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Amazon (AMZN) AI Stock Analysis

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AMZN

Amazon

(NASDAQ:AMZN)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$276.00
â–²(13.01% Upside)
Amazon's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. Technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The high valuation reflects growth expectations but may limit appeal to value investors.
Positive Factors
AWS Growth
AWS's robust growth underscores its critical role in Amazon's profitability, providing a durable competitive advantage in the cloud computing market.
Innovation in Grocery Delivery
Expansion in grocery delivery enhances Amazon's market position, leveraging logistics capabilities to capture more of the consumer grocery market.
Advertising Revenue Growth
Strong growth in advertising revenue highlights Amazon's ability to monetize its platform, providing a high-margin revenue stream that supports overall profitability.
Negative Factors
Special Charges Impacting Operating Income
Significant special charges can strain financial performance, impacting cash flow and potentially limiting investment in growth initiatives.
Decline in Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow can hinder Amazon's ability to fund strategic initiatives and respond to competitive pressures, affecting long-term growth.
Headcount Adjustments
Headcount reductions may disrupt operations and morale, potentially impacting productivity and innovation in the short to medium term.

Amazon (AMZN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amazon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmazon.com, Inc. is a multinational technology and e-commerce company based in Seattle, Washington. It operates through various segments, including North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). Core products and services encompass a wide range of categories, such as retail goods, digital content, and cloud computing solutions. Amazon is also known for its subscription services, including Amazon Prime, which offers members benefits like free shipping and access to streaming content.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmazon generates revenue through several key streams. The largest portion comes from its e-commerce business, where it sells a vast array of products directly to consumers and acts as a marketplace for third-party sellers, earning fees on sales. Another significant revenue stream is Amazon Web Services (AWS), which provides cloud computing services to businesses and organizations, contributing substantially to the company's profitability. Additionally, Amazon earns revenue from subscription services, primarily through Amazon Prime, as well as advertising services on its platform. Strategic partnerships, such as those with other retailers and technology companies, enhance its service offerings and drive additional revenue.

Amazon Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAmazon's North American revenue continues to show robust growth, with a notable surge in the last quarter of each year, likely driven by holiday sales. International revenue, while growing, shows more volatility, suggesting potential challenges in global markets. The consistent year-end spikes in both regions highlight the importance of seasonal shopping trends. However, the absence of earnings call commentary leaves questions about future international strategy and potential risks unaddressed, which could be crucial for sustaining growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Amazon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, particularly in AWS and advertising, alongside significant innovations in various sectors like grocery delivery and AI. However, special charges and recent headcount adjustments presented challenges. The overall sentiment reflects a positive trajectory despite some operational setbacks.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Amazon reported $180.2 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, up 12% year-over-year, excluding the impact of foreign exchange rates.
AWS Growth
AWS revenue grew by 20.2% year-over-year, the largest growth rate in 11 quarters, with a backlog growing to $200 billion by quarter-end.
Amazon Ads Revenue
Amazon's advertising revenue grew 22% year-over-year, totaling $17.6 billion in the quarter.
Innovation in Grocery Delivery
Amazon expanded its fresh grocery delivery to over 1,000 cities, with plans to reach 2,300 by year-end, enhancing customer experience with same-day delivery.
Increased Prime Delivery Speeds
Amazon is on track to deliver at its fastest speeds ever for Prime members globally, with 3-hour delivery rolling out in select U.S. cities.
Negative Updates
Special Charges Impacting Operating Income
Operating income was reduced by $4.3 billion due to a $2.5 billion FTC settlement and $1.8 billion in severance costs.
Headcount Adjustments
Recent announcements regarding headcount reductions were driven by cultural and structural adjustments rather than financial or AI-driven reasons.
Company Guidance
During Amazon's Q3 2025 financial results call, the company provided detailed guidance reflecting their performance and future outlook. Revenue for the quarter reached $180.2 billion, marking a 12% year-over-year increase, while operating income stood at $17.4 billion despite special expenses. AWS demonstrated significant growth, with a 20.2% year-over-year increase, reaching a $132 billion annualized run rate. Notably, AWS's backlog grew to $200 billion. The call highlighted the substantial investment in AI and cloud services, including the launch of Project Rainier, which features nearly 500,000 Trainium2 chips. Amazon's advertising revenue also grew by 22%, reaching $17.6 billion, with strong performance across their full-funnel advertising offerings. The call underscored Amazon's commitment to expanding their grocery delivery network, enhancing robotics and automation, and exploring opportunities in agentic commerce. Looking ahead, Amazon plans to invest significantly in fulfillment and transportation, with expected cash CapEx of approximately $125 billion for 2025, and an increase projected for 2026.

Amazon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amazon's financial performance is strong, with robust revenue growth and profitability metrics. The income statement shows a significant revenue increase and healthy profit margins. The balance sheet reflects manageable leverage and efficient use of equity, while cash flow statements indicate strong operational cash generation despite high capital expenditures.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Amazon's income statement shows robust growth and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period reflects a significant revenue increase with a Gross Profit Margin of approximately 45.7% and a Net Profit Margin of 10.5%, indicating strong operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 11.4% and 19.2% respectively, highlighting substantial earnings before interest and taxes. Revenue growth from the previous year is impressive at 5%, demonstrating Amazon's ability to scale effectively.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with substantial equity represented by a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.40, indicating manageable leverage levels. The Return on Equity (ROE) is an impressive 21.2%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. An Equity Ratio of 48.9% suggests a solid capital structure with a good balance between debt and equity financing, although there is room for improvement in asset management.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Amazon's cash flow statements show strong operational cash generation with a positive Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio, demonstrating efficient cash management. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is negative, primarily due to high capital expenditures, but the company maintains a healthy Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio of 1.72, indicating strong cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue691.33B637.96B574.78B513.98B469.82B386.06B
Gross Profit345.98B311.67B270.05B225.15B197.48B152.76B
EBITDA157.14B123.81B89.40B38.35B74.39B51.01B
Net Income76.48B59.25B30.43B-2.72B33.36B21.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets727.92B624.89B527.85B462.68B420.55B321.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments94.20B101.20B86.78B70.03B96.05B84.40B
Total Debt135.42B130.90B135.61B140.12B116.39B84.39B
Total Liabilities358.29B338.92B325.98B316.63B282.30B227.79B
Stockholders Equity369.63B285.97B201.88B146.04B138.25B93.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.56B32.88B32.22B-16.89B-14.73B25.92B
Operating Cash Flow130.69B115.88B84.95B46.75B46.33B66.06B
Investing Cash Flow-132.74B-94.34B-49.83B-37.60B-58.15B-59.61B
Financing Cash Flow-5.94B-11.81B-15.88B9.72B6.29B-1.10B

Amazon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price244.22
Price Trends
50DMA
225.49
Positive
100DMA
223.81
Positive
200DMA
214.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.20
Negative
RSI
67.04
Neutral
STOCH
72.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMZN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 244.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 222.35, above the 50-day MA of 225.49, and above the 200-day MA of 214.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMZN.

Amazon Risk Analysis

Amazon disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amazon reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amazon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
―$405.40B19.2715.22%1.16%5.48%128.65%
―$117.99B56.8140.65%―38.01%44.52%
―$2.60T34.5224.33%―11.48%50.70%
―$187.30B14.7131.78%―20.09%-1.83%
―$92.50B79.2814.48%―34.12%―
―$58.28B160.988.55%―18.69%-65.55%
―$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMZN
Amazon
244.22
48.44
24.74%
MELI
Mercadolibre
2,327.26
263.56
12.77%
BABA
Alibaba
170.43
73.65
76.10%
SE
Sea
156.25
61.06
64.15%
PDD
PDD Holdings
134.87
12.55
10.26%
CPNG
Coupang
31.97
6.27
24.40%

Amazon Corporate Events

Amazon Q3 2025 Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 1, 2025

Amazon’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and innovation, with a positive overall sentiment despite some operational challenges. The company reported strong revenue growth, particularly in its AWS and advertising segments, while also highlighting significant advancements in grocery delivery and AI. However, special charges and recent headcount adjustments posed challenges, yet the sentiment remains optimistic about Amazon’s trajectory.

Amazon Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Amazon.com, Inc., a global leader in e-commerce and cloud computing, operates in various sectors including retail, technology, and digital streaming, known for its customer-centric approach and innovative solutions like AWS and Alexa. In its latest earnings report for the third quarter of 2025, Amazon announced a 13% increase in net sales, reaching $180.2 billion, with significant growth in its AWS segment and international markets. Despite incurring special charges related to legal settlements and severance costs, the company maintained its operating income at $17.4 billion, while net income surged to $21.2 billion, reflecting strong investment gains. Key highlights include a 20% year-over-year growth in AWS sales, expansion of AI capabilities, and a substantial increase in operating cash flow by 16%. Looking ahead, Amazon projects continued growth in net sales and operating income for the fourth quarter, driven by its strategic investments in AI, infrastructure, and global market expansion.

Manning & Napier Reduces Stake in Amazon
Oct 29, 2025

Robert Bender&Associates Reduces Stake in Amazon
Oct 24, 2025

Barton Investment Management Reduces Stake in Amazon
Oct 23, 2025

TRB Advisors LP Reduces Stake in Amazon
Oct 19, 2025

Manitou Investment Boosts Amazon Stake with 4,574 Shares
Oct 19, 2025

Duquesne Family Office LLC Reduces Amazon Holdings
Aug 17, 2025

Pershing Square Boosts Amazon Stake with 5.8M Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Viking Global Investors LP Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Maverick Capital Ltd Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Lone Pine Capital LLC Increases Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Glenview Capital Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Soros Fund Management LLC Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Appaloosa Management LP Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

ValueAct Holdings LP Increases Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Clough Capital Partners Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Coatue Management Reduces Stake in Amazon by 596,184 Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Chilton Investment Co LLC Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Ardsley Advisory Partners Increases Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Altimeter Capital Boosts Amazon Stake with 419,708 Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Owl Creek Boosts Amazon Stake with 97,929 Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Driehaus Capital Management Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Corvex Management LP Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Farallon Capital Boosts Amazon Stake with 3M Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Eminence Capital LLC Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Eagle Capital Management Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Night Owl Capital Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Graham Capital Management Boosts Amazon Stake by 44,702 Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Blue Grotto Capital Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Altarock Partners Llc Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Kensico Capital Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Atreides Management, LP Increases Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Woodline Partners LP Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Blackstone Inc. Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

XN LP Increases Stake in Amazon with 262,992 Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Gilder Gagnon Howe Reduces Amazon Holdings by 35,474 Shares
Aug 16, 2025

Theleme Partners Llp Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

D1 Capital Partners LP Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Moore Capital Management LP Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Mairs & Power Inc Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Tiger Global Management LLC Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 16, 2025

Gamco Investors Boosts Stake in Amazon with 22,267 Shares
Aug 15, 2025

Columbus Hill Capital Boosts Amazon Stake by 96,000 Shares
Aug 15, 2025

Fisher Asset Management Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 15, 2025

Gladstone Capital Boosts Amazon Stake with 68,287 Shares
Aug 15, 2025

Vulcan Value Partners Boosts Amazon Stake by 184,502 Shares
Aug 15, 2025

MIG Capital Increases Stake in Amazon.com, Inc.
Aug 15, 2025

SCS Capital Management Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 15, 2025

Crake Asset Management LLP Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 15, 2025

Dodge & Cox Increases Stake in Amazon with 59,518 Shares
Aug 15, 2025

Sands Capital Management Reduces Amazon Stake Significantly
Aug 15, 2025

Bridgewater Associates Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 15, 2025

Egerton Capital Reduces Amazon Holdings by 884,482 Shares
Aug 14, 2025

Diamond Hill Capital Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 14, 2025

Bowie Capital Management Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 14, 2025

PRIMECAP Management Co Increases Stake in Amazon
Aug 13, 2025

Davis Selected Advisers Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 10, 2025

Generation Investment Management LLP Reduces Amazon Holdings
Aug 9, 2025

Suncoast Equity Management Increases Stake in Amazon
Aug 8, 2025

Amazon Q2 2025 Earnings: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

Amazon’s recent earnings call for Q2 2025 paints a picture of robust growth and strategic advancements, despite facing some operational challenges. The overall sentiment was positive, driven by impressive revenue growth and significant improvements in operating income, largely attributed to the success of Prime Day and expansion in AWS and advertising sectors. However, the company is navigating through challenges such as AWS margin declines and supply constraints, which slightly dampen the otherwise optimistic outlook.

Antipodes Partners Ltd Reduces Stake in Amazon
Aug 7, 2025

First Pacific Advisors LLC Boosts Stake in Amazon
Aug 3, 2025

Amazon Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 1, 2025

Amazon.com, Inc., a leading global e-commerce and cloud computing company, has announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting significant growth across its various business segments. The company, known for its customer-centric approach and innovative technologies, operates in the retail and technology sectors, offering a wide range of products and services including AWS, Prime Video, and Alexa.

TRB Advisors LP Boosts Stake in Amazon with 100,000 Shares
Aug 1, 2025

ARK Investment Management LLC Boosts Amazon Holdings
Aug 1, 2025

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025