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NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
NASDAQ:NXPI

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) AI Stock Analysis

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NXNXP Semiconductors
(NASDAQ:NXPI)
61Neutral
NXP Semiconductors demonstrates solid profitability and strategic positioning, but faces significant headwinds from declining revenues and challenging sector conditions. Technical indicators suggest weak momentum, while valuation metrics are moderate. The earnings call highlights strategic moves but also underscores market uncertainties, particularly in key segments.
Positive Factors
Growth Opportunities
NXP's Analyst Day set a reasonable bar for growth while highlighting secular growth, tech differentiation in hardware and software, and a higher margin profile.
Strategic Partnerships
NXP gave details on its current JVs with TSMC and Vanguard, which will help support the necessary capacity as NXP's product roadmap shifts toward more advanced geometries with lower capital intensity.
Negative Factors
Market Challenges
Near-term headwinds are pressuring margins with continued weakness in EU autos and US/EU industrials.

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

NXP Semiconductors Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFounded in 2006, Netherlands-based NXP Semiconductors NV provides various semiconductor products including microcontrollers, application processors, communication processors, wireless connectivity solutions, analog and interface devices, Radio Frequency power amplifiers, and security controllers, as well as semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors. Its product solutions are used in a range of applications including, automotive, identification, mobile, consumer, computing, wireless infrastructure, lighting and industrial, and software solutions for mobile phones.
How the Company Makes MoneyNXP Semiconductors generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products to a diverse range of industries, with a significant portion of its earnings coming from the automotive sector, where it provides components for applications such as advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and vehicle networking. Additionally, NXP earns revenue from its industrial and IoT segments, offering solutions for smart home, smart city, and industrial automation. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with major technology firms, which enhance its market reach and integration capabilities. These partnerships, along with a focus on innovation and R&D, are key contributors to NXP's revenue growth and competitiveness in the semiconductor market.

NXP Semiconductors Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NXP Semiconductors exhibits strong profitability and efficient cash flow management, despite a recent decline in revenue. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but the equity ratio suggests a higher reliance on liabilities, posing potential risks.
Income Statement
78
Positive
NXP Semiconductors shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 55.5% and a net profit margin of 19.9% in TTM. However, revenue has decreased by 5% from the previous year, which may indicate market challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust at 27.1% and 33.4% respectively, showcasing efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.14, reflecting balanced leverage. Return on equity is strong at 26.3%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio of 39.1% suggests a higher reliance on liabilities compared to equity, which could pose risks in economic downturns.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
NXP's cash flow management is positive, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.11, indicating strong cash generation. Free cash flow growth is negative at -17.5%, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.82, showing efficient capital expenditure management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
12.61B13.28B13.21B11.06B8.61B
Gross Profit
7.12B7.55B7.52B6.07B4.24B
EBIT
3.42B3.66B3.80B2.58B418.00M
EBITDA
4.42B4.90B5.04B3.81B2.35B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.51B2.80B2.79B1.87B84.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.29B4.27B3.85B2.83B2.27B
Total Assets
24.39B24.35B23.24B20.86B19.85B
Total Debt
10.85B11.18B11.16B10.57B7.61B
Net Debt
7.56B7.53B7.32B7.74B5.33B
Total Liabilities
14.85B15.39B15.50B14.09B10.70B
Stockholders Equity
9.18B8.64B7.45B6.53B8.94B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.78B2.51B2.67B2.15B1.96B
Operating Cash Flow
2.78B3.51B3.90B3.08B2.48B
Investing Cash Flow
-686.00M-1.51B-1.25B-934.00M-418.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.66B-1.99B-1.62B-1.58B-835.00M

NXP Semiconductors Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price216.77
Price Trends
50DMA
215.82
Positive
100DMA
222.13
Negative
200DMA
238.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.54
Positive
RSI
46.93
Neutral
STOCH
9.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXPI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 216.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 222.62, above the 50-day MA of 215.82, and below the 200-day MA of 238.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NXPI.

NXP Semiconductors Risk Analysis

NXP Semiconductors disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NXP Semiconductors reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NXP Semiconductors Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$173.83B16.8039.27%2.17%12.13%36.17%
ADADI
74
Outperform
$112.18B72.134.46%1.63%-19.28%-44.00%
TXTXN
70
Outperform
$177.37B37.5028.39%2.74%-10.72%-26.60%
68
Neutral
$31.27B102.525.12%3.12%-44.31%-86.74%
ONON
67
Neutral
$18.75B12.2517.88%-14.19%-27.42%
61
Neutral
$53.55B21.4727.33%1.92%-4.99%-9.18%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
216.77
-30.29
-12.26%
ADI
Analog Devices
229.47
40.90
21.69%
MCHP
Microchip
59.64
-26.04
-30.39%
ON
ON Semiconductor
46.49
-31.13
-40.11%
QCOM
Qualcomm
158.49
-6.99
-4.22%
TXN
Texas Instruments
195.57
28.38
16.97%

NXP Semiconductors Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 3, 2025 | % Change Since: 5.88% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with notable achievements in strategic acquisitions and cash returns. However, there are significant challenges such as revenue decline across major segments and poor market visibility. The positive aspects, such as better-than-expected Q4 revenue and strategic moves in the automotive sector, are balanced by the challenges in key segments and an overall uncertain demand environment.
Highlights
Better-than-Expected Q4 Revenue
Q4 revenue was $11 million above the midpoint of guidance, totaling $3.11 billion.
Mobile Segment Growth
Full year revenue for the Mobile segment was up 13% year-on-year.
Strategic Acquisitions
Announced two strategic acquisitions: Aviva Links for $243 million and TT Tech Auto for $625 million to enhance NXP's CoreRide vision for next-generation automotive platforms.
Stable Inventory Management
Distribution channel inventory was maintained at eight weeks, below the long-term target of 11 weeks.
Positive Cash Returns
Returned $2.41 billion to shareholders, equating to 115% of total non-GAAP free cash flow.
Lowlights
Revenue Decline
Q4 revenue decreased by 9% year-on-year. Full year revenue for 2024 was $12.61 billion, a decrease of 5% compared to the previous year.
Automotive Segment Challenges
Automotive revenue for the full year was down 4% year-on-year, impacted by declining production in Europe and Japan.
Industrial & IoT Weakness
Industrial & IoT revenue for Q4 was down 22% year-on-year and slightly below guidance.
Communication Infrastructure Decline
Full year revenue for communication infrastructure and other was down 20% year-on-year.
Uncertain Visibility
Poor forward visibility continues, with high levels of turns business and uncertain demand forecasts.
Company Guidance
In the NXP fourth quarter earnings call, the company provided guidance for the first quarter of 2025, projecting revenue to be $2.825 billion, down 10% year-on-year and 9% sequentially. The non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be approximately 56.3%, with operating expenses estimated at $700 million. The anticipated non-GAAP operating margin is 31.5%, with non-GAAP earnings per share forecasted at $2.59. Inventory levels are expected to remain between eight to nine weeks, reflecting under-shipment against true end demand, particularly in the Automotive sector, which is projected to be down mid-single digits. Communication infrastructure and other segments are expected to see declines in the mid-20% range compared to the first quarter of 2024. Amidst a challenging macroeconomic environment, NXP has highlighted poor forward visibility and plans to continue managing costs while executing strategic acquisitions to bolster long-term growth, particularly in the automotive sector.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.