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Zscaler (ZS)
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Zscaler (ZS) AI Stock Analysis

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ZSZscaler
(NASDAQ:ZS)
80Outperform
Zscaler's strong financial performance, characterized by impressive revenue growth and effective cash flow management, is a major strength. The positive technical indicators suggest upward momentum, although caution is necessary due to high valuation metrics. The positive outlook from the recent earnings call reinforces the company's strategic growth focus, particularly in AI and federal markets. Despite challenges such as customer deal scrutiny and leadership transitions, the overall growth potential justifies a favorable score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company is expected to achieve mid-to-high-teens billings growth, suggesting an optimistic outlook for its financial performance.
Market Position
ZS is benefiting from Zero Trust demand, with larger enterprises accelerating multi-year commitments to ZS’s security transformation bundles.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
There are concerns over the company's long-term positioning due to increased competition in SASE, which could lead to share loss and pricing pressure.

Zscaler (ZS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Zscaler Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZscaler, Inc. is a global cloud-based information security company providing Internet security, web security, next-generation firewall, sandboxing, SSL inspection, antivirus, and other security services. Headquartered in San Jose, California, Zscaler operates primarily in the cybersecurity sector, delivering a comprehensive suite of services through its Security-as-a-Service platform, designed to protect enterprises from cyber threats and data loss, while ensuring secure internet access for users across diverse locations and devices.
How the Company Makes MoneyZscaler makes money primarily through a subscription-based revenue model. The company offers its cybersecurity services via annual or multi-year subscriptions, which provide clients access to its cloud-native platform. Key revenue streams include subscriptions to its core offerings such as Zscaler Internet Access (ZIA) and Zscaler Private Access (ZPA), providing secure internet and application access respectively. Zscaler's earnings are further bolstered by its ability to scale services according to the needs of different enterprise sizes, ranging from small businesses to large multinational corporations. Strategic partnerships with global technology leaders and service integrators also enhance its market reach and contribute to revenue growth. Additionally, the company invests in ongoing innovation and enhancements to its platform to meet evolving cybersecurity demands, thereby attracting and retaining a diverse client base.

Zscaler Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Zscaler displays robust revenue growth and effective cash flow management, positioning it well within the software industry. Despite negative net income, operational efficiencies are improving, and the balance sheet reflects a sound financial structure. The company faces challenges in achieving profitability but maintains strong growth potential.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Zscaler demonstrates strong revenue growth with a remarkable increase over the years, notably from $431 million in 2020 to $2.3 billion TTM, reflecting a robust growth trajectory. Gross profit margins remain high, consistent with the software industry's norms, although net profit margins are negative due to continued losses. EBITDA margin improvement indicates operational efficiencies, albeit EBIT remains negative.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows increasing stockholders' equity, a positive sign, with a stable equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, indicating manageable leverage levels. However, the company has consistently reported negative net income, impacting return on equity negatively.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Zscaler's cash flow performance is strong, with substantial growth in free cash flow, showcasing effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, highlighting good cash conversion, despite net losses. The company’s ability to generate free cash flow is a significant strength.
Breakdown
TTMJul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021Jul 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.30B
Gross Profit
1.79B1.69B1.25B848.66M673.10M335.54M
EBIT
-109.11M-121.48M-234.62M-85.15M-57.49M-113.96M
EBITDA
93.53M110.38M-74.22M-277.58M-167.36M-86.83M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-36.27M-57.71M-202.34M-390.28M-262.03M-115.12M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Assets
4.70B4.70B3.61B2.83B2.26B1.83B
Total Debt
1.24B1.24B1.21B1.05B2.19B905.24M
Net Debt
-1.17B-1.17B-889.69M-685.62M1.92B-465.33M
Total Liabilities
3.43B3.43B2.88B2.26B1.73B1.35B
Stockholders Equity
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
691.57M635.26M365.15M252.61M153.87M36.23M
Operating Cash Flow
850.38M779.85M462.34M321.91M202.03M79.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-722.29M
Financing Cash Flow
63.84M

Zscaler Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price193.82
Price Trends
50DMA
195.31
Negative
100DMA
196.36
Negative
200DMA
188.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.67
Positive
RSI
44.45
Neutral
STOCH
21.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 193.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 203.64, below the 50-day MA of 195.31, and above the 200-day MA of 188.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ZS.

Zscaler Risk Analysis

Zscaler disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zscaler reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zscaler Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$121.61B104.1619.68%13.86%-46.44%
ZSZS
80
Outperform
$29.74B-2.54%30.77%79.05%
79
Outperform
$81.88B47.12116.83%12.27%54.69%
78
Outperform
$96.10B770.464.14%31.35%
68
Neutral
$14.94B1,886.9378.42%15.33%
NENET
67
Neutral
$49.31B-398.06%28.76%58.13%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZS
Zscaler
193.82
-12.54
-6.08%
FTNT
Fortinet
106.48
37.44
54.23%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
184.38
38.82
26.67%
OKTA
Okta
108.31
1.32
1.23%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
390.16
92.60
31.12%
NET
Cloudflare
140.93
44.96
46.85%

Zscaler Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Dec 2, 2024 | % Change Since: -7.05% | Next Earnings Date: Mar 5, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was predominantly positive, marked by strong revenue growth, record profitability, and significant progress in AI adoption and federal market expansion. Despite some challenges, such as customer scrutiny on large deals and slight pressure on gross margins, the overall outlook remains robust with promising growth in emerging products.
Highlights
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 26% year-over-year to $628 million, with bookings growth accelerating to over 30%.
Record Operating and Free Cash Flow Margins
New Q1 records for operating margin at 21% and free cash flow margin at 46%, highlighting strong profitability.
Increasing AI Adoption
Significant customer wins with AI-powered data protection solutions, contributing to a 7-figure ACV deal with a Global 2000 technology services customer.
Expansion in Federal Market
Added a new cabinet-level agency, now serving 14 of 15 cabinet-level agencies, indicating strong growth opportunities in the federal vertical.
Emerging Products Growth
Emerging Products ARR is growing twice as fast as core products, with significant deals in Zero Trust SD-WAN and workload protection.
Lowlights
Customer Scrutiny on Large Deals
Ongoing scrutiny by customers on large deals, indicating potential challenges in closing significant transactions.
Pressure on Gross Margins
Gross margin slightly declined to 80.6% from 80.7% a year ago, due to new products optimized for faster go-to-market rather than margins.
Retirement of CFO Remo Canessa
Remo Canessa announced his retirement, which might impact leadership stability during the transition.
Company Guidance
During the Zscaler Q1 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted several key metrics that underscored its strong performance and future outlook. Revenue for the quarter rose by 26% year-over-year, driven by a 30% increase in bookings and robust customer demand for its Zero Trust Exchange platform and AI solutions. The company reported a billings growth of 13%, significantly outperforming the average growth rate of traditional network security vendors by over 10 percentage points. Operating profit surged by 50% year-over-year, reaching new records with a 21% operating margin and a 46% free cash flow margin. Zscaler's strategic focus on AI innovations and Zero Trust security has positioned it among the top SaaS companies, achieving a "rule of 70" in terms of combined revenue growth and free cash flow margin. Additionally, the company expanded its customer base, with over 35% of Global 2000 and about 45% of Fortune 500 companies now secured by Zscaler. The call also revealed that emerging products, including AI analytics and Zero Trust branch solutions, are growing twice as fast as core products, contributing significantly to large deal wins.

Zscaler Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Zscaler 2024 Meeting: Equity Plan Amendment and Elections
Neutral
Jan 15, 2025

On January 10, 2025, during Zscaler’s 2024 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, the company approved an amendment to its FY2018 Equity Incentive Plan, eliminating its original 10-year term. This amendment allows for more flexible long-term incentive awards, including stock options and restricted stock, subject to the discretion of Zscaler’s compensation committee. The meeting also saw the election of Class I directors and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for fiscal year 2025, as well as approval of executive officer compensation.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.