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Builders Firstsource (BLDR)
NYSE:BLDR

Builders Firstsource (BLDR) AI Stock Analysis

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Builders Firstsource

(NYSE:BLDR)

65Neutral
The overall stock score of 65 reflects Builders Firstsource's solid financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, balanced against bearish technical indicators and market challenges. Strong cash flow and profitability are key strengths, while technical analysis and market conditions present risks.
Positive Factors
Digital Sales Growth
BLDR's ability to generate $200 million incremental sales in 2025 through digital acts as a partial offset to challenges.
Strategic Acquisitions
The Alpine Lumber acquisition is seen as a terrific strategic fit that should meaningfully consolidate Builders Firstsource's share in the Colorado market and enhance its value-added product capabilities.
Negative Factors
Interest Rates Impact
Higher rates are weighing on BLDR, posing risk to the outlook for single-family and repair & remodel markets.
Tariff Uncertainty
Lumber tariffs add another level of uncertainty, with potential demand destruction from higher tariffs.
Weather and Natural Disasters
Wildfires & wintry weather have reduced sales by $80 million and are having an outsized impact on margins in the first quarter.

Builders Firstsource (BLDR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Builders Firstsource Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBuilders FirstSource, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies building materials, manufactured components, and construction services to professional homebuilders, sub-contractors, remodelers, and consumers in the United States. It offers lumber and lumber sheet goods comprising dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board products that are used in on-site house framing; manufactured products, such as wood floor and roof trusses, steel roof trusses, wall panels, stairs, and engineered wood products; and windows, and interior and exterior door units, as well as interior and exterior trims and custom products under the Synboard brand name. The company also offers gypsum, roofing, and insulation products, including wallboards, ceilings, joint treatments, and finishes; and siding, metal, and concrete products, such as vinyl, composite, and wood siding products, as well as exterior trims, other exteriors, metal studs, and cement products. In addition, it provides other building products and services, such as cabinets and hardware, as well as turn-key framing, shell construction, design assistance, and professional installation services. The company was formerly known as BSL Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Builders FirstSource, Inc. in October 1999. Builders FirstSource, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyBuilders FirstSource generates revenue primarily by supplying a wide array of building materials and manufactured products to the residential construction market. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of lumber and lumber sheet goods, manufactured products such as roof and floor trusses, wall panels, stairs, and engineered wood products, as well as windows, doors, and millwork. Additionally, Builders FirstSource offers value-added services like project management and installation services. The company capitalizes on strategic partnerships with suppliers and leverages economies of scale to maintain competitive pricing and secure a steady supply chain. These factors, combined with a strong distribution network, contribute significantly to its earnings.

Builders Firstsource Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Builders Firstsource demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and cash flow generation. Although revenue growth is slowing and stockholders' equity is declining, the company maintains stable margins and a balanced financial structure, showcasing effective cost management and strong cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Builders Firstsource has shown strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin and healthy net profit margin over recent years. However, there has been a notable decline in revenue growth in the latest year, which suggests a slowdown in sales momentum. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain solid, indicating effective cost management despite revenue fluctuations.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging debt. The equity ratio has been stable, indicating a solid capital structure. However, the decline in stockholders' equity needs attention as it may affect future financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Builders Firstsource enjoys strong operating cash flow relative to net income, showcasing efficient cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow growth has been robust, although recent fluctuations in free cash flow could signal potential volatility in cash reserves.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
16.40B17.10B22.73B19.89B8.56B
Gross Profit
5.38B6.01B7.74B5.85B2.22B
EBIT
1.60B2.18B3.77B2.39B543.85M
EBITDA
1.60B2.73B4.27B2.93B660.42M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.08B1.54B2.75B1.73B313.54M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
153.62M66.16M80.44M42.60M423.81M
Total Assets
10.58B10.50B10.60B10.71B4.17B
Total Debt
632.18M3.71B3.49B3.40B1.91B
Net Debt
478.56M3.65B3.41B3.36B1.48B
Total Liabilities
6.29B5.77B5.63B5.91B3.02B
Stockholders Equity
4.30B4.73B4.96B4.80B1.15B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.49B1.83B3.26B1.52B147.99M
Operating Cash Flow
1.87B2.31B3.60B1.74B260.07M
Investing Cash Flow
-710.72M-668.29M-957.48M-1.34B-136.22M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.07B-1.65B-2.60B-780.11M285.87M

Builders Firstsource Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price120.90
Price Trends
50DMA
136.63
Negative
100DMA
150.39
Negative
200DMA
160.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.44
Negative
RSI
37.21
Neutral
STOCH
31.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLDR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 120.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 125.36, below the 50-day MA of 136.63, and below the 200-day MA of 160.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BLDR.

Builders Firstsource Risk Analysis

Builders Firstsource disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Builders Firstsource reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Builders Firstsource Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$6.81B46.4610.73%6.59%30.00%
72
Outperform
$7.60B21.5518.96%7.05%
LPLPX
72
Outperform
$6.25B15.1626.08%1.18%13.95%138.97%
WMWMS
72
Outperform
$8.43B18.1934.07%0.62%3.67%-5.03%
OCOC
71
Outperform
$11.50B18.2512.63%1.92%13.41%-44.36%
65
Neutral
$13.64B13.3723.88%-4.08%-24.71%
62
Neutral
$7.50B12.893.19%3.38%3.64%-14.27%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
120.90
-68.63
-36.21%
BECN
Beacon Roofing Supply
123.15
26.01
26.78%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
86.38
10.43
13.73%
OC
Owens Corning
139.02
-23.96
-14.70%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
105.64
-57.55
-35.27%
AZEK
AZEK Company
47.43
0.14
0.30%

Builders Firstsource Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: -16.50% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company managing well through a challenging market environment, with strong EBITDA performance, significant investments in growth and digital sales, and successful M&A activity. However, these positives are tempered by declines in net sales, weakness in the multifamily segment, and external challenges such as severe weather and wildfires affecting sales.
Highlights
Strong EBITDA and Gross Margin Performance
Achieved a mid-teens adjusted EBITDA margin and nearly 33% gross margin in 2024, demonstrating resilience and operational excellence.
Significant Investment in Growth
Invested over $75 million in value-added facilities in 2024, including opening two new truss manufacturing facilities and upgrading nineteen truss facilities.
Digital Sales Growth
Achieved $134 million in incremental digital sales in 2024, with expectations for an additional $200 million in 2025.
Successful M&A Activity
Completed thirteen acquisitions in 2024 with aggregate prior year sales of $420 million, expanding footprint and enhancing value-added offerings.
Commitment to Shareholder Returns
Executed opportunistic share repurchases of approximately $1.5 billion, removing roughly 7% of shares outstanding in 2024.
Lowlights
Decline in Net Sales
Net sales decreased by 8% to $3.8 billion in Q4 2024, primarily due to lower core organic sales and commodity deflation.
Multifamily Segment Weakness
29% decline in multifamily sales in 2024 amid muted activity levels, expected to remain a headwind in 2025.
Challenging Market Conditions
Single-family starts pulled back, and multifamily remains a headwind, with builders facing affordability challenges and regulatory issues.
Impact of Severe Weather and Wildfires
Extreme weather and California wildfires led to a loss of approximately $80 million in sales year-to-date in Q1 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Builders FirstSource Fourth Quarter 2024 and Full Year Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for 2025, highlighting several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company expects net sales to range between $16.5 billion and $17.5 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA between $1.9 billion and $2.3 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.5% to 13%. The gross margin for 2025 is projected to be between 30% and 32%. Builders FirstSource plans to achieve $600 million to $1 billion in free cash flow, with a focus on maintaining operational flexibility and managing expenses. The company anticipates a flat single-family market and continued weakness in multifamily, which will present headwinds. Despite these challenges, Builders FirstSource is optimistic about generating $200 million in incremental sales from its digital platform, supporting value-added solutions, and leveraging its strong operational platform. Additionally, the company continues to pursue M&A opportunities, having completed acquisitions with aggregate prior-year sales of roughly $420 million in 2024, and expects to see growth from these acquisitions in the future.

Builders Firstsource Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Builders FirstSource Strengthens Board with New Appointments
Neutral
Feb 20, 2025

In a recent development, Builders FirstSource announced the addition of Cheryl Ainoa and Maria Renz to its Board of Directors, effective March 1, 2025. Both bring substantial expertise in digital transformation and innovation from leading tech companies, which is expected to enhance the company’s strategic direction. Furthermore, the company reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, highlighting a decline in net sales, gross margin, and net income due to lower core organic sales and commodity deflation. Despite these challenges, Builders FirstSource remains committed to investing in value-added solutions and technology, positioning itself for resilience and future growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.