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Arbe Robotics (ARBE)
NASDAQ:ARBE

Arbe Robotics (ARBE) AI Stock Analysis

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Arbe Robotics

(NASDAQ:ARBE)

51Neutral
Arbe Robotics' stock reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability issues. Technical analysis suggests mild positive momentum, but valuation remains a concern due to ongoing losses. The earnings call provides a slightly optimistic outlook with potential OEM growth and successful funding, but financial risks persist, resulting in a cautious overall score.
Positive Factors
Market Opportunity
Despite slow progress, there is substantial market opportunity for ARBE due to expected demand for new sensors driven by improved safety features and regulatory demands.
Negative Factors
Financial Guidance
The company has provided light guidance for 2025, indicating potential challenges ahead.
Stock Rating
Ongoing customer decision delays have led to a downgrade in the stock rating to Hold.

Arbe Robotics (ARBE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Arbe Robotics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBased in Tel Aviv, Israel, Arbe is a leading radar technology company offering perception radar chipset solutions for autonomous driving. Arbe’s 4D imaging radar is designed to enable accurate and reliable sensing, supporting the complete autonomy of vehicles.
How the Company Makes MoneyArbe Robotics makes money primarily through the sale and licensing of its radar technology solutions to automotive manufacturers and suppliers. The company's key revenue streams include direct product sales, where it provides radar systems to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, and licensing agreements where it licenses its technology for integration into third-party systems. Additionally, Arbe may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with automotive industry leaders, contributing to its revenue through joint development projects and shared commercialization efforts. The company's focus on innovation and its ability to scale its technology for mass production are significant factors in its earnings.

Arbe Robotics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arbe Robotics faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability metrics, and high leverage. Income Statement Score: 45 due to revenue decline and negative margins. Balance Sheet Score: 55 reflecting a high debt-to-equity ratio. Cash Flow Score: 50 indicating liquidity issues, despite some improvement in free cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Arbe Robotics has shown volatility in its income statement metrics. The company experienced a significant revenue decline from 2022 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with a negative gross profit margin indicating production costs exceeding revenue. The net profit margin is also negative, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio due to substantial liabilities compared to equity, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is deeply negative, indicating that the company is not generating profit from shareholders' investments. Equity ratio has decreased over time, signaling reduced financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Arbe Robotics' cash flow statement reveals a concerning trend with negative operating and free cash flow, suggesting liquidity issues and insufficient cash generation from operations. However, some improvement in free cash flow is noted in TTM compared to previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, indicating challenges in converting income into cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.02M1.47M3.52M2.25M332.00K0.00
Gross Profit
-765.00K-38.00K2.23M809.00K-8.00K-237.00K
EBIT
-48.92M-46.88M-47.73M-33.28M-14.96M-25.13M
EBITDA
-48.34M-46.33M-47.25M-32.94M-14.73M-24.89M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-46.41M-43.50M-33.26M-82.91M-16.29M-26.08M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
17.03M44.06M54.57M100.81M2.96M16.96M
Total Assets
0.0050.48M60.83M105.35M4.41M17.88M
Total Debt
0.001.74M381.00K4.92M4.20M4.10M
Net Debt
17.03M-26.84M-53.79M-95.89M1.34M-2.90M
Total Liabilities
0.008.39M12.08M25.52M64.56M8.96M
Stockholders Equity
8.92M42.09M48.75M79.82M-60.16M8.92M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-29.92M-33.76M-41.28M-27.20M-15.44M-22.79M
Operating Cash Flow
-29.53M-33.51M-40.36M-26.42M-15.29M-22.56M
Investing Cash Flow
25.21M-15.25M-1.32M-684.00K9.70M-8.54M
Financing Cash Flow
-252.00K23.20M-4.94M125.08M1.53M35.55M

Arbe Robotics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.18
Price Trends
50DMA
2.46
Negative
100DMA
2.12
Negative
200DMA
2.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
25.71
Positive
STOCH
7.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARBE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.01, below the 50-day MA of 2.46, and below the 200-day MA of 2.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.71 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARBE.

Arbe Robotics Risk Analysis

Arbe Robotics disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arbe Robotics reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arbe Robotics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$21.35B10.05-19.26%2.35%5.02%-22.63%
56
Neutral
$135.89M-81.61%339.99%29.91%
55
Neutral
$245.23M-103.99%277.53%1.16%
51
Neutral
$113.53M-152.72%-20.13%11.36%
48
Neutral
$144.41M-85.76%176.22%7.08%
44
Neutral
$390.70M-61.40%51.14%79.30%
27
Underperform
$157.49M146.24%27.61%40.95%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARBE
Arbe Robotics
1.18
-0.58
-32.95%
MVIS
Microvision
1.09
-1.22
-52.81%
LAZR
Luminar Technologies
4.73
-24.07
-83.58%
AEVA
Aeva Technologies
2.60
-2.55
-49.51%
INVZ
Innoviz Technologies
0.68
-0.69
-50.36%
OUST
Ouster
7.85
2.76
54.22%

Arbe Robotics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 5, 2025 | % Change Since: -28.92% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Arbe Robotics' strategic collaborations and successful fundraising efforts, which bolster its market position and financial stability. However, significant challenges remain, including declining revenues, increased losses, and low gross margins. The mixed results show progress in strategic partnerships, yet financial metrics indicate areas of concern.
Highlights
Collaboration with NVIDIA
Arbe Robotics announced a collaboration with NVIDIA to revolutionize vehicle safety and autonomy, integrating their high-resolution radar with NVIDIA's in-vehicle computing platform.
Strategic Partnerships and Agreements
Arbe has formed strategic partnerships with Zenseact and Sensrad for 4D high-resolution imaging radar, and secured a $7.3 million framework agreement with Tianyi Transportation Technology in China.
Successful Fundraising
Arbe raised nearly $17 million through various fundraising initiatives, including a $33 million underwriting registered direct offering and conversion of convertible bonds.
Strong Financial Position
Arbe reported a strong balance sheet with $24.6 million in cash as of December 31, 2024, and an additional $54.5 million raised in January 2025, providing robust financial stability.
Lowlights
Decline in Revenue
Total revenue for Q4 2024 was $0.1 million, down from $0.35 million in Q4 2023. Full year revenue for 2024 was $0.8 million, a decrease from $1.5 million in 2023.
Increased Operating Loss
Operating loss for Q4 2024 increased to $12.8 million from $12.1 million in Q4 2023. The full year operating loss was $49.7 million, up from $46.9 million in 2023.
Net Loss Expansion
Net loss for Q4 2024 was $12.2 million, compared to $9.3 million in Q4 2023. The full year net loss for 2024 was $49.3 million, rising from $43.5 million in 2023.
Low Gross Margins
Gross margin loss for Q4 2024 was similar to Q4 2023 at $0.2 million loss. The full year 2024 gross margin was a $0.8 million loss, compared to a $0 gross margin in 2023.
Company Guidance
During the Arbe Robotics Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results Conference Call, the company outlined its financial performance and future guidance. Total revenue for the fourth quarter was reported at $0.1 million, with full-year 2024 revenue at $0.8 million, indicating a decrease from the previous year. Operating expenses for the year totaled $48.9 million, with a net loss of $49.3 million for 2024. The company projected 2025 revenue to range between $2 million and $5 million, expecting a significant uptick towards the year's end due to key projects maturing. Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is forecasted to be between a $29 million loss to a $35 million loss. Arbe highlighted its robust cash position, with post-fundraising cash reserves above $70 million, supporting its growth initiatives and continued advancements in radar technology. The company aims to secure four design-ins with automakers in 2025, leveraging its collaborations with major partners like NVIDIA and its advancements in the non-automotive market.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.