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Dorian LPG (LPG)
NYSE:LPG

Dorian LPG (LPG) AI Stock Analysis

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Dorian LPG

(NYSE:LPG)

75Outperform
Dorian LPG's strong financial standing and low leverage are significant strengths, providing a stable base for growth despite recent revenue declines. Technical indicators suggest short-term caution, but the stock's undervaluation offers long-term potential. The company's strategic focus on operational efficiency and market positioning further supports its positive outlook.

Dorian LPG (LPG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Dorian LPG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDorian LPG Ltd. is a holding company which engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas. It focus on managing gas carriers and developing customer services. It also offers in-house commercial and technical management services to vessels in their fleet and vessels deployed in the Helios Pool. The company was founded on July 1, 2013 and is headquartered in Stamford, CT.
How the Company Makes MoneyDorian LPG generates revenue by providing shipping services for liquefied petroleum gas through its fleet of Very Large Gas Carriers (VLGCs). The company earns money primarily from time charters and spot market voyages. In time charters, Dorian LPG leases its vessels to customers for a fixed period, providing steady and predictable income. In the spot market, the company offers its vessels for single voyages, which can offer higher earnings potential based on market conditions but also carry more risk. Additionally, Dorian LPG may engage in partnerships or joint ventures with other shipping or energy companies to optimize fleet utilization and expand service offerings. Key factors influencing its earnings include global LPG demand, shipping rates, fuel costs, and regulatory changes impacting maritime operations.

Dorian LPG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dorian LPG demonstrates strong financial health with high profitability, effective cash conversion, and a solid equity position. Although revenue decline in the latest period warrants attention, the company's low leverage and strong cash flow provide a stable foundation for future growth, positioning it well within the fossil fuels industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 52.7% and a net profit margin of 38.5% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth was robust between 2022 and 2023, with a 42% increase, though it slightly decreased in the subsequent year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 43.1% and 58.0%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the declining revenue trend from 2023 to 2024 TTM could be a concern if it continues.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 58.7% for TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.21, indicating limited leverage and prudent financial management. Return on equity stands at a robust 15.1%. While the company has reduced its debt significantly, maintaining a strong cash position, the declining asset base needs monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement shows strong operational cash flow with an impressive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.7 for TTM, highlighting effective cash conversion. Free cash flow growth is substantial, with free cash flow almost tripling from 2022 to 2024. However, negative investing cash flow indicates high capital expenditures, which may need to be scrutinized for returns.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
418.84M560.72M389.75M274.22M315.94M333.43M
Gross Profit
220.65M365.24M228.05M112.99M147.71M182.58M
EBIT
180.33M328.83M198.36M92.40M116.10M161.07M
EBITDA
243.08M397.50M261.76M151.57M197.84M216.09M
Net Income Common Stockholders
161.32M307.45M172.44M71.94M92.56M111.84M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
324.53M294.04M236.76M79.33M63.31M30.84M
Total Assets
1.82B1.84B1.61B1.58B1.67B1.63B
Total Debt
221.48M796.81M670.84M609.14M661.84M696.09M
Net Debt
-93.05M514.30M434.08M529.81M613.45M665.25M
Total Liabilities
751.55M814.12M687.21M634.79M694.91M712.69M
Stockholders Equity
1.07B1.02B920.15M946.83M977.05M912.68M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
246.07M355.19M95.51M161.09M149.01M4.86M
Operating Cash Flow
276.65M388.04M118.70M170.60M169.04M8.88M
Investing Cash Flow
-28.99M-34.80M68.77M1.02M-33.14M-4.52M
Financing Cash Flow
-141.41M-219.72M-35.18M-174.48M-114.65M-67.01M

Dorian LPG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price21.75
Price Trends
50DMA
22.93
Negative
100DMA
24.09
Negative
200DMA
30.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.57
Negative
RSI
50.67
Neutral
STOCH
82.72
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LPG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.25, below the 50-day MA of 22.93, and below the 200-day MA of 30.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LPG.

Dorian LPG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$963.32M12.347.14%1.45%5.99%13.57%
LPLPG
75
Outperform
$894.61M5.4215.72%-24.25%-48.08%
73
Outperform
$1.98B2.9524.68%4.13%-8.16%15.26%
NANAT
70
Outperform
$537.85M11.048.91%16.26%-9.60%-46.39%
65
Neutral
$1.16B10.0914.23%13.65%-3.95%-2.25%
57
Neutral
$3.54B68.752.44%3.06%-1.35%-75.72%
57
Neutral
$8.53B5.52-5.01%7.44%-0.10%-68.53%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LPG
Dorian LPG
21.75
-11.40
-34.39%
GLNG
Golar LNG
33.86
10.78
46.71%
NAT
Nordic American Tanker
2.54
-0.99
-28.05%
STNG
Scorpio Tankers
39.57
-30.17
-43.26%
NVGS
Navigator Holdings
13.68
-1.14
-7.69%
FLNG
FLEX LNG
21.79
-0.71
-3.16%

Dorian LPG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 31, 2025 | % Change Since: -11.80% | Next Earnings Date: May 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view of the company's performance with positive highlights such as consistent dividends, fuel efficiency improvements, and a strong financial position. However, there are some concerns about cash flow, geopolitical challenges, and rising interest costs. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a focus on maintaining financial flexibility and market position.
Highlights
Consistent Dividend Policy
The company declared a dividend of $0.70 per share, consistent with its policy of aligning shareholder returns with market realities, despite a heavy dry docking schedule.
Fuel Savings and Efficiency Improvements
Achieving fuel savings higher than 10% from energy-saving devices and silicon paints. This results in payback periods of less than a year and continuous fuel and cost emissions savings.
Strong Financial Position
Reported $314.5 million in free cash with a debt-to-total book capitalization at 34.8% and net debt to total cap at 15%.
Positive Market Outlook
Expectations of production growth and terminal expansions at Targa and Nederland by the second half of 2025. Deliveries of only 11 ships this year support a healthy freight market.
Ammonia Capable Fleet Expansion
Upgrading fleet to be ammonia capable with one VLGC already on water and plans to retrofit two more ships this year.
Lowlights
Cash Flow and Dividend Payout
Free cash declined from the previous quarter, with $42.6 million in irregular dividends paid and $2.8 million in vessel CapEx.
Market and Geopolitical Challenges
Volatile political environment and geopolitical uncertainties, including developments in Ukraine, Iran, and the Middle East, may influence the market.
Interest Cost Increase
Lowest cost hedges rolling off at the end of the quarter, resulting in a 30 basis point increase in debt cost starting fiscal Q1 2026.
Company Guidance
During the Dorian LPG Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management provided optimistic guidance despite a challenging market environment. The company declared a $0.70 per share dividend, reflecting confidence in their financial health with a reported $314.5 million in free cash and a debt-to-total book capitalization ratio of 34.8%. They highlighted a TCE revenue per available day of approximately $36,100, with expectations for the next quarter to exceed $37,000 per day. Operational efficiencies were emphasized, including over 10% fuel savings from energy-saving devices, and ongoing preparation for ammonia transport capabilities. The company is strategically positioned with a strong balance sheet, ready to navigate market uncertainties while focusing on capital allocation, fleet renewal opportunities, and maintaining a balance between shareholder returns and business needs.

Dorian LPG Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Dorian LPG Announces Dividend and Financial Results Plan
Positive
Jan 24, 2025

On January 24, 2025, Dorian LPG Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors declared an irregular cash dividend of $0.70 per share, amounting to approximately $30 million, payable on February 27, 2025, to shareholders of record as of February 5, 2025. Additionally, the company plans to release its unaudited financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2024, on January 31, 2025, followed by an earnings conference call. Preliminary financial data for the quarter indicates expected time charter equivalent revenues between $78.7 million and $80.7 million, with vessel operating expenses ranging from $20.4 million to $22.4 million, and cash reserves of approximately $313.5 million to $315.5 million.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.