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Ibotta, Inc. Class A (IBTA)
:IBTA
US Market

Ibotta, Inc. Class A (IBTA) AI Stock Analysis

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Ibotta, Inc. Class A

(NYSE:IBTA)

65Neutral
Ibotta, Inc. maintains a strong financial foundation with impressive revenue growth and profitability. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the latest earnings call highlighted some near-term challenges, including softer revenue guidance and operational inefficiencies. Valuation remains reasonable, but the lack of a dividend might deter some investors. Overall, the stock score reflects a cautious outlook, balancing solid fundamentals with near-term operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
Revenue growth and EBITDA Margin are expected to accelerate and expand as offer supply increases and new partnerships ramp up.
Market Position
Ibotta is well positioned for higher grocery prices as consumers continue to seek value given persistent grocery inflation.
Partnerships
Ibotta announced a new multiyear partnership with delivery service provider DoorDash, covering over 115k non-restaurant locations within DoorDash’s network.
Negative Factors
Advertising Challenges
Advertising supply challenges are impacting revenue visibility and profitability, leading to a downgrade of Ibotta's shares from Buy to Neutral.
Financial Performance
The stock has dropped significantly due to Q4 results and Q1 outlook falling below management's guidance and Street estimates.
Sales Challenges
Sales execution fell short of expectations, mainly due to changes within Ibotta’s sales organization, resulting in inconsistent account coverage and less-effective account handoffs.

Ibotta, Inc. Class A (IBTA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ibotta, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIbotta, Inc. operates as a technology company that offers Ibotta Performance Network (IPN) that allows consumer packaged goods brands to deliver digital promotions to consumers. It offers promotional services to publishers, retailers, and advertisers through the IPN. The company was formerly known as Zing Enterprises, Inc. and changed its name to Ibotta, Inc. in 2012. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyIbotta makes money primarily through partnerships and agreements with retailers and brands. These partners pay Ibotta to feature and promote their products within the app, allowing them to reach a targeted audience and drive sales. The company earns a commission or fee based on the engagement and conversion rates of these promotions. Additionally, Ibotta may generate revenue through affiliate marketing by earning a percentage of the sales generated from users making purchases through the app's linked offers. Significant partnerships with major retailers and consumer goods companies contribute to its earnings by expanding its reach and enhancing the attractiveness of offers available to users.

Ibotta, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ibotta, Inc. exhibits a robust financial position with strong revenue growth and high profitability margins. The balance sheet is solid with no debt and a high equity ratio, indicating financial stability. Cash flow management is effective, though there are concerns about operational efficiency due to declining EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ibotta, Inc. shows strong revenue growth with a 14.74% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is healthy at 86.36% for 2024, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin improved significantly to 18.72%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, EBIT margin declined to 7.60%, and EBITDA margin to 9.81%, suggesting increased operational costs or reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with zero total debt and a strong equity base, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00. The equity ratio is a substantial 67.40%, indicating strong financial stability. Return on equity (ROE) is high at 15.03%, highlighting effective use of equity. The significant increase in stockholders' equity from 2023 to 2024 is a positive sign.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow increased significantly, leading to a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.69. Free cash flow also improved to $105.72 million, with a favorable free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.54. The company demonstrates effective cash flow management, although the capital expenditure remains substantial.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income StatementTotal Revenue
157.37M367.25M320.04M210.70M
Gross Profit
132.40M317.13M272.38M161.48M
EBIT
25.32M27.93M56.00M-40.31M
EBITDA
26.34M36.01M62.66M-33.99M
Net Income Common Stockholders
14.36M68.74M38.12M-54.86M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
349.69M349.69M62.59M45.50M
Total Assets
678.43M678.43M319.79M195.08M
Total Debt
0.000.0064.45M65.98M
Net Debt
-349.28M-349.28M1.86M48.16M
Total Liabilities
221.15M221.15M291.86M229.87M
Stockholders Equity
457.28M457.28M27.93M-34.79M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
23.37M105.72M14.49M-64.76M
Operating Cash Flow
26.36M115.92M22.72M-56.50M
Investing Cash Flow
7.51M-10.20M19.67M-35.68M
Financing Cash Flow
1.50M181.38M2.38M74.05M

Ibotta, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price43.78
Price Trends
50DMA
57.73
Negative
100DMA
63.73
Negative
200DMA
63.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.96
Negative
RSI
46.11
Neutral
STOCH
88.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IBTA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 43.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.00, below the 50-day MA of 57.73, and below the 200-day MA of 63.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IBTA.

Ibotta, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$17.34B16.7568.18%7.78%1345.45%
73
Outperform
$31.13B16.6434.29%1.65%2.79%-23.30%
67
Neutral
$11.10B-5.37%18.03%82.15%
65
Neutral
$1.38B21.92136.48%14.75%77.59%
61
Neutral
$5.07B237.113.48%31.39%
55
Neutral
$4.09B-18.78-4.70%5.70%27.38%-68.17%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IBTA
Ibotta, Inc. Class A
44.40
-53.60
-54.69%
EBAY
eBay
66.81
15.49
30.18%
SHOP
Shopify
102.52
24.33
31.12%
ROKU
Roku
76.05
11.86
18.48%
DOCU
DocuSign
85.66
27.43
47.11%
LYFT
Lyft
12.14
-7.10
-36.90%

Ibotta, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 26, 2025 | % Change Since: -30.61% | Next Earnings Date: May 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Ibotta is making strategic moves with new measurement frameworks and partnerships, they faced significant challenges with revenue shortfalls and offer supply issues, leading to a weaker outlook for the near term.
Highlights
New Measurement Framework Initiative
Ibotta has introduced a new framework for measuring incremental sales lift, enabling clients to track cost per incremental dollar (CPID) and optimize campaigns for profitable revenue growth.
Partnerships with Major CPG Companies
Ibotta successfully piloted their new measurement framework with two major food and beverage companies, leading to greenlit campaigns that are significantly larger in budget compared to previous years.
Launch of Alcoholic Beverage Offers
Ibotta introduced alcoholic beverage offers on Instacart, which is expected to attract greater investment from beer, wine, and spirits companies.
DoorDash Partnership
Ibotta announced that DoorDash would be going live on their network, expanding their publisher network and potential redeemer base.
Lowlights
Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Below Guidance
Ibotta reported revenue and adjusted EBITDA below the guidance range provided in the previous earnings call due to a shortfall in redemption revenue and offer supply challenges.
Softer First Quarter 2025 Outlook
The company is guiding towards a softer than anticipated outlook for Q1 2025, attributing it to insufficient offer supply and sales execution issues.
Challenges with CPG Brand Offer Supply
Ibotta faced challenges in securing enough offer supply from CPG brands, resulting in lower than expected redemptions per redeemer.
Workforce Reduction
Ibotta reduced the size of its workforce by 8% as part of efforts to streamline operations and better align resources with key initiatives.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Ibotta provided guidance for Q1 2025, highlighting a softer-than-expected outlook. They reported Q4 2024 revenue of $98.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $27.8 million, which were 4% and 13% below the guidance range, respectively. The company attributed the shortfall to a lack of sufficient offer supply impacting redemption revenue, with total redemptions per redeemer down 20% year-over-year. They anticipate Q1 2025 revenue to be between $80 million and $84 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 15%. Despite challenges, Ibotta is optimistic about long-term growth, focusing on improving sales execution, expanding offer supply, and enhancing measurement tools such as the cost per incremental dollar (CPID) framework. Additionally, the company saw healthy redeemer growth, particularly in third-party publishers, and expects gradual revenue growth improvement throughout 2025.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.