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Mitsui Fudosan (MTSFY)
OTHER OTC:MTSFY
US Market

Mitsui Fudosan (MTSFY) AI Stock Analysis

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Mitsui Fudosan

(OTC:MTSFY)

77Outperform
Mitsui Fudosan's overall score reflects its robust financial performance and strong earnings call outcomes, indicating a well-managed company with potential for sustained growth. The technical analysis suggests a neutral to slightly positive outlook. Although the valuation is reasonable, the company's high debt levels require close monitoring. Overall, the stock offers a balanced investment opportunity with a focus on future growth and stability.

Mitsui Fudosan (MTSFY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Mitsui Fudosan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. (MTSFY) is a leading real estate company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. The company operates across various sectors, including residential, office, retail, logistics, and hotel properties. Mitsui Fudosan is involved in property development, leasing, management, and investment, establishing a significant presence in both domestic and international markets. The company is known for its innovative approach to urban development and sustainable practices, contributing to the enhancement of community infrastructure and quality of life.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitsui Fudosan generates revenue primarily through its property development and leasing activities. The company develops residential, commercial, and mixed-use properties and sells them to generate income. Leasing activities provide a steady stream of revenue, with office buildings, retail spaces, and logistics facilities being significant contributors. Additionally, Mitsui Fudosan earns income from property management services and real estate investment initiatives. The company also forms strategic partnerships and joint ventures, which enhance its investment capabilities and expand its portfolio. Furthermore, Mitsui Fudosan's hotel and resort operations contribute to its revenue through hospitality services.

Mitsui Fudosan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitsui Fudosan demonstrates strong financial health characterized by consistent revenue growth, improving profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. While the company maintains a high level of debt typical in the real estate sector, its increasing equity and positive cash flow trends provide a foundation for stability and potential growth. The financial statements reflect a well-managed company with a positive outlook, albeit the high leverage warrants careful monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Mitsui Fudosan shows a strong income statement with consistent revenue growth over the years. The gross profit margin improved from 23.2% in 2023 to 24.9% in 2024, and the net profit margin stood at 9.4% in 2024, up from 8.7% in 2023. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown improvement, indicating efficient operations. The revenue growth rate was 5.0% from 2023 to 2024, showing a positive growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.42 in 2024, which is relatively high but manageable for the real estate industry. Return on equity (ROE) improved to 7.2% in 2024 from 6.8% in 2023. The equity ratio also increased to 32.8% in 2024, showing a strong equity base. While leverage is high, the company’s equity position is solid, providing stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a significant improvement in free cash flow, which turned positive in 2024 at ¥20.9 billion from a negative ¥65.0 billion in 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.08 in 2024, suggesting effective conversion of net income into cash. Free cash flow growth is robust, showcasing effective cash management and reduced capital expenditure compared to prior years.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.45T2.38T2.27T2.10T2.01T1.91T
Gross Profit
622.30B593.13B526.68B450.44B397.92B469.74B
EBIT
430.38B339.69B305.40B244.98B203.77B280.62B
EBITDA
469.06B473.42B476.69B405.51B301.97B372.05B
Net Income Common Stockholders
203.81B224.65B197.00B176.99B129.58B183.97B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
288.97B189.81B144.26B156.23B199.64B190.31B
Total Assets
9.66T9.49T8.84T8.21T7.74T7.40T
Total Debt
4.74T4.43T4.05T3.67T3.62T3.48T
Net Debt
4.46T4.25T3.91T3.52T3.43T3.30T
Total Liabilities
6.47T6.25T5.81T5.29T5.09T4.91T
Stockholders Equity
3.07T3.11T2.90T2.80T2.56T2.41T
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
134.85B20.86B-65.04B29.90B-88.47B-386.72B
Operating Cash Flow
134.85B241.70B297.71B271.47B187.86B87.09B
Investing Cash Flow
0.00-286.99B-422.03B-210.06B-131.03B-532.81B
Financing Cash Flow
0.0059.99B111.45B-139.60B-66.56B467.75B

Mitsui Fudosan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.73
Price Trends
50DMA
25.62
Positive
100DMA
25.44
Positive
200DMA
27.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
45.49
Neutral
STOCH
36.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTSFY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.07, above the 50-day MA of 25.62, and below the 200-day MA of 27.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MTSFY.

Mitsui Fudosan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$23.73B18.506.51%1.63%-6.74%-13.89%
SPSPG
76
Outperform
$62.32B22.6780.78%4.90%5.40%8.57%
VNVNO
64
Neutral
$14.56B944.181.32%1.94%-1.30%-80.81%
61
Neutral
$4.74B19.16-3.00%7.93%6.45%-20.78%
BXBXP
60
Neutral
$11.86B763.270.23%5.75%4.10%-92.47%
SLSLG
54
Neutral
$4.50B788.300.71%5.05%5.12%
HPHPP
52
Neutral
$415.13M-11.53%3.17%-11.47%-89.12%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTSFY
Mitsui Fudosan
25.73
-2.23
-7.98%
BXP
Boston Properties
65.57
5.55
9.25%
HPP
Hudson Pacific Properties
2.71
-3.75
-58.05%
SPG
Simon Property
163.48
20.15
14.06%
SLG
SL Green Realty
57.60
8.75
17.91%
VNO
Vornado Realty
36.40
10.97
43.14%

Mitsui Fudosan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 7, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.81% | Next Earnings Date: May 9, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, including record financial performance and upward revisions of forecasts, indicating strong business momentum. However, challenges such as increased interest burden and losses in nonoperating income and property sales to investors present potential headwinds.
Highlights
Record Highs in Financial Performance
Achieved new record highs for 9-month third quarter in sales, operating income, ordinary income, and profit attributable to owners of parent. Second consecutive record high for operating income and third consecutive record high for net profit.
Upward Revision of Full Year Forecast
Full year forecast for ordinary income revised up from JPY 255 billion to JPY 265 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent from JPY 215 billion to JPY 220 billion.
Dividend Increase
Full year dividend per share guidance increased by JPY 2 to JPY 72, reflecting the upward revision of the earnings forecast.
Growth in Leasing Segment
Leasing segment revenue increased JPY 47.1 billion and operating income increased JPY 15.2 billion year-on-year, with improvements in office vacancy rates.
Strong Overseas Profit Growth
Overseas profits increased by JPY 20.4 billion year-on-year, with significant contributions from property disposals in the U.S.
Lowlights
Interest Burden Increase
Interest burden under net interest income and expense increased JPY 17.6 billion year-on-year, primarily due to rising U.S. interest rates.
Decline in Property Sales to Investors
Operating revenue for property sales to investors and overseas individuals fell JPY 35.8 billion and operating income decreased by JPY 12.1 billion year-on-year.
Widening Nonoperating Income and Expense Losses
Overall nonoperating income and expenses was a negative JPY 45.5 billion, a JPY 18.4 billion widening of losses.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter earnings call for Mitsui Fudosan, Executive Manager Atsuro Uchida highlighted several key metrics that underscored the company's financial performance and future outlook. The company achieved record highs in sales, operating income, ordinary income, and profit attributable to owners of parent for the nine-month period, with operating income reaching JPY 245.2 billion, a 15% increase year-on-year. Ordinary income rose by 7.3% to JPY 199.7 billion, while profit attributable to owners of parent surged by 13.1% to JPY 166.4 billion. The full year forecast for ordinary income was revised upwards by JPY 10 billion to JPY 265 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent was also increased by JPY 5 billion to JPY 220 billion, setting a new record high. In response to these strong results, the company raised its full year dividend per share guidance to JPY 72, up from the previously announced JPY 70, reflecting their confidence in sustained growth. Additionally, the Leasing segment reported significant gains with operating revenues of JPY 606.1 billion, driven by key projects like 50 Hudson Yards in New York, while the Property Sales segment saw mixed results with a decline in operating revenue but stable contract rates. The Management and Facility Operations segments also showed positive momentum, with the latter benefiting from increased ADRs and spectator numbers at Tokyo Dome. Overall, Mitsui Fudosan demonstrated robust financial health and strategic adjustments to capitalize on market conditions.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.