KKR & Co demonstrates strong revenue growth and improving profitability, with a strengthened balance sheet. While cash flow management has improved, historical volatility and leverage pose potential risks. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory, but careful financial management is essential to sustain growth and stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
KKR & Co has shown a significant increase in total revenue and net income over the years, particularly from 2023 to 2024, indicating strong growth momentum. The gross profit margin and EBIT margin have improved markedly, suggesting enhanced operational efficiency. However, fluctuations in EBIT and EBITDA margins in earlier years highlight some volatility in profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of KKR & Co reflects a stable equity position with a positive equity ratio. However, the historical presence of significant liabilities, although reduced recently, suggests potential leverage risks. The debt-to-equity ratio has been managed well as of the latest period, showing prudent financial management.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
KKR & Co's cash flow statements show improvement in free cash flow, particularly from 2023 to 2024, indicating better cash generation. Operating cash flow has turned positive recently, which is a positive sign. However, prior years' negative operating and free cash flows indicate earlier challenges in cash management that need ongoing attention.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
21.64B14.32B5.57B16.11B4.23B
Gross Profit
17.31B4.86B2.01B6.90B2.08B
EBIT
16.24B2.14B-345.58M4.95B1.30B
EBITDA
9.17B9.50B1.35B14.98B6.70B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.08B3.73B-521.66M4.73B2.00B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
9.06M20.35B12.82B10.09B5.36B
Total Assets
360.10B317.29B277.08B264.29B79.81B
Total Debt
50.82B49.39B44.07B39.29B33.42B
Net Debt
35.94B29.04B31.25B29.20B28.06B
Total Liabilities
298.11B258.92B223.42B206.15B39.01B
Stockholders Equity
23.65B22.86B17.73B17.58B13.72B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.51B-1.60B-5.36B-7.28B-6.11B
Operating Cash Flow
6.65B-1.49B-5.28B-7.18B-5.95B
Investing Cash Flow
-19.05B-3.88B-13.65B-9.61B-153.39M
Financing Cash Flow
7.08B12.77B22.06B20.36B9.80B

KKR & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price101.87
Price Trends
50DMA
126.19
Negative
100DMA
140.02
Negative
200DMA
132.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.02
Negative
RSI
43.96
Neutral
STOCH
36.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KKR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 101.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.14, below the 50-day MA of 126.19, and below the 200-day MA of 132.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KKR.

KKR & Co Risk Analysis

KKR & Co disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. KKR & Co reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

KKR & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AMAMP
79
Outperform
$45.32B14.3168.31%1.39%11.38%39.25%
BLBLK
76
Outperform
$139.07B21.3614.67%2.29%12.15%15.17%
BXBX
74
Outperform
$151.91B34.4236.95%2.88%21.25%97.42%
KKKKR
69
Neutral
$98.12B33.7113.23%0.74%42.19%-18.20%
CGCG
67
Neutral
$14.29B14.2718.90%3.54%62.87%
67
Neutral
$44.90B68.7415.93%3.17%6.12%-15.84%
64
Neutral
$13.46B9.449.34%4.72%16.14%-8.80%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KKR
KKR & Co
101.87
2.00
2.00%
AMP
Ameriprise Financial
456.52
39.46
9.46%
BLK
BlackRock
858.78
90.58
11.79%
BX
Blackstone Group
127.45
3.86
3.12%
CG
Carlyle Group
36.63
-9.19
-20.06%
ARES
Ares Management
135.77
5.16
3.95%

KKR & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 4, 2025 | % Change Since: -37.51% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance for KKR in 2024, with record earnings growth, significant capital raising, and expansion in private wealth and strategic holdings. However, short-term challenges in private equity performance and insurance operating earnings were noted. Overall, the sentiment is positive with confidence in continued growth and strategic initiatives.
Highlights
Strong Year-End Financial Performance
Fee related earnings per share increased by 24% year-over-year, reaching $0.94, the second highest quarterly figure in KKR's history. Adjusted net income per share rose by 32% year-over-year to $1.32.
Record Annual Performance
For the year, fee related earnings per share and adjusted net income per share grew by 37% and 38% respectively, both marking record annual figures for KKR.
Robust Capital Raising
KKR raised $27 billion in the quarter, contributing to a total of $114 billion for 2024, marking the second most active year in its history. This is a significant increase from $70 billion in 2023.
Expansion in Private Wealth
Assets under management from individuals reached approximately $100 billion, with significant growth in K-Series vehicles, which increased from $7 billion to $18 billion year-over-year.
Strategic Holdings Growth
KKR plans to increase stakes in three businesses by $2.1 billion, with $1.1 billion coming from KKR itself. This is expected to drive future earnings and management fees.
Lowlights
Flat Private Equity Performance
The private equity portfolio was flat in Q4, despite a 14% appreciation for the year, indicating potential volatility or underperformance in the short term.
Challenges with Insurance Operating Earnings
Insurance operating earnings are expected to remain flat in the near term as KKR shifts its strategy, which may impact short-term ROE and accounting P&L.
Company Guidance
In KKR's fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, the company demonstrated strong financial performance with fee related earnings per share (FRE) increasing by 24% year-over-year to $0.94, and adjusted net income (ANI) rising by 32% to $1.32 per share. For the full year, FRE per share reached $3.66, and ANI per share hit $4.70, marking record annual figures with growth rates of 37% and 38%, respectively. The firm's management fees for Q4 were $906 million, up 15% from the previous year, while total fee related revenues climbed 17% to $1.3 billion. KKR's insurance operating earnings were $250 million, and Strategic Holdings operating earnings were $8 million, contributing to total operating earnings of $1.23 per share. The company also highlighted its robust asset management business, having raised $27 billion in the quarter and $114 billion throughout 2024, a record year for capital raising. KKR plans to increase its annual dividend from $0.70 to $0.74 per share starting with the first quarter of 2025, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory.

KKR & Co Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
KKR & Co Appoints Timothy Barakett to Board
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

On March 13, 2025, KKR & Co. Inc. appointed Timothy R. Barakett to its Board of Directors, increasing the number of independent directors to ten out of fourteen total seats. Mr. Barakett, founder and CEO of TRB Advisors, brings significant experience from his previous roles, including his leadership at Atticus Capital and various positions at Harvard University. This appointment reflects KKR’s strategic efforts to strengthen its board with experienced leaders, potentially enhancing its governance and strategic decision-making capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
KKR & Co Embraces Digital for Financial Disclosures
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

On February 24, 2025, KKR & Co. Inc. released a presentation for its common stockholders and analysts on its website. This move highlights the company’s ongoing use of digital platforms to disseminate important financial information, potentially impacting how stakeholders access and engage with KKR’s operational updates.

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
KKR & Co Faces Legal Battle Over Antitrust Issues
Negative
Jan 14, 2025

On January 14, 2025, KKR & Co. Inc., a prominent global investment firm, initiated legal action against U.S. antitrust authorities, including the Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission. This legal move comes in response to investigations into KKR’s compliance with premerger notification requirements under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Act for transactions in 2021 and 2022. KKR’s complaint challenges the constitutional validity of the antitrust authorities’ interpretations and penalties under the Act. Concurrently, the DOJ filed a civil complaint against KKR for alleged violations of the HSR Act, seeking civil penalties and equitable relief. KKR, asserting its cooperation over past years, plans a vigorous defense, citing governmental overreach and mischaracterization of its actions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.