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GoodRx Holdings (GDRX)
NASDAQ:GDRX
US Market

GoodRx Holdings (GDRX) AI Stock Analysis

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GoodRx Holdings

(NASDAQ:GDRX)

67Neutral
GoodRx Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth and improving profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet. The technical indicators are mildly negative, and the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. Earnings call insights are positive, highlighting growth and strategic initiatives. The recent appointment of a new CFO is a positive step toward strengthening financial management.
Positive Factors
E-commerce Integration
GoodRx's new e-commerce capability with Hy-Vee allows consumers to purchase medications through the app, increasing convenience and reducing time spent at the pharmacy.
Market Share Growth
GoodRx believes its market share of the prescription discount segment grew by 3%, indicating strong performance in a competitive market.
Profitability Improvements
GoodRx's revenue mix is shifting towards higher margin business lines, leading to consistent profitability improvements and meaningful EBITDA margin expansion.
Negative Factors
Financial Stability Concerns
Investors may be concerned about the CFO's departure, interpreting it as a potential signal of financial risk at GoodRx.
Reimbursement Landscape Changes
Caution is advised due to changes in the PBM-to-pharmacy reimbursement landscape, which may affect GoodRx's business model.
Retail Pharmacy Closures
The recent increase in retail pharmacy closures presents a risk to GoodRx, impacting its operational landscape.

GoodRx Holdings (GDRX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

GoodRx Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGoodRx Holdings, Inc. is a leading American healthcare technology company that operates within the healthcare services sector. It offers a platform that helps consumers access affordable and transparent prescription drug prices. GoodRx provides a free-to-use website and mobile app that allows users to compare drug prices across different pharmacies and obtain discounts on prescription medications. The company's core products and services focus on improving healthcare accessibility and affordability by offering a wide range of pharmacy discount programs and telehealth services.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoodRx makes money primarily through advertising and referral fees from pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) and pharmacies when consumers use its discount codes to purchase medications. Additionally, the company generates revenue from subscriptions to its GoodRx Gold membership program, which offers even larger discounts on prescription drugs. GoodRx also earns from its telehealth services by charging fees for virtual doctor consultations. Key partnerships with PBMs and pharmacies are significant factors contributing to its earnings, as they allow GoodRx to offer competitive discounts and access to a wide network of pharmacies.

GoodRx Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GoodRx Holdings demonstrates robust revenue growth and improving profitability, supported by a strong balance sheet with reduced leverage. Cash flow management is stable, though historical volatility in net income and cash flows suggests some risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
GoodRx Holdings shows a consistent increase in revenue over recent years, indicating healthy growth. The gross profit margin is strong, over 90%, suggesting effective cost management. However, net profit margins have fluctuated, with recent improvements after earlier losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown positive trends, moving from negative to positive, indicating improved operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
GoodRx Holdings maintains a healthy equity ratio, reflecting a solid financial base with stockholders' equity making up over 50% of total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating reduced leverage risk. However, the company has experienced volatility in net income, impacting the return on equity, which has been negative in recent years but is now positive.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The company's free cash flow has improved, although it experienced some fluctuations in recent years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests adequate cash generation relative to net income, despite previous years of negative net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is stable, indicating effective cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
792.32M750.26M766.55M745.42M550.70M
Gross Profit
744.11M683.34M701.48M698.71M521.11M
EBIT
65.85M-27.01M11.01M13.41M-275.72M
EBITDA
153.92M108.82M68.54M48.00M-257.11M
Net Income Common Stockholders
16.39M-8.87M-32.83M-25.25M-293.62M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
448.35M672.30M757.16M941.11M968.69M
Total Assets
1.39B1.59B1.60B1.61B1.47B
Total Debt
56.68M711.07M717.02M702.33M704.92M
Net Debt
-391.67M38.77M-40.14M-238.78M-263.77M
Total Liabilities
663.41M826.84M789.80M775.95M758.75M
Stockholders Equity
724.66M761.96M814.83M831.68M711.36M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
163.00K82.53M91.57M144.32M95.52M
Operating Cash Flow
163.00K138.29M146.78M178.78M131.34M
Investing Cash Flow
-70.35M-55.77M-210.50M-178.73M-91.62M
Financing Cash Flow
-337.50M-167.40M-120.23M-30.53M905.82M

GoodRx Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.69
Price Trends
50DMA
4.67
Negative
100DMA
4.65
Negative
200DMA
6.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
41.36
Neutral
STOCH
19.51
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GDRX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.46, above the 50-day MA of 4.67, and below the 200-day MA of 6.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GDRX.

GoodRx Holdings Risk Analysis

GoodRx Holdings disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GoodRx Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GoodRx Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.93B39.9211.14%7.22%-9.84%
67
Neutral
$1.80B110.092.21%5.61%
67
Neutral
$967.51M48.535.72%0.37%4.51%32.28%
48
Neutral
$6.36B1.28-45.04%2.64%19.24%1.69%
45
Neutral
$1.37B-52.46%-1.26%-338.56%
45
Neutral
$1.43B-38.58%-4.21%-544.81%
DHDH
44
Neutral
$379.19M-63.28%0.31%-99.23%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings
4.32
-2.60
-37.57%
HSTM
HealthStream
31.34
6.55
26.42%
TDOC
Teladoc
7.24
-7.36
-50.41%
PGNY
Progyny
22.26
-12.71
-36.35%
SDGR
Schrodinger
19.22
-8.16
-29.80%
DH
Definitive Healthcare Corp
2.48
-5.20
-67.71%

GoodRx Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -4.09% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reveals significant growth and achievements in consumer reach, pharmacy partnerships, and financial metrics, with a few notable challenges in subscription revenue and ISP program expansion.
Highlights
Increased Consumer Use and Savings
In 2024, nearly 30 million consumers used GoodRx, which is almost 5 million more than in 2023, resulting in nearly $17 billion in medication savings.
Growth in Prescription Discount Segment
The share of the prescription discount segment grew by 3% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, reinforcing GoodRx's position as a leading platform for medication savings.
Pharmacy Partner Profitability
Partner pharmacies saw profitability increase by over 20% per script in January 2025 compared to the same period in 2024.
Manufacturer Solutions Revenue Growth
Pharma manufacturer solutions revenue increased by 26% year-over-year, growing the number of brands from 150 in 2023 to over 200 in 2024.
Financial Growth
Full year 2024 revenue was $792.3 million, up 6%, with adjusted EBITDA growing 20% year-over-year to $260.2 million.
Lowlights
Decline in Subscription Revenue
Subscription revenue declined by 8% to $86.5 million, largely due to the sunset of a retailer-specific prescription savings program.
Retail Challenges Impacting Prescription Transactions
Headwinds on monthly active consumers are expected due to retail pharmacy challenges and store rationalizations.
ISP Program Expansion Challenges
Integrated Savings Program (ISP) expansion has been slower than anticipated, with ongoing negotiations needed to include non-covered brands.
Company Guidance
During the GoodRx earnings call for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, the company provided guidance for 2025, expecting revenue to range between $810 million and $840 million, representing a growth of approximately 4% at the midpoint. The adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $270 million and $286 million, indicating around 7% growth. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the company achieved revenue of $198.6 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $67.1 million, contributing to a full-year revenue of $792.3 million, up 6% year-over-year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $260.2 million, marking a 20% increase. The prescription transactions revenue grew 5% to $577.5 million, while subscription revenue declined by 8% to $86.5 million. The Pharma Manufacturer Solutions revenue saw a 26% increase, reaching $107.2 million. The company also noted improvements in pharmacy profitability, with a 20% increase per script in their partner pharmacies' book of business in January 2025 compared to the previous year. GoodRx highlighted the expansion of its integrated savings program and manufacturer solutions, aiming to enhance medication access and drive growth.

GoodRx Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
GoodRx Holdings Appoints Christopher McGinnis as CFO
Positive
Feb 5, 2025

On February 4, 2025, GoodRx Holdings appointed Christopher A. McGinnis as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. McGinnis brings extensive experience from his previous roles in pharmacy benefits management and healthcare financial operations. This strategic appointment aligns with GoodRx’s efforts to strengthen its executive team and enhance its financial management capabilities. McGinnis’s employment agreement includes a competitive salary, incentive bonuses, and stock options, signaling a significant investment in leadership to drive future growth and operational efficiency.

Executive/Board Changes
GoodRx Holdings Appoints Scott Wagner as Co-Chair
Neutral
Jan 22, 2025

On January 21, 2025, GoodRx Holdings announced the appointment of Scott Wagner as a Class II director and Co-Chair of the Board, following his tenure as Interim CEO. Wagner’s extensive leadership experience, including his role at GoDaddy, is expected to enhance the company’s strategic direction. Simon Patterson resigned from the Board, with no disagreements cited, and his vacancy was filled by Wagner. Wagner will receive compensation in line with GoodRx’s Non-Employee Director Compensation Program.

Executive/Board Changes
GoodRx Holdings CFO Resigns, Interim CFO Appointed
Neutral
Jan 13, 2025

GoodRx Holdings has announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Karsten Voermann, has resigned for personal reasons, effective January 17, 2025. The company has appointed Romin Nabiey, the current Chief Accounting Officer, as the Interim Chief Financial Officer while they search for a permanent replacement. The transition is amicable, with no disagreements cited between Voermann and the company. Voermann will enter into a Separation Agreement, allowing him to retain certain stock options and bonuses, while also agreeing to non-disparagement and confidentiality clauses.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.