tiprankstipranks
GlobalFoundries Inc (GFS)
NASDAQ:GFS

GlobalFoundries Inc (GFS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
889 Followers

Top Page

GFGlobalFoundries Inc
(NASDAQ:GFS)
54Neutral
GlobalFoundries' stock is facing headwinds due to profitability and revenue challenges, reflected in its negative income statement and unattractive valuation metrics. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. However, strong cash flow management, strategic initiatives, and guidance for future growth provide some optimism.
Positive Factors
Government Support
The capacity expansion by GFS is supported by the US and European CHIPS Act, providing significant funding opportunities.
Strategic Partnerships
GFS is expanding its presence in Europe by partnering with STMicroelectronics to build a new semiconductor manufacturing facility in France.
Negative Factors
Consumer Electronics Market Risk
GFS has a high revenue exposure to smart mobile devices, which poses a risk if the consumer electronics market continues to weaken.

GlobalFoundries Inc (GFS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

GlobalFoundries Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) is a leading semiconductor foundry that specializes in the design and manufacture of integrated circuits. With facilities across the globe, GlobalFoundries serves a diverse range of industries including automotive, mobile communications, consumer electronics, and data centers. The company provides innovative semiconductor solutions that enable its clients to create highly efficient and power-optimized products.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobalFoundries Inc. generates revenue primarily through the fabrication and sale of semiconductor wafers. As a contract manufacturer, the company partners with various businesses to produce customized chips according to their specific designs and requirements. Revenue streams include long-term supply agreements with major technology companies, as well as collaborations with emerging tech firms seeking specialized foundry services. GlobalFoundries benefits from economies of scale by operating large-scale manufacturing facilities, which helps optimize production costs and improve profit margins. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to advance its technological capabilities, thus enhancing its competitive advantage and ability to attract high-profile clients.

GlobalFoundries Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GlobalFoundries faces profitability and growth challenges, as reflected in the income statement. However, the company maintains a strong balance sheet and demonstrates excellent cash flow management, mitigating some risks. Continued focus on improving profitability and revenue growth will be essential for future stability and success.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
The income statement reflects a challenging period for GlobalFoundries. Gross profit margin has declined from 28.4% in 2023 to 24.4% in 2024, and the net profit margin has turned negative, moving from 13.8% in 2023 to -3.9% in 2024. Revenue growth has also been negative, declining by 8.7% from 2023 to 2024. Additionally, EBIT and EBITDA margins both deteriorated, with EBIT margin dropping from 15.3% to -3.2%, and EBITDA margin from 35.6% to 34.0% in 2024. The declining profitability and negative growth rates point to operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 in 2024, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity (ROE) has weakened from 9.2% in 2023 to -2.5% in 2024, reflecting profitability issues. However, the equity ratio increased from 61.5% in 2023 to 64.1% in 2024, suggesting a solid equity base. Overall, the company maintains a strong balance sheet, but profitability concerns remain.
Cash Flow
77
Positive
Cash flow analysis highlights strong cash management. Free cash flow increased significantly, from $321 million in 2023 to $1,097 million in 2024, showing a growth rate of 241.8%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at -6.49, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at -4.14, emphasizing effective cash flow management despite profitability challenges.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.75B7.39B8.11B6.58B4.85B
Gross Profit
1.65B2.10B2.24B1.01B-712.72M
EBIT
-214.00M1.13B1.17B-68.00M-1.50B
EBITDA
2.30B2.64B3.27B1.56B1.31B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-265.00M1.02B1.45B-254.00M-1.35B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.39B3.47B2.97B2.94B908.08M
Total Assets
16.80B18.04B17.84B15.03B12.32B
Total Debt
2.23B2.75B2.51B2.01B2.80B
Net Debt
38.00M367.00M159.00M-926.00M1.89B
Total Liabilities
5.97B6.89B7.88B7.00B5.08B
Stockholders Equity
10.78B11.10B9.91B8.03B7.18B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.10B321.00M-435.00M1.07B413.41M
Operating Cash Flow
1.72B2.13B2.62B2.84B1.01B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.13B-1.88B-4.06B-1.45B-366.17M
Financing Cash Flow
-785.00M-212.00M842.00M650.00M-732.74M

GlobalFoundries Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price40.00
Price Trends
50DMA
41.57
Negative
100DMA
41.80
Negative
200DMA
44.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.91
Positive
RSI
47.92
Neutral
STOCH
35.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GFS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 40 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.78, below the 50-day MA of 41.57, and below the 200-day MA of 44.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.91 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GFS.

GlobalFoundries Inc Risk Analysis

GlobalFoundries Inc disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GlobalFoundries Inc reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GlobalFoundries Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$175.29B16.9441.96%2.15%12.13%36.17%
75
Outperform
$2.70T37.63119.18%0.03%114.20%146.26%
TSTSM
74
Outperform
$804.36B26.1629.96%1.04%29.98%35.76%
AMAMD
73
Outperform
$164.75B98.532.89%13.69%91.75%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
GFGFS
54
Neutral
$21.24B28.15-2.42%-8.69%-125.98%
48
Neutral
$89.85B-18.31%2.41%-2.08%-1212.72%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
40.00
-13.46
-25.18%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
100.31
-98.08
-49.44%
INTC
Intel
20.64
-23.76
-53.51%
NVDA
Nvidia
112.69
26.94
31.42%
QCOM
Qualcomm
161.22
-6.54
-3.90%
TSM
TSMC
177.10
39.61
28.81%

GlobalFoundries Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 11, 2025 | % Change Since: 5.99% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in free cash flow and automotive revenue growth, alongside strong design win momentum and strategic initiatives. However, it also noted challenges such as a major impairment charge, an overall revenue decline, and specific weaknesses in the IoT and communications infrastructure segments.
Highlights
Exceeded Free Cash Flow Target
In 2024, GlobalFoundries significantly exceeded its free cash flow target, generating over $1 billion in adjusted free cash flow, which was approximately 3x the adjusted free cash flow of 2023.
Automotive Revenue Growth
Automotive revenue grew by 15% year-over-year in 2024, reaching a new annual record and exceeding $1 billion, marking a significant accomplishment in this end market.
Design Wins Momentum
GlobalFoundries reported a record level of design wins across all end markets, with almost 90% secured on a sole source basis, indicating strong customer partnerships and market positioning.
Advanced Packaging and Photonics Center
Announced a new center for advanced packaging and test capabilities in Malta, New York, supported by grants from New York State and the U.S. Department of Commerce.
Strong Cash Position
At the end of the fourth quarter, GlobalFoundries had a healthy combined total of cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities amounting to $4.2 billion.
Lowlights
Impairment Charge
A onetime $935 million impairment charge on long-lived assets related to legacy investments in the Malta, New York facility was incurred, impacting financial results.
Overall Revenue Decline
Full year 2024 revenue was approximately $6.75 billion, down 9% year-over-year, mainly due to prolonged industry downturn and weak economic conditions.
IoT Revenue Decline
Home and industrial IoT revenue declined 21% year-over-year in 2024 as customers managed elevated inventory levels.
Communications Infrastructure and Data Center Revenue Decline
Full year 2024 revenue for communications infrastructure and data center declined 33% year-over-year due to expected platform transitions.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, GlobalFoundries provided guidance highlighting a modest return to year-over-year revenue growth in the first quarter of 2025, following a year of sequential revenue increases throughout 2024. The company exceeded its 2024 target of generating three times the adjusted free cash flow compared to 2023, achieving over $1 billion, and aims to surpass this in 2025. For Q1 2025, GlobalFoundries anticipates revenue between $1.55 billion and $1.6 billion, with gross profit expected to be between $341 million and $384 million. The firm also projects ending 2025 with an adjusted gross margin of approximately 30%, driven by improved factory utilization, structural cost optimizations, and enriching product mix. Additionally, the company plans to maintain its capital-efficient strategy with a net CapEx of approximately $700 million for the year.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.