F5 Networks (FFIV)
NASDAQ:FFIV

F5 Networks (FFIV) AI Stock Analysis

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F5 Networks

(NASDAQ:FFIV)

79Outperform
F5 Networks scores well due to strong financial performance and an optimistic earnings call that raised revenue and EPS guidance. However, the valuation is high, and technical indicators are mixed, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
F5 posted an impressive FY1Q beat, guided 2Q Revenues ahead, and raised full-year guidance as new opportunities are opening up across hybrid/multi-cloud and GenAI.
Market Opportunities
FFIV highlighted its Nvidia BIG-IP Next partnership and longer-term AI opportunity.
Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 11% yr-yr to $766.5M and beat consensus by 7% driven by accelerating Product Revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Market Decline
The market is in secular decline, and systems growth of 18% is not sustainable.
Sustainability of Growth
Most of the growth drivers are bolstered by temporary factors.
Valuation Concerns
The stock is trading at its historical high P/E multiple, which raises concerns about valuation.

F5 Networks (FFIV) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

F5 Networks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionF5 Networks, Inc. (FFIV) is a multinational company specializing in application services and security. It operates in the technology sector, providing solutions that ensure the security, performance, and availability of applications, whether on-premises or in the cloud. The company's core products include software and hardware solutions designed to optimize application delivery, enhance security measures, and improve network traffic management.
How the Company Makes MoneyF5 Networks generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software and hardware products, as well as associated services. The company's revenue streams include product sales, which encompass both application services and security solutions, and service revenue, which includes maintenance and support contracts. F5 also offers cloud-based solutions, contributing to its subscription-based revenue. Strategic partnerships with cloud service providers, technology integrators, and enterprise customers play a significant role in expanding its market reach and enhancing its revenue generation capabilities.

F5 Networks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
F5 Networks exhibits strong financial health with robust profit margins and effective cash management. The company has a solid equity base and low leverage, reducing financial risk. Despite steady revenue growth, the financial profile is strong, supporting sustained performance.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
F5 Networks demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross and net profit margins over the years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is robust, suggesting effective cost management, while the net profit margin indicates solid bottom-line performance. Revenue growth is steady, although not extraordinary, reflecting a stable business model.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a solid equity base with a healthy equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting conservative leverage usage, which minimizes financial risk. Return on equity is improving, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds, though room for improvement exists.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow generation and positive growth, indicating good cash management. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, showcasing efficient cash conversion. Free cash flow to net income ratio further underscores the company's ability to generate cash relative to net earnings.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.89B2.82B2.81B2.70B2.60B2.35B
Gross Profit
2.33B2.26B2.22B2.16B2.11B1.94B
EBIT
699.34M675.48M537.96M417.88M445.92M415.37M
EBITDA
819.75M774.24M636.40M539.51M394.02M564.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
594.84M566.78M394.95M322.16M331.24M307.44M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
385.25M1.07B803.32M884.57M910.61M1.21B
Total Assets
1.19B5.61B5.25B5.28B5.00B4.68B
Total Debt
0.00249.56M239.56M622.15M665.99M727.04M
Net Debt
-148.52M-825.04M-557.60M-135.86M85.02M-122.52M
Total Liabilities
299.53M2.48B2.45B2.81B2.64B2.45B
Stockholders Equity
887.58M3.13B2.80B2.47B2.36B2.23B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
845.11M762.01M599.23M409.01M614.54M600.96M
Operating Cash Flow
874.55M792.42M653.41M442.63M645.20M660.90M
Investing Cash Flow
-62.05M-59.21M36.39M218.12M-445.33M-747.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-436.71M-457.00M-653.30M-476.51M-468.28M337.24M

F5 Networks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price239.25
Price Trends
50DMA
283.14
Negative
100DMA
268.52
Negative
200DMA
234.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.15
Negative
RSI
44.00
Neutral
STOCH
33.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FFIV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 239.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 265.55, below the 50-day MA of 283.14, and above the 200-day MA of 234.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FFIV.

F5 Networks Risk Analysis

F5 Networks disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. F5 Networks reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

F5 Networks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$13.79B23.8019.51%3.02%31.36%
78
Outperform
$101.68B86.7623.38%13.86%-46.44%
ZSZS
73
Outperform
$27.03B-1.21%27.77%89.39%
73
Outperform
$79.72B721.64-0.69%29.39%-119.62%
70
Outperform
$65.14B37.48338.74%12.27%54.69%
66
Neutral
$23.24B25.48248.42%7.82%-32.24%
57
Neutral
$18.57B9.42-13.42%2.72%5.01%-23.43%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FFIV
F5 Networks
239.25
47.56
24.81%
FTNT
Fortinet
84.71
16.32
23.86%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
153.57
19.28
14.36%
GDDY
GoDaddy
164.42
37.62
29.67%
ZS
Zscaler
174.67
-9.04
-4.92%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
321.63
7.90
2.52%

F5 Networks Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 28, 2025 | % Change Since: -11.30% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in Q1 with significant revenue growth across product lines, driven by robust software subscription growth and competitive displacements. The company is optimistic about AI opportunities and has raised its full-year guidance. However, there is some caution regarding potential revenue pull-forward and future expansion rates.
Highlights
Record Revenue Growth
F5 delivered 11% total revenue growth, with product revenue growing by 20%. Software revenue increased by 22% and systems revenue by 18%, exceeding initial expectations.
Strong Software Subscription Growth
Software subscriptions exceeded expansion forecasts, contributing to a 22% software revenue growth, with 30% year-over-year increase in subscription-based software revenue.
Raised FY '25 Revenue Expectations
F5 raised FY '25 revenue growth expectations to 6% to 7%, up from 4% to 5%, reflecting Q1 outperformance and a strong pipeline for Q2.
Competitive Displacement Success
Achieved a record number of competitive displacements in Q1, including significant wins with a home improvement retailer and an American insurance provider.
AI Opportunities and Wins
F5 is witnessing growing momentum with AI opportunities, with notable wins in high-performance data delivery and AI application security, leveraging partnerships with companies like Nvidia.
Lowlights
Potential Revenue Pull-Forward
A modest amount of systems orders were potentially pulled into Q1 due to price increases, which might impact future quarters.
Uncertainty in Expansion Rates
While Q1 saw exceptional expansion rates, F5 is cautious about assuming similar rates in the second half of FY '25, indicating potential variability.
Company Guidance
During F5, Inc.'s first-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company reported impressive financial results with 11% total revenue growth, including a remarkable 20% increase in product revenue. The company's software revenue grew by 22%, driven by strong expansion in software subscriptions, while systems revenue saw an 18% uptick. Notably, F5 reported a non-GAAP EPS of $3.84, surpassing the high end of their guidance by $0.43. The quarter's success was attributed to a stable IT spending environment, increased technology refresh activity, and competitive displacements. Looking ahead, F5 anticipates Q2 revenue to range between $705 million and $725 million, implying a 5% growth at the midpoint. The company also raised its full-year FY2025 revenue growth expectations to 6%-7%, up from the initial 4%-5% guidance. Additionally, F5 forecasts a non-GAAP gross margin between 83% and 84%, and an EPS growth of 6.5%-8.5% for the fiscal year, reflecting strong expansion trends and a robust pipeline.

F5 Networks Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
F5 Networks CFO Frank Pelzer to Retire in 2024
Neutral
Nov 5, 2024

F5, Inc.’s CFO, Frank Pelzer, is set to retire following the filing of the company’s 2024 Form 10-K, around November 18, 2024. A Transition Agreement allows Pelzer to continue as CFO until then, with a subsequent Consulting Agreement for advisory services until May 2025. As an incentive, he will receive a lump sum, monthly payments, and accelerated stock vesting. These developments highlight F5’s strategic management transitions and their impact on stockholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.