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Credicorp (BAP)
:BAP

Credicorp (BAP) AI Stock Analysis

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Credicorp

(NYSE:BAP)

74Outperform
Credicorp's strong profitability and effective equity utilization drive its solid financial performance score. Technical indicators show positive momentum but caution due to overbought signals. Attractive valuation metrics and a favorable earnings call further boost the score. However, challenges in cash flow management and impacts from the Sartor case slightly temper the overall outlook.

Credicorp (BAP) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Credicorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCredicorp Ltd., a financial service holding company, provides various financial, insurance, and health services and products primarily in Peru and internationally. The company's Universal Banking segment offers deposits and current accounts, and various credits and financial instruments to individuals and legal entities. Its Insurance and Pensions segment issues insurance policies to cover losses in commercial property, transportation, marine vessels, automobile, life, health, and pensions, as well as provides private pension fund management services. The company's Microfinance segment manages loans, credits, deposits, and current accounts of the small and microenterprises. Its Investment Banking and Wealth Management segment offers its services to corporations, institutional investors, governments, and foundations; engages in structuring and placement of issues in the primary market, as well as the execution and negotiation of operations in the secondary market; and structures securitization processes for corporate customers and manages mutual funds. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Lima, Peru.
How the Company Makes MoneyCredicorp generates revenue through its various subsidiaries, each contributing to its diverse income streams. The company's primary source of revenue is its banking operations, mainly through Banco de Crédito del Perú (BCP), which provides traditional banking services such as loans, deposits, and credit cards. BCP earns interest income from lending activities and generates fee income from transaction services. Additionally, Credicorp's insurance arm, Pacifico Seguros, contributes to revenue through the sale of life, health, and property insurance products, earning premiums and managing risk. Prima AFP, the company's pension fund manager, generates income from fees charged on assets under management. Credicorp Capital, the investment banking and asset management subsidiary, earns revenue from advisory services, trading, and asset management fees. Strategic partnerships and a strong regional presence enhance Credicorp's ability to capture market share and expand its revenue base.

Credicorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Credicorp shows strong profitability with a robust EBIT margin and effective equity utilization. However, there are challenges in revenue growth and cash conversion. The balance sheet remains stable with manageable leverage, but cash flow fluctuations suggest a need for improved cash management strategies.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Credicorp shows strong profitability with a robust EBIT margin of 50.34% and a net profit margin of 30.24% for 2024. However, revenue has declined by 6.83% compared to 2023, indicating potential concerns in revenue generation. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue trends, peaking in 2023, but generally growing over the longer term since 2020.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 and an equity ratio of 13.41%, reflecting moderate leverage and stable equity levels. Return on equity is strong at 16.02% for 2024, demonstrating effective utilization of equity. The balance sheet indicates resilience against potential financial instability, although equity levels show limited growth.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow from the previous year, with a negative growth rate of 68.39%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.22, which highlights potential challenges in converting earnings to cash. Despite a positive free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.17, the cash flow from operations shows variability, suggesting potential liquidity management issues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
18.20B19.54B17.34B14.43B13.60B
Gross Profit
18.20B16.18B17.34B14.43B13.60B
EBIT
9.16B6.85B10.23B5.25B236.92M
EBITDA
0.007.52B0.000.000.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
5.50B4.87B4.65B3.58B346.89M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
20.07B66.62B64.97B73.73B79.48B
Total Assets
256.09B238.84B236.75B244.82B237.41B
Total Debt
22.63B26.76B26.01B24.81B22.91B
Net Debt
2.56B-7.09B-8.10B-14.48B-13.82B
Total Liabilities
221.11B205.73B207.17B217.78B211.96B
Stockholders Equity
34.35B32.46B28.99B26.50B24.95B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
925.50M2.93B-2.03B3.33B12.05B
Operating Cash Flow
1.24B4.08B-1.13B3.97B12.69B
Investing Cash Flow
527.56M-1.26B-1.09B-3.73B-1.87B
Financing Cash Flow
11.48B-2.26B-1.60B-465.30M-2.09B

Credicorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price178.02
Price Trends
50DMA
185.70
Negative
100DMA
186.34
Negative
200DMA
179.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.70
Positive
RSI
56.72
Neutral
STOCH
28.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 178.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 187.81, below the 50-day MA of 185.70, and below the 200-day MA of 179.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 1.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BAP.

Credicorp Risk Analysis

Credicorp disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Credicorp reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Credicorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BMBMA
81
Outperform
$5.21B11.729.05%12.40%40.86%236.42%
CICIB
77
Outperform
$9.96B11.4015.62%17.16%-0.15%8.78%
BABAP
74
Outperform
$14.16B9.6516.36%5.46%5.84%12.67%
73
Outperform
$9.77B10.9716.05%2.72%-22.63%32.31%
BCBCH
73
Outperform
$12.50B9.8121.96%6.44%-19.01%-13.44%
70
Neutral
$16.51B13.4211.61%5.02%-3.94%31.52%
64
Neutral
$13.44B9.419.19%4.92%16.30%-8.66%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAP
Credicorp
178.02
21.33
13.61%
BCH
Banco De Chile
25.85
4.16
19.18%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
74.06
28.03
60.90%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
4.55
-0.62
-11.99%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
22.32
3.23
16.92%
CIB
Bancolombia
38.98
8.71
28.77%

Credicorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 10, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.80% | Next Earnings Date: May 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Credicorp's strong financial performance and strategic advancements, particularly in digital innovation and financial inclusion. However, challenges such as the one-off impact from the Sartor case and subdued private investment temper these achievements.
Highlights
Record Profitability
Credicorp achieved record profitability of $5.5 billion with an ROE of 16.5%, aligning with guidance at 17.2% when excluding one-off charges related to the Sartorius case.
Strong Economic Recovery in Peru
Peru's GDP expanded by over 3% in 2024, with inflation falling to 2.2%—the lowest in four years. The central bank lowered its policy rate to support recovery.
Yape's Growth and Profitability
Yape reached profitability in 2024 with nearly 14 million active users, doubling its transaction volume and becoming Peru's fifth-largest e-commerce player.
Improved Asset Quality
The NPL ratio dropped 60 basis points to 5.3%, with provisions falling 14.4% due to improved payment performance at BCP and MiBanco.
Sustainable Financing Initiatives
Credicorp allocated over $1.5 billion in sustainable financing across key sectors, contributing to financial inclusion and poverty reduction in Peru.
Lowlights
Impact of Sartor Case
A one-off impact of 259 million soles due to the Sartor case affected the ROE, bringing it down to 13.3% for the quarter.
Subdued Private Investment
Despite gains from public investment, private sector investment remains subdued, impacting long-term sustainable growth.
Efficiency Ratio Concerns
The efficiency ratio is expected to be between 45% and 47% in 2025, with continued investment in digital transformation.
Company Guidance
During the call, Credicorp Ltd. provided guidance for the upcoming fiscal year, expecting the Peruvian economy to grow around 3% in 2025. The company anticipates total loan book growth of approximately 3.5% in average daily balances, equivalent to around 6% growth in quarter-end balances, driven mainly by retail banking at BCP and MiBanco. Credicorp expects its Net Interest Margin (NIM) to remain resilient, ranging between 6.2% and 6.5%, despite potential rate reductions. The cost of risk is projected to be between 2% and 2.4%, with risk-adjusted NIM expected to stand between 4.8% and 5%. Additionally, the efficiency ratio is forecasted to be between 45% and 47%, considering an accounting policy change related to the loyalty program. The company aims for an ROE of around 17.5% for the full year, supported by continued investment in digital transformation and a diversified source of income.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.