tiprankstipranks
Full House Resorts (FLL)
NASDAQ:FLL

Full House Resorts (FLL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
365 Followers

Top Page

FL

Full House Resorts

(NASDAQ:FLL)

52Neutral
Full House Resorts displays a mix of strengths and weaknesses. While there is positive revenue growth and a strong balance sheet, the company faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are unfavorable due to negative earnings and lack of dividends. The earnings call highlights strategic initiatives and potential growth, but operational and competitive challenges remain. Overall, the stock presents a moderate risk-reward profile, requiring careful consideration of future profitability and strategic execution.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Full House Resorts generated revenue of $73M, which is 1% higher than consensus expectations, and its EBITDA increased by 13% compared to consensus, marking its first EBITDA beat in four quarters.
Growth Prospects
The desire to move its Rising Star gaming license from a riverboat to a land-based property in Fort Wayne, Indiana, serves as another growth catalyst or an attractive selling point as a takeout candidate.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
Chamonix struggled to manage expenses over the year, leading to adjustments in estimates to reflect a slower ramp at the property.

Full House Resorts (FLL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Full House Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFull House Resorts, Inc. is a publicly traded company that operates in the hospitality and entertainment sectors, primarily focusing on owning, developing, and managing gaming facilities and related amenities. The company operates a diverse portfolio of regional casinos and resorts across the United States, offering a range of gaming and entertainment options, including slot machines, table games, sports betting, dining, and hotel accommodations.
How the Company Makes MoneyFull House Resorts generates revenue primarily through its gaming operations, which include slot machines, table games, and sports betting. The company operates multiple regional casinos, each contributing to its overall income. In addition to gaming, the company earns money from non-gaming amenities such as hotel accommodations, dining, and entertainment offerings within its resorts. These additional services enhance the overall guest experience and contribute supplementary income. Full House Resorts also seeks to increase profitability through strategic partnerships, marketing initiatives, and the expansion of its existing properties, along with potential new developments in the gaming and hospitality sector.

Full House Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Full House Resorts demonstrates growth in revenue but struggles with profitability, reflected in negative net income and margins. The balance sheet shows increasing leverage and declining equity, raising concerns about financial stability. Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative free cash flow and reduced operating cash flow, indicating potential liquidity issues. Overall, the company faces significant financial pressures and risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows a mixed performance with a substantial increase in Total Revenue from $241.06M in 2023 to $279.13M TTM, indicating growth. However, the Net Income remains negative at -$40.86M in TTM, worsening from -$24.90M in 2023, which reflects on the Net Profit Margin. Gross Profit Margin is relatively healthy at 37.08% for TTM but shows a decline from previous periods.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's Debt-to-Equity ratio has increased, with Total Debt rising to $527.62M against a reduced Stockholders' Equity of $51.82M in TTM, indicating high leverage. The Equity Ratio is low at 7.75% for TTM, reflecting limited shareholder equity compared to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet shows high leverage and reduced equity, posing financial stability risks.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Operating Cash Flow decreased to $18.15M in TTM from $22.35M in 2023, impacting Free Cash Flow, which remains negative at -$55.45M TTM. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is negative due to the negative Net Income, and the Free Cash Flow remains under strain due to high capital expenditures. These factors indicate weak cash flow management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
279.13M241.06M163.28M180.16M125.59M165.43M
Gross Profit
103.51M131.37M90.15M106.21M66.83M71.64M
EBIT
4.53M-1.16M12.68M37.55M10.48M6.22M
EBITDA
39.10M31.26M20.66M45.45M18.83M14.55M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-40.85M-24.90M-14.80M11.71M147.00K-5.82M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
20.63M36.16M56.59M88.72M37.70M28.85M
Total Assets
182.27M688.46M595.33M473.84M212.62M211.34M
Total Debt
100.02M514.84M424.06M321.36M129.24M127.71M
Net Debt
79.38M478.68M367.47M232.64M91.55M98.86M
Total Liabilities
122.53M610.61M495.54M361.13M155.94M155.24M
Stockholders Equity
59.74M77.85M99.79M112.72M56.68M56.10M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-55.45M-176.77M-166.56M-7.49M6.35M2.38M
Operating Cash Flow
18.14M22.34M4.38M29.50M8.99M10.47M
Investing Cash Flow
-66.66M-198.76M-172.11M-37.22M-2.62M-8.67M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.63M59.03M93.62M235.31M1.48M7.42M

Full House Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.23
Price Trends
50DMA
4.83
Negative
100DMA
4.77
Negative
200DMA
4.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
32.84
Neutral
STOCH
17.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.80, below the 50-day MA of 4.83, and below the 200-day MA of 4.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FLL.

Full House Resorts Risk Analysis

Full House Resorts disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Full House Resorts reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Full House Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.57B22.1418.25%1.41%4.13%17.73%
BYBYD
74
Outperform
$5.60B10.7234.76%1.02%5.13%2.04%
59
Neutral
$12.41B10.341.32%3.61%1.65%-18.04%
58
Neutral
$725.87M16.2610.03%3.65%-36.68%-79.99%
FLFLL
52
Neutral
$149.88M-57.79%21.16%-60.96%
CZCZR
49
Neutral
$5.90B-6.38%-2.45%-135.17%
44
Neutral
$73.64M-79.81%14.06%-241.92%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLL
Full House Resorts
4.23
-0.51
-10.76%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
67.21
4.97
7.99%
CNTY
Century Casinos
2.43
-0.65
-21.10%
MCRI
Monarch Casino & Resort
84.65
13.63
19.19%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
27.32
-14.29
-34.34%
GDEN
Golden Entertainment
26.42
-7.25
-21.53%

Full House Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 6, 2025 | % Change Since: 1.93% | Next Earnings Date: May 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive growth metrics, particularly for American Place and Chamonix, alongside strategic planning for future development. However, challenges remain in optimizing operations at Chamonix and facing competitive pressures at Rising Sun. The sentiment remains cautiously optimistic with a focus on strategic growth and operational improvements.
Highlights
American Place Revenue and Growth
American Place experienced a strong performance with revenues up 27% in Q4 and 42% for the year, while EBITDA increased by 60%. The Illinois Supreme Court ruling in favor of the gaming commission opens the door to secure financing for the permanent structure.
Chamonix Revenue Growth
Colorado's Chamonix reported strong revenue growth, with fourth-quarter revenues more than doubling. Although expenses increased, the property is expected to mature and become more profitable.
Strategic Management Changes
New management appointments, including a General Manager for Chamonix and a new team for Rising Sun, aim to improve operations and optimize property performance.
Positive Outlook for Permanent Facilities
With the transition to permanent facilities, American Place is expected to double its revenues, similar to other comparable locations in Illinois and Virginia.
Lowlights
Chamonix Initial Challenges
Despite increased revenues, Chamonix faced higher expenses and reported a small loss in Q4 due to operational inefficiencies, such as an unprofitable buffet.
Rising Sun Casino Competition
Rising Sun in Indiana faces significant competition from newer casinos, resulting in decreased performance with current earnings around $4-5 million annually.
Operational Challenges
American Place reported slower than expected ramp-up in some areas, such as table games and staffing shortages in specific service areas.
Uncertainty in Relocation and Expansion
Efforts to relocate the Rising Sun license have seen legislative challenges, with the study bill yet to be approved by the House.
Company Guidance
During the Full House Resorts Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and developments. Dan Lee, the CEO, reported that the American Place saw a 27% increase in fourth-quarter revenues and a 42% rise for the year, with EBITDA up by 60%. He emphasized the favorable Illinois Supreme Court ruling, which will facilitate financing for a permanent casino estimated to cost $325 million. The company intends to break ground later in the year and expects to transition smoothly into the permanent facility by August 2027. In Colorado, Chamonix experienced strong revenue growth, more than doubling in the fourth quarter, despite expenses being high due to the transition to a full resort casino. The company aims for Chamonix to eventually generate $50 million annually. Additionally, Full House is exploring the potential relocation of its Indiana license to New Haven, which could significantly increase its revenue and market presence. The company is confident in the future, projecting robust revenue growth across its properties, driven by strategic investments and market expansion.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.