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BellRing Brands Inc Class A (BRBR)
NYSE:BRBR

BellRing Brands (BRBR) AI Stock Analysis

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BellRing Brands

(NYSE:BRBR)

64Neutral
BellRing Brands shows solid revenue growth and profitability, particularly in its Premier Protein segment. The raised guidance reflects management's confidence. However, financial risks from high leverage and negative equity, coupled with valuation concerns, moderate the overall outlook. Technical indicators suggest a cautious stance despite positive earnings momentum.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company has shown strong growth with the third consecutive guidance raise, indicating a solid upside potential.
Market Expansion
BRBR's Premier Protein RTD shake is the number one brand in the space and the overall convenient nutrition category, boasting a rare combination of growing household penetration, distribution, and innovation while at the same time increasing both buy and repeat rates.
Sales Growth
Sales growth is enhanced by GLP-1 therapies, contributing significantly to BRBR's growth.
Negative Factors
Margin Risks
There are perceptions of risks to gross margins and sales which are considered excessive.
Market Competition
Dymatize sales were disappointing as international strength was offset by U.S. weakness, with the premium price challenged by value-oriented consumers.
Valuation Concerns
There is less room for valuation multiple expansion in the future.

BellRing Brands (BRBR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

BellRing Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) is a prominent consumer packaged goods company that operates within the health and wellness sector. Specializing in the development, marketing, and distribution of ready-to-drink (RTD) protein shakes, powders, and nutrition bars, the company is known for its flagship brands such as Premier Protein, Dymatize, and PowerBar. BellRing Brands is dedicated to providing convenient and nutritious products to support an active lifestyle for a broad range of consumers.
How the Company Makes MoneyBellRing Brands generates revenue primarily through the sale of its protein-centric nutritional products across various channels. The company leverages a diverse distribution network that includes retail stores, online platforms, and specialty channels to reach consumers globally. Key revenue streams include sales from ready-to-drink protein shakes, protein powders, and nutrition bars under its well-recognized brand portfolio. Significant partnerships with retailers and distributors have enhanced its market presence and accessibility to consumers. Additionally, BellRing Brands invests in marketing and innovation to maintain brand strength and meet evolving consumer preferences, further contributing to its financial performance.

BellRing Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BellRing Brands demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, driven by effective cost management. However, high leverage and negative equity pose financial risks. The company maintains solid cash flow generation, supporting its operations and potential growth initiatives. Despite its strengths, addressing balance sheet vulnerabilities is crucial for long-term stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
BellRing Brands shows robust revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $2.1 billion, up from $1.37 billion in 2022, indicating strong demand for its products. The company's gross profit margin of 35.96% and net profit margin of 13.31% are commendable, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. However, the EBIT margin of 20.49% suggests room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet reflects high leverage with a significant debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity. Total debt of $833.4 million exceeds total assets, indicating financial risk. Despite this, BellRing Brands has managed to sustain operations, but negative equity remains a concern.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a strong free cash flow of $123.8 million in TTM, showing effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good quality of earnings. However, the company's cash flow from financing activities indicates significant debt servicing costs.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.10B2.00B1.67B1.37B1.25B988.30M
Gross Profit
754.70M707.30M530.20M421.80M386.20M338.00M
EBIT
430.00M387.70M287.30M212.40M168.00M164.00M
EBITDA
439.20M387.70M315.60M248.20M217.60M189.30M
Net Income Common Stockholders
279.50M246.50M165.50M116.00M114.40M100.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
49.60M71.10M48.40M35.80M152.60M48.70M
Total Assets
885.20M837.00M691.60M707.20M696.50M653.50M
Total Debt
833.40M833.10M856.80M929.50M597.50M686.40M
Net Debt
783.80M762.00M808.40M893.70M444.90M637.70M
Total Liabilities
1.03B1.04B1.02B1.08B762.00M814.50M
Stockholders Equity
-146.60M-205.90M-323.50M-376.20M-3.06B-2.18B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
125.50M197.80M213.80M19.20M224.50M95.10M
Operating Cash Flow
128.40M199.60M215.60M21.00M226.10M97.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-2.90M-1.80M-1.80M-1.80M-1.60M-2.10M
Financing Cash Flow
-160.50M-175.10M-201.70M-135.00M-120.90M-52.60M

BellRing Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price73.55
Price Trends
50DMA
73.38
Positive
100DMA
73.74
Negative
200DMA
65.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.88
Negative
RSI
56.66
Neutral
STOCH
91.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRBR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 73.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.85, above the 50-day MA of 73.38, and above the 200-day MA of 65.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BRBR.

BellRing Brands Risk Analysis

BellRing Brands disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BellRing Brands reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BellRing Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$6.30B18.7510.01%7.32%34.44%
KK
73
Outperform
$28.48B21.2638.65%2.74%-16.16%41.01%
66
Neutral
$3.33B23.868.39%9.07%5.85%
64
Neutral
$9.44B34.67-190.65%21.00%72.21%
HRHRL
64
Neutral
$16.49B21.769.54%3.79%-1.84%-5.14%
62
Neutral
$20.46B13.73-10.76%7.35%1.61%5.91%
THTHS
54
Neutral
$1.32B48.141.67%-4.59%-42.81%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRBR
BellRing Brands
73.55
14.16
23.84%
HRL
Hormel Foods
29.26
-3.87
-11.68%
SMPL
Simply Good Foods
33.40
-0.20
-0.60%
K
Kellanova
82.50
28.28
52.16%
POST
Post Holdings
111.49
5.78
5.47%
THS
TreeHouse Foods
26.20
-12.79
-32.80%

BellRing Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 3, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.01% | Next Earnings Date: May 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and growth, particularly from Premier Protein and international markets for Dymatize. However, domestic challenges for Dymatize and potential cost pressures in the second half were noted. The positive aspects of growth and raised guidance outweigh the challenges.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
Net sales for the first quarter were $533 million and adjusted EBITDA was $125 million, with net sales growing 24% over the prior year and adjusted EBITDA increasing 25%.
Premier Protein Growth
Premier Shake consumption growth accelerated, up 23% in the quarter, driven by distribution expansion, accelerating velocities, and incremental promotional activity.
Raised Guidance for Fiscal Year
The company raised its outlook for the year, expecting net sales to grow between 13% and 17% over fiscal '24 and adjusted EBITDA to grow between 7% and 14%.
Successful National Marketing Campaign
Premier Protein launched a national marketing campaign, with traffic to the website up 80% versus a year ago, indicating strong consumer engagement.
International Growth for Dymatize
Dymatize net sales increased 13% this quarter, primarily driven by double-digit sales growth in the international business.
Lowlights
Challenges in Dymatize Domestic Market
Despite international success, Dymatize faced domestic headwinds with pricing pressures due to elevated whey protein costs.
Potential Second Half Cost Pressures
Protein costs are expected to be more unfavorable in the second half of the fiscal year, with potential impacts on gross margins.
Company Guidance
During the BellRing Brands First Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance, indicating a strong start to the fiscal year with net sales and adjusted EBITDA both growing approximately 25%, primarily driven by Premier Protein. The company raised its full-year outlook, expecting net sales growth between 13% and 17% over fiscal 2024, and adjusted EBITDA growth between 7% and 14%. The guidance reflects confidence stemming from robust Q1 performance, improved gross margins, and favorable timing of marketing expenditures. The Convenient Nutrition category, where BellRing operates, grew by 12% in Q1, with ready-to-drink products leading the category growth at 18%. Premier Protein, the company's flagship brand, experienced a 23% increase in shake consumption and maintained its status as the number one brand in the ready-to-drink segment with a 26% market share.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.