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Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP)
NASDAQ:PNFP

Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) AI Stock Analysis

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Pinnacle Financial Partners

(NASDAQ:PNFP)

69Neutral
Pinnacle Financial Partners shows solid financial performance and a positive earnings outlook, supported by strategic growth initiatives and strong loan and deposit growth. However, technical analysis points to short-term bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate moderate pricing. Challenges like BHG's performance and credit concerns also weigh on the score, suggesting a balanced but cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Loan Growth
The next 2-3 year outlook of above peer lender additions is expected to continue supporting notably above peer loan growth trend.
Negative Factors
Earnings Outlook
4Q24 results are likely to prove modestly underwhelming, largely driven by outsized deposit growth weighing on NIM.
Expense Growth
Expenses growth is likely to stay elevated, with the incentive comp. accrual up to 90% and likely more upcoming RM hires.

Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Pinnacle Financial Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) is a financial services company headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee. It operates primarily in the banking sector, providing a comprehensive range of financial products and services to individuals, small businesses, and commercial entities. The company offers traditional banking services, including savings and checking accounts, loans, mortgages, and credit cards, as well as investment and wealth management services. Pinnacle Financial Partners is known for its community banking model and client-focused approach, aiming to deliver exceptional service and personalized financial solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyPinnacle Financial Partners generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and other earning assets, as well as non-interest income from fees and service charges. The company earns interest income by providing loans to individuals and businesses, including commercial loans, consumer loans, and mortgage lending, which are funded by customer deposits. Non-interest income comes from various sources such as service charges on deposit accounts, fees from investment and wealth management services, and charges related to mortgage banking activities. Additionally, Pinnacle leverages strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its service offerings and geographic footprint, contributing to its revenue growth. The company's performance is influenced by factors such as interest rate fluctuations, economic conditions, and regulatory changes in the banking industry.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pinnacle Financial Partners demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth, efficient cost management, and impressive cash generation capabilities. Despite some fluctuations in profitability metrics, the company is well-positioned for continued financial success in the banking industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Pinnacle Financial Partners has shown strong revenue growth with a significant increase in total revenue from $939.86 million in 2019 to $2.70 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin remains robust, as total revenue equals gross profit, indicating well-managed cost structures. The net profit margin has fluctuated slightly but remains healthy. The EBIT margin is impressive, showing operational efficiency. Overall, the company has demonstrated excellent growth and profitability in recent years.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a significant increase in stockholders' equity from $4.36 billion in 2019 to $6.43 billion in 2024. The equity ratio remains stable, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets. Notably, the company has managed to eliminate total debt by 2024, which reduces financial risk. However, the return on equity shows slight fluctuations, pointing to varying profitability in utilizing shareholder funds over time.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Pinnacle Financial Partners' cash flow statements indicate a strong ability to generate cash, with operating cash flow increasing significantly over the years. The free cash flow has grown, reflecting efficient capital management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests good cash conversion efficiency. However, fluctuations in investing cash flow highlight varying investment activities, which could introduce volatility to future cash flows.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.70B1.60B1.40B1.21B1.06B
Gross Profit
2.70B1.60B1.40B1.21B1.06B
EBIT
2.67B895.91M942.13M651.90M371.36M
EBITDA
0.000.00759.79M705.16M416.56M
Net Income Common Stockholders
475.06M562.15M560.74M527.32M312.32M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.90B2.14B4.70B8.93B7.31B
Total Assets
52.59B47.96B41.97B38.47B34.93B
Total Debt
2.30B2.56B888.49M1.31B1.76B
Net Debt
-320.32M419.63M-257.44M-2.71B-1.97B
Total Liabilities
46.16B41.92B36.45B33.16B30.03B
Stockholders Equity
6.43B6.04B5.52B5.31B4.90B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
904.31M400.15M540.58M634.27M388.06M
Operating Cash Flow
904.31M478.40M604.92M657.44M427.82M
Investing Cash Flow
-3.67B-4.60B-6.68B-3.61B-3.57B
Financing Cash Flow
3.97B5.18B3.16B3.10B6.58B

Pinnacle Financial Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price99.58
Price Trends
50DMA
117.23
Negative
100DMA
116.36
Negative
200DMA
102.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.18
Positive
RSI
22.80
Positive
STOCH
13.83
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNFP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 99.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 114.32, below the 50-day MA of 117.23, and below the 200-day MA of 102.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.80 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.83 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PNFP.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Risk Analysis

Pinnacle Financial Partners disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pinnacle Financial Partners reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pinnacle Financial Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CFCFR
76
Outperform
$7.83B14.2915.13%2.98%7.81%-2.49%
76
Outperform
$5.50B14.0410.38%2.71%8.83%3.77%
69
Neutral
$7.69B17.887.62%0.91%14.99%-16.42%
65
Neutral
$2.51B16.984.39%4.21%6.86%-12.06%
64
Neutral
$13.80B10.649.23%4.22%17.66%-7.66%
FHFHN
61
Neutral
$9.24B13.928.70%3.18%4.56%-13.90%
61
Neutral
$4.87B12.517.62%4.30%6.80%1.48%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partners
99.58
18.11
22.23%
CFR
Cullen/Frost Bankers
121.84
17.31
16.56%
FHN
First Horizon
18.19
3.99
28.10%
HOMB
Home Bancshares
27.68
4.54
19.62%
SFNC
Simmons 1st Nat'l
19.68
1.33
7.25%
UBSI
United Bankshares
34.04
0.70
2.10%

Pinnacle Financial Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 21, 2025 | % Change Since: -17.01% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant loan and deposit growth, record revenue producer hiring, and positive net interest income trends. However, there are challenges, particularly with the declining contribution from BHG and ongoing credit concerns. Despite these issues, the outlook for 2025 remains optimistic with expected double-digit growth.
Highlights
Strong Loan and Deposit Growth
End-of-period loans increased by 13.7% linked quarter annualized, and deposits grew by $1.9 billion in the fourth quarter, marking one of the strongest growth quarters ever.
Record Hiring of Revenue Producers
Set a new record in 2024 for the number of highly experienced revenue producers attracted, fueling optimism for 2025.
Net Interest Income Growth
10-year CAGR for net interest income is a peer-leading 12.7%, with only 1 quarter in the last 40 failing to deliver year-over-year growth.
Optimistic 2025 Outlook
2025 outlook calls for double-digit revenue growth and deposit growth expectations of 7% to 10% over 2024.
Lowlights
BHG Contribution Decline
BHG contributed about 6% of consolidated earnings in 2024, compared to about 9% in 2023.
Ongoing Credit Concerns at BHG
Off-balance sheet substitution losses increased to 4.9% in the fourth quarter, and on-balance sheet loan losses were at 7.3%.
Expense Pressure from Incentive Costs
Expenses came in slightly more than anticipated due to increased incentive costs, impacting the fourth quarter's financials.
Company Guidance
During the Pinnacle Financial Partners Q4 2024 earnings call, management provided guidance emphasizing strong financial performance metrics, including double-digit compound annual growth rates (CAGR) over five years for adjusted revenue, fully diluted earnings per share (EPS), and tangible book value per share. Looking ahead to 2025, the firm anticipates continued double-digit revenue growth, with loan growth expected between 8% to 11% and deposit growth projected at 7% to 10%. Net interest income is forecasted to grow by 11% to 13%, driven by strategic recruitment and market expansion initiatives. Asset quality remains robust, with net charge-offs anticipated to improve to 16 to 20 basis points in 2025. Additionally, Pinnacle plans for fee growth in the 8% to 10% range, bolstered by wealth management and core banking activities. The bank's focus on talent acquisition and strategic growth initiatives underpins its optimistic outlook for sustained shareholder value creation.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Pinnacle Financial Partners Approves 2025 Cash Incentive Plan
Neutral
Feb 28, 2025

On February 25, 2025, Pinnacle Financial Partners’ Board of Directors approved the 2025 Annual Cash Incentive Plan, which allows employees to earn cash incentives based on performance metrics such as earnings per share and total revenue goals. The plan, which applies to all salaried and hourly employees, offers payouts ranging from 10% to 125% of base salaries, with adjustments possible based on individual performance evaluations and the discretion of the committee.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pinnacle Financial Grants Equity Awards to Executives
Neutral
Jan 24, 2025

On January 23, 2025, Pinnacle Financial Partners’ Human Resources and Compensation Committee granted equity awards to its Named Executive Officers under the company’s Second Amended and Restated 2018 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan. The awards include time-based restricted share units and performance-based restricted share units, which aim to align executive compensation with performance metrics over a three-year period. These awards are designed to incentivize the executives by offering shares of the company’s common stock, contingent on meeting specific performance goals and vesting schedules, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.