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Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP)
NASDAQ:PNFP

Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) AI Stock Analysis

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Pinnacle Financial Partners

(NASDAQ:PNFP)

71Outperform
Pinnacle Financial Partners benefits from robust financial performance with strong revenue and profit growth, effective debt management, and cash flow generation. While the technical indicators suggest caution with a bearish trend, the company's reasonable valuation and positive earnings outlook mitigate some concerns. Economic uncertainties and non-performing asset increases are risks to watch, but the firm's strong growth strategy and recruitment successes position it well for future performance.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
EPS of $1.86 topped estimates by 18 cents and consensus by 9 cents reflecting better revenues.
Loan Growth
The next 2-3 year outlook of above peer lender additions is expected to continue supporting notably above peer loan growth trend.
Negative Factors
Expense Growth
Expenses growth is likely to stay elevated, with the incentive compensation accrual up to 90% and likely more upcoming RM hires.
Revenue Guidance
The bottom line shows a revenue beat largely mitigated by weaker guidance and full valuation.

Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Pinnacle Financial Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPinnacle Financial Partners, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as the bank holding company for Pinnacle Bank that provides various banking products and services in the United States. The company accepts various deposits, including savings, checking, noninterest-bearing and interest-bearing checking, money market, and certificate of deposit accounts. Its loan products include commercial loans, such as equipment and working capital loans; commercial real estate loans comprising investment properties and business loans secured by real estate; and loans to individuals consisting of secured and unsecured installment and term loans, lines of credit, residential first mortgage loans, and home equity loans and lines of credit, as well as provides credit cards for consumers and businesses. The company also offers various securities and other financial products; investment products; brokerage and investment advisory programs; and fiduciary and investment management services, such as personal trust, endowments, foundations, individual retirement accounts, pensions, and custody. In addition, it provides insurance agency services primarily in the property and casualty area; merger and acquisition advisory services; and private debt, equity and mezzanine, and other middle-market advisory services. Further, the company offers treasury management, telephone and online banking, mobile banking, debit cards, direct deposit and remote deposit capture, mobile deposit option, automated teller machine, and cash management services. It serves individuals, small to medium-sized businesses, and professional entities. As of December 31, 2020, the company operated 114 offices, including 48 in Tennessee, 36 in North Carolina, 20 in South Carolina, 9 in Virginia, and 1 in Georgia. Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyPinnacle Financial Partners generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and other earning assets, as well as non-interest income from fees and service charges. The company earns interest income by providing loans to individuals and businesses, including commercial loans, consumer loans, and mortgage lending, which are funded by customer deposits. Non-interest income comes from various sources such as service charges on deposit accounts, fees from investment and wealth management services, and charges related to mortgage banking activities. Additionally, Pinnacle leverages strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its service offerings and geographic footprint, contributing to its revenue growth. The company's performance is influenced by factors such as interest rate fluctuations, economic conditions, and regulatory changes in the banking industry.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pinnacle Financial Partners demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth, efficient cost management, and impressive cash generation capabilities. The balance sheet reflects a prudent approach to debt management, while the income statement and cash flow show consistent growth and operational efficiency. Despite some fluctuations in profitability metrics and investment activities, the company is well-positioned for continued financial success in the banking industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Pinnacle Financial Partners has shown strong revenue growth with a significant increase in total revenue from $939.86 million in 2019 to $2.70 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin remains robust, as total revenue equals gross profit, indicating well-managed cost structures. The net profit margin has fluctuated slightly but remains healthy. The EBIT margin is impressive, showing operational efficiency. Overall, the company has demonstrated excellent growth and profitability in recent years.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a significant increase in stockholders' equity from $4.36 billion in 2019 to $6.43 billion in 2024. The equity ratio remains stable, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets. Notably, the company has managed to eliminate total debt by 2024, which reduces financial risk. However, the return on equity shows slight fluctuations, pointing to varying profitability in utilizing shareholder funds over time.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Pinnacle Financial Partners' cash flow statements indicate a strong ability to generate cash, with operating cash flow increasing significantly over the years. The free cash flow has grown, reflecting efficient capital management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests good cash conversion efficiency. However, fluctuations in investing cash flow highlight varying investment activities, which could introduce volatility to future cash flows.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.70B1.60B1.40B1.21B1.06B
Gross Profit
2.70B1.60B1.40B1.21B1.06B
EBIT
2.67B895.91M942.13M651.90M371.36M
EBITDA
0.000.00759.79M705.16M416.56M
Net Income Common Stockholders
475.06M562.15M560.74M527.32M312.32M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.90B2.14B4.70B8.93B7.31B
Total Assets
52.59B47.96B41.97B38.47B34.93B
Total Debt
2.30B2.56B888.49M1.31B1.76B
Net Debt
-320.32M419.63M-257.44M-2.71B-1.97B
Total Liabilities
46.16B41.92B36.45B33.16B30.03B
Stockholders Equity
6.43B6.04B5.52B5.31B4.90B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
904.31M400.15M540.58M634.27M388.06M
Operating Cash Flow
904.31M478.40M604.92M657.44M427.82M
Investing Cash Flow
-3.67B-4.60B-6.68B-3.61B-3.57B
Financing Cash Flow
3.97B5.18B3.16B3.10B6.58B

Pinnacle Financial Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price96.99
Price Trends
50DMA
105.45
Negative
100DMA
112.64
Negative
200DMA
105.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.38
Negative
RSI
47.43
Neutral
STOCH
75.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNFP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 96.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 97.32, below the 50-day MA of 105.45, and below the 200-day MA of 105.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PNFP.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Risk Analysis

Pinnacle Financial Partners disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pinnacle Financial Partners reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pinnacle Financial Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$7.14B10.3511.84%1.82%11.51%7.73%
CFCFR
73
Outperform
$7.11B12.4815.13%3.38%7.81%-2.49%
71
Outperform
$6.57B10.0513.44%1.75%17.28%25.42%
71
Outperform
$6.97B15.107.77%0.96%8.09%-11.31%
CMCMA
67
Neutral
$6.64B10.1010.72%5.61%-6.54%-21.90%
63
Neutral
$12.07B9.358.15%79.57%12.85%-5.13%
WAWAL
59
Neutral
$6.98B8.9212.32%2.31%13.60%8.85%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partners
96.99
16.39
20.33%
CMA
Comerica
51.44
1.40
2.80%
CFR
Cullen/Frost Bankers
113.38
2.45
2.21%
UMBF
UMB Financial
94.20
11.77
14.28%
WTFC
Wintrust Financial
106.66
8.41
8.56%
WAL
Western Alliance
65.34
6.65
11.33%

Pinnacle Financial Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Apr 14, 2025 | % Change Since: 5.20% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Pinnacle Financial Partners demonstrated strong financial performance with significant revenue, EPS, and deposit growth, supported by successful recruitment and BHG's robust quarter. Despite economic uncertainties and a slight increase in NPAs, the company maintains a positive outlook for the year.
Highlights
Strong Revenue and EPS Growth
Pinnacle Financial Partners reported a 14.2% revenue growth and 24.2% adjusted EPS growth for Q1 2025 over Q1 2024, continuing a strong growth trajectory.
Record Recruitment of Revenue Producers
The firm set a new record for recruiting highly experienced revenue producers, with 37 brought in during Q1 2025, following 33 in Q1 2024, aiding substantial growth.
Deposit Growth Success
Deposits increased by $1.6 billion in Q1 2025, following a $1.9 billion increase in Q4 2024, driven by investments in deposit verticals and new associate contributions.
Positive Credit and BHG Performance
Net charge-offs dropped to 16 basis points in Q1 2025 from 24 basis points in Q4 2024. BHG had a strong quarter with fee revenues over $20 million, up from $12.1 million in Q4 2024.
Lowlights
NPA Increase Due to Downgraded Loan
Non-performing assets ticked up due to a downgraded $35 million apartment loan in Atlanta, though an anticipated loss is already accounted for in the reserve.
Economic Uncertainty and Loan Demand
There is significant uncertainty in the broader economy, affecting client confidence and pipeline development, though Pinnacle remains optimistic about achieving growth targets.
Company Guidance
During the Pinnacle Financial Partners Q1 2025 earnings call, CEO Terry Turner highlighted key metrics demonstrating robust performance despite economic volatility. Revenue growth continued its double-digit trajectory, with a 14.2% increase from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025, and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.1% over the past four years. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose by 24.2% year-over-year, and tangible book value per share increased by 10.6% year-over-year and 10.3% over four years. Turner attributed this growth to the firm's strategy of recruiting top bankers who consolidate their business at Pinnacle, ensuring consistent client and balance sheet growth. CFO Harold Carpenter emphasized that loan growth was 7.3% annualized quarter-over-quarter, supported by strong recruitment and new market penetration. The bank maintained its guidance for 8% to 11% loan growth and 7% to 10% deposit growth for 2025, with a net interest margin (NIM) expected to remain stable. BHG, a subsidiary, also exceeded expectations, leading to a revised earnings growth estimate of 20% for 2025. Pinnacle's unique recruitment model and focus on high-quality growth underpin its strong performance and optimistic outlook.

Pinnacle Financial Partners Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Pinnacle Financial Partners Approves 2025 Cash Incentive Plan
Neutral
Feb 28, 2025

On February 25, 2025, Pinnacle Financial Partners’ Board of Directors approved the 2025 Annual Cash Incentive Plan, which allows employees to earn cash incentives based on performance metrics such as earnings per share and total revenue goals. The plan, which applies to all salaried and hourly employees, offers payouts ranging from 10% to 125% of base salaries, with adjustments possible based on individual performance evaluations and the discretion of the committee.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pinnacle Financial Grants Equity Awards to Executives
Neutral
Jan 24, 2025

On January 23, 2025, Pinnacle Financial Partners’ Human Resources and Compensation Committee granted equity awards to its Named Executive Officers under the company’s Second Amended and Restated 2018 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan. The awards include time-based restricted share units and performance-based restricted share units, which aim to align executive compensation with performance metrics over a three-year period. These awards are designed to incentivize the executives by offering shares of the company’s common stock, contingent on meeting specific performance goals and vesting schedules, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.