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eBay (EBAY)
NASDAQ:EBAY
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eBay (EBAY) AI Stock Analysis

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EBAY

eBay

(NASDAQ:EBAY)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$92.00
▲(13.15% Upside)
eBay's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in AI and focus categories. While financial performance is solid, the high debt-to-equity ratio poses a risk. Technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, but valuation remains reasonable. The positive sentiment from the earnings call further supports the stock's potential.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
eBay's consistent revenue growth, surpassing expectations, indicates strong market demand and effective strategic execution, supporting long-term business sustainability.
AI and Technology Innovations
Leveraging AI for operational enhancements boosts listing quality and engagement, positioning eBay for sustained competitive advantage in e-commerce.
Advertising Revenue Growth
Strong growth in advertising revenue enhances eBay's diversified income streams, providing resilience against market fluctuations and supporting long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
Significant leverage increases financial risk and may constrain future investment capabilities, potentially impacting eBay's long-term financial stability.
European Market Challenges
Persistent low consumer confidence in key European markets could hinder eBay's growth prospects and revenue diversification in the region.
Tariff and Trade Pressures
Tariff increases and trade policy changes may elevate costs and disrupt supply chains, affecting eBay's pricing strategies and profit margins.

eBay (EBAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

eBay Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptioneBay Inc. operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers in the United States and internationally. The company's Marketplace platform includes its online marketplace at ebay.com and the eBay suite of mobile apps. Its platforms enable users to list, buy, sell, and pay for items through various online, mobile, and offline channels that include retailers, distributors, liquidators, import and export companies, auctioneers, catalog and mail-order companies, directories, search engines, commerce participants, shopping channels, and networks. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyeBay generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged on sales made through its platform. The company earns a percentage of the final sale price (known as a 'Final Value Fee') for items sold on its marketplace, which varies based on the category of the item and the seller's status. Additionally, eBay charges listing fees for sellers who wish to feature their items in auction or fixed-price formats. Another significant revenue stream comes from advertising services, where sellers can pay for enhanced visibility of their listings through promoted listings. eBay also offers payment processing services through its managed payments system, allowing it to collect fees on transactions processed through its platform. Strategic partnerships with shipping companies and payment providers further support its revenue generation, while the vast user base and diverse product offerings help maintain high engagement and transaction volumes.

eBay Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Buyers
Active Buyers
Measures the number of unique buyers who have made a purchase on eBay, indicating the platform's reach, customer engagement, and potential for sales growth.
Chart InsightseBay's active buyers have stabilized around 132 million since 2023, following a decline from 2021 peaks. Despite this plateau, the latest earnings call highlights robust financial performance and strategic growth in focus categories like collectibles, which are driving revenue and engagement. Initiatives such as eBay Live and AI-driven enhancements are boosting marketplace activity, suggesting potential for future buyer growth. However, challenges in Europe and trade policy impacts could pose risks to further expansion.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

eBay Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
eBay reported strong financial results and growth in focus categories, driven by strategic initiatives and AI advancements. However, challenges from new trade policies and macroeconomic conditions in international markets posed headwinds.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
eBay delivered better-than-expected results with an 8% increase in gross merchandise volume (GMV) to $20.1 billion, revenue growth over 8% to $2.82 billion, and a 14% increase in non-GAAP earnings per share to $1.36.
Focus Category Growth
Focus category GMV growth accelerated to over 15% in Q3, driven by collectibles, motor parts and accessories, and fashion. Collectibles saw triple-digit GMV growth in Pokémon for the third consecutive quarter.
Expansion of eBay Live
eBay Live experienced a 5x increase in annual GMV run rate year-over-year, with expansion into the UK and Germany, featuring events with notable personalities and partnerships.
AI and Technological Advancements
eBay continued leveraging AI with improvements in listing tools, member-to-member messaging, and personalized shopping experiences, contributing to improved user engagement and advertising performance.
Successful Strategic Initiatives
Strategic growth vectors include enhancements in shipping solutions, particularly in response to new trade policies, and the acquisition of Tise to strengthen leadership in the circular economy.
Negative Updates
Impact of Trade Policy Changes
The elimination of the de minimis exemption for imports under $800 into the U.S. created friction for cross-border trade, impacting GMV growth starting in September.
Expense Increases and Margin Pressures
Non-GAAP operating margin was slightly down year-over-year due to increased product development expenses and transaction losses related to the UK managed shipping program.
Challenging International Macro Environment
International GMV growth was nearly 4% on an FX-neutral basis, affected by more challenging macroeconomic conditions outside the U.S.
Company Guidance
During eBay's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, CEO Jamie Iannone reported better-than-expected results across key financial metrics. The company achieved an 8% increase in gross merchandise volume (GMV) to $20.1 billion and an 8% growth in revenue to $2.82 billion. Non-GAAP earnings per share grew over 14% year-over-year to $1.36. Focus category GMV growth accelerated to over 15%, with notable contributions from collectibles, motor parts and accessories, and fashion. The company also saw significant engagement with eBay Live, which reported a 5x increase in annual GMV run rate year-over-year. Additionally, eBay's first-party advertising revenue grew nearly 23%, contributing to a total advertising revenue of $525 million. The company is investing in strategic initiatives, including artificial intelligence and shipping solutions, to drive long-term sustainable growth. Looking ahead, eBay forecasts a GMV of between $20.5 billion and $20.9 billion for the fourth quarter, with anticipated FX-neutral growth of 4% to 6% year-over-year.

eBay Financial Statement Overview

Summary
eBay demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong profitability margins. The company effectively manages its operations, as evidenced by healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio indicates a reliance on debt financing, which could increase financial risk. Cash flow generation is improving, but there is room for enhancing the conversion of net income to free cash flow.
Income Statement
75
Positive
eBay's income statement shows a stable revenue growth with a 2.33% increase in TTM. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 71.88%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin of 20.86% suggests room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 26.51% and 29.92%, respectively, reflecting solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.51, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. Return on equity is robust at 43.08%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 26.52%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 11.17% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.96, suggesting strong cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.74 indicates that not all net income is translating into free cash flow, which could be a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.71B10.28B10.11B9.79B10.42B8.89B
Gross Profit7.68B7.40B7.28B7.12B7.77B7.10B
EBITDA2.82B2.86B4.37B-924.00M1.17B4.23B
Net Income2.18B1.98B2.77B-1.27B13.61B5.67B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.79B19.36B21.62B20.85B26.63B19.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.38B6.22B9.02B7.51B7.32B3.49B
Total Debt7.01B7.86B8.23B9.42B9.43B8.21B
Total Liabilities13.07B14.21B15.22B15.70B16.85B15.75B
Stockholders Equity4.72B5.16B6.40B5.15B9.78B3.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.56B1.96B1.97B1.80B2.21B1.93B
Operating Cash Flow2.09B2.41B2.43B2.25B2.66B2.42B
Investing Cash Flow2.91B2.21B240.00M2.46B3.66B3.79B
Financing Cash Flow-3.83B-3.81B-2.45B-3.79B-6.53B-5.69B

eBay Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price81.31
Price Trends
50DMA
92.08
Negative
100DMA
87.56
Negative
200DMA
77.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Positive
RSI
30.63
Neutral
STOCH
29.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EBAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 81.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.55, below the 50-day MA of 92.08, and above the 200-day MA of 77.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EBAY.

eBay Risk Analysis

eBay disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. eBay reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

eBay Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$119.68B57.6240.65%38.01%44.52%
$52.51B9.3317.26%2.97%14.61%32.78%
$36.75B17.6942.43%1.40%4.42%17.30%
$92.50B79.2814.48%34.12%
$58.25B160.888.55%18.69%-65.55%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$6.12B43.341.98%-20.98%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EBAY
eBay
81.31
22.03
37.16%
MELI
Mercadolibre
2,327.26
263.56
12.77%
JD
JD
33.04
-6.82
-17.11%
ETSY
Etsy
62.00
9.73
18.61%
SE
Sea
156.25
61.06
64.15%
CPNG
Coupang
31.97
6.27
24.40%

eBay Corporate Events

eBay’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 31, 2025

eBay’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Performance Amid Challenges

eBay Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

eBay Inc., a leading global commerce company, connects millions of buyers and sellers worldwide, offering a vibrant marketplace for unique and valuable items. The company operates primarily in the e-commerce sector, known for its innovative use of technology and commitment to economic opportunity.

eBay Inc. Surpasses Expectations in Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Aug 1, 2025

The latest earnings call for eBay Inc. was marked by a largely positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s robust financial performance and growth in its focus categories. Despite facing challenges in certain international markets and trade policy impacts, the overall outlook remains optimistic, driven by successful strategic initiatives.

eBay Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 31, 2025

eBay Inc. is a global commerce leader that connects millions of buyers and sellers worldwide, offering a vibrant marketplace for unique selections and great value. The company operates in the e-commerce sector and is known for its extensive reach in over 190 markets.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025