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Eversource Energy (ES)
:ES

Eversource Energy (ES) AI Stock Analysis

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ES

Eversource Energy

(NYSE:ES)

66Neutral
Eversource Energy's overall stock score reflects stable financial performance with strengths in operational efficiency and strategic growth plans. However, high leverage, valuation concerns, and regulatory challenges pose risks. The robust dividend yield and positive earnings outlook are key strengths.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendation
Analyst maintains an Outperform rating on ES and raises the price target to $68 for current market multiples.
Capital Expenditure Plan
The five-year capital expenditure plan for Eversource Energy has been increased, focusing on electric sector modernization and infrastructure improvements.
Regulatory Approval
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approves an abandoned plant incentive for the Eversource Energy project to support offshore wind, which is a significant regulatory backing.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Eversource Energy's guidance for 2025 is below consensus expectations, indicating slower growth than previously anticipated.
Investor Confidence
Investors appear to have little confidence in power companies in general, despite improving valuations due to the protracted timeline to clarity.
Regulatory Challenges
Connecticut's regulatory and legislative environment is becoming increasingly unfavorable for Eversource Energy.

Eversource Energy (ES) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Eversource Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEversource Energy, a public utility holding company, engages in the energy delivery business. The company operates through Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Natural Gas Distribution, and Water Distribution segments. It is involved in the transmission and distribution of electricity; solar power facilities; and distribution of natural gas. The company operates regulated water utilities that provide water services to approximately 226,000 customers. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, municipal and fire protection, and other customers in Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire. The company was formerly known as Northeast Utilities and changed its name to Eversource Energy in April 2015. Eversource Energy is based in Springfield, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyEversource Energy makes money through the regulated sale and distribution of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's revenue streams are primarily derived from its electric and natural gas utility operations, where it charges customers based on their energy consumption. Eversource operates under a regulated utility model, meaning its rates and services are approved by state regulatory commissions, ensuring a stable revenue structure. Additionally, Eversource invests in infrastructure development projects, which are often supported by regulatory mechanisms that allow for cost recovery through customer rates. The company may also engage in renewable energy projects, partnerships, and energy efficiency programs, further contributing to its revenue and sustainability goals.

Eversource Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eversource Energy displays stable financial performance with consistent revenue and strong operational efficiency. However, the company faces high leverage, with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 1.32, and challenges in free cash flow generation due to significant capital investments.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Eversource Energy shows stable revenue levels with a total revenue of $11.91 billion in 2024, maintaining a consistent trend over the past few years. The gross profit remains robust, reflecting strong operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin has been volatile, with a significant improvement to $811.7 million in 2024 from a loss in 2023. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, indicating effective cost management. Revenue growth has been relatively flat, suggesting limited expansion in recent years.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high level of debt with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of approximately 1.32 in 2024, which suggests significant leverage. The Equity Ratio stands at around 36.5%, indicating a balanced reliance on equity financing. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved, highlighting better returns for shareholders compared to previous years. Despite the high debt levels, the company's asset base is strong with total assets of $59.59 billion in 2024.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Eversource Energy's cash flows show a positive trend in operating cash flow, reaching $2.16 billion in 2024, but the free cash flow remains challenging due to high capital expenditures. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio has improved but remains below optimal levels. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio reflects efficient cash generation from operations, supporting the company's liquidity position.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.90B11.91B12.29B9.86B8.90B
Gross Profit
11.90T4.85B5.41B4.75B4.44B
EBIT
2.41T2.40B2.20B1.99B1.99B
EBITDA
2.41T1.40B4.19B3.49B3.25B
Net Income Common Stockholders
811.65M-442.24M1.40B1.22B1.21B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
26.66B53.87M374.60M66.77M106.60M
Total Assets
59.59T55.61B53.23B48.49B46.10B
Total Debt
28.75T26.75B22.94B20.22B17.97B
Net Debt
28.72T26.70B22.57B20.15B17.86B
Total Liabilities
37.83T41.28B37.60B33.74B31.88B
Stockholders Equity
21.76T14.17B15.47B14.60B14.06B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.16T-2.69B-1.04B-1.21B-1.26B
Operating Cash Flow
2.16T1.65B2.40B1.96B1.68B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.54T-4.87B-4.13B-3.45B-4.13B
Financing Cash Flow
2.34T2.87B2.03B1.44B2.59B

Eversource Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price54.25
Price Trends
50DMA
60.17
Negative
100DMA
59.14
Negative
200DMA
60.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Negative
RSI
57.16
Neutral
STOCH
84.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 54.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.33, below the 50-day MA of 60.17, and below the 200-day MA of 60.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ES.

Eversource Energy Risk Analysis

Eversource Energy disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eversource Energy reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eversource Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CMCMS
78
Outperform
$21.22B21.3112.72%2.94%0.71%11.07%
DTDTE
77
Outperform
$26.55B18.9012.32%3.30%-1.13%0.16%
EIEIX
70
Outperform
$20.64B16.198.83%5.91%7.72%6.49%
FEFE
70
Outperform
$22.72B23.238.54%4.39%4.68%-11.66%
ESES
66
Neutral
$20.40B24.475.56%5.21%-0.08%
CNCNP
66
Neutral
$23.14B22.4410.02%2.34%-0.61%15.54%
65
Neutral
$11.42B15.206.23%4.60%5.50%-9.06%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES
Eversource Energy
54.25
-2.12
-3.76%
CNP
Centerpoint Energy
35.55
8.93
33.55%
CMS
CMS Energy
70.19
13.85
24.58%
DTE
DTE Energy
127.39
24.35
23.63%
EIX
Edison International
52.50
-13.34
-20.26%
FE
FirstEnergy
38.31
2.03
5.60%

Eversource Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 11, 2025 | % Change Since: -10.67% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with significant growth in earnings, successful asset sales, and increased dividends. However, challenges include regulatory uncertainties, equity dilution, and a negative outlook from Moody's. The positives in terms of growth and strategic initiatives are balanced by these challenges.
Highlights
Strong Earnings Growth
Earnings per share increased by 5.3% year-over-year, exceeding the midpoint of the revised guidance. Non-GAAP earnings were $4.57 per share in 2024 compared to $4.34 per share in 2023.
Successful Sale of Aquarion
Signed an agreement to sell Aquarion, a valuable asset, for approximately $2.4 billion. This includes $1.6 billion in cash and $800 million of net debt to be extinguished at closing.
Increased Dividend
Increased the first quarter 2025 dividend by 5.2% on an annualized basis.
Recognition for Corporate Responsibility
Eversource was recognized by Newsweek as one of America's most responsible companies for the sixth consecutive year and named to Time's annual list of the world's best companies.
Major Infrastructure Investments
Planned $24.2 billion in regulated electric and natural gas business investments from 2025 through 2029, with a 10% increase from the previous five-year plan.
Lowlights
Equity Issuance and Dilution
Issued $1 billion of equity in 2024, which is expected to cause some dilution and impact 2025 earnings.
Pending Regulatory Approvals
The sale of Aquarion and certain rate cases are pending regulatory approval, which could impact future financial performance.
Negative Outlook from Moody's
Moody's has Eversource on a negative outlook, with an FFO to debt ratio target well above the downgrade threshold of 13%, indicating ongoing financial scrutiny.
Company Guidance
In the Eversource Energy Q4 and Year End 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance that highlighted several key metrics and achievements. Earnings per share for 2024 saw a year-over-year increase of 5.3%, surpassing the midpoint of the revised guidance, and the company increased its first-quarter 2025 dividend by 5.2% on an annualized basis. Eversource also outlined a new five-year capital investment plan, projecting an increase of nearly 10% over the previous plan, with a focus on transmission investments aimed at addressing aging infrastructure and increasing load demand. The plan includes nearly $24.2 billion in regulated electric and natural gas investments from 2025 to 2029, expected to drive an 8% growth in rate base over the period. For 2025, Eversource provided earnings per share guidance in the range of $4.67 to $4.82 and projected a five-year long-term earnings growth rate of 5% to 7%, supported by strategic investments and improvements in operational efficiency.

Eversource Energy Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eversource Energy Reports Financial Turnaround with Strategic Plan
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

Eversource Energy reported a significant financial turnaround in 2024, achieving full-year earnings of $811.7 million compared to a loss in 2023. This recovery was driven by strategic divestments and increased investments in its transmission and distribution systems. The company plans to continue focusing on strengthening its balance sheet by divesting non-core assets like Aquarion Water Company and aims for a long-term growth rate of 5 to 7 percent through increased infrastructure investments. It introduced a new five-year $24.2 billion investment plan, reflecting a 10 percent increase over the previous plan, to support clean energy growth.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eversource Energy Sells Aquarion Water for $2.4 Billion
Negative
Jan 28, 2025

On January 27, 2025, Eversource Energy announced the sale of its subsidiary, Aquarion Water Company, to the newly established Aquarion Water Authority for approximately $2.4 billion. This transaction, expected to close in late 2025, will allow Eversource to focus on its core electric and natural gas operations, optimize its portfolio, and strengthen its balance sheet. The company anticipates a loss of about $300 million from the sale in its fourth-quarter 2024 results, which includes a $140 million income tax expense. Eversource reaffirms its long-term earnings growth target of 5% to 7% through 2028.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.