Credit RiskAffirm faces heightened risk of users failing to make payments on time, as BNPL users are on average more likely to have higher levels of credit card debt and lower credit score in the subprime range.
Regulatory RiskThe CFPB’s intention to subject BNPL firms to the same supervisory examination as banks and credit unions poses a potential threat, increasing regulatory scrutiny and potentially hindering Affirm’s growth.
Valuation ConcernsWith the shares expected to open at an FY27 GAAP P/E multiple of ~54x, it is challenging to see a meaningful upside case over the next 12 months.