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Microvision (MVIS)
NASDAQ:MVIS

Microvision (MVIS) AI Stock Analysis

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Microvision

(NASDAQ:MVIS)

49Neutral
Microvision's stock score is weighed down by its financial challenges and valuation concerns, despite some positive signals from technical analysis. The earnings call reflected optimism in industrial sectors, but revenue shortfalls and automotive delays pose risks. Strategic focus on revenue growth and cost management is essential for improvement.

Microvision (MVIS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Microvision Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMicroVision, Inc. develops lidar sensors used in automotive safety and autonomous driving applications. Its laser beam scanning technology is based on micro-electrical mechanical systems, laser diodes, opto-mechanics, electronics, algorithms, and software. The company also develops micro-display concepts and designs for head-mounted augmented reality (AR) headsets, as well as 1440i MEMS module that can support AR headsets; Interactive Display modules used in smart speakers and other devices; and Consumer Lidar used in smart home systems. In addition, it provides PicoP, a scanning technology that creates full color, high-contrast, and uniform image over the entire field-of-view from a small and thin module. Further, the company develops 1st generation long range lidar. The company sells its products primarily to original equipment manufacturers and original design manufacturers. MicroVision, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Redmond, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyMicroVision generates revenue through the sale and licensing of its patented laser scanning technology and related components. The company partners with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other technology companies to integrate its PicoP® scanning technology into various applications, such as automotive HUDs and consumer electronics. Additionally, MicroVision earns income from licensing agreements, where it permits other companies to use its proprietary technology, and from development contracts where it collaborates on custom solutions. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include strategic partnerships in the automotive sector and advancements in augmented reality applications.

Microvision Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Microvision is facing significant financial challenges, marked by declining revenues, negative profit margins, and high leverage. While the balance sheet shows some stability with reasonable cash levels, negative cash flows and reliance on financing activities indicate liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Microvision's financial performance is weak with declining revenues and negative margins. The company reported a significant net loss in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) at -$96.9M, with negative gross and net profit margins. Revenue growth remains negative, indicating challenges in achieving sales expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also deeply negative, reflecting substantial operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows some stability with a reasonable level of cash and equivalents ($74.7M) relative to total assets. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is elevated at 0.88, suggesting higher leverage risks. Stockholders' equity has declined, impacting the equity ratio which stands at 40.26%. Return on equity is negative due to continuing losses, indicating inefficiencies in using shareholder capital.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates liquidity concerns, with negative free cash flow growth and a high operating cash flow to net income ratio due to substantial operating losses. The company is heavily reliant on financing activities to support operations, raising concerns about sustainability without a clear path to positive cash flows.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.70M7.26M664.00K2.50M3.09M8.89M
Gross Profit
-6.40M4.49M564.00K2.50M1.69M322.00K
EBIT
-82.49M-88.88M-53.89M-43.87M-14.06M-26.47M
EBITDA
-85.07M-81.05M-50.84M-42.41M-13.10M-25.28M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-96.92M-82.84M-52.29M-41.04M-12.22M-24.83M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
35.64M73.78M82.71M115.37M16.86M5.84M
Total Assets
46.33M129.63M115.00M130.22M21.01M11.84M
Total Debt
951.00K15.04M15.70M6.27M3.11M2.04M
Net Debt
-32.08M-30.13M-4.84M-76.38M-13.76M-3.80M
Total Liabilities
12.87M33.83M25.25M17.47M12.00M15.81M
Stockholders Equity
33.46M95.80M89.74M112.75M9.01M-3.98M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-68.91M-69.03M-42.38M-31.90M-16.48M-24.79M
Operating Cash Flow
-68.54M-67.09M-38.02M-29.40M-16.07M-24.04M
Investing Cash Flow
2.67M21.82M-38.07M-35.32M123.00K-745.00K
Financing Cash Flow
72.89M72.44M14.31M131.16M26.98M16.86M

Microvision Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.19
Price Trends
50DMA
1.32
Negative
100DMA
1.26
Negative
200DMA
1.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
46.05
Neutral
STOCH
63.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MVIS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.27, below the 50-day MA of 1.32, and above the 200-day MA of 1.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MVIS.

Microvision Risk Analysis

Microvision disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Microvision reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Microvision Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$359.14M26.725.10%0.57%-8.41%-47.10%
58
Neutral
$11.04B9.83-6.56%3.16%7.59%-10.43%
56
Neutral
$379.59M-53.83%33.41%81.07%
54
Neutral
$230.02M-60.94%8.04%5.52%
49
Neutral
$291.56M-134.07%-35.31%-2.18%
46
Neutral
$346.96M-63.44%9.23%51.61%
40
Underperform
$433.85M-118.08%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MVIS
Microvision
1.19
-0.25
-17.36%
ALNT
Allient
21.15
-7.91
-27.22%
KULR
KULR Technology Group
1.28
0.80
166.67%
BKSY
BlackSky Technology
7.12
5.93
498.32%
OUST
Ouster
6.91
-0.17
-2.40%
SATL
Satellogic
4.00
2.68
203.03%

Microvision Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 26, 2025 | % Change Since: -14.39% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
MicroVision reported significant progress in expanding its revenue opportunities and strengthening its balance sheet. However, it faced revenue shortfalls and delays in automotive timelines. The sentiment reflects optimism about industrial and defense sectors but acknowledges challenges in automotive engagements.
Highlights
Expansion of Revenue Opportunities
MicroVision expanded near-term revenue opportunities in industrial and defense sectors as automotive timelines evolve. The company positioned itself to focus on revenue from industrial verticals like AMR, AGV, and collaborative robots, with potential immediate and significant revenue.
Disciplined Cost Management
The company managed costs effectively, focusing resources on near-term revenue opportunities, maintaining one of the lowest cash burn rates in the marketplace.
Strengthened Balance Sheet
MicroVision strengthened its balance sheet with two rounds of investment totaling over $90 million from a strategic financial partner, extending the cash runway into 2026.
Expanded Production Capacity
The company secured production commitments to fulfill anticipated demand from industrial customers, expecting demand in the $30 to $50 million range over the next 12 to 18 months.
Record Trading Volume
MicroVision achieved strong market cap and elevated trading volumes, surpassing several peers and reflecting strong market position.
Lowlights
Revenue Shortfall
The fourth-quarter revenue was $1.7 million, falling short of expectations as one customer delayed its decision to 2025.
Automotive Timeline Delays
Engagements with automotive OEMs experienced delays in timeline adjustments and decision-making processes.
Company Guidance
During the MicroVision fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial results conference call, the company provided several metrics and projections for the coming years. The company reported $1.7 million in revenue for Q4, driven primarily by industrial customers, and detailed plans to pursue additional revenue opportunities in the industrial and defense sectors. They highlighted significant progress in automotive OEM programs with seven RFQs and expanded their production capacity with partner ZF to meet anticipated demand ranging from $30 to $50 million over the next 12 to 18 months. Despite challenges in the automotive sector, MicroVision emphasized its strategic focus on near-term revenue opportunities, disciplined cost management, and a strengthened balance sheet, noting a $90 million capital commitment from an institutional investor. The company also projected an annual R&D and SG&A expense run rate of $48 to $50 million for 2025 and indicated that their cash runway extends into 2026.

Microvision Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Microvision Secures $75M for Lidar Market Expansion
Positive
Oct 15, 2024

MicroVision, Inc. has bolstered its financial footing by securing a $75 million capital commitment through a two-year senior secured convertible note agreement with High Trail Capital. This move positions the company to explore new revenue opportunities in 2025 with its integrated lidar and software solutions, targeting heavy equipment and automotive markets. The deal, characterized by flexible conversion terms and attractive financing conditions, enhances MicroVision’s competitive stance in the U.S. and European lidar sectors, paving the way for future growth and shareholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.