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Xenon (XENE)
NASDAQ:XENE

Xenon (XENE) AI Stock Analysis

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XE

Xenon

(NASDAQ:XENE)

43Neutral
Xenon's overall score is driven by significant financial challenges, including a lack of revenue and profitability. While the company has a strong cash position and positive developments in its clinical pipeline, technical indicators show weak momentum. The earnings call provided some optimism with strategic advancements and fiscal management, but notable risks remain.
Positive Factors
Drug Development
Xenon Pharmaceuticals is making progress on its major depressive disorder program and initiating work in bipolar depression, which shows potential for new market opportunities.
Financial Performance
Xenon ended the quarter with $754 million in cash, which management believes should fund operations into 2027.
Negative Factors
Leadership Changes
XENE shares are under pressure most likely due to news of the CFO departing.

Xenon (XENE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Xenon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXenon Pharmaceuticals Inc. (XENE) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative therapies to improve the lives of patients with neurological disorders. The company primarily operates in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors, leveraging its proprietary ion channel neurology platform to advance its pipeline of novel therapeutics. Xenon's core products include a range of investigational drugs targeting various neurological conditions, including epilepsy and pain disorders.
How the Company Makes MoneyXenon Pharmaceuticals generates revenue through a combination of collaboration and licensing agreements as well as potential milestone payments and royalties from its partnered programs. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, which provide funding and resources in exchange for rights to develop and commercialize Xenon's drug candidates. These partnerships often involve upfront payments, research funding, and milestone-based payments as the drug candidates advance through clinical trials and regulatory approvals. Additionally, Xenon may earn royalties on future sales of successfully commercialized drugs developed from its proprietary platform.

Xenon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xenon is facing significant financial challenges with a lack of revenue, persistent losses, and negative cash flows. While the balance sheet shows a strong equity position, these financial concerns raise sustainability issues.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Xenon's income statement shows a consistent decline in revenue, with total revenue dropping to zero in the most recent year. The company consistently reports negative net income, indicating ongoing unprofitability. The absence of revenue growth and negative profit margins are significant concerns.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Xenon's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, which suggests financial stability. However, the company has a low return on equity due to consistent losses. The low debt levels are a positive aspect, but the absence of revenue and profitability diminishes the overall financial health.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, indicating a cash burn situation. While the company has a substantial cash reserve, the inability to generate positive operating cash flow presents a long-term risk unless revenue generation improves.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.009.43M18.44M32.17M
Gross Profit
0.00-167.51M-96.33M-57.03M-18.36M
EBIT
-279.30M-214.05M-129.14M-78.99M-31.30M
EBITDA
-279.30M-210.51M-127.52M-78.09M-27.97M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-234.33M-182.39M-125.37M-78.88M-28.84M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
626.90M638.08M592.09M551.77M177.00M
Total Assets
798.14M964.80M754.15M572.01M189.19M
Total Debt
9.02M10.90M10.44M8.26M3.31M
Net Debt
-133.70M-137.74M-46.81M-167.43M-41.69M
Total Liabilities
43.24M36.88M32.65M21.97M17.83M
Stockholders Equity
754.90M927.92M721.50M550.03M171.35M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-181.39M-150.94M-101.32M-71.55M-50.76M
Operating Cash Flow
-181.39M-145.33M-98.43M-69.50M-48.12M
Investing Cash Flow
165.00M-117.17M-296.00M-246.77M-16.82M
Financing Cash Flow
12.13M353.52M278.47M447.54M85.80M

Xenon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price34.76
Price Trends
50DMA
38.88
Negative
100DMA
40.28
Negative
200DMA
39.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.08
Positive
RSI
35.18
Neutral
STOCH
28.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XENE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 34.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.75, below the 50-day MA of 38.88, and below the 200-day MA of 39.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XENE.

Xenon Risk Analysis

Xenon disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xenon reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xenon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$9.77B42.2519.71%52.97%
54
Neutral
$3.55B-214.50%29.01%23.93%
49
Neutral
$5.25B-93.03%-10.48%-18.79%
49
Neutral
$6.90B-0.08-53.01%2.43%24.84%-3.06%
48
Neutral
$3.72B-19.20%-89.95%-123.71%
43
Neutral
$2.62B-27.85%-10.19%
42
Neutral
$2.98B-17.90%-10.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XENE
Xenon
34.76
-10.32
-22.89%
IONS
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
33.03
-10.13
-23.47%
SRPT
Sarepta Therapeutics
100.71
-21.25
-17.42%
RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical
38.33
-10.22
-21.05%
VKTX
Viking Therapeutics
26.52
-45.44
-63.15%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
42.37
-32.41
-43.34%

Xenon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.27% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall. Xenon Pharmaceuticals demonstrated significant progress in its clinical development programs, including plans to expand azetukalner into new indications such as bipolar depression. The company is also in a strong financial position to support its pipeline and strategic goals. However, challenges in enrolling patients for the PGTC study and the announced departure of CFO Sherry Aulin were noted.
Highlights
Progress in Clinical Development Programs
Xenon Pharmaceuticals made significant advancements in its clinical development programs, including the Phase 3 epilepsy program and the launch of a Phase 3 MDD program. The company plans to initiate a registrational program for azetukalner in bipolar depression.
Strong Financial Position
Xenon reported cash and cash equivalents and marketable securities of $754.4 million, anticipating having sufficient cash to fund operations into 2027.
Promising Results from Azetukalner Studies
Azutukalner showed sustained monthly reduction in seizure frequency of approximately 85% at month 36 in epilepsy patients, with impressive seizure freedom rates.
Expansion into Bipolar Depression
Plans to initiate a registrational program studying the use of azetukalner in bipolar depression based on strong scientific rationale and market research.
Positive Market Research Feedback
Market research with prescribing psychiatrists showed interest in azetukalner’s profile for bipolar depression, considering its safety profile, novel mechanism of action, and potential benefits on anhedonia.
Lowlights
Challenges in PGTC Enrollment
Enrollment in the primary generalized tonic-clonic seizures (PGTC) study is challenging due to its less prevalent patient population and the need for immediate intervention in some cases.
CFO Departure
Announcement of Sherry Aulin stepping down as CFO later this year for personal reasons, although a smooth transition is planned.
Company Guidance
During the Xenon Pharmaceuticals Q4 2024 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance for the upcoming year. They anticipate a top-line data readout for their first Phase 3 epilepsy study in the second half of 2025. Xenon expects to file a New Drug Application (NDA) based on this data. The company outlined strategic priorities, including broadening the indication of their lead asset azetukalner in epilepsy and neuropsychiatric disorders such as bipolar depression, with plans to initiate a registrational program mid-year. They disclosed preclinical advancements in their Kv7 and Nav1.7 programs, aiming for multiple regulatory filings in 2025. Xenon also projects having sufficient cash reserves to fund operations into 2027, underscoring strong fiscal management.

Xenon Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Xenon CFO Resignation Amidst Strong Financial Outlook
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Sherry Aulin announced her resignation as CFO of Xenon Pharmaceuticals, effective June 30, 2025, for personal reasons, with no disputes related to the company’s operations. She will continue as an advisor until August 31, 2025, while the company searches for her replacement. Xenon also reported its financial results for 2024 and provided a business update, highlighting its ongoing and planned clinical trials for azetukalner in epilepsy and neuropsychiatric disorders. The company anticipates a catalyst-rich period in the next 12 to 24 months, with multiple regulatory filings and potential commercial launches. Despite a net loss increase in 2024, Xenon maintains a strong cash position to fund operations into 2027.

Executive/Board Changes
Xenon Pharmaceuticals’ CCO Departure and Consultancy Role
Neutral
Jan 17, 2025

On January 17, 2025, Christopher Von Seggern stepped down as Chief Commercial Officer of Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc. and departed from the company. In connection with his departure, Von Seggern signed a Separation Agreement receiving severance and benefits as per his original offer letter, as well as a 2024 annual bonus. Additionally, he will act as a consultant for the company until May 1, 2025, during which time his equity awards will continue to vest, with the exercise period extending until August 1, 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.