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Equity Residential (EQR)
NYSE:EQR

Equity Residential (EQR) AI Stock Analysis

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EQEquity Residential
(NYSE:EQR)
78Outperform
Equity Residential receives a strong overall stock score, driven by its robust financial health, strategic expansion plans, and positive technical indicators. However, challenges such as declining revenue and market-specific issues temper the outlook. The stock's moderate valuation and healthy dividend yield offer additional investor appeal.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
EQR's low leverage, strong liquidity, and well-laddered balance sheet leaves capacity to fund more aggressive capital deployment, including portfolio acquisitions.
Market Demand
Management sees a forward path with limited supply, undersupply of housing, and strong future growth for multifamily demand from growing Gen Z population and longer-term lifestyle trends.
Negative Factors
Debt Refinancing
Debt refinancing should partially offset strong SS NOI growth, and EQR was not convincing on why it should be growing in the Sunbelt.

Equity Residential (EQR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Equity Residential Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquity Residential (EQR) is a leading publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the acquisition, development, and management of high-quality apartment properties in urban and high-density suburban markets across the United States. The company focuses on providing upscale living spaces, catering primarily to affluent, long-term renters and young professionals seeking modern, well-located housing solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquity Residential makes money primarily through the rental income generated from its extensive portfolio of residential properties. The company's revenue model is based on leasing apartments to tenants, who pay rent on a monthly basis. This rental income is the core revenue stream for EQR, and it is supplemented by ancillary income from services such as parking fees, pet fees, and other tenant-related charges. The company strategically invests in and manages properties in markets with strong demand and limited supply to ensure stable occupancy rates and the potential for rent growth. Additionally, EQR may engage in property sales and acquisitions to optimize its portfolio, generating capital gains from the sale of properties that have appreciated in value. Equity Residential's earnings are further supported by its ability to maintain high occupancy levels and implement rent increases in line with market conditions.

Equity Residential Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Equity Residential demonstrates a strong financial position with a debt-free balance sheet and robust cash flows, reducing financial risk. While operational margins are efficient, declining revenue and moderate net income margins pose challenges for future growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The Gross Profit Margin for TTM is approximately 42.31%, indicating healthy profitability. However, the Net Profit Margin is lower at 27.94%, showing some pressure on net income. Revenue has decreased from $2.87 billion in 2023 to $2.19 billion TTM, reflecting a negative growth trend. The EBIT Margin is 30.02%, and the EBITDA Margin is 61.56%, both indicating efficiency in operations, though overall revenue contraction is a concern.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
Equity Residential has a strong Balance Sheet with zero debt in the TTM period, showcasing excellent financial stability. The Equity Ratio stands at 53.00%, reflecting a stable capital structure. Return on Equity (ROE) is 5.56%, indicating moderate returns to shareholders. The lack of debt reduces financial risk significantly.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.98, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the Free Cash Flow has decreased slightly from $1.20 billion in 2023 to $977 million TTM, showing a reduction in cash available after capital expenditures. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.59, suggesting good cash conversion.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.98B2.87B2.74B2.46B2.57B
Gross Profit
2.55B1.83B1.75B1.52B1.66B
EBIT
2.49B1.16B791.52M618.08M765.67M
EBITDA
2.33B1.78B1.71B2.52B2.13B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.04B835.44M776.91M1.33B913.64M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
62.30M50.74M53.87M123.83M42.59M
Total Assets
20.83B20.03B20.22B21.17B20.29B
Total Debt
8.43B7.70B7.73B8.65B8.37B
Net Debt
8.36B7.65B7.68B8.53B8.33B
Total Liabilities
9.25B8.46B8.52B9.48B9.18B
Stockholders Equity
11.04B11.09B11.17B10.95B10.53B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.57B1.20B1.22B1.09B1.10B
Operating Cash Flow
1.57B1.53B1.45B1.26B1.27B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.18B-409.50M107.79M-434.62M663.59M
Financing Cash Flow
0.00-1.12B-1.79B-565.06M-1.95B

Equity Residential Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price71.91
Price Trends
50DMA
70.76
Positive
100DMA
71.90
Positive
200DMA
70.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.77
Negative
RSI
49.29
Neutral
STOCH
40.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 71.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.25, above the 50-day MA of 70.76, and above the 200-day MA of 70.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EQR.

Equity Residential Risk Analysis

Equity Residential disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Equity Residential reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Equity Residential Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AVAVB
80
Outperform
$31.72B29.369.10%3.03%4.85%16.04%
EQEQR
78
Outperform
$28.73B27.039.36%3.68%3.80%24.08%
ESESS
71
Outperform
$20.52B26.7113.53%3.18%6.29%82.88%
UDUDR
71
Outperform
$15.03B176.822.41%3.75%2.72%-80.72%
CPCPT
69
Neutral
$13.16B82.063.38%3.31%0.55%-59.48%
61
Neutral
$4.91B18.99-3.12%7.77%6.71%-19.69%
MAMAA
61
Neutral
$20.17B37.498.73%3.48%1.98%-4.78%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQR
Equity Residential
71.91
10.91
17.89%
AVB
AvalonBay
218.50
37.63
20.80%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
166.77
37.33
28.84%
ESS
Essex Property
301.44
64.76
27.36%
UDR
UDR
44.22
7.68
21.02%
CPT
Camden Property
121.82
24.35
24.98%

Equity Residential Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 3, 2025 | % Change Since: 2.25% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Equity Residential showed strong operational performance with record low turnover and significant expansion market transactions. However, challenges remain in expansion markets with elevated supply and potential impacts from the fires in Los Angeles. Revenue growth is expected in key markets like Seattle and San Francisco, highlighting a positive outlook despite some uncertainties.
Highlights
Record Low Turnover
Equity Residential reported a full year turnover of 42.5%, the lowest in its 30-year history as a public company, demonstrating success in creating remarkable resident experiences.
Strong Expansion Market Transactions
Equity Residential invested almost $2 billion in acquisitions and delivered development projects in expansion markets, while disposing of about $1 billion of older assets in coastal markets during 2024.
Positive Outlook for West Coast Markets
Seattle and San Francisco expected to lead revenue growth with approximately 4% and mid-3% growth respectively, driven by improving job growth and quality of life.
Lowlights
Impact of Fires in Los Angeles
Potential operational impacts in revenues or cleanup expenses from the fires in Los Angeles could affect future performance.
Challenges in Expansion Markets
Expansion markets such as Atlanta, Austin, Dallas, and Denver are expected to produce negative same-store revenue growth due to elevated supply levels.
Decline in Nonresidential Revenue
Nonresidential same-store revenue is expected to decline, partially offsetting residential same-store revenue growth.
Company Guidance
In their Q4 2024 earnings call, Equity Residential provided detailed guidance for 2025, highlighting several key metrics. They anticipate same-store revenue growth between 2.25% and 3.25%, with same-store expense growth expected to range from 3.5% to 4.5%. The company's outlook is underpinned by a strong demand from office-using job growth, particularly on the West Coast, and a low unemployment rate of 2.4% among college graduates. Equity Residential aims to acquire $1.5 billion in assets while disposing of $1 billion in 2025, targeting an expansion of their net operating income exposure in high-growth markets like Atlanta, Austin, Dallas, and Denver to 20-25%. Despite some uncertainties, the company remains optimistic, supported by a fortress balance sheet and strategic capital allocation plans.

Equity Residential Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Equity Residential Announces Investor Day for 2025
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

On February 25, 2025, Equity Residential announced it will hold an Investor Day featuring presentations by its management team. The event will focus on the company’s portfolio optimization strategy, innovative operating platform, and strong balance sheet, highlighting positive trends in multifamily demand and supply in its markets. This initiative underscores Equity Residential’s strategic positioning for growth and its commitment to fostering thriving communities.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Equity Residential Expands Severance Plan and Paper Program
Neutral
Dec 18, 2024

Equity Residential has implemented an Executive Severance Plan to offer standardized severance benefits for its management employees, excluding change in control situations. This plan is intended to aid in executive retention and recruitment, while providing the company with protections and minimizing potential costs from disputes. Additionally, ERP Operating Limited Partnership, the company’s operating partnership, has raised its commercial paper program limit from $1 billion to $1.5 billion, enhancing its capacity to issue unsecured notes in the U.S. market.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.