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Pine Cliff Energy (TSE:PNE)
TSX:PNE

Pine Cliff Energy (PNE) AI Stock Analysis

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Pine Cliff Energy

(TSX:PNE)

50Neutral
Pine Cliff Energy's stock score of 50 reflects financial challenges and bearish technical indicators. While there is some stability from positive cash flows, the high leverage and declining profitability pose risks. The earnings call provides a mixed outlook with cautious optimism about growth opportunities and strategic positioning.

Pine Cliff Energy (PNE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Pine Cliff Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPine Cliff Energy Ltd. (PNE) is a Canadian-based energy company primarily engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil. The company focuses on operations within Western Canada, particularly targeting natural gas fields in Alberta and Saskatchewan. Pine Cliff Energy aims to maximize shareholder value through strategic asset management and efficient production practices.
How the Company Makes MoneyPine Cliff Energy makes money primarily through the production and sale of natural gas and crude oil. The company's revenue model is based on extracting these hydrocarbons from its assets in Western Canada and selling them to various markets, including domestic and international buyers. Key revenue streams include the sale of natural gas, which constitutes the majority of its production portfolio, and the sale of crude oil and natural gas liquids. Revenue is influenced by market prices for these commodities, which can fluctuate based on supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, and economic conditions. Pine Cliff Energy also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its asset base, contributing to its earnings.

Pine Cliff Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pine Cliff Energy is experiencing financial challenges, reflected in declining revenues and profitability. Increased leverage and reduced equity position pose potential risks. However, positive operating and free cash flows offer some stability, indicating the company's ability to generate cash to manage operations in the short term. Strategic improvements are necessary to enhance profitability and financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Pine Cliff Energy has shown fluctuating revenue with a recent decline from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin for 2023 was approximately 7.5%, a significant drop from previous years. Net income turned negative in 2024, leading to a negative net profit margin, indicating challenges in profitability. There is also a lack of EBIT and a decrease in EBITDA margin, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased in recent years, with a ratio of approximately 0.89 in 2024, indicating higher leverage. Stockholders' equity has decreased significantly, affecting the equity ratio, which stood at about 14.2% in 2024. The return on equity (ROE) was negative in 2024 due to negative net income, pointing to inefficiencies in using equity for profit generation.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Despite challenges in net income, Pine Cliff Energy generated positive operating cash flow in 2024. The free cash flow was also positive and improved significantly from the previous year, indicating better cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive due to the positive free cash flow, showcasing operational cash generation capability despite net losses.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
195.63M176.26M309.99M167.72M107.32M
Gross Profit
126.53M16.11M230.15M109.71M55.64M
EBIT
0.005.76M118.07M21.66M-36.41M
EBITDA
35.24M54.12M175.29M82.18M5.27M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-21.45M9.12M108.94M81.42M-55.39M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
0.00208.00K54.60M6.87M7.88M
Total Assets
381.25M477.07M375.05M379.00M288.90M
Total Debt
48.47M62.14M3.30M45.57M63.94M
Net Debt
48.47M53.70M-51.13M38.70M56.06M
Total Liabilities
326.93M377.14M241.32M333.58M326.22M
Stockholders Equity
54.32M99.93M133.73M45.42M-37.32M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
21.27M-63.67M121.44M28.02M1.31M
Operating Cash Flow
23.80M66.63M150.45M49.48M8.79M
Investing Cash Flow
6.77M-133.20M-36.74M-30.77M-10.02M
Financing Cash Flow
-30.56M12.15M-66.16M-19.71M445.00K

Pine Cliff Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.58
Price Trends
50DMA
0.77
Negative
100DMA
0.82
Negative
200DMA
0.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
41.67
Neutral
STOCH
26.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PNE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.70, below the 50-day MA of 0.77, and below the 200-day MA of 0.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PNE.

Pine Cliff Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSPEY
73
Outperform
C$3.23B11.3210.37%8.25%-9.52%-11.68%
TSARX
71
Outperform
$14.84B13.4014.67%2.97%-9.83%-27.76%
TSKEL
66
Neutral
$1.04B23.094.42%-5.20%-47.85%
TSBIR
62
Neutral
$1.49B26.332.51%6.12%-26.02%464.95%
57
Neutral
$7.44B4.21-3.75%6.64%-0.07%-64.77%
TSPNE
50
Neutral
$207.74M-27.57%10.49%2.24%-332.95%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PNE
Pine Cliff Energy
0.59
-0.36
-37.89%
TSE:BIR
Birchcliff Energy
5.64
0.57
11.22%
TSE:ARX
ARC Resources
25.06
0.58
2.38%
TSE:KEL
Kelt Exploration
5.36
-0.68
-11.26%
TSE:PEY
Peyto Exploration & Dev
16.77
2.90
20.91%

Pine Cliff Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -27.86% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a cautious optimism. Pine Cliff Energy highlighted significant achievements in drilling inventory and reserve increases, but faced challenges related to market uncertainties and tariffs. Overall, the company is well-positioned for future opportunities, but must navigate a complex economic environment.
Highlights
Strong Drilling Inventory
Pine Cliff Energy has never had a stronger inventory from a drilling perspective in its 14-year history, providing good economic opportunities for growth.
Increase in Reserves
Despite not drilling a well in 2024, Pine Cliff Energy saw an increase in its proved plus probable reserves after accounting for production, highlighting effective resource management.
Strategic Land and Infrastructure Consolidation
The company successfully consolidated land and infrastructure, enhancing its strategic positioning in key plays such as the glock and Basil Courts.
Positive Cash Flow Projections
The forward strip pricing, especially winter pricing around $3, indicates strong cash flow potential for Pine Cliff Energy.
Stable Liquids Production
The 2023 acquisition added over 5,000 barrels a day, with 50% being liquids, providing stable production throughout 2024.
Lowlights
Uncertainty in Capital Allocation
Due to market uncertainties including tariffs and fluctuating energy prices, Pine Cliff has not provided exact guidance for CapEx in 2025.
Impact of Tariffs on Business
U.S. tariffs on Canadian energy create uncertainty regarding their impact on Pine Cliff's pricing and cash flow.
Lower Oil Prices
WTI prices are lower compared to the previous year, affecting revenue from oil production despite some offset from currency fluctuations.
Company Guidance
In the Pine Cliff Energy Q4 Year End Results webcast, CEO Phil Hodge discussed the company's strategic focus on capital allocation amidst market uncertainties, such as tariffs and LNG developments. The company refrained from providing exact guidance for capital expenditure in 2025 due to these uncertainties. Key metrics highlighted include the company's growth from 100 barrels per day to 23,000 barrels per day over 13 years, a strong drilling inventory with 18 booked glock locations in Sundry, and a hedging position of approximately 35% for natural gas at $2.91 per Mcf and 31% for oil at $69 per barrel. The company aims to maintain its liquidity by managing a balanced budget and keeping the payout ratio below 100%, while seeking to increase cash flow per share through strategic acquisitions and drilling opportunities. Pine Cliff also plans to diversify through data center development, leveraging its natural gas production.

Pine Cliff Energy Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pine Cliff Energy Announces 2025 Capex Plan and Dividend Adjustment
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. has announced a 2025 capital spending program of approximately $23.5 million, with $12.5 million allocated to strategic drilling in Central Alberta and the remainder for facilities maintenance and asset retirement obligations. The company has shifted its capital allocation strategy, reducing its annual dividend from $0.06 to $0.015 per share, as it resumes drilling activities in response to improved economic conditions in the Canadian gas market.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pine Cliff Energy Reports 2024 Results with Increased Reserves and Dividends
Neutral
Mar 6, 2025

Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. announced its 2024 annual results, highlighting an increase in year-end reserves and a dividend declaration. Despite a decrease in adjusted funds flow and a net loss for the year, the company saw a significant increase in production and proceeds from asset dispositions. The announcement reflects Pine Cliff’s strategic focus on optimizing its operations and maintaining shareholder value through dividends, despite the financial challenges faced in 2024.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Pine Cliff Energy Declares February 2025 Monthly Dividend and Announces Webcast
Neutral
Feb 5, 2025

Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. has announced a regular monthly dividend of $0.005 per common share, payable on February 28, 2025, to shareholders recorded by February 14, 2025. The dividends are classified as non-eligible for Canadian tax purposes, indicating potential tax implications for shareholders. The company will also hold a webcast on March 6, 2025, to discuss its 2024 year-end results, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and future outlook.

Pine Cliff Energy Secures 25-Year Natural Gas Supply Deal for Alberta Data Centre
Jan 17, 2025

Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. has entered into a 25-year natural gas supply agreement with a private company to support a new data centre in Central Alberta, which will be constructed and operated by the private company. The data centre will not connect to the Alberta electrical grid and will rely on Pine Cliff’s natural gas supply, priced based on a 12-month average of the NYMEX price. This agreement reflects Pine Cliff’s strategic positioning in the energy market and its role in supporting infrastructure developments in Alberta, with potential implications for its operational stability and market presence.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.