tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Chegg (CHGG)
NYSE:CHGG

Chegg (CHGG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
2,859 Followers

Top Page

CH

Chegg

(NYSE:CHGG)

45Neutral
Chegg faces significant challenges, including declining financial performance, a negative valuation, and technical pressures. The NYSE delisting notice compounds these issues, reflecting a precarious situation. While there are positives, such as operational cash flow and strategic initiatives, the overall outlook remains concerning.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
Progress on international localization efforts could expand Chegg's market reach and customer base.
Strategic Initiatives
Chegg is combating challenges with product innovation, new B2B sales initiatives, and a social media-focused marketing campaign to improve brand awareness.
Negative Factors
Competitive Landscape
The company's AI-fueled struggles continue as Google AIO negatively impacts web traffic.
Financial Performance
1Q25 guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA came in materially below consensus expectations.
Subscriber Trends
Declining negative growth and subscribers missing expectations supported the Underweight thesis for Chegg Inc.

Chegg (CHGG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Chegg Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChegg, Inc. operates direct-to-student learning platform that supports students starting with their academic journey and extending into their careers with products and services to support and help them better understand their academic course materials. The company offers Chegg Services, which include subscription services; and required materials that comprise its print textbooks and eTextbooks. Its subscription services include Chegg Study, which helps students master challenging concepts on their own; Chegg Writing that provides students with a suite of tools, such as plagiarism detection scans, grammar and writing fluency checking, expert personalized writing feedback, and premium citation generation; Chegg Math, a step-by-step math problem solver and calculator that helps students to solve problems; Chegg Study Pack, a bundle of various Chegg Services product offerings, including Chegg Study, Chegg Writing, and Chegg Math Solver services, which creates an integrated platform of connected academic support services; Busuu, an online language learning solution that offers a comprehensive solution through a combination of self-paced lessons, live classes with expert tutors, and the ability to learn and practice with members of the Busuu language learning community; and Thinkful, a skills-based learning platform that offers professional courses along with networking, interviewing, and career services. The company also provides other services, such as Chegg Life, Chegg Prep, and Chegg Internships; provides personal and professional development skills training; and rents and sells print textbooks and eTextbooks. Chegg, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyChegg makes money through a subscription-based model, primarily driven by its Chegg Services, which include Chegg Study, Chegg Writing, and Chegg Tutors. These services offer students access to step-by-step textbook solutions, expert Q&A, plagiarism checks, and personalized tutoring. Additionally, Chegg generates revenue from textbook rentals and sales, both digital and physical. The company also partners with educational content providers and institutions to expand its offerings and reach. Subscription fees and rental transactions are the key revenue streams, with the majority of earnings coming from recurring subscription payments.

Chegg Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chegg's financial performance is under strain with declining revenues and negative profitability, high leverage, and decreasing equity. Despite strong operating cash flows, the overall financial outlook indicates significant challenges.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Chegg's income statement reveals significant challenges. Both Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin have deteriorated, with the latter turning negative in the most recent year. The Revenue Growth Rate has been negative over the last two years, indicating declining revenues. Additionally, EBIT and EBITDA margins have turned negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a decrease in Stockholders' Equity and Total Assets over time. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio remains high, indicating significant leverage. The Return on Equity has turned negative, aligning with recent net losses. The Equity Ratio has decreased, reflecting a reduced proportion of equity in the company's asset base, suggesting higher financial risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Chegg's cash flow presents a mixed outlook. Free Cash Flow has declined, but the company still maintains positive Operating Cash Flow. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is high due to negative net income. Despite the challenges, the company's ability to generate cash from operations remains a positive aspect.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
617.57M716.29M766.90M776.26M644.34M
Gross Profit
436.65M490.35M569.50M521.36M438.92M
EBIT
-737.11M-67.72M109.99M12.63M56.75M
EBITDA
-607.43M183.80M105.79M86.77M127.85M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-837.07M18.18M266.64M-1.46M-6.22M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
315.72M330.01M1.06B1.55B1.15B
Total Assets
868.95M1.73B2.47B2.92B2.25B
Total Debt
504.46M617.90M1.20B1.69B1.53B
Net Debt
342.98M482.14M728.29M836.52M1.05B
Total Liabilities
675.97M782.62M1.35B1.81B1.64B
Stockholders Equity
192.98M944.62M1.12B1.11B609.63M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
50.25M163.15M152.64M179.04M155.13M
Operating Cash Flow
125.20M246.20M255.74M273.22M236.44M
Investing Cash Flow
11.35M268.67M104.89M-365.77M-732.79M
Financing Cash Flow
-109.14M-852.77M-744.80M466.72M588.63M

Chegg Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.48
Price Trends
50DMA
0.97
Negative
100DMA
1.42
Negative
200DMA
1.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
31.02
Neutral
STOCH
14.84
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHGG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.63, below the 50-day MA of 0.97, and below the 200-day MA of 1.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 31.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.84 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHGG.

Chegg Risk Analysis

Chegg disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chegg reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chegg Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$3.97B19.1614.63%12.83%97.16%
LRLRN
79
Outperform
$5.82B22.3622.95%13.13%56.75%
PSPSO
71
Outperform
$9.77B19.0810.99%1.98%-0.59%24.06%
68
Neutral
$1.07B-13.11%9.27%34.66%
66
Neutral
$10.73B28.965.61%0.98%-35.16%
57
Neutral
$19.52B9.58-12.47%2.79%5.43%-24.71%
45
Neutral
$52.94M-147.16%-13.78%-5297.96%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHGG
Chegg
0.48
-6.67
-93.29%
UHAL
Amerco
61.04
-2.82
-4.42%
ATGE
Adtalem Global Education
103.78
57.52
124.34%
LRN
Stride
134.80
75.67
127.97%
PSO
Pearson
15.63
3.46
28.43%
COUR
Coursera
6.79
-6.31
-48.17%

Chegg Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 24, 2025 | % Change Since: -69.23% | Next Earnings Date: May 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment. While Chegg showcased significant advancements in AI integration, enterprise growth, and marketing strategies, these were overshadowed by considerable declines in revenue and subscriber numbers, largely attributed to Google's AI Overview impacting traffic. The company's strategic review process and legal action against Google highlight the seriousness of the challenges faced.
Highlights
AI and Machine Learning Integration
Chegg successfully integrated AI and machine learning into its product stack, reducing content creation costs by more than 70% while maintaining high quality.
Busuu Revenue Growth
The language learning service Busuu experienced a 9% year-over-year revenue growth for 2024, with a 46% increase in enterprise revenue.
Satisfaction Guarantee Implementation
Chegg implemented a Satisfaction Guarantee for its content, showing confidence in its quality and maintaining high standards.
Innovative Marketing Campaign
A brand marketing campaign on TikTok resulted in a 16% increase in awareness among underclassmen, improving click-through and conversion rates.
Enterprise Strategy Expansion
The enterprise part of Chegg's business is performing well, with a plan to expand business-to-institution programs and other enterprise offerings.
Lowlights
Revenue and Subscriber Decline
Total revenue for Q4 2024 was $143.5 million, a decrease of 24% year-over-year, with subscription services revenue down 23% and subscribers declining by 21%.
Impact of Google's AI Overview (AIO)
Google's AIO has significantly impacted Chegg's traffic, revenue, and workforce, leading to a 49% drop in non-subscriber traffic in January 2025.
Challenges in Skills and Other Revenue
Skills and other revenue declined by 31% year-over-year due to a market shift away from traditional boot camps and reduced advertising revenue.
Temporary Retention Rate Dip
A temporary dip in retention rate during November and December affected subscription services ARPU, which decreased by 3% year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During Chegg, Inc.'s Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance metrics for the upcoming quarter and year. Chegg reported a total revenue of $143.5 million for Q4 2024, a 24% year-over-year decrease, with subscription services contributing $128.5 million, down 23%. The company had 3.6 million subscribers, a decline of 21%, and subscription services ARPU fell by 3% year-over-year. For the first quarter of 2025, Chegg expects total revenue between $114 million and $116 million, with subscription services revenue ranging from $104 million to $106 million. They anticipate a gross margin of 66-67% and an adjusted EBITDA between $13 million and $14 million. Despite challenges such as a drop in nonsubscriber traffic and revenue impact from Google's AI Overviews, Chegg remains focused on stabilizing business trends and achieving 2025 non-GAAP savings of $100 million to $120 million through restructuring activities.

Chegg Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Chegg Faces NYSE Delisting Notice for Low Share Price
Negative
Apr 4, 2025

On April 1, 2025, Chegg, Inc. received a notice from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) for non-compliance with the minimum share price requirement, as its average closing share price was below $1.00 over a 30-day period. The company intends to regain compliance within a six-month cure period, potentially through a reverse stock split, and will continue to trade on the NYSE during this time. Failure to comply could lead to suspension and delisting procedures.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.