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Cms Energy (CMS)
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CMS Energy (CMS) AI Stock Analysis

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CMCMS Energy
(NYSE:CMS)
78Outperform
CMS Energy's overall stock score reflects a robust financial performance backed by strong cash flow and solid revenue growth. The positive technical indicators add to the optimism, although there is a slight overvaluation concern. The recent earnings call underscored strong future growth prospects, particularly in renewable energy and customer reliability improvements. Investors should remain aware of potential risks related to high leverage and overbought technical conditions.
Positive Factors
Capital Investment
The company's 5-year capital plan increased by 18% to $20bn, driven by investments in clean energy generation and distribution.
Earnings Growth
CMS management revised its 2025 guidance range upward and reaffirmed its long-term EPS growth expectations towards the high-end of both ranges.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Environment
The evolving regulatory landscape, and likely need for frequent rate case filings, is a key item to monitor.

CMS Energy (CMS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

CMS Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCMS Energy Corporation (CMS) is a Michigan-based energy company primarily involved in electric and natural gas utility operations. It operates through its principal subsidiary, Consumers Energy, which serves millions of customers across Michigan. The company focuses on providing essential utility services, including electricity generation, transmission, and distribution, as well as natural gas distribution, storage, and transportation. CMS Energy is committed to delivering reliable and sustainable energy solutions to its residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyCMS Energy generates revenue primarily through its utility operations, with Consumers Energy being the main driver. The company earns money by charging customers for electricity and natural gas services based on regulated rates established by state utility commissions. These rates are designed to cover the costs of providing energy services and to allow for a reasonable return on investment. Revenue streams include the sale of electricity generated from a diversified portfolio of power plants, and the distribution and transportation of natural gas. In addition, CMS Energy may engage in strategic partnerships and initiatives aimed at enhancing energy efficiency and expanding renewable energy sources, which can contribute to its earnings. Regulatory factors and the company's ability to manage operational costs and investments in infrastructure play a significant role in its profitability.

CMS Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CMS Energy demonstrates a solid financial foundation with strong revenue growth and profitability. While leverage is somewhat high, it is consistent with industry norms. The company’s ability to generate cash is a positive indicator of financial health, although careful monitoring of debt levels is advisable.
Income Statement
78
Positive
CMS Energy has exhibited stable revenue growth over the past few years, with a notable increase in net income. The gross profit margin remains robust due to consistent revenue streams, but the EBITDA margin shows variability, indicating fluctuating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio indicates a moderate level of leverage, which is typical for the utilities sector. Return on Equity shows a healthy return, but the equity ratio suggests that a substantial portion of the assets is financed by debt, which could be a risk if market conditions change.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
CMS Energy's operating cash flow is strong, and free cash flow has shown significant improvement, indicating good cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, demonstrating efficient cash management relative to earnings.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.51B7.46B8.60B7.33B6.68B
Gross Profit
7.51B2.86B2.76B2.65B2.77B
EBIT
1.49B1.24B295.00M209.00M398.00M
EBITDA
3.07B2.78B2.55B2.44B2.36B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.00B887.00M837.00M728.00M755.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
103.00M227.00M164.00M452.00M168.00M
Total Assets
35.92B33.52B31.35B28.75B29.67B
Total Debt
11.34B15.64B15.43B12.47B15.20B
Net Debt
11.34B15.42B15.26B12.02B15.03B
Total Liabilities
27.17B25.39B23.76B21.57B23.59B
Stockholders Equity
11.39B7.54B7.01B6.63B5.50B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.37B-265.00M-1.63B-390.00M-1.17B
Operating Cash Flow
2.37B2.31B855.00M1.82B1.28B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.05B-3.39B-2.48B-1.23B-2.87B
Financing Cash Flow
614.00M1.14B1.32B-295.00M1.62B

CMS Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price72.87
Price Trends
50DMA
67.63
Positive
100DMA
67.91
Positive
200DMA
65.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.75
Negative
RSI
66.53
Neutral
STOCH
82.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 72.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.27, above the 50-day MA of 67.63, and above the 200-day MA of 65.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMS.

CMS Energy Risk Analysis

CMS Energy disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CMS Energy reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CMS Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CMCMS
78
Outperform
$21.77B21.898.80%2.82%0.71%11.07%
DTDTE
77
Outperform
$27.34B19.4912.00%3.07%-1.13%0.16%
EDED
74
Outperform
$35.42B19.498.29%3.21%4.23%-27.02%
AEAEE
72
Outperform
$27.41B22.9816.04%2.58%1.64%1.04%
ESES
72
Outperform
$21.92B26.31<0.01%4.54%-0.08%
NENEE
67
Neutral
$145.74B21.009.07%2.95%26.91%-6.43%
65
Neutral
$12.05B15.926.71%4.32%8.04%3.76%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMS
CMS Energy
72.87
14.43
24.69%
AEE
Ameren
100.00
29.31
41.46%
ED
Consolidated Edison
102.15
15.33
17.66%
DTE
DTE Energy
131.94
24.10
22.35%
NEE
NextEra Energy
70.85
16.84
31.18%
ES
Eversource Energy
59.74
3.92
7.02%

CMS Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: 9.41% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, robust investment plans, and significant achievements in customer reliability and renewable energy expansion. However, challenges such as weather-related financial headwinds and maintenance outages at key facilities were noted. The positive aspects, particularly the financial performance and future growth plans, were emphasized more prominently.
Highlights
Improved Customer Reliability
In 2024, CMS Energy restored power to over 93% of customers within 24 hours, compared with 87% in 2023, and the average customer experienced 21 fewer power outage minutes.
20-Year Renewable Energy Plan
CMS Energy filed a plan to incorporate nine gigawatts of solar and four gigawatts of wind over the next two decades to meet Michigan's 2023 energy law requirements.
Financial Performance
Adjusted earnings per share of $3.34 for 2024, at the high end of the guidance range. 2025 EPS guidance raised to $3.54 to $3.60, representing 6% to 8% growth.
Increased Investment Plan
Five-year $20 billion utility customer investment plan, up $3 billion from the prior plan, to support 8.5% rate-based growth through 2029.
Non-Utility Business Growth
Expecting incremental earnings from NorthStar Clean Energy, with attractive pricing from capacity and energy sold at Dearborn Industrial Generation.
Lowlights
Weather-Related Financial Headwinds
Significant weather-related financial challenges due to mild winter temperatures, with 2024 being the warmest winter in the last 25 years based on heating degree days.
DIG Facility Maintenance Outage
Planned maintenance outage at the Dearborn Industrial Generation (DIG) facility, resulting in a temporary reduction in contribution.
Company Guidance
During the CMS Energy 2024 Year End Results call, several key metrics and guidance points were highlighted. CMS Energy achieved an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.34, which was at the high end of their guidance range for 2024. Looking ahead, the company raised its 2025 guidance to an EPS range of $3.54 to $3.60, representing a 6% to 8% growth, and continues to target the high end of this range. CMS Energy outlined a $20 billion five-year utility customer investment plan, up by $3 billion from the previous plan, to enhance customer reliability and expand its renewable energy portfolio, which includes plans for nine gigawatts of solar and four gigawatts of wind over the next two decades. The company's dividend policy remains steady, aiming for a 60% payout ratio. Additionally, CMS anticipates continued growth drivers from non-utility businesses, energy efficiency incentives, and a robust regulatory environment in Michigan. The company plans to manage its financials with up to $500 million of equity and approximately $1.3 billion in new long-term debt for 2025.

CMS Energy Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CMS Energy Boosts Dividend Amid Strong 2024 Earnings
Positive
Feb 6, 2025

CMS Energy reported strong financial results for 2024 with an increase in earnings per share to $3.33 from $3.01 in 2023 and adjusted earnings per share rising to $3.34 from $3.11. The company announced an 11-cent increase in its annual dividend for 2025 and raised its adjusted EPS guidance to $3.54 to $3.60. Significant investments in the electric grid and economic development efforts led to improved power restoration times and job creation in Michigan, positioning stakeholders positively for 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.