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Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA)
NASDAQ:VNDA

Vanda (VNDA) AI Stock Analysis

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VN

Vanda

(NASDAQ:VNDA)

58Neutral
Vanda Pharmaceuticals' overall stock score of 58 reflects significant financial challenges, despite a stable balance sheet. Technical indicators suggest slight positive momentum, but the valuation is hampered by negative earnings and no dividend yield. The earnings call highlighted mixed prospects with some growth potential offset by operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Product Approvals
Fanapt was approved for the acute treatment of bipolar I disorder.
Regulatory Progress
The FDA has accepted Vanda's request for a hearing on the New Drug Application for tradipitant, which could be a key step towards approval for the treatment of gastroparesis.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Challenges
The FDA plans to reject the tradipitant NDA due to failure to demonstrate compelling evidence of efficacy in pivotal trials for symptom relief in gastroparesis.

Vanda (VNDA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Vanda Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) is a biopharmaceutical company that specializes in the development and commercialization of innovative therapies to address high unmet medical needs. The company is primarily focused on the central nervous system and develops treatments for neurological and behavioral disorders. Its portfolio includes products like Hetlioz, which is used for the treatment of non-24-hour sleep-wake disorder, and Fanapt, an antipsychotic medication for the treatment of schizophrenia.
How the Company Makes MoneyVanda Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sales of its marketed products, Hetlioz and Fanapt. Hetlioz is a significant revenue driver, catering to patients with non-24-hour sleep-wake disorder, especially in the blind community. Fanapt, on the other hand, contributes to the company's income through its application in treating schizophrenia. The company may also engage in licensing agreements, collaborations, or partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies to expand its market reach or pipeline, although specific partnerships are not disclosed. Additionally, Vanda invests in research and development to advance its product pipeline, which could potentially create future revenue streams.

Vanda Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vanda faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability impacting both income and cash flow statements. The balance sheet remains stable due to low debt levels, but operational inefficiencies and negative cash flows raise concerns. Continued focus on improving operational performance and cash generation is crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Vanda's income statement reveals declining revenue and profitability over recent years. The gross profit margin has remained strong at 100%, but the net profit margin has turned negative, indicating a loss in 2024. Revenue has decreased from 268.7M in 2021 to 198.8M in 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also turned negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.015 in 2024, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 82%, suggesting financial stability. However, the return on equity has declined due to negative net income in 2024, posing a potential risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Vanda's cash flow statement highlights a concerning decline in operating cash flow, turning negative in 2024. The free cash flow has also deteriorated from a positive 12.4M in 2023 to negative 16.2M in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in cash generation relative to earnings.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
198.77M192.64M254.38M268.68M248.17M
Gross Profit
198.77M177.84M230.10M243.05M224.80M
EBIT
-40.66M-13.95M6.33M42.16M27.24M
EBITDA
-40.66M-10.94M9.06M45.01M30.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-18.90M2.51M6.28M33.15M23.34M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
374.64M388.26M466.86M432.81M367.74M
Total Assets
656.20M648.44M634.25M593.79M533.46M
Total Debt
12.36M9.40M11.14M10.05M13.61M
Net Debt
-89.96M-126.42M-123.89M-42.02M-47.42M
Total Liabilities
117.66M103.53M107.05M88.86M80.19M
Stockholders Equity
538.55M544.91M527.20M504.93M453.27M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-16.25M12.42M31.30M63.66M49.98M
Operating Cash Flow
-15.76M12.80M31.98M64.21M51.77M
Investing Cash Flow
-17.43M-12.06M49.92M-76.70M-41.50M
Financing Cash Flow
-155.00K0.00734.00K3.55M5.63M

Vanda Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.98
Price Trends
50DMA
4.63
Positive
100DMA
4.74
Positive
200DMA
5.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
58.23
Neutral
STOCH
58.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNDA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.71, above the 50-day MA of 4.63, and below the 200-day MA of 5.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VNDA.

Vanda Risk Analysis

Vanda disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vanda reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vanda Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.92B12.8738.89%31.85%
69
Neutral
$13.96B-8.58%46.62%50.50%
68
Neutral
$11.04B33.6514.16%24.81%33.67%
64
Neutral
$1.74B23.717.55%8.94%5171.26%
58
Neutral
$290.41M-3.49%3.18%-835.29%
51
Neutral
$5.94B-231.63%42.53%-15.29%
49
Neutral
$6.86B0.03-54.79%2.48%24.62%-2.84%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNDA
Vanda
4.98
1.23
32.80%
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
17.50
-1.22
-6.52%
NBIX
Neurocrine
110.75
-28.69
-20.58%
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
31.26
-2.93
-8.57%
ITCI
Intra-Cellular Therapies
131.26
65.89
100.80%
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics
121.91
49.37
68.06%

Vanda Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: 5.96% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook, with significant revenue growth from Fanapt and successful integration of Ponvory, countered by a substantial decline in Hetlioz sales due to generic competition and increased net losses. The company's robust pipeline and strategic initiatives suggest potential for future growth, but operational and regulatory challenges raise concerns.
Highlights
Fanapt Revenue Growth
Fanapt net product sales increased by 18% in Q4 2024 compared to Q4 2023, driven by new patient starts increasing by over 160%.
Ponvory Introduction Success
Ponvory net product sales reached $27.8 million for the full year 2024, indicating successful integration and market penetration following its acquisition.
Pipeline Expansion
Multiple new drug applications filed or planned for 2025, including Vantrela for bipolar I disorder and schizophrenia, and Imsidolimab for generalized pustular psoriasis.
Revenue Growth
Total revenues for Q4 2024 were $53.2 million, a 17% increase compared to Q4 2023, and full-year 2024 revenues were up by 3%.
Lowlights
Hetlioz Revenue Decline
Hetlioz net product sales decreased by 23% for the full year 2024 compared to 2023 due to generic competition and elevated inventory levels.
Increased Net Loss
Vanda reported a net loss of $18.9 million for the full year 2024 compared to a net income of $2.5 million in 2023.
Operational Challenges
Increased SG&A expenses due to commercial launches and legal activities, which may continue to rise impacting future financials.
Regulatory and Market Challenges
Uncertainty around regulatory pathways and market competition, including potential impacts of Medicare benefit redesign on gross-to-net.
Company Guidance
During the Q4 2024 earnings call for Vanda Pharmaceuticals, the company provided guidance indicating a strong growth trajectory, driven by products such as Fanapt, Hetlioz, and Ponvory. The company reported total revenues of $198.8 million for the full year 2024, marking a 3% increase from 2023. Fanapt net sales grew by 4% to $94.3 million, and Ponvory contributed $27.8 million in its first year of sales. However, Hetlioz sales declined 23% to $76.7 million due to generic competition. Vanda projected Fanapt revenues between $210 million and $250 million for 2025, a 6% to 26% increase, and set a 2030 target of over $750 million for its psychiatry portfolio and over $1 billion in total annual revenue. The company plans to further expand its sales force and invest in direct-to-consumer advertising to support growth.

Vanda Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Vanda Sets 2025 Executive Compensation Plans
Neutral
Feb 20, 2025

On February 18, 2025, Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. announced that its Compensation Committee had awarded 2024 annual bonuses and approved 2025 annual base salaries and bonus target amounts for its executive officers. The committee also granted restricted stock unit awards under the company’s equity incentive plan, with vesting beginning in 2026. This decision follows a review of executive compensation by a consultancy firm and impacts key company stakeholders by setting financial incentives and aligning executive interests with long-term company goals.

Product-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Files New Drug Application
Positive
Jan 27, 2025

On January 25, 2025, Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. announced on the social media platform X the filing of a new drug application for tradipitant, intended for treating motion sickness. The announcement highlights the drug’s potential significance, drawing historical parallels to the seasickness challenges faced during WWII and suggesting the condition’s broader impact beyond daily discomfort, potentially affecting national security.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.