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Chubb (CB)
NYSE:CB

Chubb (CB) AI Stock Analysis

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CB

Chubb

(NYSE:CB)

74Outperform
Chubb's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and attractive valuation. While technical analysis indicates some caution, the company’s strategic acquisitions and capital returns provide a positive outlook. Earnings call highlights mixed sentiment, balancing strong growth with challenges like catastrophe losses.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Chubb Limited's fourth-quarter results beat both the analyst's estimate and consensus, showing strong performance.
Market Opportunities
The CEO expressed optimism for Chubb’s future, highlighting favorable market conditions and growth opportunities.
Strategic Actions
Recent strategic actions, like acquiring Cigna’s Asia-Pacific business and launching new products, are expected to drive growth in emerging markets.
Negative Factors
Catastrophe Losses
Management expects $1.5bn catastrophe losses from the Los Angeles wildfires, which is higher than the $1.3bn expectation.
Investment Income
Net investment income came $30mn lower than expected, creating a headwind.
Reserve Uncertainty
Reserve questions are expected to remain an overhang for Chubb and the industry, overshadowing the earnings beat and improved pricing commentary.

Chubb (CB) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Chubb Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChubb Limited (CB) is a global insurance company, providing a wide array of insurance products and services to individuals and businesses around the world. With operations in 54 countries, Chubb offers commercial and personal property and casualty insurance, personal accident and supplemental health insurance, reinsurance, and life insurance. The company is known for its extensive product offerings across various sectors, including property, casualty, accident, health, and specialty insurance.
How the Company Makes MoneyChubb makes money primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies and investment income. The company collects premiums from policyholders, which serves as a significant revenue stream. These premiums are used not only to cover claims but also to be invested in various financial instruments, generating additional income. Chubb's underwriting operations are divided into segments such as North America Commercial P&C Insurance, North America Personal P&C Insurance, and Overseas General Insurance, each contributing to the company's revenue. Additionally, strategic partnerships and joint ventures in different regions enhance its market reach and customer base, further bolstering earnings. The company's disciplined underwriting practices and diversified portfolio help manage risk and ensure profitability.

Chubb Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Premiums
Net Premiums
Net Premiums measure the total revenue Chubb earns from insurance policies after deducting reinsurance costs. This is a key indicator of the company's ability to generate income from its core business operations, reflecting its market position and growth potential in the insurance industry.
Chart InsightsChubb's net premiums have shown a consistent upward trajectory, with recent quarters reflecting robust growth. This aligns with the company's record P&C underwriting income and strong premium revenue growth reported in the latest earnings call. Despite challenges such as the California wildfires and competitive pressures in certain markets, Chubb's strategic focus on P&C and life insurance is driving double-digit growth in operating earnings and EPS. The company's optimism for continued growth in 2025, supported by underwriting and investment income, underscores its resilience and strategic positioning in the insurance sector.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Chubb Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chubb exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and robust cash flow generation. The balance sheet is stable, although rising debt levels require monitoring. Overall, Chubb is well-positioned in the insurance industry, but attention to debt management and potential investment needs is advisable.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Chubb has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a substantial increase from $34.23 billion in 2019 to $49.83 billion in 2023. The gross profit margin is consistently at 100% due to the nature of the insurance business where total revenue equals gross profit. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting strong operational efficiency. Net profit margin is robust, with a notable increase in net income to $9.27 billion in 2024. However, the 2024 data lacks a total revenue figure, making it challenging to evaluate the latest margins accurately.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Chubb maintains a strong equity position, with stockholders' equity increasing from $55.33 billion in 2019 to $64.02 billion in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, indicating prudent financial leverage. The equity ratio shows a stable balance between assets and liabilities. However, the total debt has increased slightly, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Chubb's operating cash flow has shown consistent growth, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow has also increased, supporting healthy financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting efficient cash earnings conversion. However, the absence of capital expenditures in recent years raises questions about potential underinvestment.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
56.01B49.83B43.12B40.96B35.99B
Gross Profit
56.01B49.83B43.12B40.96B35.99B
EBIT
0.009.39B7.14B9.82B4.16B
EBITDA
0.0010.20B7.34B10.57B4.97B
Net Income Common Stockholders
9.27B9.03B5.25B8.53B3.53B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
39.19B4.55B2.01B1.66B1.75B
Total Assets
246.55B230.68B199.02B200.05B190.77B
Total Debt
15.18B14.49B14.88B16.17B14.95B
Net Debt
12.89B12.05B12.87B14.51B13.20B
Total Liabilities
178.15B166.99B148.50B140.34B131.33B
Stockholders Equity
64.02B59.51B50.52B59.71B59.44B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
16.18B12.63B11.26B11.15B9.79B
Operating Cash Flow
16.18B12.63B11.26B11.15B9.79B
Investing Cash Flow
-13.92B-7.65B-5.65B-6.66B-7.52B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.18B-4.49B-5.14B-4.41B-2.08B

Chubb Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price279.11
Price Trends
50DMA
285.06
Negative
100DMA
278.76
Positive
200DMA
278.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.46
Positive
RSI
43.61
Neutral
STOCH
35.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 279.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 287.19, below the 50-day MA of 285.06, and above the 200-day MA of 278.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CB.

Chubb Risk Analysis

Chubb disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chubb reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chubb Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
WRWRB
82
Outperform
$26.73B16.3620.73%0.45%11.38%14.76%
MKMKL
75
Outperform
$22.52B8.9016.52%5.17%35.36%
ALALL
74
Outperform
$51.15B11.3523.80%1.95%12.28%
CBCB
74
Outperform
$111.84B13.4413.40%1.65%8.92%
TRTRV
71
Outperform
$58.72B14.1116.05%1.62%9.60%36.89%
PGPGR
71
Outperform
$163.30B19.3436.98%1.85%20.74%51.73%
63
Neutral
$12.31B9.557.88%79.24%12.71%-4.71%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CB
Chubb
279.11
33.13
13.47%
ALL
Allstate
192.91
26.67
16.04%
MKL
Markel
1,803.15
353.81
24.41%
PGR
Progressive
265.01
62.49
30.86%
TRV
Travelers Companies
259.16
49.97
23.89%
WRB
W. R. Berkley Corporation
70.48
20.14
40.01%

Chubb Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.89%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Chubb's earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment. While the company reported strong premium and investment income growth, strategic acquisitions, and substantial capital return to shareholders, it faced significant challenges from catastrophe losses and a competitive pricing environment. The impact of foreign exchange and decreased core operating income further balanced the positive aspects with notable challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Premium Growth
Total company premiums grew 5.7% in constant dollars. P&C premium revenue grew over 6.5% in constant dollar after adjusting for one-time items in North America.
High Investment Income
Adjusted net investment income was $1.7 billion, up 12.7% year-over-year. The fixed income portfolio yield is 5%, with a current new money rate averaging 5.5%.
International Life Insurance Growth
Premiums in the international life insurance division grew over 10%, with a pre-tax income increase of 15.7% in constant dollar.
Strategic Acquisitions
Chubb announced the acquisition of Liberty Mutual's business in Thailand and Vietnam, adding approximately $275 million in premiums in 2024.
Strong Capital Return to Shareholders
Returned $751 million of capital to shareholders, including $385 million in share repurchases and $366 million in dividends.
Negative Updates
Decreased Core Operating Income
Core operating income was $1.5 billion, down 31% due to significant catastrophe losses, primarily from the California wildfires.
Impact of Catastrophe Losses
Chubb faced $1.64 billion in pre-tax catastrophe losses, impacting overall financial performance.
Foreign Exchange Impact
Revenue growth was negatively affected by the strong dollar, although it has weakened substantially since.
Competitive Pricing Environment
Large account related short-tail business is growing increasingly competitive, with price softening.
Company Guidance
During the Chubb Limited First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, CEO Evan Greenberg provided guidance indicating a strong performance despite significant challenges, including $1.6 billion in catastrophe losses primarily due to California wildfires. The company reported $1.5 billion in core operating income, which was down 31% year-over-year, yet supported by a 12.7% increase in adjusted net investment income and significant growth in life insurance income. Total company premiums grew by 5.7% in constant dollars, with a combined ratio of 95.7%. Greenberg highlighted a current accident year combined ratio of 82.3%, a 1.5-point improvement from the previous year, and emphasized favorable prior-year reserve development of $255 million. Additionally, the company announced an acquisition of Liberty Mutual's business in Thailand and Vietnam, expecting to close the Vietnam deal by early 2026. Despite a challenging external environment, including trade uncertainties and potential recession risks, Chubb remains confident in its ability to grow earnings and EPS at a double-digit rate, excluding the impacts of foreign exchange and catastrophes.

Chubb Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Chubb Highlights Strategic Growth in Investor Presentation
Neutral
Dec 9, 2024

Chubb Limited has released an investor presentation available on its website, highlighting the company’s financial performance, business mix, strategic initiatives, and growth opportunities. This presentation is intended for investor meetings from December 9, 2024, and will be accessible for at least 60 days, offering valuable insights for those interested in the financial markets.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.