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Ouster (OUST)
NASDAQ:OUST
US Market

Ouster (OUST) AI Stock Analysis

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Ouster

(NASDAQ:OUST)

44Neutral
Ouster faces significant financial performance challenges, with ongoing losses and cash flow issues. Despite some technical indicators suggesting potential near-term rebound, the valuation metrics remain weak. The earnings call provided a mixed picture with positive revenue growth but concerns over operational expenses. Recent corporate events indicate strategic efforts for stability, yet the overall outlook remains cautious.

Ouster (OUST) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ouster Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOuster, Inc. is a U.S.-based company specializing in lidar technology, offering high-resolution sensors for applications across the automotive, industrial, robotics, and smart infrastructure sectors. Its products include scanning lidar sensors and solid-state digital lidar sensors. It also offers software solutions like the Ouster Gemini platform for smart infrastructure and Blue City for traffic management. Founded in 2015, Ouster is headquartered in San Francisco, California, and operates globally, serving customers in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
How the Company Makes MoneyOuster makes money primarily through the sale of its digital lidar sensors and related solutions. The company's revenue model is centered around direct sales to businesses across different sectors that require advanced 3D sensing capabilities. Key revenue streams include sales to the automotive industry for use in autonomous vehicles, industrial applications for automation and safety, robotics for navigation and environmental mapping, and smart infrastructure for traffic monitoring and smart city projects. Additionally, Ouster may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with industry leaders to expand its market reach and develop tailored solutions, which can further contribute to its earnings.

Ouster Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ouster is experiencing financial challenges with continuous operational losses and cash flow issues. Despite revenue growth, profitability remains weak, with a low gross profit margin and negative net income. The balance sheet shows a strong equity position, but operational inefficiencies prevent effective use of shareholder capital. Cash flow improvement is needed to support operations.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Ouster's income statement reveals a challenging financial position with persistent negative net income and EBIT margins over recent years, indicating ongoing operational losses. Although there is positive revenue growth from 2023 to TTM 2024, the gross profit margin remains low at approximately 29.4% in TTM 2024. The company needs to improve its profitability metrics, particularly focusing on reducing operational expenses to achieve sustainable net income.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.13 in TTM 2024, which suggests moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 67.3%, indicating a strong equity position relative to total assets. However, the company's ability to generate returns on equity is hindered by consistent net losses, pointing to inefficiencies in utilizing shareholder capital.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates that Ouster has significant negative free cash flow, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.52 in TTM 2024, reflecting limited efficiency in converting earnings to cash. While operating cash flow has improved slightly, it remains negative, suggesting challenges in generating cash from core operations. The company needs to enhance cash flow management to support operational and strategic initiatives.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
105.45M83.28M41.03M33.58M18.90M11.41M
Gross Profit
31.05M9.68M10.93M9.09M1.51M-6.01M
EBIT
-107.95M-373.19M-145.42M-99.71M-51.76M-48.36M
EBITDA
-90.45M-342.62M-123.38M-88.69M-98.30M-46.05M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-112.30M-374.11M-138.56M-93.98M-106.78M-51.66M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
16.85M190.15M122.93M182.64M11.36M16.85M
Total Assets
39.86M330.74M256.14M307.70M46.41M39.86M
Total Debt
89.16M69.90M56.20M19.27M21.81M89.16M
Net Debt
72.31M18.91M-66.74M-163.37M10.45M72.31M
Total Liabilities
100.16M151.07M84.52M47.00M122.32M100.16M
Stockholders Equity
-60.30M179.67M171.62M260.70M-75.91M-60.30M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-58.00M-140.90M-116.11M-74.84M-45.63M-47.68M
Operating Cash Flow
-55.32M-137.89M-110.69M-70.56M-42.12M-40.19M
Investing Cash Flow
21.93M50.60M-5.15M-15.23M-3.51M-7.49M
Financing Cash Flow
2.84M15.66M55.60M257.80M39.86M50.51M

Ouster Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.85
Price Trends
50DMA
10.15
Negative
100DMA
9.61
Negative
200DMA
9.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.67
Positive
RSI
35.88
Neutral
STOCH
29.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OUST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.62, below the 50-day MA of 10.15, and below the 200-day MA of 9.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OUST.

Ouster Risk Analysis

Ouster disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ouster reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ouster Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$21.35B9.96-19.72%2.38%5.03%-22.83%
55
Neutral
$245.23M-103.99%277.53%1.16%
48
Neutral
$139.83M-85.76%176.22%7.08%
VLVLN
47
Neutral
$212.49M-23.83%-31.25%-79.47%
44
Neutral
$390.70M-61.40%51.14%79.30%
43
Neutral
$10.63M-160.65%-86.20%67.94%
27
Underperform
$157.49M146.24%27.61%40.95%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OUST
Ouster
7.48
2.39
46.95%
MVIS
Microvision
1.07
-1.24
-53.68%
LAZR
Luminar Technologies
4.85
-23.95
-83.16%
AEVA
Aeva Technologies
2.74
-2.41
-46.80%
VLN
Valens
2.11
0.07
3.43%
LIDR
AEye Inc
0.57
-0.51
-47.22%

Ouster Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 7, 2024 | % Change Since: -0.25% | Next Earnings Date: Mar 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, with Ouster achieving record revenue and gross margins, major customer wins, and strong progress in software sales and strategic priorities. However, some concerns were noted with sequential declines in sensor shipments and increased litigation expenses.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Revenue and Gross Margin
Ouster reported record revenue of $28 million for Q3 2024, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of revenue growth. The company also achieved a record GAAP gross margin of 38%.
Strong Balance Sheet
Ouster ended the quarter with a robust balance sheet, holding $154 million in cash after repaying all outstanding balances on its revolving credit line.
Key Customer Wins and Product Adoption
Ouster secured the largest purchase order in its history from a leading global technology company for its REV7 sensors, and reported significant adoption of its BlueCity and Gemini software solutions.
Progress in Strategic Business Priorities
Ouster's digital lidar hardware roadmap is on track with the development of L4 sensors and Chronos chip, set to unlock new verticals and enhance product performance.
Software Sales Growth
Record software attached sales were achieved, with new customers onboarded for BlueCity and Gemini solutions, contributing to ASP growth.
Lowlights
Sequential Sensor Shipment Decline
Sensor shipments declined for the second consecutive quarter, although revenue targets were met through favorable product mix and software sales.
Increased Operating Expenses
GAAP operating expenses were up 11% sequentially due to higher litigation costs, impacting overall expense management.
Company Guidance
During Ouster's third quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter, anticipating revenue between $29 million and $31 million. The third quarter showcased impressive metrics, with record revenue of $28 million and a GAAP gross margin of 38%, reaching the company's long-term framework target of 35% to 40%. The robotics vertical was the largest contributor to revenue, with smart infrastructure also playing a significant role. Ouster ended the quarter with a strong balance sheet, holding $154 million in cash after repaying $44 million in revolving credit, and maintained an operating expense of $38 million. The company continues to aim for 30% to 50% annual revenue growth and is focused on expanding its software sales, as evidenced by the record high software attached sales in Q3.

Ouster Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ouster Transfers Stock Listing to Nasdaq Markets
Neutral
Dec 10, 2024

Ouster, Inc. announced its decision to transfer the listing of its common stock and public warrants from the New York Stock Exchange to the Nasdaq Global Select Market and Nasdaq Capital Market. This strategic move, effective December 23, 2024, aims to enhance the company’s market positioning as its securities continue to trade under the new symbols on Nasdaq, potentially offering better visibility and trading opportunities for stakeholders.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ouster Announces Board Changes and New Severance Plan
Positive
Nov 5, 2024

Ouster, Inc. recently saw changes in its Board of Directors with the resignations of Karin Rådström and Kristin Slanina, who will continue in advisory roles, and the appointments of Christina Correia and Stephen Skaggs. Additionally, the company has implemented a new Executive Change in Control and Severance Plan, offering financial benefits to executives in the event of certain terminations or company control changes, positioning the company for stability and strategic growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.